Posted on 06/11/2011 12:05:03 PM PDT by Cincinatus' Wife
MAY 18, 2011 - Being a Southerner conveys certain advantages upon a Republican presidential candidate.
Since 1980, a Southerner has finished first or second in every Iowa Republican presidential caucus.
[snip]
The White House has been occupied by a Southerner — counting the Massachusetts-born and decidedly patrician George H.W. Bush, who resided in Texas at the time he ran for office — in 30 of the past 46 years. I’m not sure this is entirely a coincidence....
[snip]
If a candidate dominates the South — and it’s much easier for a Southern candidate to do that — he’ll have made a lot of headway into winning the votes and delegates that he’ll need to secure his party’s nomination.... a candidate like Mr. Perry, who would have advantages like fundraising and establishment support that would extend to all corners of the country, ...doing very well in the South and still well enough outside of it to win his party’s nomination.
For a Republican candidate, in fact, this advantage may be especially powerful because of a demographic quirk related to Iowa, the first and most important state in the nominating process. Some 60 percent of Iowa Republican voters are born-again Christians — about the same fraction as in many Southern states....
......He’d stand a good chance at doing well in Iowa, and if he did, he’d probably follow it up with a win in South Carolina, and possibly also Florida. And then he’d pick up plenty of delegates in the Southern states that voted on Super Tuesday and beyond — including of course Texas, which itself accounts for 140 delegates.
So don’t sell the Southern Republicans short yet — the advantages the primary system offers to candidates like Mr. Perry could be more than enough to make up for a late start.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com ...
I was not mentioning them in order of preference or any order. Ron Paul would just be one more person to split the conservative votes, as I said.
Or, being a far, far Northerner...(wink wink)
You may be right but I think Governor Perry is the only GOP candidate who has what it takes to beat Obama.
I like the Alaskan antivenin!
Perry has a lot to offer too — for one thing, he makes Sarah Palin’s accent sound good. Ha! (I don’t mind Sarah’s accent — I probably sound a bit like her myself).
LOL
You betcha!
True. I think Perry can be Cosmopolitan enough for the crowd. Another thing to factor in are all the northerners/midwesterners/westerners who have fled to the south (in particular TX) for jobs and lower taxes (maybe they'll email the folks who stayed behind and tell them to vote for the TX guy).
Perry has been the douche against the turd sandwich in EVERY one of his re-election campaigns. All the people running against him have been losers.
I'm not alone here and Texans in the know will keep posting about Perry over and over. He did nothing on the border, nothing about illegals except give their children in-state tuition rates, allowed santuary cities, the insane Guardasil mess which was just embarrasing for him, the Trans-Texas Corridor land grab. He is no conservative. He can talk like one and get someone to help him write a book and speeches where he sounds conservative but it is just an act.
Perry has no other skills than to be in some political office. He is like Weiner, he needs a job where the taxpayers pay him. Because he has no other skills. He will say and act any way that is required so he can set his sails so he has the wind to his back. There is no there there when it comes to Rick Perry. He is all talk.
RINO RINO RINO RINO!!!!
If only there was some way to guardasil Perry from becoming the nominee. Maybe the Texas Transit Corridor has some ideas.
I have posted before against Perry, but, contrary to what some are saying, his record is no worse than mixed. Bachmann is more consistently conservative, but Perry has a more conservative record than most of the field. He has also been an effective legislative strategist in a weak-governor form of state government.
What are his flaws? His endorsing Rudy in 2008 was an absurd thing for a Texas governor to do. Then, there are the TTC and Gardasil fiascos. He also has been more talk than action on border enforcement until recently (but he has been quite serious on the border issue in this legislative session). Nevertheless, he has done a moderately good job of constraining taxes and spending (under the Texas Constitution he has far less legislative influence than outsiders would assume), he has been consistently good on promoting a culture of life, and he has been willing to stand up to the Feds on occasion (including mentioning the “S” word (secession), which is an unusually bold thing for governor to do).
Without going into all of the details, Perry is something of a conservative with some RINO tendencies. Currently, Perry is trending strongly to the right. He isn’t my first, second, or third choice, but he is better than Romney, Gingrich, Huntsman, Daniels (who is not getting in), Trump (who is out for now), and Pawlenty. He is also more electable than people I like better.
NYT PLEADS:ANYONE BUT PALIN!!!
Lmao.
That’s just silly.
There are several candidates that could beat Obama like a red haired stepchild...
Pawlenty, Cain, Romney, & Palin.
copy cat
*grin*
That’s just silly.
There are several candidates that could beat Obama like a red haired stepchild...
Pawlenty, Cain, Romney, & Palin.
“He is also more electable than people I like better.”
That’s what I’m thinking. And he has to be an improvement over Obama!
So the reason they're trying so desperately to find incriminating evidence in the Alaska email dump is because they want her to run?
Logic isn't your strong suit, is it?
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