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Youth Vote Cools on Obama (Millenial Generation Now Feel He's a Huge Letdown)
Daily Beast ^ | 07/27/2010 | Samuel P. Jacobs

Posted on 07/27/2010 1:32:38 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

A recession hitting younger workers hardest, frustration with a slow-to-change Washington after the campaign joyride—young supporters are ditching the president. Samuel P. Jacobs on whether they’ll come around by November’s midterms.

Are the kids still all right with Obama?

In 2008, no age group came out for the freshman senator from Illinois like twentysomethings. They saw a kindred spirit in the candidate who rocked Jay-Z on his iPod and cut a fresh profile among other politicians a decade or three his senior. They rewarded him by coming out to the polls in greater numbers than any other group of young voters in 36 years. But now they’ve cooled on their favorite candidate.

In the presidential elections, the so-called millennial generation voted 2-to-1 for Obama, as the Democratic advantage over Republicans stretched to a margin of 62 percent to 30 percent. Among voters in their twenties, Obama’s approval rating was 73 percent shortly after his January 2009 inauguration. A year later, in February 2010, that number slipped to 57 percent. The bleeding hasn’t stopped: Last week, a poll conducted by Quinnipiac showed the president trailing a generic Republican among 18- to 34-year-olds.

The causes for Obama’s rising deficit among young voters are manifold. For one, an ebbing tide lowers all ships. As Obama’s approval rating sinks with baby boomers, he is unlikely to hold steady among their children.

“You can’t expect that his numbers are going to go down and it’s not going to see some measure across the board,” said Quinnipiac’s Peter A. Brown.

Young voters also are turning on the president because the bleak economy is hitting them hardest. No age group has a tougher time finding a job than teenagers and twentysomethings. If commentators on the left, including some of the most visible, like The New York Times’ Paul Krugman, are correct in arguing that the president’s popularity is a reflection of voters’ sense of the economy and little else, the White House is likely to continue to lose ground with young voters no matter what it does.

As young voters ushered Obama into the White House, so too did he bring many into the political arena for the first time. The distance from the inspiration of the campaign to the messy reality of governing may be turning young voters off.

“In all the polling that we’ve seen and done, there is a frustration with the pace of change in Washington, but they still like him personally,” Heather Smith, director of Rock the Vote, said of Obama. “They want to see change happen faster.”

The Obama doubting shouldn’t just concern the White House. Disappointment with the president will hurt the congressional candidates who relied on Obama’s ability to turn out young voters in 2008. One of the most endangered Democrats is Rep. Tom Perriello, who squeaked out a win in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District by 727 votes in 2008. (A poll last week had the freshman trailing challenger Robert Hurt by 23 points.) Perriello’s district includes the University of Virginia, and his campaign is hoping that raising his profile in Charlottesville can help him keep the seat.

“I think it would be quixotic to say that we won’t have any dropoff at all. We see our job as trying to close the gap as much as possible,” said Perriello campaign manager Lise Clavel.

Indeed, no one expects a greater number of young voters to punch ballots in 2010 than in 2008. Traditionally, voters of all ages turn out in fewer numbers, on average 15 percent less, during midterm election years. For those who monitor youth voting, the hope is that this year marks an improvement on 2006, not 2008. Frustration with Washington could put an end to an otherwise promising trend: According to one study, the percentage increase among young voters from 2002—the previous non-presidential year—to 2006 was greater than among any other group. In 2006, 10.8 million young voters pulled the lever, a jump of 2 million from 2002.

But whatever lag in voting occurs, it may be exacerbated by the fact that few candidates this cycle are doing what Obama did so well in 2008—making young voters believe the election is about them.

“It’s like a party,” said Smith of Rock the Vote. “These young people are willing to participate and be active by nature, but they are not going to show up unless they are invited. Candidates have to invite them. Once they do, they are willing to show up.”

Yet for many of Obama’s most faithful volunteers, the young campaign workers who passed out coffee in the Iowa winter and stood on New Hampshire street corners, the months following the election have been less than a party.

“I think it is seen as a letdown,” said Megan Simpson, who volunteered for the Obama campaign and is now working as field director for Reshma Saujani, a Democratic candidate for Congress in New York. “We were all on 100 percent high speed, go-go on the campaign.”

“It is different now,” Simpson said.

Even the greenest of politicos knows that no matter the politics of the present, campaign season is just around the corner. Simpson said her friends from the campaign who have now spread throughout the country, helping other candidates or infiltrating themselves into D.C. think tanks, are ready to spring into action once the White House sets its eyes on 2012.

“The people I worked with on the Obama campaign are absolutely going to come back together,” she said. “If he stays in office for another four years, we can make sure that we get done what we set out to do.”

-- Samuel P. Jacobs is a staff reporter at The Daily Beast. He has also written for The Boston Globe, The New York Observer, and The New Republic Online.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: millenials; obama; youth

1 posted on 07/27/2010 1:32:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Imagine that... these kids are reaching 20 or 21 years of age and they *still* don’t have mansions, yachts, private jets or anything else that they thought Obama would help them get.

I guess he’s just another politician answering to the rich, just like the evil Bush.

Better luck next time kids.


2 posted on 07/27/2010 1:35:49 PM PDT by Cementjungle
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To: SeekAndFind

“No age group has a tougher time finding a job than teenagers and twentysomethings. “

Illegals now do all the fast food, paper route, grocery store, aggie work, and pickup construction jobs that used to be the realm of American kids.

Plus, I think the kids are disappointed because 0bama promised instant socialism and a new society for all, and we are getting merely organized crime and fascism.


3 posted on 07/27/2010 1:40:01 PM PDT by DBrow
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To: SeekAndFind
Are the kids still all right with Obama?

I never was "down for the struggle", but I have many friends who are lost causes to spectacular degrees. Maybe I need new friends?

4 posted on 07/27/2010 1:40:01 PM PDT by GOP_Raider (Please consider the logging and timber industries when printing this tagline)
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To: SeekAndFind

5 posted on 07/27/2010 1:45:31 PM PDT by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: GOP_Raider

It’s sad to say: it’s a difficult thing to have liberal friends.


6 posted on 07/27/2010 1:52:27 PM PDT by CommieCutter (A Centrist Democrat is now defined as: between Socialism and Communism.)
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To: SeekAndFind

They ain’t seen nothin yet. Wait til they start getting the bill for Obamacare and the 1.47 trillion dollar deficits.


7 posted on 07/27/2010 1:53:30 PM PDT by Psycho_Bunny (Hail To The Fail-In-Chief)
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To: GOP_Raider

We never taught these young people American history or Western Civilization. I guess we expected them to reinvent thousands of years of culture using their imaginations and Hollywood slasher movies. Instead, they followed the frightened masses into Marxism.


8 posted on 07/27/2010 1:54:22 PM PDT by donna (Who decided that the Tea Party should become the Feminist Party?)
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To: SeekAndFind

The ObamoRats raised the minimum wage, keep foisting higher taxes and regulations on business, slapped the huge ObamaCare debacle on health insurance coverages and refuse to lower capital gains tax on corporations. With this rotgut recipe no wonder the economy is experiencing collective agida and nausea! The kids at least had some summer jobs with the GWB years. Change = Chains!


9 posted on 07/27/2010 1:54:50 PM PDT by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: SeekAndFind

Boomers to Millenials:

SUCKERS!!!!


10 posted on 07/27/2010 1:56:23 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: Psycho_Bunny
They ain’t seen nothin yet. Wait til they start getting the bill for Obamacare and the 1.47 trillion dollar deficits.

Their social justice professors never mention the taxes they'll have to pay, 'cept Mommy and Daddy will pay them, just like your tuition.

11 posted on 07/27/2010 1:56:39 PM PDT by King Moonracer (Bad lighting and cheap fabric, that's how you sell clothing.....)
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To: SeekAndFind

doesn’t he even save this stuff for Big Sh!tty Friday anymore???


12 posted on 07/27/2010 1:58:52 PM PDT by gunnyg (WE ARE BEHIND "ENEMY WITHIN" LINES, SURROUNDED, Our 'Novembers' Are Behind Us...If Ya Can "grok" it!)
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To: CommieCutter
It’s sad to say: it’s a difficult thing to have liberal friends.

Not if you have one of these for therapeutic relief!

13 posted on 07/27/2010 1:59:25 PM PDT by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, disaffection, once it sets in, is nearly impossible to reverse, especially with younger voters many of whom convinced their parents to vote for the Obamao.

The problem is, no ballot box can repeal the laws of economics.

And this before the Tax Bomb hits on 1/1 and those with jobs will then be forced to pay the Obamacare Tax.


14 posted on 07/27/2010 2:00:11 PM PDT by padre35 (You shall not ignore the laws of God, the Market, the Jungle, and Reciprocity Rm10.10)
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To: SeekAndFind

Ahhhhh, twenty somethings-such savy - such wisdom and sooooo much knowledge. Please, next time stay home and tend to your pimples before you unwittingly distroy our country.


15 posted on 07/27/2010 2:01:51 PM PDT by Bitsy
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To: SeekAndFind
“It’s like a party,” said Smith of Rock the Vote. “These young people are willing to participate and be active by nature, but they are not going to show up unless they are invited. Candidates have to invite them. Once they do, they are willing to show up.”

And, just like the real parties they attend while in college comes the inevitable...

...HANGOVER and letdown...

...better known as...

N O V E M B E R

16 posted on 07/27/2010 2:03:27 PM PDT by NorCoGOP (OBAMA: Living proof that hope is not a plan.)
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To: bigbob

As many Boomers that we are its painful to see that these marxists scum from our era are doing this to the next generations. Pox on godless leftism!


17 posted on 07/27/2010 2:04:05 PM PDT by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: SeekAndFind
Heather Smith, director of Rock the Vote...

Rock The Vote, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Democratic Party.


18 posted on 07/27/2010 2:05:55 PM PDT by reagan_fanatic (Never trust anyone who points their rear end at God while praying.)
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To: SeekAndFind

what a bunch of idiotic spoiled children.

Repeal amendments XXIV and XXVI.


19 posted on 07/27/2010 2:06:13 PM PDT by jtal
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To: SeekAndFind
“Let it be impressed on your mind that God commands you to choose for rulers just men who will rule in the fear of God [Exodus 18:21]. . . . If the citizens neglect their duty and place unprincipled men in office, the government will soon be corrupted . . . If our government fails to secure public prosperity and happiness, it must be because the citizens neglect the Divine commands, and elect bad men to make and administer the laws”…. Noah Webster, ‘The History of the United States’
20 posted on 07/27/2010 2:06:44 PM PDT by tflabo (Restore the Republic)
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To: SeekAndFind

After reading Strauss and Howe’s “The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy” regarding the cyclical pattern of history and the generations that occur in each saeculum period (roughly 80 - 100 years), I would not have held out much hope for my kids Millenial generation, but since then I have a renewed faith in those kids, because they, much like their previous Hero generation (the G.I. WW2 generation), will be called upon, and will answer the call, to make great sacrifices to push our country successfully through the next Crisis cycle (which I think we are just now getting into)as they follow the aging leadership of the elder Boomer (prophet) generation and the bare knuckles management of the mid-life Gen-X’er (nomads) generation. Time will soon tell if the Millenials are up to the “Hero” challenge presented to them as the next Crisis catalyst reveals itself.


21 posted on 07/27/2010 2:10:25 PM PDT by OB1kNOb (When all else fails one must, "Release the Kraken!")
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To: tflabo

Anyone who voted for Obama needs to have their head examined to see if they have any brains at all.

Obama looks more like Commodus every day, truly a man-child emperor with no clothes.

Obama stays busy going to taxpayer-funded, expensive White House parties every night, flying in new chefs to cook his meals, hamming it up with celebrities, taking vacations, playing golf, and honoring himself.

As Maximus told the corrupt Commodus - “Your time of honoring yourself will soon be at an end.”


22 posted on 07/27/2010 2:12:36 PM PDT by Lions Gate
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To: jtal
Repeal amendments XXIV and XXVI.

Do people have to bring their tax returns to the voting center before they can be allowed to vote ?
23 posted on 07/27/2010 2:15:00 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

No just to register.

Do you prefer having a majority of the electorate on the dole from the government?


24 posted on 07/27/2010 2:16:53 PM PDT by jtal
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To: jtal
No just to register.

The main problem I see here is it's still easy to escape the only-tax-payers-can-vote requirement.

You might have a job at the time you register, then maybe quit your job ( or maybe get laid off ) and go on the dole later. That's not going to stop you from voting for people who will continue to feed your dole-dependent lifestyle.
25 posted on 07/27/2010 2:20:44 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Well we might as well be discussing angels dancing on the heads of pins since such a thing will never happen ... :-)

BUT ...

I would say bi-annual registration so that if one’s status changes it only lasts for a year or so; this also has the antiseptic effect of periodically clearing the rolls of dead folks and other Democratic voters.

As I said it will never happen - society will collapse under the load of the freeloaders before any change will be made IMHO. Then we’ll be back to feudal warlords running things (JK ... sort of)


26 posted on 07/27/2010 2:28:23 PM PDT by jtal
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To: SeekAndFind

People who voted for him are idiots at any age.


27 posted on 07/27/2010 2:41:02 PM PDT by Terry Mross
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To: SeekAndFind

Yeah, it’s not so ‘cool’ to still be living with your parents, unable to find a job, and broke as a joke. Watching all your hopes and dreams disappear is not all that fun. Especially for the naive and recent grads who are realizing that they can’t even find work at McDonalds.


28 posted on 07/27/2010 2:47:18 PM PDT by AUJenn
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To: SeekAndFind

The kids just thought they were voting for Denzel.

They have moved on...2 years is a long time for a 20 year old.


29 posted on 07/27/2010 2:50:53 PM PDT by roses of sharon (I can do all things through Him who strengthens me. Philippians 4:13)
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s all about the jobs. And the classes of 09 and 10 can’t find any. They’re strapped with student loans and will be forced to buy healthcare. It is they who will be earning low wages and paying off the national debt in the form of high taxes for decades to come. They will never get ahead. If the GOP had any brains, they’d be hitting campuses across the country this fall hammering this home.


30 posted on 07/27/2010 2:51:55 PM PDT by jersey117
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To: bigbob

31 posted on 07/27/2010 4:09:37 PM PDT by BenLurkin (Will must be the harder, courage the bolder, spirit must be the more, as our might lessens.)
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