Skip to comments.Why the Republicans Could Still Lose in November
Posted on 05/23/2010 10:10:51 AM PDT by AJKauf
The political fortunes of the Republican Party give every appearance of rising from the ashes, like the mythological phoenix of old. Aided by the unpopularity of the radical Democratic agenda and the nakedly overbearing efforts by that party to ram this agenda down the nations collective throats, the Republicans are poised to roar back onto the national political scene in November in a way reminiscent of 1994.
Indeed, the talk is generally not about whether the GOP will take back the House, but by how many seats. Regaining control of the Senate, similarly, is viewed by many as an attainable goal for the Republicans. This sort of talk is aided by favorable polling, not the least of which being Rasmussens gold standard tracking polls, which have consistently shown that the GOP holds a decent lead in generic preference on congressional ballots something that bodes quite well for Republican fortunes this fall. Following on spectacular victories in 2009 in which they took back the governors mansions in New Jersey and Virginia, there seems to be good reason for this optimism.
However, we should never underestimate the power of the Republican Party leadership to ruin a good thing...
(Excerpt) Read more at pajamasmedia.com ...
The only way the conservatives will lost this November is if the Muslim Communist opens the doors for the whole country of Mexico to come in..Just everyone make sure we keep a close eye on the polls..
Never underestimate the GOP’s ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
OVERCONFIDENCE. IGNORING THE AMERICAN PEOPLE. NOT ATTACKING HUSSEIN’S FAILURES.
I don’t care if the GOP wins or loses. I do care if conservatives win, and I honestly don’t see that as being possible at the moment. We might roll back some of the insanity, but there’d still be enough to spend the people’s money in grossly outrageous ways.
We HAVE to get conservatives together and run on a unified platform with set goals for the coming congressional session. Make the election a referendum on all the liberal policies that are out there, and roll back the tide.
Nonsense. This guy is deep in a bubble. The GOP figures to pick up between two and three dozen seats. At the upper end of the range, we have a chance of retaking the House, but that would require everything to break right. Let's not set ourselves up for failure by indulging unrealistic expectations.
Yup. From what I can tell the gop is still offering nothing but socialism lite.
The author is entirely correct here. Most people are "moderate" because they don't really get the issues and want to appear reasonable. When they come to realize that the more power government gets, the more it wants and the more of your money it takes then they wise up. The GOP isn't going to win by saying "I'm not Obama" any more than they succeeded by saying "I'm not Clinton". They need a message that resonates with the people. Above all when something is supported by the people, like the AZ law, don't apologize for supporting it.
The dirty little secret from the 2006 election was that it was mostley due to the homo Foley. We like to pretend that the big spending GOP was being punished...but if you look back at the articles and polls at the time (just before Foley) even with the war, even with the spending, there was talk of the GOP retaining control of both houses.
Don't forget about Bush's approach to immigration. They reluctantly voted to build a fence, and to this day it still isn't done. It isn't that conservatives punished the GOP by voting dim, they simply stayed home.
but I know, you have your dogma and cannot be bothered with the FACTS on this topic.
A very good article BTW. Still the problem is that these CONgress scabs are puppets to the elites. This is still the corrupt "Two-Party Cartel". 500 in Congress need to be replaced. Then possibly we could rid us of the Fed Reserve & put a Supreme Court in place with true conservative American values. However, the 1st oath any pol needs to do is if elected REPEAL ObamaCare.
The article makes some good points. But it should be kept in mind that the 1994 Contract with America was not adopted and made public by the House GOP until six weeks before the elections. Their schedule should be accelerated this time, perhaps to about mid July or August at the latest.
Yep, Steele the idiot is still the head of the RNC.
Maybe because they haven’t changed! They are just like the Democrats thirsting for power, geez but we have to give it to them to try to stop the landslide toward the left.
That is the only reason that I can see - it certainly is not because they will govern better, reduce the size of government, or actually do much of anything that the people want, it is that they are NOT Democrats - especially Progressive Democrats. They are the ones taking us down the primrose path - and at this point, only the Republicans can stop it.
Isn’t that a shame that we have to vote for the other party just to stop the party in power... That is what our vote has come to... Makes you proud doesn’t it?
That will take a new party. The Republican establishment will never allow it. They’d rather see the Democrats win.
if they get cocky
“Republican leaders seem unable to establish true cohesion among elected Republicans, except in opposition to the most extreme of Democratic proposals. Its to the point now where most of the major Republicans who are vocal about standing up for conservative principles and opposing the Democratic agenda are those who do not actually occupy leadership positions within the party apparatus itself. Think Jim DeMint. Think Sarah Palin. Think Michele Bachmann, Jan Brewer, and Paul Ryan.”
Exactly right, unfortunately. I keep getting this sinking feeling that the GOP leadership really hasn’t “gotten it” yet.
Or, to put a finer point on it, it strikes me that Steele, McConnell, etc. haven’t learned a darn thing from 2006 or 2008. They seem content to pursue business as usual while biding their time for the eventual swing of the political pendulum.
I like rand paul. I was referring to the michael steel wing of the party.
Bump for later.
Demographics doom us. Sorry, but any victory will be temporary. The only solution is an Article V convention that will secure our freedoms for maybe another generation.
Why can’t we get Steele out? He’s like some stalker that you just can’t shake no matter how hard you try.
I can't speak for "most" people, but I am both a conservative and moderate in my political perspective. The adjective "moderate" is defined by Merriam-Webster's Dictionary as avoiding extremes of behavior or expression; tending toward the mean or average.
On the political bell curve, rigid or strong ideologues occupy the left and right ends of the curve, and represent a minority of the total population. As with all bell curves, the majority of any population will be somewhere in the upper part of the political curve. Not only is there no shame in being moderate in this sense, but the political ends of the bell curve are constantly pulling, tugging and competing for the votes of the majority in the center-left, center and center-right part of the bell.
Here is how I think they can lose:
If they are insincere....
If the they make compromise our principles to get campaign dollars....
If they think the way to power is through “messaging”....
If they think the reward of being elected is to expand government in a Conservative or Republican way....
Before November we may not get enough of a sense of these things to look for alternative solutions. However, if we do, they lose.
If it doesn’t become clear that the lied until next year, there will be real, real trouble.
If the they compromise our principles to get campaign dollars....
Did the GOP offer Rand Paul?
Republicans could lose the November elections, because they’re becoming cocky and don’t think they can lose.
I wish folks who use this site would remember Ronald Reagan’s commandment: “Thou shalt not speak ill of another Republican.” People, like me, who think the party and its leadership aren’t sufficiently conservative should work and vote to get new people in place. That includes speaking out for things you are FOR. But we are getting close to the general election and this is not the time to be trashing our own party. Consider the alternative. The general negativity and bitchiness on this site is a bit much.
When they asked me if I'm a Republican, I said, "Absolutely!". One guy in the Democrat line said, "I wish I was this time". I voted for Rand Paul.
My enthusiasm wasn't for Rand Paul necessarily but because I knew I had this chance to oppose Obama and the incredible corruption of the Demo-Marxists in Congress. I felt this could be one of the last elections that I could make a difference.
Yeah!! That’ll sure fix the fix we’re in.
Man you need to stop listening and beleiving the dems propaganda.