The Crystal Ball’s Final Calls (GOP Gains: +55 for House, +8 for Senate +8-9 Governors)

Center for Politics ^ | 10/28/10 | Larry J. Sabato

[r9etb]

I think short-sightedness is the reason why they didn't. Conventional wisdom said "a true conservative can't win"...so the only "true conservative" that was "stupid enough" to run was a seriously flawed candidate...and they STILL won the primary.

Well.... yeah. But I think the conventional wisdom is correct, and the real reason O'Donnell won the primary is that the Tea Party folks were a lot more motivated to show up for the primary, to "vote out the RINO," without much regard to other

It points out a fundamental problem with the Tea Party movement, which I see as being motivated mostly by dissatisfaction and outright anger at the status quo, That's fine, so far as it goes, but it's generally not balanced by organization and intentional action. So you see all that energy settling on whatever candidate happens to catch their fancy in the race ... O'Donnell, say, or the truly awful Dan Maes in the CO governor's race.

[fortheDeclaration]

...and delivered us unto Coons.

Hey, if Castle couldn't beat O'Donnell what makes you think that he would have beaten Coons?

Sorry if you don't like the choice of the GOP voters of Del.but that is how the primary system works.

[fortheDeclaration]

Your comment that Castle 'would have been better than Coons' is where we are in disagreement.

Castle would have been a disaster, he a leftwinger and this election is about electing conservatives.

He would have been seated immediately and supported cap and trade.

And there is no reason to think he would have beaten Coons, since he couldn't even beat O'Donnell.

We are going to get control of the Senate even if we lose this seat, but that isn't the real reason you Castle supporters still are whining about O'Donnell beating you (and who Castle never endorsed), you are complaining because the GOP voters are no longer going to pick just anyone with a 'R' next to their name.

[fortheDeclaration]

The revelation of Rove’s et al’s determined opposition completely changes the way things go forward. From now on, the fight against the statist ruling class within the GOP will be as fiercely fought as the battle against the leftist-statist Democrats. Crist and Murkowski helped this along, but they were self interested officeholders. Rove reveals the corrupted institution, the quislings within. Now the masks are off and the daggers drawn.

Amen!

[Clintonfatigued]

With all the DemocRAT shenanigans going on, nearly anything can happen. We’ll make gains. I won’t wager a number.

November 2 can’t come soon enough.

[Private_Sector_Does_It_Better]

This is a reputation pick. If he says 75 and it comes in at 55 he looks really bad, if he says 55 and it comes in at 75, he’s simply in the same boat at almost every other professional prognosticator.

[Impy]

I predicted 65-85 a few days ago.