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How And Why China Will Flood The Gold Market
The Market Oracle ^ | 11-01-2009 | DailyWealth - Jeff Clark

Posted on 11/01/2009 3:42:02 PM PST by blam

How And Why China Will Flood The Gold Market

Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009
Oct 31, 2009 - 09:07 AM
By: DailyWealth

Jeff Clark of Casey Research writes: As you read this, the Chinese government is doing an extraordinary thing... something nearly unheard of in the modern world.

It is encouraging citizens to put at least 5% of their savings into precious metals.

The Chinese government is telling people gold and silver are good investments that will safeguard their wealth. After last year's meltdown in the stock market, people believe it. After all, Chinese citizens don't receive government retirement money... and they don't have company pension plans like people in many other countries do.

This is why folks in China are lining up outside of banks, post offices, and the new official mint stores to buy gold and silver (they especially like silver because it's cheaper per ounce).

The Chinese attitude toward gold and silver is a striking contrast to the American attitude right now. I don't recall a TV or radio ad from my congressman or President Obama encouraging me to buy gold or silver. Does your bank sell silver bars? Are gold mints popping up in your neighborhood? Are any of your friends, family, or coworkers scrambling to buy precious metals?

In spite of a few ads on television and satellite radio, buying gold and silver in the U.S. is still largely seen as a fringe-group activity. That's not the case in China. And in the big picture, there are three distinct trends occurring in China today that many in the Occidental world are not paying attention to.

First, look where China stands as a gold-producing nation.

[snip]


TOPICS: Business/Economy; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: china; commodities; gold; silver

1 posted on 11/01/2009 3:42:03 PM PST by blam
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To: TigerLikesRooster; SunkenCiv; Kaslin; Willie Green; AuntB

Interesting development.


2 posted on 11/01/2009 3:45:47 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (Liberal sacred cows make great hamburger)
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To: blam

China doesn’t print the dollars —the USA does. When people opt for gold instead of dollars, it is a vote against confidence in the US regime. Over the long term, this is not an attitude that the current Beijin regime finds unattractive.

But is is amazing and instructive that we have come to the point where the US government defends the futures of its subjects less aptly than a mafia that has seen fit to drive over its college kids WITH TANKS.

Which KINDA makes you wonder where we might be going, ya know...?


3 posted on 11/01/2009 3:50:11 PM PST by gaijin
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To: blam

“Jeff Clark of Casey Research writes: As you read this, the Chinese government is doing an extraordinary thing... something nearly unheard of in the modern world.

It is encouraging citizens to put at least 5% of their savings into precious metals.”

Chinese putting savings into gold? Seriously? Next thing you known, they’re going to start drinking tea and eating their food with chop sticks.


4 posted on 11/01/2009 3:52:25 PM PST by Flash Bazbeaux
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To: Clintonfatigued

The title is somewhat misleading in that it suggest gold will be flooding tha markets and dropping the price.


5 posted on 11/01/2009 3:54:10 PM PST by Boiler Plate ("Why be difficult, when with just a little more work, you can be impossible" Mom)
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To: blam

If the Chinese leadership, that has, like it or not, lead them from Mao/Revolutionary Guard disaster, to their rising economic superpower status, gets its citizens ready, each with a little gold, and then declares their currency gold backed at some level, ....that’s it. They won. Big Time.

Soros’s old partner, Jim Rodgers has moved to Shanghai. Why? Because we, the US, are at the BEGINNING of the end of 100 years of Federal Reserve paper money.

It’s going to get worse. Maybe, way worse.


6 posted on 11/01/2009 3:55:15 PM PST by Leisler (We don’t need a third party we need a conservative second party.)
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To: blam

7 posted on 11/01/2009 3:55:19 PM PST by org.whodat (Vote: Chuck De Vore in 2012.)
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To: blam

“I don’t recall a TV or radio ad from my congressman or President Obama encouraging me to buy gold or silver. Does your bank sell silver bars?”

This summer, Harrods started selling gold bullion directly to the public.


8 posted on 11/01/2009 3:56:53 PM PST by ModelBreaker
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To: blam

Poor headline. Author was probably edited. Rather than flooding the world with gold, the Chinese are sopping it up like a sponge. Be interesting to see who buys the IMF upcoming gold sales.


9 posted on 11/01/2009 3:58:48 PM PST by spyone (ridiculum)
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To: blam

bttt


10 posted on 11/01/2009 4:03:30 PM PST by SuperLuminal (Where is another agitator for republicanism like Sam Adams when we need him?)
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To: blam

Meanwhile, interested investors in the “free” USA fear that their government will seize any gold investments they might make.


11 posted on 11/01/2009 4:07:12 PM PST by GregoryFul
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To: ModelBreaker

Never wait for the US government and Wall Street/bankstas to sell gold and silver to public. That is probably too late and a stampede is underway and you will end up paying top prices. Do it now before Joe public gets involve and creates panic buying/prices which Wall Street/bankstas will profit. Recommend using www.bulliondirect.com or www.apmex.com to buy gold and silver bullion bars and coins. If you need to sell gold jewelry (10K to 24K) recommend www.usgoldbuyers.com. They post their daily scrap rates. They give one of the highest prices compare to other goldbuyers. Used all three websites, and I am satisfied with them. NOTE: When purchasing gold and silver, you must make a reasonable purchase amount to overcome the insured shipping costs. Had some freepers complain that they brought one coin and was surprised by the total cost when the minimum insured shipping and handling is added to purchase price. Use common sense when buying precious metals.


12 posted on 11/01/2009 4:19:25 PM PST by Fee (Peace, prosperity, jobs and common sense)
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To: blam

Why would China flood the market after encouraging its citizens to buy precious metals???? They wouldn’t.

What they will flood the market with are U.S. Securities, which is why they are buying gold. When people start fleeing U.S. Securities, gold will go stratospheric.


13 posted on 11/01/2009 4:24:56 PM PST by SampleMan (No one should die on a gov. waiting list., or go broke because the gov. has dictated their salary.)
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To: Purdue Pete

Ping!


14 posted on 11/01/2009 4:25:09 PM PST by lucyblue
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To: blam

Great idea, have some Au I am willing to sell them.


15 posted on 11/01/2009 4:26:41 PM PST by The_Media_never_lie
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To: blam

Gold is just a metal. Metals are a very controlled market, and have been since the days of mercantilism. That was back when whoever had the most specie, gold and silver, could afford the biggest military, and thus could dominate other nations.

While the theory is that mercantilism died out, the truth is that mercantilism expanded beyond specie. Not just other metals like copper, aluminum and steel, and non-metals like diamonds, but even commodities like wheat and corn, paper, commercial products, etc., etc. Even less tangible things like services entered the realm of mercantilism.

So where does that leave specie? Pretty much with those who still think it is special, for some reason. Maybe a touch of modern day gold fever, who knows?

But for most of us, it will never be an issue, and we are under no obligation to honor or oblige those that have it.


16 posted on 11/01/2009 4:29:40 PM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: Flash Bazbeaux

Well, gold ownership was only recently made legal in that country, the last few years, fwiw.


17 posted on 11/01/2009 4:31:11 PM PST by Freedom4US
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To: Fee

Recommend buying silver locally, to avoid shipping costs. $1000.00 in silver coinage weighs 57 pounds.


18 posted on 11/01/2009 4:34:10 PM PST by Freedom4US
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy

True enough, but nobody ever had to pass laws forcing people to take gold coinage, unlike paper currency. I like cash, I really do, but I’m not under any obligation to honor it, either.


19 posted on 11/01/2009 4:37:34 PM PST by Freedom4US
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To: SampleMan
Read this:

It Is Japan We Should Be Worrying About, Not America

"Markets are worried that Japan is going to hit a brick wall: the sums are gargantuan," said Albert Edwards, a Japan-veteran at Société Générale."

"Simon Johnson, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), told the US Congress last week that the debt path was out of control and raised "a real risk that Japan could end up in a major default".

20 posted on 11/01/2009 4:37:38 PM PST by blam
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To: gaijin

“...the US government defends the futures of its subjects less aptly than a mafia that has seen fit to drive over its college kids WITH TANKS.”

You are too kind. They have starved millions of their own.


21 posted on 11/01/2009 4:45:46 PM PST by enduserindy (Conservative Dead Head)
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To: enduserindy

Yes, you are right.


22 posted on 11/01/2009 4:46:36 PM PST by gaijin
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To: GregoryFul

They can’t seize it if they can’t find it.


23 posted on 11/01/2009 5:01:13 PM PST by XenaLee
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To: Freedom4US

Actually, for debts, you are. Unique to paper money is the legal tender law. It doesn’t apply to any electronic money, check or specie. And it cannot be used to force a debt. But once a monetary debt exists, it cannot be turned down as payment.

Says so right on the front of every bill. And they mean it. It is the law.


24 posted on 11/01/2009 5:08:09 PM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: Freedom4US

You should buy silver bullion coins and bars that are internationally renowned just in case you have to leave the US. Engelhard, Johnson and Matthey, Heraeus, the US silver Eagle coin, Canadian silver Maple coins and Mexican Onza or Libertads are my name brands for 100 ozt (troy ounce)sizes or smaller (fractions of an ozt to 10 ozt). If you can get them locally the better. Junk silver is OK but if the US government had not collapsed, can one melt silver US half dollars, quarters and dimes into silver while in the US???? If you leave the country you can sell it to a foreign refiner for local currency.


25 posted on 11/01/2009 5:10:21 PM PST by Fee (Peace, prosperity, jobs and common sense)
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To: Clintonfatigued; AdmSmith; Berosus; bigheadfred; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; ...
It is encouraging citizens to put at least 5% of their savings into precious metals... they especially like silver because it's cheaper per ounce).
Thanks Clintonfatigued.
26 posted on 11/01/2009 5:55:26 PM PST by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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To: Freedom4US

I think that is in error. At around $15 an ounce you get closer to 57 ounces not pounds for $1000.


27 posted on 11/01/2009 5:58:43 PM PST by xp38
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To: blam
"Simon Johnson, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), told the US Congress last week that the debt path was out of control and raised "a real risk that Japan could end up in a major default".

Dominoes. Before Japan defaults, it will start dumping its US Securities.

28 posted on 11/01/2009 6:05:38 PM PST by SampleMan (No one should die on a gov. waiting list., or go broke because the gov. has dictated their salary.)
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To: Fee

If I had to leave the country, I sure wouldn’t want silver. Way too bulky and heavy. Makes good ballast though.


29 posted on 11/01/2009 6:11:36 PM PST by Freedom4US
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To: xp38

$1000.00 in face value U.S. coinage weighs about 57 pounds, roughly the size of a bowling ball.


30 posted on 11/01/2009 6:13:35 PM PST by Freedom4US
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To: xp38

$1,000 in silver coins means this:

American coins, issued 1964 or before, dimes, quarters, half dollars, full silver dollar coins.

90% silver

Face value $1,000

Silver content of American coins is .72 Troy ounces per dollar.

So $1,000 face value of junk silver contains about 720 Troy ounces of silver, which at current spot is...

$11,797.20


31 posted on 11/01/2009 6:13:42 PM PST by djf (Having a gun and not needing it is better than needing one - and not having it! Way better!!)
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy

But we’re not talking about debts. I was just pointing out I’m not obligated to take funny money anymore than you are gold or silver. The seller gets to set the terms, not the buyer. Cash is usually, but not always, best. Till it isn’t.


32 posted on 11/01/2009 6:16:40 PM PST by Freedom4US
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To: djf

To be even more exact, silver dollars contain .77ozt, the dimes and quarters and halves don’t add up to the same though, there’s a little seignorage here - .72ozt of an ounce. This odd amount of silver per coin was all based upon silver being around $1.20 an ounce for a long time.

Further since most “junk” coins are fairly well worn the actual accepted figure is .715, or net 715 ounces of pure silver per thousand dollars face value.


33 posted on 11/01/2009 6:26:44 PM PST by Freedom4US
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To: Fee

Actually, I’ve been short silver for about a week. Thursday was pretty tense; but overall, a good week.


34 posted on 11/01/2009 8:10:24 PM PST by ModelBreaker
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
Says so right on the front of every bill. And they mean it. It is the law.

What about during a crisis bank holiday ?

35 posted on 11/01/2009 8:38:40 PM PST by justa-hairyape
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To: justa-hairyape

This is why is it a good idea to have cash at home. During the Great Depression, some bank holidays lasted between 3-300 days. There was a tremendous physical cash shortage that caused widespread deflation.

Today, only 5% of daily US retail is backed by physical cash. All the rest is backed by electronic cash, which has no value as legal tender. If and when there is a bank holiday, the banks that are open will be stripped of cash in an hour.

The US Bureau of Printing and Engraving has only two high security printing offices in the US, in Fort Worth and Washington, D.C. They typically operate at 100% capacity, just to maintain this 5%, and the vast majority of bills they print are $1 bills.

This means that not only *can’t* the government print more paper money than it does, but there are relatively such a tiny number of high denomination bills in circulation, that the government cannot print significantly higher denominations. Nobody could make change for them. There are just not enough $100, $50 or $20 bills to make change even for a $500 bill.

So, in the event of a bank holiday, when electronic funds are not available, cash money will instantly be effectively deflated by 95%. That is, worth 95% more than its face value. Retailers can and will refuse electronic payment that they cannot “cash”.

As it was said during the Great Depression, “You could buy a pound of hamburger for a nickel. But nobody had any nickels.”


36 posted on 11/02/2009 6:49:34 AM PST by yefragetuwrabrumuy
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To: Leisler
Soros’s old partner, Jim Rodgers has moved to Shanghai.

Jim Rogers moved his family to Singapore, as he sees no way the US can avoid an economic collapse and serious breakdown in social order.

Two generations of government school-trained sociopaths will start taking what they need from each other at gunpoint, while the elites hide in their gated communities under para-military guard and live better than ever. Much like Brazil.

37 posted on 11/02/2009 7:33:03 AM PST by Mr. Jeeves ("If you cannot pick it up and run with it, you don't really own it." -- Robert Heinlein)
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To: Mr. Jeeves

It’s already happened/happening in the US.


38 posted on 11/02/2009 7:39:33 AM PST by Leisler (We don’t need a third party we need a conservative second party.)
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To: The_Media_never_lie

Just saw a foreign guy on CNBC say he wouldn’t be surprised if silver breaks $20 over the next week or two. Here’s hoping! ;)


39 posted on 11/04/2009 2:26:48 PM PST by bdw300
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