Skip to comments.Barack Obama’s Lone Star long shot (His campaign team believes he has a chance of winning Texas)
Posted on 05/11/2011 11:14:16 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
President Barack Obamas campaign is heeding the political siren song of Texas, telling supporters he hopes to make a real effort in a state where the growing Hispanic electorate has long raised then dashed Democratic hopes.
Obamas 2012 campaign manager, Jim Messina, speaking to big-money Lone Star State Democrats at closed-door meetings in Austin and Dallas in March, predicted Obama could make a serious play in the cornerstone of GOP presidential politics, according to people in attendance.
And Obamas senior adviser David Plouffe has told fellow Democrats the nations second most populous state might add to his national map of contested states, arguing that the huge increase in voting-eligible Hispanic Texans in recent years could bring the state into play sooner than expected.
On the surface, their rationale seems compelling. The states population is about 35 percent Hispanic, almost identical to Californias proportion. The voting-age population in Texas is growing faster than almost anywhere else in the U.S. with an estimated 1.2 million eligible minority voters, most of them Spanish speakers, added to the states population between 2008 and 2012, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
Those trends have been emerging for a decade, but Democrats have, by and large, been unable to capitalize on them, owing to the states geography and abysmal voter registration and turnout patterns among Latinos. Obama talked enthusiastically about contesting Texas in 2008 but virtually abandoned the state to Arizona GOP Sen. John McCain as Election Day drew near, eventually losing by a million votes and 12 percentage points.
Texans wonder whether the same thing will happen this time: Is Obama just messing with Texas, or will he spend the $15 million to $25 million needed to mount a serious effort to boost Hispanic support and turnout?
Look, if hes really going to be a billion-dollar candidate, why not spend some of that money on Texas? said Marc Campos, a Houston-based Democratic political consultant who is encouraging the campaign to go all in.
Obama previewed his public pitch to the state during his first visit as president to the Texas-Mexico border Tuesday, calling for a balanced immigration policy that offers a path to citizenship for undocumented workers and continued enforcement of the borders.
But the most compelling part of his message to Latinos was left largely unsaid: Hes already on record as strongly opposing the Arizona law aimed at cracking down on illegal immigrants with roadside searches, and hes spoken out against GOP efforts to require voters, in Texas and elsewhere, to show photo IDs at voting booths.
California-based consultant Ace Smith, who managed Hillary Clintons March 2008 Texas primary victory over Obama, said the logistics of the state with the Latino population scattered throughout almost every county make it far more expensive to organize there than in other states with high Latino populations.
Its a long shot, but its by no means impossible, he told POLITICO.
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By refusing aid for the wildfires?
When he spends money there, I’ll believe him. He’s delusional if he thinks he’ll carry Texas.
Now I know how my home state: New York is going to vote but I want to hear other voices from all over and especially the GOOD PEOPLE OF TEXAS!!!!!!!!!
Well, he better start kissing up to more than just Austin if that’s what Obama hopes. Even Mitt Romney would walk away with Texas. Call me cynical but if he targeted a set of ads just at Texas with the theme “Yee Haw! I shot Osama Bin Ladin!” he’d probably gain 15% from that.
Title should read:
Obama’s campaign manager insults Texans.
Anything is possible.
RE: Hes delusional if he thinks hell carry Texas.
His team is hoping against hope to galvanize the Hispanic vote ( and maybe gather enough illegals in the process ) to make it a competitive state. Just sayin’...
BTW, is it correct to assume that Most Hispanics everywhere in the US WILL AUTOMATICALLY GO FOR THE DEMOCRAT?
I think it is a case of they really believe perception trumps reality. If they can gin up a facade of uber-confidence, they believe it will mean the difference between winning and losing.
Given the sad state of the populace, they may be correct.
Obama will win Hell before he wins Texas.
Sadly, Texas might be closer than we like...
The dems recruited Gen. Sanchez to run for the Senate to attract the (38%) Hispanic vote.
And Obama will carry the (12%) black vote.
“(His campaign team believes he has a chance of winning Texas)” then his team is on drugs.
My son-in-law is 1/2 Hispanic and staunch Republican.
The Hispanic demographic BS will not fly in Texas.
The Lying Commie Muzzie “Barry the Bastard” had best not mess with Texas.
If Bin Laden had camped out in El Paso he’d still be alive. We only care about terrorists who are half a world away - not the ones who are beheading our people and trashing their bodies right here in this country.
Or so seems to think the “hero” who bravely ordered (or didn’t order, depending on which day’s story you believe) our SEALs to kill Bin Laden.
Even the latinos need to think whether they really want to allow the same people who have made Mexico into a hell on earth to be able to follow them and their families into the US. Why do they think the drug wars would stop here, or the beheadings, or any of the stuff?
What they should be pushing for - if they really wanted a way to escape the hellish conditions their own corrupt government winks at there - is a border with integrity so people don’t have to wait forever to get legal permission to enter the US from the southern border. Then they could apply to enter the US, get approved, and come here legally while the crooks who are making their lives miserable now are stuck staying there.
It doesn’t help anybody if the lifeboat has an open hole in it. It just means there is NO PLACE where the water is held at bay. If we let Mexico’s “water” invade the US “boat”, it will just sink the boat and we’ll ALL be under water.
He’s probably betting on, if he can declare amnesty soon enough, all the illegals currently in TX will no doubt vote for him in 2012. I think he’ll try an end run on amnesty, something like declaring Mexico too dangerous to allow people to return without significant risk to their safety and well-being, so they will just be allowed to stay in the US.
He better try and hold Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Nevada and alot of others.
“O” is down there working on the ‘fix’
Perhaps it’s a rope-a-dope to try to get the GOP to dump precious money and resources in to a secure state.
No Chance in HELL!
Obama treats Texas the way a dog treats a fire hydrant.
Half the Hispanics in Texas can't vote.
Yeah right! Since he won’t even be able to win Ohio again without ACORN, it will have to be a frosty Friday in Hell before he can win Texas.
Thanks. I needed a big laugh.
“Sadly, Texas might be closer than we like...
The dems recruited Gen. Sanchez to run for the Senate to attract the (38%) Hispanic vote.
And Obama will carry the (12%) black vote.”
They tried that in 2002 with their “dream team” ... it flopped.
Did Hector Uribe beat Jerry Patterson in 2010? Nope.
Did Noriega beat Cornyn in 2008? Nope.
In 2008, there were several African-Americans who won statewide in Texas. ALL WERE REPUBLICANS. Including my favorite and potential 2012 nominee - Michael Williams.
Ted Cruz, son of Cuban immigrants, is running too.
If we have a Pawlenty/Rubio ticket, and Williams on the ballot ... he he he.
So we may have a Hispanic or black win Texas in 2012 - and it will be a REPUBLICAN.
I personally think he’s counting on there not being an election.
He’s watching Texas burn, Missouri float away, and Virginia being blown away and refusing to let FEMA help any of them. Political revenge.
Look for an engineered “natural disaster” (earthquake, floods, and tornadoes, courtesy of HAARP which the experts say have been used all spring for the tornadoes and flooding, as well as for the earthquakes all over) or an engineered “terror attack” (courtesy of the critically-timed Bin Laden strike and by Eric Holder and Janet Napolitano’s stupid policies) - or both - to throw the country into martial law.
He’s an illegal enemy combatant in the White House as evidenced by his latest blatant forged BC and he is getting ever more belligerent and in-your-face at a time when he supposedly “needs” public approval for the next election.
I hope I’m wrong. We will see.
Well his “team” (or whoever feeds the TOTUS) seems to ALSO think that Texas has historically been a Republican stronghold - when 25 years ago you could run a yellow dog with a D by its name and Texans would elect it.
Hey, 0, is that stuff you're drinking good???
He would win Texas only if he declared that no REPUBLICANS could be on the ballot in Texas. :-)
He has no chance in Texas. Nor does the recent ‘rat recruit for the Senate. Both will go down, badly.
I find it humorous that so many think that the “hispanic” vote will hinge on how the Parties treat the Illegal issue, as if they vote in a block. News flash: lots of folks are legal immigrants, who jumped through all the hoops and did it all right and proper. Now there is a pandering bunch of politicians who are dangling a carrot that they think will get them votes. The problem is, that strategy may play well in the minds of identity-politics folks, but in reality the idea of Amnesty really annoys the people who did it right. And it will galvanize many others who are generally not even interested in voting.
and our legislature just passed the photo ID to be able to vote, so that will keep a lot of them home :)
(His campaign team believes he has a chance of winning Texas)
Obviously their West Texas supporters have them smoking Peyote again...
“How legit of a candidate is he [Gen. Sanchez]? And who are the Republicans recruiting to run against him down there?”
Sanchez was the commander on the scene in Iraq when Abu Ghurab took place. He got brought home early because of the poor job he was doing, and forced to take early retirement. (He was also listed as a “war criminal” by peacenuts, so he is a marvelous example of how identity politics trumps everything else for Democrats. Hispanic and running as a Democrat = your past is forgiven.)
On the Republican side the two most outstanding candidates (in my opinion) are Michael Williams (I’d follow him through Hell with a gallon of gasoline) and Ted Cruz (also a first rate conservative).
This whole “Texas gonna flip Dem” is as much a scam as the poll showing Obama with a 60% approval rating.
He would have traction in the cites. What his people probably do not understand is how vast the ‘suburbs’ around the urban rotten spots are. He is probably also thinking every Hispanic vote would go for him. He would be wrong. TexMex people are very socially conservative, and many of them are small business owners and fiercely patriotic.
He could probably count on Dallas proper, Austin, and Houston.
I think these are just lies used to bilk Texas Democrats of their free cash.
Betting on Obama to contest let alone to win Texas is a real sucker bet.
I’d say he’s legit.
He’ll make in-roads with latinos and some of our military families.
Texas, Illinois ?
“Sounds like just the type of military officer that Democrats like to recruit. He’ll be in the Wesley Clark wing of Democratic politics.”
Pretty much nails it.
if it's true that he has a billion dollar war chest, he's going to be able to make the Republican candidate spend money in places they weren't planning on needing to spend money. They can afford to play an attrition game, stretching the Republican thin.
ElPaso AIN’T exactly “TEXAS”...it is more like little MEXICO!
Hispanic - 499,242 (80.5%)
White alone - 88,318 (14.2%)
Black alone - 16,043 (2.6%)
Asian alone - 8,285 (1.3%)
(1976) was the last time that a Democratic candidate carried any of the following states: Texas, South Carolina, North Carolina, Mississippi and Alabama.”
In last 50 years
Obama touts Osama killing at Texas fundraiser
EL PASO, Texas (CNN) - On his first campaign stop since U.S. Navy SEALs killed Osama Bin Laden, President Obama told some 750 supporters at a fundraiser in Austin, Texas that bin Laden is no longer a threat.
President Barack Obama renewed his push for comprehensive immigration reform Tuesday, citing America’s legacy as a nation of immigrants and saying that finding a solution for millions of undocumented workers is critical to the country’s common future.
“We define ourselves as a nation of immigrants — a nation that welcomes those willing to embrace America’s precepts,” Obama said during a visit to El Paso, Texas.
“It doesn’t matter where you come from. What matters is that you believe in the ideals on which we were founded, that you believe all of us are equal,” he said. “In embracing America, you can become American. That is what makes this country great.”
Yeah, around Fort Hood especially.../s