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West Virginia Senate: Raese (R) Eases Ahead of Manchin (D)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | September 28, 2010

Posted on 09/28/2010 5:53:47 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued

Republican John Raese has edged ahead of West Virginia’s popular Democratic Governor Joe Manchin for the first time in the state’s special U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely West Virginia Voters finds Raese earning 48% support to Manchin’s 46% when leaners are included. Two percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

These findings move the contest from Solid Democratic to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: polls
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1 posted on 09/28/2010 5:53:49 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: randita; InterceptPoint; Impy; fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Norman Bates; LdSentinal; ...

Wow! This is big news.


2 posted on 09/28/2010 5:55:23 AM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Oops!

This proves the last poll was not an outlier. RCP will move its average from blue to red. Still a toss-up, but the Dems must be despondent knowing that this safe seat is trending the wrong way.

3 posted on 09/28/2010 5:56:26 AM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

4 posted on 09/28/2010 5:58:59 AM PDT by Zakeet (Like the wise Wee Wee said, "We can't be broke ... we still have checks in the checkbook.")
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To: Clintonfatigued

Every dime that was spent in Delaware would be better spent here. Not only can Raese win, if he does win, he will likely be Senator for a very long time.


5 posted on 09/28/2010 5:59:13 AM PDT by freedomwarrior998
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To: Clintonfatigued

So Manchin is/was the “wildly” popular Governor of WV. I’ve also seen “very” and “extremely” used. Did he do something inparticular to fall off the popular band wagon? Or is it simply the “D” that’s killing him?


6 posted on 09/28/2010 5:59:15 AM PDT by albie
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To: Clintonfatigued

Every dime that was spent in Delaware would be better spent here. Not only can Raese win, if he does win, he will likely be Senator for a very long time.


7 posted on 09/28/2010 5:59:20 AM PDT by freedomwarrior998
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To: Clintonfatigued

I’m extremely bullish on our chances in Novmember, but this one shocks even me.


8 posted on 09/28/2010 5:59:41 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: Clintonfatigued
West Virginia Senate: Raese (R) Eases Ahead of Manchin (D)

West Virginia Senate: Raese (R) Eases Ahead of Manchin (D)

West Virginia Senate: Raese (R) Eases Ahead of Manchin (D)

West Virginia Senate: Raese (R) Eases Ahead of Manchin (D)

West Virginia Senate: Raese (R) Eases Ahead of Manchin (D)

............

Repetitious, I know. I just like the way that sounds!

Did you ever think you would see that headline?

9 posted on 09/28/2010 6:01:14 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (Anything not about elephants is irrelephant.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

How great it would be to see the former Byrd seat fall to a conservative businessman!


10 posted on 09/28/2010 6:01:31 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (There is no "common good" which minimizes or sacrifices the individual. --Walter Scott Hudson)
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To: albie

West Virginians HATE Obama. Obama’s disapproval rating in West Virginia is one of the highest in the Nation. Fully 72% of West Virginians disapprove of Obama.


11 posted on 09/28/2010 6:01:59 AM PDT by freedomwarrior998
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To: albie

I think the realization that if elected senator, he will do whatever Obama, Pelosi, Reed ‘n Co. tell him to do. The myth of the blue dog/moderate democrat is getting busted. Remember how we thought Stpak would save us from Obamacare??? yeah same thing here


12 posted on 09/28/2010 6:02:57 AM PDT by ohiobuckeye1997
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To: backwoods-engineer
How great it would be to see the former Byrd seat fall to a conservative businessman!

That's not Robert Byrd's seat! That's the People's Seat!

13 posted on 09/28/2010 6:03:25 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (Anything not about elephants is irrelephant.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Great news.

Go, Raese.

The leftists will have to be put in straitjackets if “Robert Byrd’s seat” goes R following “Teddy Kennedy’s seat” having done so.


14 posted on 09/28/2010 6:03:41 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn (White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Mountaineers are Always Free!


15 posted on 09/28/2010 6:04:21 AM PDT by MontaniSemperLiberi
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To: Clintonfatigued

Wow.

Plus RCP changed CT from Leaning Dem to Toss-up.


16 posted on 09/28/2010 6:04:23 AM PDT by earlJam
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To: freedomwarrior998

Every dime that was spent in Delaware would be better spent here. Not only can Raese win, if he does win, he will likely be Senator for a very long time.

_______

It’s not a zero sum game. For every dime spent in Delaware is not one less dime spent in W. VA. The climate is good to win almost everywhere. I’m not throwing in the towel in Delaware, neither should you.


17 posted on 09/28/2010 6:06:33 AM PDT by word_warrior_bob (You can now see my amazing doggie and new puppy on my homepage!! Come say hello to Jake & Sonny)
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To: Haiku Guy
And I agree! That's why I said former Byrd seat.

Nobody despises Byrd like me. He has given the Sophia area, where we both are from, a bad name.

18 posted on 09/28/2010 6:06:33 AM PDT by backwoods-engineer (There is no "common good" which minimizes or sacrifices the individual. --Walter Scott Hudson)
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To: albie

It’s the the big D.

If he goes from WV to DC he changes parties from West Virginian to Democrat.


19 posted on 09/28/2010 6:07:11 AM PDT by MontaniSemperLiberi
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To: earlJam
he would take the seat immediately That would kill any lame duck session bills by the dems.
20 posted on 09/28/2010 6:08:01 AM PDT by scooby321
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To: Tennessean4Bush

RCP has moved WV into a toss-up category, although they haven’t done it for CT.


21 posted on 09/28/2010 6:13:07 AM PDT by paudio (How could you be an open-minded person if you are a liberal?)
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To: paudio; Tennessean4Bush

I was wrong. They have moved CT into toss-up.


22 posted on 09/28/2010 6:15:33 AM PDT by paudio (How could you be an open-minded person if you are a liberal?)
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To: WVKayaker

ping


23 posted on 09/28/2010 6:16:26 AM PDT by randita (Visit keyhouseraces.com to find GOP House candidates who need your support to knock off a DEM.)
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To: Clintonfatigued
There is no way Manchin loses this election.
24 posted on 09/28/2010 6:17:58 AM PDT by Glenn (iamtheresistance.org)
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To: albie

His Admin is under investigation and it’s beginning to heat up.

http://westvirginia.watchdog.org/1969/gov-joe-manchins-dept-of-administration-division-of-highways-subpoenaed-in-federal-probe/


25 posted on 09/28/2010 6:18:54 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: Glenn
"There is no way Manchin loses this election"

LOL, sure and the Republicans were going to be totally out of power for 2 generatuins according to the "experts" after the 2008 election.

26 posted on 09/28/2010 6:21:33 AM PDT by 101voodoo
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To: Glenn

What is your reasoning?


27 posted on 09/28/2010 6:25:00 AM PDT by Kay
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To: Kay
What is your reasoning?

WV is not a red state when push comes to shove.

Manchin has all the tools he needs to make sure push comes to shove.

28 posted on 09/28/2010 6:28:01 AM PDT by Glenn (iamtheresistance.org)
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To: Glenn
"Manchin has all the tools he needs...."

IOW vote fraud.

29 posted on 09/28/2010 6:29:40 AM PDT by oprahstheantichrist (The MSM is a demonic stronghold, PLEASE pray accordingly - 2 Corinthians 10:3-5)
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To: albie
So Manchin is/was the “wildly” popular Governor of WV. I’ve also seen “very” and “extremely” used. Did he do something inparticular to fall off the popular band wagon?

Manchin is still popular, but WVA voters, according to this morning's RCP analysis, want him as GOVERNOR, not Senator. They want someone in the Senate to shackle 0bama.

This is specifically why Raese could take a unique angle to his campaign, e.g., "Gov. Manchin does outstanding work in Charleston. I urge voters to keep him there and bring me aboard in the Senate and together we will fight for West Virginia!"

30 posted on 09/28/2010 6:31:48 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: word_warrior_bob
It’s not a zero sum game. For every dime spent in Delaware is not one less dime spent in W. VA. The climate is good to win almost everywhere. I’m not throwing in the towel in Delaware, neither should you.

Also remember that the dems just had to dump another 200K into Delaware. And they are having to spend in New York to bail out Cuomotose and Gillibrand. The cost of one prime time add in the NYC market could pay for an entire campaign in West Virgina.

This year we have more resources than they do. On a narrow front they can mass their heavy hitters and cheat out the vote. Make them fight everywhere and they cannot be strong everywhere. The value of fighting for long shots in New York, Delaware and Washington is that it forces them to fight there too. Their best campaigner, BJ Clinton, is campaigning in Boston and the North East.
31 posted on 09/28/2010 6:32:27 AM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: GonzoGOP

It was announced Friday that the National Republican Senatorial Committee has bought $1.2 million worth of ad time in the state to support of Raese.


32 posted on 09/28/2010 6:39:14 AM PDT by WVKayaker (Faith is putting all your eggs in God's basket, then counting your blessings before they hatch.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

THAT’S RAESE-IST!!!


33 posted on 09/28/2010 6:41:19 AM PDT by stefanbatory (Insert witty tagline here)
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To: Clintonfatigued

If Raese is up, or even if it’s a dead heat, with five weeks to go and the trend in our favor — Manchin will lose. Everyone knows him and he can only lose votes, not gain any.


34 posted on 09/28/2010 6:41:21 AM PDT by Uncledave
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To: albie
Dear albie,

I've read that Mr. Raese is doing a little bit of political jujitsu. Apparently, playing on Mr. Manchin’s popularity, his campaign is serving up the message of, "We like Gov. Manchin so much, we hope that he stays governor."

Apparently, Mr. Raese is also a reasonably popular fellow in the state, so it's being sold as a two-fer. A vote for Mr. Raese means having both Mr. Raese AND Mr. Manchin serving the people of the state.


sitetest

35 posted on 09/28/2010 6:42:36 AM PDT by sitetest ( If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: Glenn
There is no way Manchin loses this election.

That's why you and me are gonna go to WV and real-quick-like start a conservative third party to split the vote, and make SURE that Manchin wins it!

36 posted on 09/28/2010 6:44:35 AM PDT by Titus Quinctius Cincinnatus (is a Jim DeMint Republican. You might say he's a funDeMintalist conservative.)
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To: Glenn

Did you ask 500 random likely voters like Rasmussen just did?


37 posted on 09/28/2010 6:45:03 AM PDT by Uncledave
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To: Glenn
WV is not a red state when push comes to shove.

Normally I'd agree with you, but this year a unique dynamic is unfolding.

West Virginians DESPISE 0bama and, despite the affinity for federal pork, they are a culturally conservative lot. They like Manchin, who reflects that cultural conservatism, as Governor and will look to keep him in Charleston. Most likely they'll send Raese to the Senate to do battle against 0bama.

They want this rogue regime stopped in short order and they know Raese -- in taking the seat immediately due to the special election -- will help put a stop to any lame-duck session shenanigans.

38 posted on 09/28/2010 6:49:22 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: albie
Actually, as a governor, he's about as good as any Dem will ever be. He's kept the state budget very well under control and has been reliably anti cap'n'tax.

Which is why I tell everyone, "Joe's been a good governor. Even as a conservative I have to admit that. Which is why I want to keep him doing that good job in the governor's office."

39 posted on 09/28/2010 6:52:40 AM PDT by Notary Sojac
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To: scooby321
he would take the seat immediately That would kill any lame duck session bills by the dems.

That's why WVa will keep Manchin in Charleston and send Raese to the Senate. Normally I'd say they'll send the dem to DC, but not this year. They want 0bama stopped in the worst way. They despise him.

40 posted on 09/28/2010 6:53:00 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: Notary Sojac
Which is why I tell everyone, "Joe's been a good governor. Even as a conservative I have to admit that. Which is why I want to keep him doing that good job in the governor's office."

Exactly the angle Raese should take. Raese can leverage Manchin's popularity to his own advantage by doing so.

41 posted on 09/28/2010 6:54:12 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

There is also this ongoing court fight on whether to have the Senate special election ballot separate from the general election ballot.

http://theintermountain.com/page/content.detail/id/118872/Judge-rejects-GOP-challenge-of-W-Va—ballot-.html?isap=1&nav=5023

WV has a “straight ticket” choice at the start of its ballot. In it, one can mark either D or R and your voting is finished.


42 posted on 09/28/2010 6:55:28 AM PDT by Roccus (......and then there were none.)
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To: Clintonfatigued
Joe, keep your stinkin carbons and cap & tax!
43 posted on 09/28/2010 7:08:43 AM PDT by MadelineZapeezda (Skin-color counters are bigots!!!!!!!!!!....(thanks paulycy))
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To: Clintonfatigued

The RCP “no tossups” now shows GOP at 49.

SO....if we beat Reid, that puts the Senate at even 50 50.

Then, all we need is for WA to come through, or, even more likely, for CT to come through....and today, Blumenthal is ahead of McMahon by ONLY 3.

The Senate looks very doable.

And that is without Delaware!

(Keeping in mind, that the Dems keep spending tiem and money telling us how O’Donnell HAS NO CHANCE!...heh heh heh).


44 posted on 09/28/2010 7:09:40 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: Glenn

Bush won WV twice. It’s not a red state.

Nor is it a blue state.

Manchin will lose.


45 posted on 09/28/2010 7:11:31 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: ConservativeDude

Reminds me of what Tokyo Rose kept telling our troops during WW II...”no chance”. ROTFLMAO, dems/RINO’s!


46 posted on 09/28/2010 7:13:51 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: ConservativeDude
Nor is it a blue state.

When did WV last have a GOP senator?

47 posted on 09/28/2010 7:18:40 AM PDT by Glenn (iamtheresistance.org)
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To: Glenn

Yeah, that’s right...they only break out their fancy infallible vote fraud machines for the non-presidential elections.

As for your ‘when was the last time’ argument, look to Massachusetts to see just how idiotic it is.

This is the second poll that confirms Raese moving ahead of Manchin. You may not like it, but it’s what the polls are showing. Deal with it.


48 posted on 09/28/2010 7:23:38 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm (Chuck Norris wears Carl Paladino pajamas.)
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To: WVKayaker
National Republican Senatorial Committee has bought $1.2 million worth of ad time

Jolly decent of them ... for the rest of us ...

John Raese for Senate.

49 posted on 09/28/2010 7:25:34 AM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: Notary Sojac
"Actually, as a governor, he's about as good as any Dem will ever be."

And there's a lot of Democrats out there who are just like that in their own state. However, once it gets to the Federal level, Manchin would vote however Harry Reid/Chuck Shumer want him to vote. We have seen this time and again over the last 2 years. I think the West Virginia voters are singing a lot of "The Who" lately. "Won't Get Fooled Again"....

One other thing that is important about this race, whoever wins it gets immediately seated in the lame duck session...
50 posted on 09/28/2010 7:26:01 AM PDT by Old Teufel Hunden
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