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Frank Luntz calls it for Reid based on Exit Polls
Politico ^

Posted on 11/02/2010 4:11:27 PM PDT by Windy City Conservative

LUNTZ CALLS IT FOR REID: GOP polling guru Frank Luntz is predicting Republicans will win seven Senate seats and 50 House spots, based on exit polls he had seen. On a conference call with associates from K Street, Luntz also said he thinks Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will win reelection.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2010midterms; angle; nv2010; reid
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To: Windy City Conservative

Bee f’n S


51 posted on 11/02/2010 4:27:30 PM PDT by Las Vegas Ron (Moderates manipulate, extremists use violence, but the goal is the same.)
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To: Windy City Conservative

Count the votes, then we shall see.


52 posted on 11/02/2010 4:27:30 PM PDT by ShandaLear (The price of Obamacare? 30 pieces of silver.)
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To: Justaham

Let working folks get the job done. This report is way to early for Nevada.


53 posted on 11/02/2010 4:28:08 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
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To: Windy City Conservative

She’s been up in every poll by a solid 4 points for month. This is BS!


54 posted on 11/02/2010 4:28:08 PM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: Windy City Conservative

We’ll see. Got my fingers crossed.


55 posted on 11/02/2010 4:28:26 PM PDT by DemforBush (You might think that, *I* could not possibly comment.)
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To: Windy City Conservative

Luntz proclaims!

Western USA Republicans, “ Stay Home

Buahahahahahahahahahahaha! Eff HIM!


56 posted on 11/02/2010 4:29:10 PM PDT by Candor7 (Obama . fascist info..http://www.americanthinker.com/2009/05/barack_obama_the_quintessentia_1.html)
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To: Justaham

...IS shep CALLING the results?...can’t stand the drama queen?
I’ll wait for people like Megyn, or Brett


57 posted on 11/02/2010 4:29:34 PM PDT by Doogle ((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: Windy City Conservative

Aren’t the polls still open in NV? This is pure BS for Politico to run this story. It is meant to depress the late conservative vote


58 posted on 11/02/2010 4:29:39 PM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: fortheDeclaration

I think it mostly counts early voting.

I’m not happy about this.


59 posted on 11/02/2010 4:30:57 PM PDT by RockinRight (if the choice is between Crazy and Commie, I choose Crazy.)
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To: Justaham

Actually, Shep said Reid did well in early voting.


60 posted on 11/02/2010 4:30:59 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Candor7
Buahahahahahahahahahahaha! Eff HIM!

BIG TIME!!!!!!!

Looonz is the one who coined the term Climate change instead of Glowbull warming.....he's a freakin lib!

61 posted on 11/02/2010 4:32:37 PM PDT by Las Vegas Ron (Moderates manipulate, extremists use violence, but the goal is the same.)
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To: 1035rep
"Actually, Shep said Reid did well in early voting."

There is no way to know this, as early voting ballots are not counted until election day.

What they can do is reference the early voting by party registration, in states which have registration. However, that assumes all registered Democrats would vote for Harry. I kind of doubt that.

62 posted on 11/02/2010 4:32:59 PM PDT by magellan
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To: magellan

It ain’t over ‘til it’s over - vote!
(And bring out your dead...)


63 posted on 11/02/2010 4:35:05 PM PDT by talleyman (Satan is the Father of Lies - Satan is a Democrat)
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To: fortheDeclaration

It seems very unethical to call a race before the polls are closed! I thought Luntz would be above this kind of act. Very disappointing!


64 posted on 11/02/2010 4:35:24 PM PDT by stocksthatgoup
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I will say the NH numbers are quite shocking. Wow!


65 posted on 11/02/2010 4:35:34 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
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To: nhwingut
"She's been up in every poll by a solid 4 points for a month. This is BS!"

Just damn.

For weeks, FReepers have been saying 'don't pay attention to polls, they are always wrong.'

Now, when it appears they were wrong, you can't imagine they were wrong.

Having your cake, and eating it too is satisfying.

But not having it, AND going hungry must be frustrating.

66 posted on 11/02/2010 4:36:05 PM PDT by diogenes ghost
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To: Doogle

They have the line-up starting at 7:50 EDT.


67 posted on 11/02/2010 4:37:39 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
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To: Windy City Conservative

My buddy in Vegas just voted for Angle. He hasn’t given me any details yet.


68 posted on 11/02/2010 4:38:28 PM PDT by America_Right (The best thing about the Obama Presidency: McCain isn't the President!)
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To: eyedigress
I will say the NH numbers are quite shocking. Wow!

I fell for that earlier...that's Dixville Notch...only twelve votes cast. Ayotte is polling ahead of Hodes by 12 to 15%. Polls in NH close at 8...Dixville Notch is just a novelty...FIRST in the nation to hace their votes counted. Whatever.

69 posted on 11/02/2010 4:38:51 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (G-d saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: paulycy

“What’s with luntz?”

He wants to be paid.


70 posted on 11/02/2010 4:38:51 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: stocksthatgoup

Probably wishful thinking on his part-couldn’t contain himself!


71 posted on 11/02/2010 4:39:05 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (When the wicked beareth rule, the people mourn (Pr.29:2))
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To: stocksthatgoup
I find it disappointing, but believable.

The only way I maintain sanity every other November is not to overestimate the intelligence of the electorate, or underestimate the level of fraud perpetrated by the Democrat Party.

72 posted on 11/02/2010 4:39:12 PM PDT by daler
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To: magellan

Oh, I know that. I was only correcting the statement made. I believe Sharron will win.


73 posted on 11/02/2010 4:39:25 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: diogenes ghost

FU.


74 posted on 11/02/2010 4:39:25 PM PDT by txhurl (If we can shake Congress like a can of pennies, we can uproot voter fraud like a D-9.)
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To: txhurl

If Reid wins, and GOP just barely gets the house and doesn’t get the senate, the MSM will spin this as an Obama victory.


75 posted on 11/02/2010 4:42:02 PM PDT by roostercogburn
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To: combat_boots
He wants to be paid.

I've heard him say that he spends a lot of time in Las Vegas. You don't suppose that has anything to do with it do you?

76 posted on 11/02/2010 4:43:01 PM PDT by paulycy (Demand Constitutionality: Islamo-Marxism is Evil.)
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To: Lazlo in PA
Very well in Early Voting. I want to know percent of early voting over other voting before giving up.

I want to know too and how does FoxNews know how the early voters voted? Did they already count the early votes?

The only thing they should know is the partisan makeup of early/absentee voters (Rep., Dem., Ind., etc.), not who they voted for. The counting of these early voter ballots should not even begin at the various county election offices until the polls have closed statewide.

Both Foxnews and Frank Luntz should know they should not predict how an election will turnout based on early exit polls, especially a tight race.

77 posted on 11/02/2010 4:44:42 PM PDT by AmericaOne (Sneaking In is NOT Immigration!!!)
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To: paulycy

Hmmmmm.

Statistical information as a profession. Reminds me of a serious bookie I met, who explained his game/work. He knew Vegas well.


78 posted on 11/02/2010 4:47:50 PM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: AmericaOne

Early votes from my district in TN are downloaded on election night from the machines. It is electronic voting but is button oriented. That touch screen crap should go away.


79 posted on 11/02/2010 4:50:14 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
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To: Blogger

You are absolutely correct.

All those Union guys and Harrah employees don’t want to be on the local TV news stations saying they voted for Angle.


80 posted on 11/02/2010 4:50:59 PM PDT by sodpoodle (Despair; man's surrender. Laughter; God's redemption.)
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To: matt1234
Luntz, the original 40-year old virgin, strikes out again.

That's it in a putzshell.

Note to FoxNews: When that prediction blows up in that charlatan's face, maybe then you'll stop giving him airtime?!

81 posted on 11/02/2010 4:54:33 PM PDT by Eroteme
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To: USSR Didnt Fall

They can push workers to go and vote, but they can’t force them to vote for Reid. In the long run, this could turn into a very damaging scandal for the Dems.


82 posted on 11/02/2010 5:09:41 PM PDT by socialism_stinX (He didn't invent fresh-brewed coffee, but he perfected the art of sipping it during tennis warm-up.)
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To: Windy City Conservative

No despair here, I very CLEARLY recall the Ensign - Bryan race.

The media were calling for John Ensign to concede VERY early, with about 15% of only the liberal DOWN TOWN VEGAS votes counted.

As the evening wore on Dick’less Bryan’s lead slipped, slipped further, and by the late evening, when the rural county votes were tallied, John Ensign was the clear winner.

I expect similar tonight!


83 posted on 11/02/2010 5:22:00 PM PDT by Loyal Sedition
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To: eyedigress

Thanks for the info about Tennessee.

I still can’t understand how ‘polsters’ like Frank Luntz can call Nevada for Reid based on ‘early voting data’ and early exit voting data with a few hours till poll closing. Especially in a tight race.

Like you said, they don’t start counting the early votes until the polls have closed, so these pundits have no way of knowing how people voted.


84 posted on 11/02/2010 5:56:32 PM PDT by AmericaOne (Sneaking In is NOT Immigration!!!)
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To: diogenes ghost

Is ID Indiana? Dan Coates is a flip to the R for Senate.


85 posted on 11/02/2010 6:12:20 PM PDT by sportutegrl (Why are they called Musketeers if they fight with swords?)
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To: Lucius Cornelius Sulla

Idaho, Indiana, Illinois. I get those ‘I’ states mixed up.


86 posted on 11/02/2010 6:13:43 PM PDT by sportutegrl (Why are they called Musketeers if they fight with swords?)
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To: Windy City Conservative

make no mistake. is dingy wins, it was stolen


87 posted on 11/02/2010 7:21:35 PM PDT by mechanismofaction
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