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Has Sarah Palin's Moment Come and Gone (exhausted by over-exposure?)
The Washington Examiner ^ | Wednesday, January 19, 2011 | Mark Tapscott

Posted on 01/19/2011 4:24:15 PM PST by kristinn

There are certain folks in our lives to whom we pay particular attention when they speak because we know they have wisdom of a certain sort. John Hinderaker of Powerline is one of those folks for me.

He's reached an important conclusion about former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's presidential prospects - She doesn't have any. Says Hinderaker in a post pegged to the 59 percent unfavorability rating for Palin among independents that turned up in the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll:

"No one with a 59 percent unfavorability rating among independents has the chance of a snowball in Hell of being elected President," Hinderaker said. "2012 will be a vitally important election year; it is no time for a kamikaze Presidential campaign or for a cult of personality."

"Republicans (and conservatives) need a candidate who has a chance to win against an incumbent who, despite everything, is not particularly unpopular and who won't be able to do much visible damage between now and then."

Hinderaker calls himself a Palin fan, and his Powerline blog, which features him and colleagues Paul Mirengoff and Scott Johnson, has always been among the most thoughtful and incisive blogs on the Right. So Hinderaker's conclusion regarding Palin's suitability for a 2012 White House run carries a lot of weight among folks who would be crucially important to the former Alaska governor's prospects.

My thought is that Palin's rising disapproval has less to do with her response to the Tucson Massacre and more to do with public exhaustion. Between her books, her 2010 campaign prominence, the constant nagging of those on the Left who go absolutely berserk at the mere mention of her name, frequent appearances on Fox News, the dramas of her daughter's relationship with Levi and her success on "Dancing with the Stars," and the Discovery Channel reality TV series, Palin has been here, there, and everywhere for several months.

There is an old maxim that it doesn't matter what they say as long as they spell your name properly. But here's another maxim that has particular relevance for politicos in the Media Age - Too much of a good thing becomes a bad thing when there is no escaping the good thing.

SNIP


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: freepressforpalin; sarahpalin
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The weak-kneed among us are hitting the fainting couches, and there is still a whole a year from the first primaries.

Sarah Palin has more fight in her than these oh-so-thoughtful conservative men.

FR discussion thread on the Powerline piece.

1 posted on 01/19/2011 4:24:16 PM PST by kristinn
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To: kristinn

And yet they just can’t help talking about her!


2 posted on 01/19/2011 4:28:47 PM PST by DaveyB (Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. -John Adams)
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To: kristinn

So now we have this article, echoing the Powerline article, echoing a CNN poll. D.C. groupthink.


3 posted on 01/19/2011 4:33:09 PM PST by 6SJ7 (atlasShruggedInd = TRUE)
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To: kristinn

The most certain way to get someone to read your column is to stick Palin’s name in the headline.


4 posted on 01/19/2011 4:33:22 PM PST by marron
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To: kristinn

Nope.

Not even close.

This political rocket is still resolutely ascending toward its apogee.


5 posted on 01/19/2011 4:34:11 PM PST by EyeGuy (Gimme Shelter)
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To: kristinn

“Hinderaker calls himself a Palin fan, and his Powerline blog, which features him and colleagues Paul Mirengoff and Scott Johnson, has always been among the most thoughtful and incisive blogs on the Right. So Hinderaker’s conclusion regarding Palin’s suitability for a 2012 White House run carries a lot of weight among folks who would be crucially important to the former Alaska governor’s prospects. “

Weight among whom?

If he has a crystal ball, I would suggest he start playing Powerball.

If he is getting weak listening to the press, then I suggest he find a new line of work.


6 posted on 01/19/2011 4:36:18 PM PST by VanDeKoik (1 million in stimulus dollars paid for this tagline!)
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To: kristinn

If she doesn’t have a chance, then why are you people going full throttle, all day and all night, trying to beat her?


7 posted on 01/19/2011 4:38:36 PM PST by reasonisfaith (Rules will never work for radicals (liberals) because they seek chaos. And don't even know it.)
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To: kristinn

No... but the left’s time is over.

LLS


8 posted on 01/19/2011 4:38:44 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!!!)
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To: kristinn

Overexposure is a very real phenomenon. In Palin’s case, it might not be of concern since she might not run for president. She does not appear to be taking any of the steps necessary to run a credible presidential campaign. By credible, I mean she’s not doing any of the necessary groundwork to put an organization together, raise funds, meet at least a few key world leaders, etc.


9 posted on 01/19/2011 4:39:16 PM PST by Wolfstar ("If you would win a man to your cause, first convince him that you are his friend." Abraham Lincoln)
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To: kristinn
I'm sure she's retreating right now.

Oh, wait ...

10 posted on 01/19/2011 4:44:54 PM PST by Tanniker Smith (I didn't know she was a liberal when I married her.)
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To: kristinn

My advice to all pollsters, take some time off,, go skiing or camping , just get lost for a few months..


11 posted on 01/19/2011 4:45:16 PM PST by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. Obama: Epic Fail or Bust!!!)
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To: Wolfstar

She says jump, she’ll have all that $hit in a nanosecond.


12 posted on 01/19/2011 4:46:13 PM PST by onona (1703rd Air Refueling Wing, Provisional)
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To: kristinn

The lame stream media would not have gone to such lengths to discredit her if they did not fear her. It is far too early to throw in the towel for her. There are a lot of issues and time to address them yet. As for the criticism of her last speech being too “thin skinned” or not necessary since the overall criticism of conservatives and their falsely portrayed “role” in the Arizona matter let me say that I’d rather have Sarah firing both barrels in response than another Bush who never fought back about anything. Many people believe that a charge unanswered must be true. Can she win the nomination or the election in ‘12? Time will tell.


13 posted on 01/19/2011 4:52:23 PM PST by vigilence
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To: kristinn

I’ll tell you who’s come and gone,...........RINOs, Socialists, Communists, Anarchists, Fascists,......replaced by real true Americans who belong to the Tea Party!


14 posted on 01/19/2011 4:53:44 PM PST by Doc Savage
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To: kristinn

The CNN with 64,000 viewers that RUSH spoke of today???


15 posted on 01/19/2011 4:58:23 PM PST by tubebender (The coldest winter I ever spent was a summer in Eureka...)
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To: Wolfstar
By credible, I mean she’s not doing any of the necessary groundwork to put an organization together, raise funds, meet at least a few key world leaders, etc.

LOL! Aren't you the "expert"?

Basically all Sarah Palin needs to do to mount a credible campaign is to throw her hat into the ring. She will immediately be the front runner that everyone else will have to chase. She is the only current living Republican human being who can fill a stadium with cheering supporters at the drop of a hat.

You think Romney or Pawlenty have that kind of clout or that they have all their ducks in a row to mount a campaign? I don't think so. They are all just staying home and praying to God that Sarah takes a pass on this election. Their only hope is that Sarah doesn't run and then turns around and supports them.

16 posted on 01/19/2011 4:59:18 PM PST by P-Marlowe (LPFOKETT GAHCOEEP-w/o*)
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To: kristinn
Palin will not be President largely in part to overexposure. The moderate to severe speech cadence problem she has was not corrected over time for whatever reason..it seems she never worked on it and no one helped her with it.

The deficit is purely superficial as evidenced by her written work..but it will prove to be fatal to her chances to connect to others who do not read and will continue to falsely confirm the mime that she is not intelligent.

Palin has played a vital part in the long march and will continued to do so indefinitely. She should sanctify a candidate.

17 posted on 01/19/2011 5:01:19 PM PST by Earthdweller (Harvard won the election again...so what's the problem.......? Embrace a ruler today.)
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To: kristinn
the constant nagging of those on the Left who go absolutely berserk at the mere mention of her name

As if, should Sarah Palin go away, they wouldn't immediately turn all their fire on whoever the next conservative is who has the temerity to run for President against their messiah.

Trying to find that ideal candidate who won't excite the hatred and ridicule of the mass media that serves the Left's agenda is a fool's game. I give you John McCain as Exhibit A. He's not even a real conservative, and he was every liberal's favorite RINO before he became the Republican nominee. The minute he started running against Obama, he became the devil incarnate.

It will happen to anybody. Dumping Sarah won't save you, weak-knee'd "Republicans". It will only encourage more of the same character assassination against the next target.

18 posted on 01/19/2011 5:02:48 PM PST by Argus
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To: Earthdweller

Not sure what you mean by speech cadence problem — maybe you could elaborate.

She does have a breathiness, an impatient quality to her speech that is a little disconcerting — plus the northern accent may turn people off. But I still don’t understand why people call her stupid. The Catie Cupcakes interview aside, she did quite well in her debate with Clueless Joe Biden, put Death Panels and Mama Grizzlies into our national lexicon, and most important, carried the Tea Party to victory. No dummie, she.


19 posted on 01/19/2011 5:07:50 PM PST by heye2monn
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To: Earthdweller

...continue to falsely confirm the mime that she is not intelligent.

&&&
Don’t worry about the mime; he’s not talking. The meme, OTOH....


20 posted on 01/19/2011 5:09:57 PM PST by Bigg Red (q)
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To: vigilence

Personally, I think it is high time for all conservatives to get a little “thin skinned” and start getting vocal about the crap the left spews about us. A good old “Who the hell do you think you are to accuse me of that?” response to the next liberal who says racist, kill people, hate the environment, etc., would sit really well with me. I’m ready to trade a little dignity for a little indignity and start fighting back.


21 posted on 01/19/2011 5:11:30 PM PST by TN4Liberty (My tagline disappeared so this is my new one.)
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To: heye2monn
The Catie Cupcakes of the world are not nearly as tolerant of "differences" as they profess to be and Palin's peculiar speech patterns are foreign..yes alien to those in self appointed, sheltered lofts.

Speech cadence...think of it as a pattern of acceptable speech rhythm that people are used to. Sarah's rhythm is off and it makes it difficult for others to completely understand her..so they say she is "stupid" in order to quickly dismiss their own lack of understanding.

22 posted on 01/19/2011 5:18:23 PM PST by Earthdweller (Harvard won the election again...so what's the problem.......? Embrace a ruler today.)
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To: Wolfstar

You are lacking facts - Sarah is going to meet world leaders, she in fact is going to Israel this spring, she also has been invited to England to meet leaders of the Torie party and see Margaret Thatcher

As far as raising money - money collected by her PAC cannot be raised for a Presidential run, once you run for President or do an exploratory committee then you can raise funds

Last Summer Politico did a study of her PAC organization and discovered that it looks like it’s being ready to switch over to a Presidential organization easily, she hired an giant donor list group and foreign advisers

And the last but most important thing is that there is none out there like her, Mitt, Thune, Pawlenty, Daniels, Newt are not the most charismatic or Tea Party liked candidates, if she is in the race no matter how “overexposed” you think, people are not going to turn away from her without listening to what she has to say, which will be going after the Establisment as well as the Dems, which the others won’t do.


23 posted on 01/19/2011 5:20:48 PM PST by Bigtigermike
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To: Bigg Red

Thanks. In my next life I will be a professional writer or I will marry an editor..one of the two. :)~


24 posted on 01/19/2011 5:24:11 PM PST by Earthdweller (Harvard won the election again...so what's the problem.......? Embrace a ruler today.)
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To: Argus

Sarah has not said she will run, and if she has put together any muscle to build a campaign I haven’t heard about it. We all need to see some movement pretty darn soon. Short of Deity one eventually has to get an act together before the big money is sewn up by other candidates. Obama is said to be seeking the billion dollar range for his campaign. (Ho,Ho,Ho, good luck with that!)

Also, other Republican candidates are stymied until she makes up her dang mind and they deserve a running start against Obama to improve their chance of beating him. Eventually, the other conservatives are going to be in a heck of a fix because they need our votes but they aren’t allowed to prod her to get on or off the horse for fear of making us “mad”.

There’s time, but not much.


25 posted on 01/19/2011 5:25:13 PM PST by RitaOK
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To: P-Marlowe
Basically all Sarah Palin needs to do to mount a credible campaign is to throw her hat into the ring.

It takes more to run for president than that. She needs to raise hundreds of millions of dollars. She needs a campaign organization of solid advisers she trusts: economic adviser, foreign policy adviser, domestic policy adviser, pollster, campaign manager, etc. She can't do it all herself.

26 posted on 01/19/2011 5:29:26 PM PST by Wolfstar ("If you would win a man to your cause, first convince him that you are his friend." Abraham Lincoln)
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To: reasonisfaith
If she doesn’t have a chance, then why are you people going full throttle, all day and all night, trying to beat her?

Exactly! These Romneybot RINOS are as transparent as the MGM (Marxist/Goebbels Media)

27 posted on 01/19/2011 5:30:46 PM PST by newfreep (Palin/DeMint 2012 - Bolton: Secy of State)
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To: Earthdweller

I certainly have had my share of typos, but I just had to post my comment because I got the giggles picturing the mime.


28 posted on 01/19/2011 5:30:58 PM PST by Bigg Red (Palin in 2012)
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To: Bigg Red

So you are a highly visual person...I see. Makes me laugh as well, now that you mention it. LOL


29 posted on 01/19/2011 5:36:11 PM PST by Earthdweller (Harvard won the election again...so what's the problem.......? Embrace a ruler today.)
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To: kristinn

Dick Morris wants the Sarah Palin gig. That much was clear from his appearance on Bill O’lieaboutfreerepublicbeingaracistsightwithnoevidencewhilewavingblankpagesinyourface tonight.


30 posted on 01/19/2011 5:38:51 PM PST by Eddie01
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To: Bigtigermike
"You are lacking facts - Sarah is going to meet world leaders, she in fact is going to Israel this spring, she also has been invited to England to meet leaders of the Torie party and see Margaret Thatcher.

That is so cool. I so wanted that to happen a few years ago during the campaign. There is no doubt that Palin is an amazing person. A real heroine to me.

31 posted on 01/19/2011 5:41:52 PM PST by Earthdweller (Harvard won the election again...so what's the problem.......? Embrace a ruler today.)
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To: Earthdweller

So you are a highly visual person...

&&&
No, I am just silly sometimes.


32 posted on 01/19/2011 5:43:16 PM PST by Bigg Red (Palin in 2012)
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To: Wolfstar
She can't do it all herself.

Do you have any doubt that, when the time comes, she will have all those advisors? And, importantly, they will be advisors who share her conservative principles.

At the same time, given her broad appeal, do you have any doubt that she is capable of raising "hundreds of millions"?

33 posted on 01/19/2011 5:43:20 PM PST by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA: Ignorance On Parade)
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To: kristinn

The libs are SO hoping that this is the case!


34 posted on 01/19/2011 6:00:09 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: Earthdweller
Sarah's rhythm is off and it makes it difficult for others to completely understand her..so they say she is "stupid" in order to quickly dismiss their own lack of understanding.

Oh they understand her just fine, they just don't like what she stands for, so they will try to diminish her every chance they get.

35 posted on 01/19/2011 6:05:10 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: kristinn
So many pieces on the same delusional subject. Think this is the daily talking point memo or what?
36 posted on 01/19/2011 6:09:53 PM PST by McGruff (We must reject the idea that every time a laws broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker)
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To: kristinn
"2012 will be a vitally important election year; it is no time for a kamikaze Presidential campaign or for a cult of personality."


37 posted on 01/19/2011 6:19:15 PM PST by Virginia Ridgerunner (Sarah Palin has crossed the Rubicon!)
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To: kristinn
They know she’s inevitable.

They knew it the first time they saw her.

It's why they go insane every time they think of her.

ineluctable

38 posted on 01/19/2011 6:19:39 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("If they bring a knife to the fight, we bring a gun." -- Barry Soetoro, June 11, 2008)
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To: kristinn

What they fail to understand is the crucible of firetheyre laying on, that is forging a terrible swift sword.

She’s no quitter!


39 posted on 01/19/2011 6:25:15 PM PST by AFreeBird
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To: AFreeBird

... Fire they’re .....


40 posted on 01/19/2011 6:26:41 PM PST by AFreeBird
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To: kristinn
The weak-kneed among us are hitting the fainting couches, and there is still a whole a year from the first primaries.

Agreed.
41 posted on 01/19/2011 6:44:26 PM PST by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the occupation media. There are Wars and Rumors of War.)
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To: kristinn; All

Considering the bench on the pubbie side, I wouldn’t count her out just yet.

Us conservatives must be very careful in the months ahead. Lots of chaff in the air.


42 posted on 01/19/2011 6:55:22 PM PST by jacquej
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To: kristinn
Hinderaker calls himself a Palin fan

That's the difference between him and me. I am a Palin supporter.

43 posted on 01/19/2011 7:15:18 PM PST by upsdriver (to undo the damage the "intellectual elites" have done. . . . . Sarah Palin for President!)
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To: Argus
It will happen to anybody. Dumping Sarah won't save you, weak-knee'd "Republicans". It will only encourage more of the same character assassination against the next target.

Well said, however, weak kneed Republicans are also weak minded. Your sage advice will never seep into their mushy moderate brains.

44 posted on 01/19/2011 7:25:25 PM PST by upsdriver (to undo the damage the "intellectual elites" have done. . . . . Sarah Palin for President!)
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To: Wolfstar
By credible, I mean she’s not doing any of the necessary groundwork to put an organization together, raise funds...

By law, presidential contenders cannot collect money for the race until they establish an exploratory or a presidential fundraising committee. NOBODY has done that yet.

What she has done, like all the others, is raise PAC money.

Your post is NOT credible.

45 posted on 01/19/2011 7:30:55 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: FreeReign

What part of “groundwork” do you not understand? Also, you hyper-defensive sorts really need to learn the difference between someone commenting on a current state of affairs and criticism. To say that Palin shows no signs of doing the necessary groundwork and planning for a presidential run is not criticism. It is a statement of fact. I am hardly alone in observing this fact, leading more than a few commentators, and even other FReepers, to think she might not run.


46 posted on 01/19/2011 8:04:29 PM PST by Wolfstar ("If you would win a man to your cause, first convince him that you are his friend." Abraham Lincoln)
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To: Wolfstar
What part of “groundwork” do you not understand?

What ground work are others doing?

How do you know Palin isn't doing grounrdwork?

Also, you hyper-defensive sorts...

When somebody challenges you, you cry hypersensitivity.

Unbelievable.

47 posted on 01/19/2011 8:22:09 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: kristinn

sounds like wishful thinking to me


48 posted on 01/20/2011 3:37:56 AM PST by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now and in the future)
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To: Earthdweller
Sarah's rhythm is off and it makes it difficult for others to completely understand her..so they say she is "stupid" in order to quickly dismiss their own lack of understanding.

Oh they understand her just fine, they just don't like what she stands for, so they will try to diminish her every chance they get.

49 posted on 01/20/2011 10:21:26 PM PST by SuziQ
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To: kristinn
There are certain folks in our lives to whom we pay particular attention when they speak because we know they have wisdom of a certain sort.

We also know that infallibility is not bestowed upon humans, and that includes John Hinderaker. The question now becomes, is this one of those times, and that is wisdom you must seek elsewhere. Since objectivity doesn't seem to be a fine point in today's journalism, I won't hold my breath...

50 posted on 01/20/2011 10:37:39 PM PST by csense
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