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Tropical Depression Four HAS FORMED in Gulf.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ ^ | 07-27-2011 | NOAA Staff

Posted on 07/27/2011 12:10:42 PM PDT by Red Badger

000 ABNT20 KNHC 271746 TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH OF CANCUN MEXICO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA...AND IF IT CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF A CIRCULATION...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT..OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$ FORECASTER BEVEN


TOPICS: US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; tropicaldepression; tropicalstorm
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1 posted on 07/27/2011 12:10:45 PM PDT by Red Badger
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To: NautiNurse

Ping!.............


2 posted on 07/27/2011 12:11:25 PM PDT by Red Badger (PEAS in our time? Obama cries PEAS! PEAS! when there is no PEAS!..........................)
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To: Red Badger
Dear As-Yet Unnamed Tropical Depression:

Please come to Texas and stay for a while.

Cordially yours,

Milton Miteybad's Parched Lawn
3 posted on 07/27/2011 12:14:04 PM PDT by Milton Miteybad (I am Jim Thompson. {Really.})
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To: Milton Miteybad
We'll take it!

4 posted on 07/27/2011 12:15:32 PM PDT by evets (beer)
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To: Red Badger
Looks like I better make a beervittles run.. even tho that thingy is 2,000 miles away. :-)

Is it me or has it been kind of quiet - HUrricane-wise? Wad's Up wid dat? (knock on wood)

How much do forecasters make these days?

5 posted on 07/27/2011 12:16:15 PM PDT by NormsRevenge (Semper Fi ... Godspeed .. Monthly Donor Onboard .. Obama: Epic Fail or Bust!!!)
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To: Milton Miteybad

I have to say I dont want destruction but please oh please bring rain to Texas!!!!


6 posted on 07/27/2011 12:16:24 PM PDT by GoCards (RUN SARAH RUN)
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To: Milton Miteybad
Dear As-Yet Unnamed Tropical Depression:
Please come to Texas and stay for a while.

LOL, I hear ya. I was watching KHOU news last night and Gene Norman was basically reporting an impending TS as good news for our parched area!

7 posted on 07/27/2011 12:16:51 PM PDT by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: Red Badger
Let's hope our Texas friends can get some much needed rain from this.
8 posted on 07/27/2011 12:17:26 PM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (I love how the FR spellchecker doesn't recognize the word "Obama")
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To: Milton Miteybad

This one seems Texas bound, and not expected to intensify rapidly. Glad you folks will get the rain.


9 posted on 07/27/2011 12:17:32 PM PDT by ZX12R (FUBO GTFO 2012 !)
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To: Red Badger

Please, God!

Hurricane Celia formed the gulf and hit Corpus Chrisi in 1970. Nice sized storm. Caused a lot of damage. I’ll take some damage in exchange for the rain.


10 posted on 07/27/2011 12:17:40 PM PDT by Terry Mross (I'll only vote for a SECOND party.)
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To: GoCards
I have to say I dont want destruction but please oh please bring rain to Texas!!!!

A 70 mph tropical storm, moving slowly but steadily, would do wonders for the state's drought.

11 posted on 07/27/2011 12:19:01 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

When you all are finished with it could you direct it to eastern NC?


12 posted on 07/27/2011 12:20:55 PM PDT by Bob Buchholz
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To: Milton Miteybad

Hee hee...your lawn speaks for many Texas lawns, including mine!


13 posted on 07/27/2011 12:22:20 PM PDT by Jane Long (2 Chron 7:14)
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To: Bob Buchholz

You’ll have to get your own cyclone. Texas is so dry it could suck all the moisture out of a Cat 5 before it got to Oklahoma.


14 posted on 07/27/2011 12:22:27 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: txhurl; basil; SwinneySwitch; lormand; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; Xenalyte; BJClinton; LUV W; MEG33; ...

We sure could use some rain in Texas!


15 posted on 07/27/2011 12:25:11 PM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (zero hates Texas and we hate him back. He ain't my president either.)
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To: Arrowhead1952

Bring it on....


16 posted on 07/27/2011 12:31:37 PM PDT by Rightly Biased (Do you know how awkward it is to have a political argument with a naked man?)
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To: GoCards

No offense but how about let it hover over Gainesville, Fl for a week before heading your way...


17 posted on 07/27/2011 12:31:52 PM PDT by aces
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To: GoCards

DITTO - come to Texas - be kind to the coast... It has been so HOT - that I had a watermelon EXPLODE two days ago in my garden... 105 that day... Weird looking to see watermelon shrapnel in your garden... the bees like it though.


18 posted on 07/27/2011 12:49:13 PM PDT by ICCtheWay (S)
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To: ICCtheWay

I hope this baby makes it to mid western AR. If it does I will sleep on my deck during the entire time it rains!


19 posted on 07/27/2011 12:54:30 PM PDT by mosaicwolf (Strength and Honor)
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To: Arrowhead1952; Texas Fossil; bgill; txhurl

...and all the other Texas gardening peeps: good luck on the rain. Tropical storms can be a hard way to get the needed precipitation, but I suppose right now y’all ain’t picky.


20 posted on 07/27/2011 12:56:08 PM PDT by Free Vulcan (Vote Republican! You can vote Democrat when you're dead.)
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To: dirtboy

I was raised in southwest Oklahoma and left in ‘71. We were in the middle of one of those droughts then and I remember how bad it was for the farmers, which is just about all we had other than the Air Force base.

At least out here we have more industry and they really don’t know what a drought is, but my lawn could sure use a drink (come to think of it, so could I).

Will pray for all of you in the Southwest and hope you get some relief.


21 posted on 07/27/2011 12:58:37 PM PDT by Bob Buchholz
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To: Terry Mross
"I’ll take some damage in exchange for the rain. "

I wonder how many millions or billions in losses the farmers and ranchers have already incurred? Or would that be insurance companies?

22 posted on 07/27/2011 1:03:49 PM PDT by matthew fuller (Forget impeachment- Extradite obama, biden, napolitano, muller, clinton and holder. Country saved!)
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To: NormsRevenge

It’s just now getting into high hurricane season.


23 posted on 07/27/2011 1:04:32 PM PDT by lonestar (It takes a village of idiots to elect a village idiot.)
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To: HereInTheHeartland

We could use some rain here in mid-MO...


24 posted on 07/27/2011 1:08:44 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Eh ?)
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To: Arrowhead1952

Indeed, I hate to wish a hurricane on anyone, but if it would bring rain to west Texas, I might have to make an exception!


25 posted on 07/27/2011 1:13:49 PM PDT by LUV W (obama's "balanced approach" means Washington spends more, you pay more.)
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To: Red Badger

Gasoline back to more than $4.00 a gallon with every little TD anywhere near Louisiana.


26 posted on 07/27/2011 1:19:22 PM PDT by decisis
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To: Red Badger

Gasoline back to more than $4.00 a gallon with every little TD anywhere near Louisiana.


27 posted on 07/27/2011 1:19:22 PM PDT by decisis
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To: Red Badger

Gasoline back to more than $4.00 a gallon with every little TD anywhere near Louisiana.


28 posted on 07/27/2011 1:19:33 PM PDT by decisis
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To: Free Vulcan

No, we are not picky right now. Lake Travis is right at 50% capacity and every city around here draws water from it, so it is getting critical. We have been under a burn ban for months.


29 posted on 07/27/2011 1:23:42 PM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (zero hates Texas and we hate him back. He ain't my president either.)
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To: LUV W

Dittos on that.


30 posted on 07/27/2011 1:24:34 PM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (zero hates Texas and we hate him back. He ain't my president either.)
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To: Arrowhead1952

This is the storm I was telling you about last week! You don’t know how hard I’ve been praying, staring at Don right as he was born and visualizing his rain up and over from my laptop screen out the window to our dying lake.

Praise You Lord! You haven’t forgotten Texas!

I am buying a case of Champagne for my neighbors and I and we will quit slurping when it stops raining!


31 posted on 07/27/2011 1:24:56 PM PDT by txhurl (Did you want to talk or fish?)
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To: Milton Miteybad
Dear As-Yet Unnamed Tropical Depression: Please come to Texas and stay for a while.

AMEN to that!

32 posted on 07/27/2011 1:32:45 PM PDT by YellowRoseofTx
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To: Red Badger; NautiNurse
From Wunderground.com:

Tropical Depression Four Has Formed in the Gulf of Mexico Tropical Depression Four has formed in the Gulf of Mexico north of the Yucatan Peninsula, with a maximum sustained wind speed of 35 mph. It will track west over the next couple of days toward the Texas coast.

Updating your headline accordingly and calling in the Hurricane hostess.

33 posted on 07/27/2011 1:34:45 PM PDT by Admin Moderator
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To: Red Badger

Gulf Weather System Nearly Certain To Become A Tropical Cyclone
http://rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=109515

Shell, one of the largest producers in the Gulf of Mexico, said it has evacuated some non-essential personnel from its southwest operations due to the threat of a possible storm.

The company said it evacuated about 70 people and that production isn’t affected. Evacuation started Tuesday and continued Wednesday, the company said.

“These personnel are not essential to core producing,” the company said.

Shell said it began securing operations on the Perdido platform, which it operates in partnership with Chevron and BP. About 200 miles south of Galveston, Texas, in about 8,000 feet of water, the Perdido platform is the world’s deepest drilling and production platform. Its peak production is the equivalent of about 100,000 barrels of oil per day.

Shell also said it is securing operations on the Noble Danny Adkins, a deep-water drill ship it is leasing from Noble which is working in the vicinity of the Perdido platform. Noble spokesman John Breed said the company isn’t evacuating workers from the rig but is “securing operations” aboard the ship.

Other major Gulf of Mexico producers BP, Chevron and ConocoPhillips said Wednesday they are monitoring the weather and developing plans should it threaten their operations.

excerpted due to Dow Jones...


34 posted on 07/27/2011 1:36:11 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: txhurl

Our congregation has had prayers for rain for several months. Everyone I know has been praying for rain in Texas.


35 posted on 07/27/2011 1:40:10 PM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (zero hates Texas and we hate him back. He ain't my president either.)
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To: Admin Moderator

36 posted on 07/27/2011 1:40:30 PM PDT by wolfcreek (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lsd7DGqVSIc)
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To: Red Badger

If it stays as forecasted then it will be a blessing to any part of Texas that gets it as we all need rain. The winds appear to be less than Hurricane strength if it goes as predicted.

37 posted on 07/27/2011 1:40:57 PM PDT by deport
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To: evets

Looks like it’s headed right for Ron Paul’s district.


38 posted on 07/27/2011 1:47:29 PM PDT by Paleo Conservative
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To: deport

WooHoo come on blue line, that’s right over my house. Hope it rains enough to drown the grasshoppers!


39 posted on 07/27/2011 1:51:46 PM PDT by Bassfire (Remember the Alamo!)
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To: LUV W

I’m sitting here in incredulity.

There’s a TD that’s formed in the Gulf. How long before it might become a hurricane? Who knows.

Where are the models expecting it to hit? Most likely, Texas. Texas, where the weather has been unseasonably warm since May.

I live in the Pacific Northwest...the ONLY part of the country to have cooler and wetter than normal weather for this summer.

On Saturday, my wife and I are going on vacation. Our kids are already at the place where we’re going. Anyone care to guess WHERE they are and WHERE we’re going?

You got it. TEXAS. About 45 miles north of Houston. And it looks like one of those forecast tracks is taking it right over the top of where my in-law’s place is.

I was looking forward to escaping the rain. I can’t win for losing.


40 posted on 07/27/2011 1:54:17 PM PDT by hoagy62 (Help stamp out crack-pull up your pants.)
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To: dirtboy; Arrowhead1952
Texas is so dry it could suck all the moisture out of a Cat 5 before it got to Oklahoma.

Ain't that the truth!

41 posted on 07/27/2011 1:54:58 PM PDT by Allegra (Hey! Stop looking at my tagline like that.)
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To: Red Badger; All
Just about all model maps at this site (Bottom of web page):

Mid-Atlantic WX

Been using this site for years.

42 posted on 07/27/2011 1:54:58 PM PDT by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Rush, Hannity......Nuff said.)
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To: Bassfire

Oh...and the blue line is the track in question that goes over my in-law’s.

Heh.


43 posted on 07/27/2011 1:55:30 PM PDT by hoagy62 (Help stamp out crack-pull up your pants.)
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To: Paleo Conservative
Looks like it’s headed right for Ron Paul’s district.

And John Culberson's district.

44 posted on 07/27/2011 1:56:36 PM PDT by Allegra (Hey! Stop looking at my tagline like that.)
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To: Bassfire

I was just thinking about Tropical Storm Allison, June, 2001 which inundated the Houston area with 40 inches of rain in 24 hours. So I guess it could do some major damage without the wind force doing it.

Images for TS Allison:

http://www.google.com/search?q=tropical+storm+allison&hl=en&biw=1208&bih=528&prmd=ivns&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ei=KHgwTpyaF5S5tgebx6CkCQ&sqi=2&ved=0CEwQsAQ


45 posted on 07/27/2011 2:05:22 PM PDT by deport
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To: deport
Tropical Storm Allison

Remember that one well, it gave us 28 inches when it moved east into Louisiana.

46 posted on 07/27/2011 2:11:22 PM PDT by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Rush, Hannity......Nuff said.)
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To: mosaicwolf

I hope this baby makes it to mid western AR. If it does I will sleep on my deck during the entire time it rains!


I’m looking around at dry creeks to lay in when the water comes.

BTW, you don’t HOPE. PRAY. and visualize!


47 posted on 07/27/2011 2:11:57 PM PDT by txhurl (Did you want to talk or fish?)
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To: hoagy62

You’re leaving the Pacific NW and vacationing in Texas - in the middle of the summer?

Good Lord, I hope you’re visiting relatives.


48 posted on 07/27/2011 2:14:36 PM PDT by Nachoman (Wisdom is learned, cynicism is earned.)
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To: Allegra; dirtboy
Texas is so dry it could suck all the moisture out of a Cat 5 before it got to Oklahoma.

Ain't that the truth!

So true. If we don't get rain soon, there will be a lot more trees dying. Crops are already ruined.

49 posted on 07/27/2011 2:20:22 PM PDT by Arrowhead1952 (zero hates Texas and we hate him back. He ain't my president either.)
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To: Nachoman

Yep, my in-laws. Our kids are already down there, have been since late June.

It was the only time both myself and my wife could have off at the same time.


50 posted on 07/27/2011 2:21:10 PM PDT by hoagy62 (Help stamp out crack-pull up your pants.)
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