Skip to comments.Poll: GOP's 2012 contenders unknown, unloved
Posted on 04/21/2011 11:34:21 AM PDT by OldDeckHand
It's early yet, but the Grand Old Party clearly has its work cut out to sell the voting American public on a candidate to challenge President Obama in the 2012 national election.
A 56 percent majority of Republican voters told a CBS News/New York Times poll that none of the names officially or unofficially in the hat at this stage made them feel enthusiastic as potential nominees.
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
Sarah Palin is the only one over 50% UF among RV’s.
Huckabee might be worth reconsidering after seeing these numbers.
Who in their right mind would want that job.....The Left has this country on the edge of a cliff, and in their minds anyone sitting in the POTUS the day the thing falls over, even for just a day-——it will be their fault
Never mind the decline started w FDR, accelerated w/ LBJ,Carter, Clinton, and now the coup’de grace w/ Obama
Grab the Senate with enough votes to override Veto’s and let the Left hand themselves with thier own economic morass and hang the blame solidly on Obama and the dem’cats where it needs to be.......start a massive media campaign.
Duck, the herd will be here shortly.
CBS/NYT polling is skewed to promote only Republican candidates for whom Independents WILL NOT vote. Obama is sinking among this group and is full bore out to regain his footing with them since both sides know Independents decide the next election.
And, the let the Supreme Court have a leftist majority for generation? No thank you.
I’m sick of these stupid polls when only 1 or 2 have declared their candidacy. I know the MSM is chomping at the bit to start trashing the candidates.
Most won’t announce until June. I, too, don’t understand why anyone would want this job unless its for the power and perks. There may be a few who really want to serve (Sarah) but, for the others, I question their motives.
By this time next year, the eventual nominee will be much better known, and that won't be a problem.
Sarah and Bachmann are the only two worth a dang on that list.
Col. Allen West for POTUS.
And the herd has arrived...
Any of these prospective candidates would be better than Obama. Do they have baggage? Sure, but Obama now has far more than he started with. He’s a disaster!
We all know that people usually vote their pocketbooks. The big question in my mind is: Are the productive voters who have jobs or want to work going to outnumber the sponges relying on government for their livlihood? Obama is counting on the sponges.
That would never happen. The presidential coattails are just too powerful. The instances where the party that lost the national popular vote added 6 or more (or any) seats in the Senate are not very numerable. I think it might have happened in 1996, and the GOP only gained a couple or three seats, and perhaps again in 1988 with a one or two seat pick-up for the Dems, even though they lost the White House.
Generally, when we see big swings in the Senate is when it's the party of the winning presidential nominee making big gains, like in 1980 where the GOP picked up (I think) 12 seats.
Bite your typing fingers!! Not in this life.
And we should pay attention to CBS...why?
PS-I'm not a Huckabee supporter, my name comes from Mark Twain.
I would love to know how they do that. Do tell.
The Registered voters category is VERY telling and we must learn to be realistic that they are true.
Not too surprising looking at this list of has-beens and never-was’s.
No, you just support Mitch Daniels.
What are people thinking?
We learned that in 2008 as the people changed allegiance repeatedly as the field was narrowed down to McCain. First it was Hunter, then Fred, then finally Mitt, then the acceptance of McStain. I also learned that sometimes when the polls show you losing, you’re really losing, it ain’t all “special sauce”.
Most people aren't. That is to say, most people who are registered voters aren't very informed about specific issues or policies, and they aren't very familiar with the records of specific candidates. Instead, they decide things on emotion or feel. Sadly, their votes count just as much as yours, or mine and there are a LOT more of those kind of voters than our kind of voters. That's the political reality.
Huckabee, for all of his policy faults, comes across as a reasonable and measured guy. "People" - the great unwashed masses - love that kind of thing.
Bingo - those types disgust me to know end.
Yeah, I’m done reconsidering.
Unfortunately FR is infested with them like bedbugs in a cheap motel.
I don’t like Huckabee and would not vote for him.
If they run the Huckster I am not voting Republican or Democrat.
“Sarah Palin is the only one over 50% UF among RVs.”
She’s also the only one I would vote for.
"among all registered voters" That includes the donks.
The details of the poll are bizarre. It states republicans were "over sampled" at 543 and the total interviewed was 1,224. That is only 44.3% republicans, not exactly "over sampled" by any definition I am aware of.
Then, the fun part... The results were then weighted in proportion to the average party distributions in previous 2011 CBS News and CBS News/New York Times Polls and in the random sample in this poll.
No info on exactly what percentages were applied. No info on locations.
Basically, it's worthless. Like See-BS itself.
I like Mitch Daniels. But I recognize he’s got no chance at all. Hell, I’m not even sure he’s running. But yeah, I think he’s pretty decent compared to the others.
Wow. Palin at 26% A, 55% D, 18% U...
MSM: Mission accomplished.
I would love to know how they do that. Do tell. “ =========
The “duh” momment will come to you when you bother to feign some degree of interest in the “do tell” variables of any poll. For instance how the poll is weighted; by the turn of the question itself, Democrats over Republicans, or females over males, education level and ages of those polled, the geographic region(s) of the polling, etc., etc., etc.
Actually, given the results of the last mid-term election, that is oversampled by roughly 7-points. The 2010 party identification numbers were split evenly amonst Dems-Republican 36/36 and 28% Indies, which I believe is one of the largest Indy representation in the modern era.
"Democrats and Republicans were at parity in self-identification nationally, 36-36 percent, a return to the close division seen in years before 2008, when it broke dramatically in the Democrats' favor, 40-33 percent."
I’ll tell you what. I found Huckabee to be a cagey SOB last time around. And if you look at RCP, he’s constantly number one. Palin’s numbers, not surprisingly, look similar to Fred Thompson’s. If Huckabee runs, I’m betting he wins IA and is a major player in SC.
I, like many Americans would vote for the devil himself before I would not vote or vote for the fraud obama. Stay home...and not vote in this next election borders on treason IMHO...
When Palin starts running, those unfavorables will disappear like the morning dew. People who don’t pay attention to politics & get their info from the MSM tend to be “unfavorable.” One exposure to Sarah will convert the majority of them!
It is a weird poll, but, if more than half of ALL voters oppose Palin, she ain’t gonna beat Obama, at least today she wouldn’t.
More over, this CBS poll only is reporting on the candidate's favorability/unfavorability as well as their degree of familiarity with the electorate, the poll is not at all incongruous with RCP average.
Put another way, this poll is absolutely in-keeping with every other poll that I have seen the last few weeks.
In other words, Huckabee can win, Romney might be able to, Palin can’t, and Trump would struggle (but if anyone can overcome negatives, it’s Trump). The others fall somewhere in the middle.