“I dont trust al-Reuters analysis....what do those in Wisconsin say?”
It looks like we’ll get one back, the Northwoods race looks real good for Simac.
The Wirch race, I have no idea - likely the incumbent holds, that’s just my hunch.
I don’t spend any time over in the Kenosha area (Wirch)
I have been up North twice and it looks like it’s Simac’s race to lose.
My Two Pennies anyway -
It really depends on turnout....the Dems are dispirited..the race really means nothing to them..if a lot of them skip the polls, and the GOP turns out en masse you could take ‘em both..if you do, that will probably end any idea of recalling Walker..
The first go round (six Republican Senators recall effort) the unions poured money into the campaign (something near $25,000,000) and lost 4 to 2 with one of the two being a squeaker that could have gone either way 'till the end. I live in the 22nd Senatorial district (Wirch) and have seen yard signs for both candidates but not near as many as you'd expect. Lots of "robo-calls" for Seitz from Governor Walker and Pat Boone to name a few. I have yet to get a call pushing Wirch. Slick glossy mailings for both keep appearing in the junk mail and 30 second TV spots are popping up with Wirch back to back with Seitz.
Weirdest thing, I went to "YouTube.com" to view some clips and every clip started with an anti-Seitz spot tacked on the front. They also had some anti Seitz stuff in a sidebar ad. Most of the demo push isn't pro Wirch as much as anti Seitz. They are up to their usual class warfare painting Seitz as an lawyer for big corporate interests when nearly all of the "big corporations" have fled Kenosha County and lots of smaller business have taken their place. I don't think that class warfare is going to play very well here and running and hiding for three weeks out of state doesn't sit well with most people either.
I'm wondering if the unions shot their wad in the first round and haven't got enough left to put up much of a fight for Wirch. Just from what I'm seeing here, it looks like Seitz has a better than even chance of winning. Here's hoping!