Skip to comments.Frank Luntz calls it for Reid based on Exit Polls
Posted on 11/02/2010 4:11:27 PM PDT by Windy City Conservative
LUNTZ CALLS IT FOR REID: GOP polling guru Frank Luntz is predicting Republicans will win seven Senate seats and 50 House spots, based on exit polls he had seen. On a conference call with associates from K Street, Luntz also said he thinks Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will win reelection.
Bee f’n S
Count the votes, then we shall see.
Let working folks get the job done. This report is way to early for Nevada.
She’s been up in every poll by a solid 4 points for month. This is BS!
We’ll see. Got my fingers crossed.
Western USA Republicans, “ Stay Home
Buahahahahahahahahahahaha! Eff HIM!
...IS shep CALLING the results?...can’t stand the drama queen?
I’ll wait for people like Megyn, or Brett
Aren’t the polls still open in NV? This is pure BS for Politico to run this story. It is meant to depress the late conservative vote
I think it mostly counts early voting.
I’m not happy about this.
Actually, Shep said Reid did well in early voting.
Looonz is the one who coined the term Climate change instead of Glowbull warming.....he's a freakin lib!
There is no way to know this, as early voting ballots are not counted until election day.
What they can do is reference the early voting by party registration, in states which have registration. However, that assumes all registered Democrats would vote for Harry. I kind of doubt that.
It ain’t over ‘til it’s over - vote!
(And bring out your dead...)
It seems very unethical to call a race before the polls are closed! I thought Luntz would be above this kind of act. Very disappointing!
I will say the NH numbers are quite shocking. Wow!
For weeks, FReepers have been saying 'don't pay attention to polls, they are always wrong.'
Now, when it appears they were wrong, you can't imagine they were wrong.
Having your cake, and eating it too is satisfying.
But not having it, AND going hungry must be frustrating.
They have the line-up starting at 7:50 EDT.
My buddy in Vegas just voted for Angle. He hasn’t given me any details yet.
I fell for that earlier...that's Dixville Notch...only twelve votes cast. Ayotte is polling ahead of Hodes by 12 to 15%. Polls in NH close at 8...Dixville Notch is just a novelty...FIRST in the nation to hace their votes counted. Whatever.
“Whats with luntz?”
He wants to be paid.
Probably wishful thinking on his part-couldn’t contain himself!
The only way I maintain sanity every other November is not to overestimate the intelligence of the electorate, or underestimate the level of fraud perpetrated by the Democrat Party.
Oh, I know that. I was only correcting the statement made. I believe Sharron will win.
If Reid wins, and GOP just barely gets the house and doesn’t get the senate, the MSM will spin this as an Obama victory.
I've heard him say that he spends a lot of time in Las Vegas. You don't suppose that has anything to do with it do you?
I want to know too and how does FoxNews know how the early voters voted? Did they already count the early votes?
The only thing they should know is the partisan makeup of early/absentee voters (Rep., Dem., Ind., etc.), not who they voted for. The counting of these early voter ballots should not even begin at the various county election offices until the polls have closed statewide.
Both Foxnews and Frank Luntz should know they should not predict how an election will turnout based on early exit polls, especially a tight race.
Statistical information as a profession. Reminds me of a serious bookie I met, who explained his game/work. He knew Vegas well.
Early votes from my district in TN are downloaded on election night from the machines. It is electronic voting but is button oriented. That touch screen crap should go away.
You are absolutely correct.
All those Union guys and Harrah employees don’t want to be on the local TV news stations saying they voted for Angle.
That's it in a putzshell.
Note to FoxNews: When that prediction blows up in that charlatan's face, maybe then you'll stop giving him airtime?!
They can push workers to go and vote, but they can’t force them to vote for Reid. In the long run, this could turn into a very damaging scandal for the Dems.
No despair here, I very CLEARLY recall the Ensign - Bryan race.
The media were calling for John Ensign to concede VERY early, with about 15% of only the liberal DOWN TOWN VEGAS votes counted.
As the evening wore on Dick’less Bryan’s lead slipped, slipped further, and by the late evening, when the rural county votes were tallied, John Ensign was the clear winner.
I expect similar tonight!
Thanks for the info about Tennessee.
I still can’t understand how ‘polsters’ like Frank Luntz can call Nevada for Reid based on ‘early voting data’ and early exit voting data with a few hours till poll closing. Especially in a tight race.
Like you said, they don’t start counting the early votes until the polls have closed, so these pundits have no way of knowing how people voted.
Is ID Indiana? Dan Coates is a flip to the R for Senate.
Idaho, Indiana, Illinois. I get those ‘I’ states mixed up.
make no mistake. is dingy wins, it was stolen