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Gulp: New poll shows Murkowski up by double digits
Hot Air ^ | 6:51 pm on October 29, 2010 | Allahpundit

Posted on 10/29/2010 7:16:17 PM PDT by CedarDave

Ed and I have been trying to game out how we’ll handle blogging the late late late night returns on Tuesday from Alaska. I’d been dreading having to post at 4 a.m., but now I’m looking forward to it for the simple reason that waiting on numbers that late will at least mean the race is close.

Eeyoreblogger pessimism status check: Spiking.

The poll, conducted by Dittman Research & Communications, shows Murkowski leading attorney Joe Miller (R), 37 percent to 27 percent, with the Democrat, Sitka Mayor Scott McAdams, in third place with 23 percent. Thirteen percent chose other candidates or were undecided.

Replicating the write-in process in a phone survey can be difficult, but the technique used by pollster Dave Dittman is unique to most public polls of the race. Respondents are first asked an open-ended question about their vote preference, and their choice of candidate is recorded. If the respondent is unable to make a choice, he or she is read the names of the candidates on the ballot, with the option of a write-in candidate. In order to choose Murkowski, the respondent must choose the write-in option and provide her name.


(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alaska
KEYWORDS: alaska; joemiller; miller; murkowski; princesslisa
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Just crap! Don't know what to believe. I can't believe I dislike her so much and don't even live there!!!

To pay back her Dim friends, I predict she will caucus with the Dems if she wins.

1 posted on 10/29/2010 7:16:19 PM PDT by CedarDave
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To: CedarDave

Horse hockey.


2 posted on 10/29/2010 7:17:21 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Rebellion is brewing!! Just vote them OUT!!)
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To: CedarDave

POLLS LIE.

They are not designed to reflect opinion - they are designed to shape public opinion.


3 posted on 10/29/2010 7:17:50 PM PDT by Keith in Iowa (FR Class of 1998 | TV News is an oxymoron. | MSNBC = Moonbats Spouting Nothing But Crap.)
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To: Jim Robinson

(the poll)


4 posted on 10/29/2010 7:18:15 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Rebellion is brewing!! Just vote them OUT!!)
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To: CedarDave

She lost the damn primary! Go away, Murky.


5 posted on 10/29/2010 7:18:42 PM PDT by SoCalConstitutionalist
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To: CedarDave
It's on the Internet, so it must be true!

We're all doomed!!!

(sarcasm)

6 posted on 10/29/2010 7:18:58 PM PDT by airborne (Why is it we won't allow the Bible in school, but we will in prison? Think about it.)
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To: All; CedarDave

Gallup is liberal, so who knows the accuracy, but time to support Joe Miller all the more, and if you’re from Alaska, please volunteer.


7 posted on 10/29/2010 7:20:03 PM PDT by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: CedarDave

Somehow I knew this would be Allahpundit...


8 posted on 10/29/2010 7:20:40 PM PDT by Cu Roi
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To: CedarDave

Trust Rasmussen and no one.


9 posted on 10/29/2010 7:20:52 PM PDT by libh8er
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To: Jim Robinson; Keith in Iowa

Sure hope you’re right! I can’t believe it myself and keith in Iowa is right: They are not designed to reflect opinion - they are designed to shape public opinion.

Pull the thread if you wish.


10 posted on 10/29/2010 7:20:51 PM PDT by CedarDave (Juan Williams to NPR: "You and your far left-wing mob fired me. Wasn't that enough for you? ")
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To: CedarDave

Dittman had Murkowski winning the primary by a landslide also. He’s a liberal pollster here in AK.


11 posted on 10/29/2010 7:21:13 PM PDT by JohnKinAK
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To: Jim Robinson

Well what did you expect from a phone poll with half the names culled from a Murkowski donor list?


12 posted on 10/29/2010 7:21:21 PM PDT by null and void (We are now in day 646 of our national holiday from reality. - 0bama really isn't one of US.)
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To: libh8er
Trust Rasmussen and no one.

I thought Ras was having his poll out today. If so, haven't seen it.

13 posted on 10/29/2010 7:22:31 PM PDT by CedarDave (Juan Williams to NPR: "You and your far left-wing mob fired me. Wasn't that enough for you? ")
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To: CedarDave

Kan U Say “PUSH POLLS”?


14 posted on 10/29/2010 7:23:50 PM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannolis. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: CedarDave
http://www.riehlworldview.com/carnivorous_conservative/2010/10/ak-senate-ignore-hot-airs-latest-on-dittman-research-communications-poll.html

Democratic legislator and Republican political analyst and consultant on the air together Friday On Friday, Representative Max Gruenberg (D-Anchorage) and Dave Dittman of Dittman Research & Communications Corporation will recount the experiences they had working together in Senator Ted Stevens office in the seventies. Rep. Gruenberg was Senator Stevens’ legislative assistant from 1971-1973 and Dittman was Senator Stevens’ communications aide from 1971-1973

15 posted on 10/29/2010 7:24:02 PM PDT by luv2ndamend (They call themselves greens because they're too yellow to admit they're reds.)
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To: CedarDave

This technique looks highly skewed to Murkowski.

To me it is like a step on the spectrum to super-not-necessarily-likely voters. In other words, it goes the opposite way from polling likely voters, by begging the question of whether or not the answerer will even vote.

(Unless you see they first ask whether that person will vote.)

Miller looks much stronger than this. to me (w/o knowing what’s in the media up there, I confess).


16 posted on 10/29/2010 7:24:17 PM PDT by unspun (It's the Sovereignty, Stu... um... art. | WE ARE GULAG BOUND)
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To: Cu Roi
Somehow I knew this would be Allahpundit...

Don't know much about him, but thought Hot Air was a conservative site with Michelle Malkin and such posting there. Of course Allahpundit could always be a Karl Rove clone.

17 posted on 10/29/2010 7:24:29 PM PDT by CedarDave (Juan Williams to NPR: "You and your far left-wing mob fired me. Wasn't that enough for you? ")
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To: Jim Robinson

This poll is total bull. I assume this poster is Du. Miller will beat her like a slave.


18 posted on 10/29/2010 7:26:11 PM PDT by Benchim
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To: CedarDave
Who is she pulling support from?

We might be witnessing some kind of bizaree political miracle.

19 posted on 10/29/2010 7:26:26 PM PDT by Walts Ice Pick
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To: Cu Roi; CedarDave

Allahpundit - the crass, God-hating, womanizing pundit.


20 posted on 10/29/2010 7:26:46 PM PDT by anniegetyourgun
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