Posted on 04/05/2011 4:56:48 PM PDT by Jean S
Edited on 04/05/2011 8:26:32 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
LOL!!!! You don't actually believe your own words, do you?
What is your prediction now?
Staying off topic: Glenn Beck is ending his daily show on FOXNEWS later this year....Sean Hannity should do the same as well....now back to whatever the original topic of this thread is.....
I see my error now. Yeah, doesn’t look good.
Agrred. Hannity is not always my favorite, but he is on our side and he has 100% of my support. Sometimes I think we have trolls lurking.
If thos % hold, the final precinct needs ~1800 voters for Prosser to take the lead.
I hope this is a ray of sunshine? Are your numbers above reflected in the tally below? I just ran this at 12:35 pm CT
Supreme Court REPORTING 99%
Joanne Kloppenburg 739,589 50%
David Prosser (inc) 739,354 50%
Not true about the recount. Any election closer than 7000 qualifies for a free recount, but one of the candidates has to request it within 3 days of the election being certified. The election will not be certified before next week at the earliest.
The question remains, where is the media getting the numbers to report? They are screwing up so much, I’m not sure what to believe.
I don’t quite get the trashing of Hannity. He’s no Rush or Levin albeit but please..he’s on the same team. He’s NOT a ‘liberal republican’ like Whorealdo fancies himself.
They were fairly narrowly for Walker last time so I don’t think Prosser is going to win big there (for instance, Obama had about a 15-point margin in that precinct in 2008 even though the county as a whole was split between Obama and McCain). Close the 224-vote gap some, but not eliminate it.
From what I can tell, 1500 votes are needed for Prosser to pull out, assuming that this precinct continues at the 58/42 split.
What was "fairly narrow" for Walker last time ?
Sounds good to me. Remember when the MSM said Bush lost the election before FL had been counted. They are still doing it.
take all the fraud out and I’ll bet it is more like 100,000
The lib lawyers and activists must have descended on Jefferson. They are paralyzed.
Yes. If you're living in Wisconsin and part of the vote counting process, or if you otherwise have influence as to which ballots are counted, challenges, etc., that fight is ongoing. There is no more get out the vote campaign, or contributing to ads in support of a candidate. That ship has sailed.
The personal opinions of people expressed here as to what the totals will be when this round of counting is complete has absolutely no effect on that at all. Our "morale" won't affect that count in the slightest. Anyone who thinks it does has a vastly overinflated sense of their own importance.
But I cannot find the breakdown by precinct and the wi sos website keeps timing out on me.
Walker got 19154 and the Dem (Barrett) had 11907 in 2010 for all of Jefferson
Yes, and Klopp gets her votes, too (about 240).
That means Prosser will only narrow the difference by about 79.
So he will still be down by over 100 votes.
I was wrong about the number of votes last November in the outstanding precinct in my last post, it was not 2,300, it was 982. There are two Lake Mills "precincts", one apparently a city, the other a township.
Walker won by 6 points statewide while Prosser's in a dead heat. Then again, the heavy turnout in Dane County is one of the reasons for the dead heat, Prosser would be up by 1.5-2 points if Dane turnout was lower. So let's just assume that, outside of Dane County, Walker outperformed Prosser by 4 points.
Lake Mills went for Walker by 12%. So, based on that, we'd estimate that Lake Mills would go for Prosser by 8%, with a turnout about 72% of the 2010 November number. 8% times 982 votes * 72% = a 57 vote gain.
Looking at it another way, within the county, Walker won by 23%. Prosser is up by 16%, so Prosser is running 7% behind Walker within the county. 7% * 982 * 72% = a 49 vote gain.
I would love to be more optimstic, and perhaps the people really motivated to go out and vote in this area were Republican, or perhaps they were more motivated.
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