Skip to comments.Has Sarah Palin's Moment Come and Gone (exhausted by over-exposure?)
Posted on 01/19/2011 4:24:15 PM PST by kristinn
There are certain folks in our lives to whom we pay particular attention when they speak because we know they have wisdom of a certain sort. John Hinderaker of Powerline is one of those folks for me.
He's reached an important conclusion about former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's presidential prospects - She doesn't have any. Says Hinderaker in a post pegged to the 59 percent unfavorability rating for Palin among independents that turned up in the latest CNN/Opinion Research poll:
"No one with a 59 percent unfavorability rating among independents has the chance of a snowball in Hell of being elected President," Hinderaker said. "2012 will be a vitally important election year; it is no time for a kamikaze Presidential campaign or for a cult of personality."
"Republicans (and conservatives) need a candidate who has a chance to win against an incumbent who, despite everything, is not particularly unpopular and who won't be able to do much visible damage between now and then."
Hinderaker calls himself a Palin fan, and his Powerline blog, which features him and colleagues Paul Mirengoff and Scott Johnson, has always been among the most thoughtful and incisive blogs on the Right. So Hinderaker's conclusion regarding Palin's suitability for a 2012 White House run carries a lot of weight among folks who would be crucially important to the former Alaska governor's prospects.
My thought is that Palin's rising disapproval has less to do with her response to the Tucson Massacre and more to do with public exhaustion. Between her books, her 2010 campaign prominence, the constant nagging of those on the Left who go absolutely berserk at the mere mention of her name, frequent appearances on Fox News, the dramas of her daughter's relationship with Levi and her success on "Dancing with the Stars," and the Discovery Channel reality TV series, Palin has been here, there, and everywhere for several months.
There is an old maxim that it doesn't matter what they say as long as they spell your name properly. But here's another maxim that has particular relevance for politicos in the Media Age - Too much of a good thing becomes a bad thing when there is no escaping the good thing.
Considering the bench on the pubbie side, I wouldn’t count her out just yet.
Us conservatives must be very careful in the months ahead. Lots of chaff in the air.
That's the difference between him and me. I am a Palin supporter.
Well said, however, weak kneed Republicans are also weak minded. Your sage advice will never seep into their mushy moderate brains.
By law, presidential contenders cannot collect money for the race until they establish an exploratory or a presidential fundraising committee. NOBODY has done that yet.
What she has done, like all the others, is raise PAC money.
Your post is NOT credible.
What part of “groundwork” do you not understand? Also, you hyper-defensive sorts really need to learn the difference between someone commenting on a current state of affairs and criticism. To say that Palin shows no signs of doing the necessary groundwork and planning for a presidential run is not criticism. It is a statement of fact. I am hardly alone in observing this fact, leading more than a few commentators, and even other FReepers, to think she might not run.
What ground work are others doing?
How do you know Palin isn't doing grounrdwork?
Also, you hyper-defensive sorts...
When somebody challenges you, you cry hypersensitivity.
sounds like wishful thinking to me
Oh they understand her just fine, they just don't like what she stands for, so they will try to diminish her every chance they get.
We also know that infallibility is not bestowed upon humans, and that includes John Hinderaker. The question now becomes, is this one of those times, and that is wisdom you must seek elsewhere. Since objectivity doesn't seem to be a fine point in today's journalism, I won't hold my breath...