Posted on 11/04/2008 6:59:36 AM PST by impeachedrapist
Democrats reached for a blowout at the polls Tuesday in heavy early congressional balloting that could add more than 20 seats to their House majority.
Long lines formed as polls opened before daybreak in about a dozen Eastern seaboard states. Democrats were counting on heavy turnouts to capture more than 15 GOP seats, and they had a good chance to wrest away another two dozen seats. Republicans had fewer than a dozen Democratic targets they had any hope of defeating...
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
AL-05 (60%)
AZ-05 (54%)
AZ-08 (53%)
CA-11 (54%)
FL-16 (54%)
GA-08 (61%)
IL-14 (56%)
IN-09 (59%)
KS-02 (59%)
KS-03 (55%)
LA-06 (59%)
MS-01 (62%)
NH-01 (51%)
NH-02 (47%)
NY-20 53%)
NY-24 (52%)
PA-04 (55%)
PA-07 (47%)
PA-08 (48%)
PA-10 (60%)
PA-11 (47%)
PA-12 (48%)
TX-22 (64%)
TX-23 (57%)
WI-08 (55%)
Fewer than a dozen? ROTFL!!
They don't know that those heavy turnouts are for the GOP!
It might be more helpful to your cause if you actually read a thread before spamming it, Jon.
This certainly does remind me of 2004. The Dems and media were convinced that the Dems would have a huge turnout. And they were right. But they never realized how ticked off the conservative base was at the Left's juvenile behavior and the media's water carrying for Kerry. It's as bad or worse four years later. I pray that tonight they're even more stunned than they were four years ago.
It is going to be worse for Obama.
Kerry at least kept his base intact.
Obama is going to lose at least 20% of that base, Hillary voters and Reagan Democrats.
No one can survive losing that many votes.
The MSM has this delusion that he is going to make up those votes from getting more Black votes and the youth vote, but nothing in early voting has indicated any huge turnout for him.
I think he also going to have problems with Latino's simply because many are not going to vote for a Black man to be President.
Gun owners are also fired up.
Kerry kept about 37% of them, but I have read that Obama is down to 30%.
That is crucial in hunting states like Pa and Minn.
Frankly, I don't see Obama getting higher then 45-47% of the vote.
I’ll be surprised if Obama loses that much of his base. But just losing a little of it will be devastating. And the larger McCain/Palin’s winning margin is, the more likely the GOP wins the House seats I’ve listed above, plus a few vulnerable incumbents and the 29 open seats they’re defending due to retirement.
Hey, did anyone watch Monday Night Football last night? Right before halftime they cut to side-by-side live shots of the Obamessiah and McCain. Granted, I’m biased here. But to me Obama looked pretty sober, while McCain seemed to be kind of giddy. Anyone else see this? If so, your thoughts?
I have heard that Obama seems very tense, while McCain and his team very upbeat.
Reality is hitting home to Obama, it is going to all end tonight.
McCain’s taking the white house and R’s are picking up house seats.
They are all traitors and God-less, Anti-American disgraces!
I agree on the former. The latter to me depends on the margin. A close McCain/Palin win will likely result in more net House losses for the GOP. But if tonight goes as expected (by me) I think the Pubbies very well could make a net gain.
I think McCain/Palin will need a strong national margin (like 5 or so points) for the GOP to actually win back the House. That margin is possible, though. The GOP would need to almost run the table on defending its 29 open seats and vulnerable incumbents, while winning about 16-17 of the ~25 seats I listed above. Of course, if we get to such a McCain/Palin victory margin, then seats I haven't even listed will come into play.
For the record, according to CQ the Dems knocked off 22 Republican incumbents in 2006. Many of those freshmen Congressional reps are sitting in GOP leaning districts during a Presidential election in which the base is fired up.
Yes and an McCain tidal wave might be enough to get those seats back!
Obama's grandmother had just died. That might have had something to do with his mood. In all fairness, which is about as much as I am capable of extending to That One.
It is usually in the Presidential election years where a Congressional representative who scored an upset win in an mid-term election loses in the Presidential election year. So yes, GOPers may have a much better night in the House races tonight than many of those not so bright journalists and pundits think they will. Let's see what happens.
That's a very fair observation. I am too caught up in the election, momentarily forgetting that very sad experience for anyone. Thanks for the reality check.
Bump for a good GOP night in House races!!
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