Posted on 07/27/2011 12:10:42 PM PDT by Red Badger
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271746 TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2011
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM COULD BE FORMING ABOUT 90 MILES NORTH OF CANCUN MEXICO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE AREA...AND IF IT CONFIRMS THE PRESENCE OF A CIRCULATION...ADVISORIES WILL BE INITIATED THIS AFTERNOON. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT..OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Ping!.............
Is it me or has it been kind of quiet - HUrricane-wise? Wad's Up wid dat? (knock on wood)
How much do forecasters make these days?
I have to say I dont want destruction but please oh please bring rain to Texas!!!!
LOL, I hear ya. I was watching KHOU news last night and Gene Norman was basically reporting an impending TS as good news for our parched area!
This one seems Texas bound, and not expected to intensify rapidly. Glad you folks will get the rain.
Please, God!
Hurricane Celia formed the gulf and hit Corpus Chrisi in 1970. Nice sized storm. Caused a lot of damage. I’ll take some damage in exchange for the rain.
A 70 mph tropical storm, moving slowly but steadily, would do wonders for the state's drought.
When you all are finished with it could you direct it to eastern NC?
Hee hee...your lawn speaks for many Texas lawns, including mine!
You’ll have to get your own cyclone. Texas is so dry it could suck all the moisture out of a Cat 5 before it got to Oklahoma.
We sure could use some rain in Texas!
Bring it on....
No offense but how about let it hover over Gainesville, Fl for a week before heading your way...
DITTO - come to Texas - be kind to the coast... It has been so HOT - that I had a watermelon EXPLODE two days ago in my garden... 105 that day... Weird looking to see watermelon shrapnel in your garden... the bees like it though.
I hope this baby makes it to mid western AR. If it does I will sleep on my deck during the entire time it rains!
...and all the other Texas gardening peeps: good luck on the rain. Tropical storms can be a hard way to get the needed precipitation, but I suppose right now y’all ain’t picky.
I was raised in southwest Oklahoma and left in ‘71. We were in the middle of one of those droughts then and I remember how bad it was for the farmers, which is just about all we had other than the Air Force base.
At least out here we have more industry and they really don’t know what a drought is, but my lawn could sure use a drink (come to think of it, so could I).
Will pray for all of you in the Southwest and hope you get some relief.
I wonder how many millions or billions in losses the farmers and ranchers have already incurred? Or would that be insurance companies?
It’s just now getting into high hurricane season.
We could use some rain here in mid-MO...
Indeed, I hate to wish a hurricane on anyone, but if it would bring rain to west Texas, I might have to make an exception!
Gasoline back to more than $4.00 a gallon with every little TD anywhere near Louisiana.
Gasoline back to more than $4.00 a gallon with every little TD anywhere near Louisiana.
Gasoline back to more than $4.00 a gallon with every little TD anywhere near Louisiana.
No, we are not picky right now. Lake Travis is right at 50% capacity and every city around here draws water from it, so it is getting critical. We have been under a burn ban for months.
Dittos on that.
This is the storm I was telling you about last week! You don’t know how hard I’ve been praying, staring at Don right as he was born and visualizing his rain up and over from my laptop screen out the window to our dying lake.
Praise You Lord! You haven’t forgotten Texas!
I am buying a case of Champagne for my neighbors and I and we will quit slurping when it stops raining!
AMEN to that!
Tropical Depression Four Has Formed in the Gulf of Mexico Tropical Depression Four has formed in the Gulf of Mexico north of the Yucatan Peninsula, with a maximum sustained wind speed of 35 mph. It will track west over the next couple of days toward the Texas coast.
Updating your headline accordingly and calling in the Hurricane hostess.
Gulf Weather System Nearly Certain To Become A Tropical Cyclone
http://rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=109515
Shell, one of the largest producers in the Gulf of Mexico, said it has evacuated some non-essential personnel from its southwest operations due to the threat of a possible storm.
The company said it evacuated about 70 people and that production isn’t affected. Evacuation started Tuesday and continued Wednesday, the company said.
“These personnel are not essential to core producing,” the company said.
Shell said it began securing operations on the Perdido platform, which it operates in partnership with Chevron and BP. About 200 miles south of Galveston, Texas, in about 8,000 feet of water, the Perdido platform is the world’s deepest drilling and production platform. Its peak production is the equivalent of about 100,000 barrels of oil per day.
Shell also said it is securing operations on the Noble Danny Adkins, a deep-water drill ship it is leasing from Noble which is working in the vicinity of the Perdido platform. Noble spokesman John Breed said the company isn’t evacuating workers from the rig but is “securing operations” aboard the ship.
Other major Gulf of Mexico producers BP, Chevron and ConocoPhillips said Wednesday they are monitoring the weather and developing plans should it threaten their operations.
excerpted due to Dow Jones...
Our congregation has had prayers for rain for several months. Everyone I know has been praying for rain in Texas.
If it stays as forecasted then it will be a blessing to any part of Texas that gets it as we all need rain. The winds appear to be less than Hurricane strength if it goes as predicted.
Looks like it’s headed right for Ron Paul’s district.
WooHoo come on blue line, that’s right over my house. Hope it rains enough to drown the grasshoppers!
I’m sitting here in incredulity.
There’s a TD that’s formed in the Gulf. How long before it might become a hurricane? Who knows.
Where are the models expecting it to hit? Most likely, Texas. Texas, where the weather has been unseasonably warm since May.
I live in the Pacific Northwest...the ONLY part of the country to have cooler and wetter than normal weather for this summer.
On Saturday, my wife and I are going on vacation. Our kids are already at the place where we’re going. Anyone care to guess WHERE they are and WHERE we’re going?
You got it. TEXAS. About 45 miles north of Houston. And it looks like one of those forecast tracks is taking it right over the top of where my in-law’s place is.
I was looking forward to escaping the rain. I can’t win for losing.
Ain't that the truth!
Been using this site for years.
Oh...and the blue line is the track in question that goes over my in-law’s.
Heh.
And John Culberson's district.
I was just thinking about Tropical Storm Allison, June, 2001 which inundated the Houston area with 40 inches of rain in 24 hours. So I guess it could do some major damage without the wind force doing it.
Images for TS Allison:
Remember that one well, it gave us 28 inches when it moved east into Louisiana.
I hope this baby makes it to mid western AR. If it does I will sleep on my deck during the entire time it rains!
BTW, you don’t HOPE. PRAY. and visualize!
You’re leaving the Pacific NW and vacationing in Texas - in the middle of the summer?
Good Lord, I hope you’re visiting relatives.
Ain't that the truth!
So true. If we don't get rain soon, there will be a lot more trees dying. Crops are already ruined.
Yep, my in-laws. Our kids are already down there, have been since late June.
It was the only time both myself and my wife could have off at the same time.
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