Skip to comments.McCain Surges
Posted on 07/15/2010 5:14:43 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
Sen. John McCain is widely ahead of his two primary challengers, according to a new poll.
A Behavior Research Center survey released Thursday indicates that 64 percent of likely Arizona Republican primary voters support McCain, with19 percent backing former Rep. J.D. Hayworth, five percent supporting Jim Deakin, a Tea Party activist, and 12 percent undecided. The primary is scheduled for August 24.
Why such a gap?
"The simple reality is that McCain took his (Hayworth's) border and SB 1070 issue away from him, and then nailed him on ethics issues pertaining to being a lobbyist and so on," said Earl de Berge, Behavior Research Center's research director. "Most Republicans just pinch their nose at that stuff, and I think it just turned them off to him. It's the devil you know versus the devil you don't know."
The margin of of error for the sample in de Berge's poll is 6.9 percent.
Hayworth spokesman Mark Sanders says the polling firm has "no credibility."
Hayworth needs to release his own ‘poll’
Are Democraps allowed to vote in GOP primaries there???
How in the hell did we allow that to happen?
That is how McLame won the ONE primary in the Pres. race- that allowed the presstitutes to tout him as the runaway winner
He is doing the same thing now- he is NOT stupid, he knows the media and the democraps will support him over Hayworth
If McCain wins then they will use the win to say they were ahead of the curve on predicting the outcome. If he loses they will pass it off to a miracle come-from-behind win, and their followers will buy it hook, line and sinker. Polls have gone from being snapshots of the situation to being a method of affecting results. The MSM uses them all the time to spin stuff.
This of course is what every poll is today. In every national election - a propaganda tool, used to good effect on the self-conscious who have no internal sense of values or honesty with themselves.
Election strategy today is quite psychologically sophisticated, taken from psy-ops in international conflict. And unfortunately that is where the money comes in, it can employ the most devious talent, not unlike advertising in general which of course has had a long run in America.
The counter to that, the only counter, is brutal honesty coupled with the hope that the electorate can see through the phoniness. The McCain phenomenon is a perfect example - big money backs him (because he can be manipulated through his ego), and the electorate, largely old folks (AZ), can also be easily manipulated.
That is why we are advocates of a third party and the Tea Party. Objective outside outspokenness is really the only hope for a return to conservative sanity. Personally I think, being a college instructor, the young could respond to that if presented with integrity. But you sure are not going to get it from the "Republican" DC establishment.
Basically, that’s what I meant with the skewed polling.
Yeah he took the border issue out of it with the help of Sarah Palin. He also tarred JD with the "Lobbiest" brush with the help of $20 million left over from his presidential campaign and $5 million in his senate fund. Gee, I wonder how he managed to convince so many Arizonans? Just because there was a glossy flier in their mail every day with a picture of JD looking like some evil cartoon character.
I'm hoping JD can still pull it out, he has very little money but he may just be able to pull if off.
Polling firm has “no credibility. Sounds right they must be countin the illegals vote for McNuts.
What are the Arizona laws on primary voting? Is it possible that a large number of Democrats are crossing over to support Juan? After all, he only won his home state by about 53% in 2008, didn’t he?
I don’t know, but primaries should be closed and you make a good point.
At least JD doesn't have the proven track record of buffoonery that McLame has.
“or maybe Arizona Republicans believe JD is a buffoon.”
He’d be far more likely to oppose Democrats on the big issues than McCain! McCain runs as a conservative 1 year out of 6. He votes against the Democrats when his vote won’t affect the outcome, and with them anytime it is important. Everyone ought to understand by now that McCain WANTS amnesty for illegals. He WANTS anything that will make the NYT like him.
Vote for him if you will, but I would as soon see a democrat from Arizona as vote for McCain. At least with a democrat senator, we won’t be giving cover for other GOP Senators to bolt to the other side! If McCain wins the primary, I’m voting democrat this fall.
We were well on our way to getting a closed primary, but McCain called in his chits and got it postponed until AFTER this election. That means this primary is OPEN.
So he is not really crazy - he is just a snake.
Vote for him if you will, but I would as soon see a democrat from Arizona as vote for McCain. At least with a democrat senator, we wont be giving cover for other GOP Senators to bolt to the other side! If McCain wins the primary, Im voting democrat this fall.
Sometimes you have to do things like that.
I did support McCain a LOT in ‘08 after the primaries, but I sure had mixed feelings about it.
I researched this a couple of months ago. No, registered Dims cannot crossover and vote for McCain in the Republican primary. But those registered as Independents can vote in any primary they chose. I forget the exact percentages, but there are around 30% or so percent of Arizonans registered as Dim, Republican and Independent. Pretty even.
So, the question is how many actual Dims or Republicans are registered as Independents so they can crossover and make mischief in another party's primary?
And, Independents cannot vote in the Libertarian primary races. The Libertarian won that exception, as they as so small that crossovers could totally dominate their voting if they ever want to do that.
Hey Will...opensecrets.org uses the FEC website to compile its info...it’s pretty accurate...I’ll check out JD’s website...hopefully the recent polling is not as bad as it looks, although I would think at this time he is down between 10%-15%...that’s a lot to make up, but it can be done...magritte
Not sure you'll find anything on his site now. The first million was raised during March, with maybe a little spillover into April. The second million was reached a couple of weeks ago, so the two million dollar drives were in different quarters of 2010.
McCain did his service to his country—and from most accounts from his years in prison, he was doing the best he could......
He’s earned it-—RETIRE MR. MCCAIN-—SERVE YOUR COUNTRY WELL ONE MORE TIME! Get out of the contest!
McCain has been spending millions on radio advertising. Every morning I hear another obnoxious ad and I turn the radio off. Funny... didn't hear a peep out of the guy criticizing Obama during THAT race. From the way he's attacking Hayworth, you'd think Hayworth was a communist, racist, clueless, inexperienced community activist of questionable citizenship and shady background. Oh wait... if Hayworth was all that, McCain would be going easy on him.
I cannot believe I'm saying this, but I honestly am considering voting for the Democrat over McCain if he wins the primary. At least that guy will be a junior senator and the media won't be throwing rose petals at his feet. Yet. All my other conservative friends and family are saying they just won't vote if McCain wins the primary.
Closed primaries here.
But the populace is enslaved to the liberal rag, the Arizona Repulsive.
This means McCain can win with only 40% or so of the registered GOP voters if he gets an overwhelming share of Indies (including RATs posing as Indies). Not good at all. Hopefully, JD can close the gap in the debates.
If not, I would be sorely tempted to vote Dem in the fall just so McCain couldn't use the GOP fig leaf to promote cap and trade, amnesty and all the other RAT agenda.
Of course, it would depend on the Dem. A small turd like Ben Nelson of Nebraska would be palatable. A big one like Boxer or Reid would not.
It's not that he's an "old fart" but that he's a communist fart. Give me a 90 year old who is a staunch conservative any day.
The data you had must have been first quarter only. Here is the FEC data on JD as of 3/31/2010. $1,074,189 raised and #392,711 disbursed. The must not have the second quarter yet, where he raised another million+.
This coming from CNN? The financially-troubled Arizona Republic newspaper? I have no faith in their reporting whatsoever. McCain will lose this election, no matter how the media tries to drum up support for him.
Thanks Will....probably don’t have to submit numbers til July 15 to FEC...good !!!
* Nah, Indies can’t vote in either primary. Believe me, I used to be a deputy recorder. *
I hope Arizonans aren’t expecting any help from the rest of us when the feds crackdown on them over immigration. If they are dumb enough to reelect McCain once again, they deserve everything they get.
They cannot vote in the Presidential Preference Elections which are party sponsored.
gov_bean_ counter is a McCain Troll! Don’t believe his BS. Go JD!
Exactly how I feel. He'll vote Liberal, then the media will beat the drum about how Marxist policies have been rammed down our throats with "bipartisan" support. If it comes down to "Maverick" and an unknown Dem who doesn't have media rockstar status, I'm either voting for the other guy or just not voting. Because seriously, what is the difference? Either way we're gonna get it in the backside. McCain will will just make a lot of promises before he bends you over the hood of his El Camino.
I’ll say it again. Arizona deserves to be over run by Mexicans. By re-electing McAmnesty it shows that’s what they want and it’s what they’re gonna’ get.
This was written before the debates, any news after the debates?