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Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.
Buoy Data:
Caribbean Sea
Florida
Here in Miami, finally finished boarding up the house. On a plane to CA tomorrow. I don’t wish any hell on the Bahamas or Carolinas, but will certainly be glad to see it miss us, if it does, as now seems more likely.
Yeah, the trend seems to be shifting eastward. Of particular note is the Canadian model that I mentioned this morning: its latest run shifts from almost the “most westward” to being the “most eastward” of all forecasting models. That’s a huge swing.... but if that holds, then there might be no mainland US strike at all.
(Just to be clear, though: the official NHC track is now pointing toward Hilton Head — but I’ll look forward to the morning adjustments.)
Oh I don’t post much in those; I don’t even get half of what they are saying. But it is very interesting nonetheless.
I bought a generator in late Summer 1999. While in line with it on a pallet, the guy behind me asked “Is that a Y2K generator”.
I said “That’s an Atlanta Winter ice storm, hurricane Opal, Dunwoody Tornado, Y2K generator.”
Y2K came and went, no big deal. We had a Winter storm in late January of 2000 and were without utility power for 60 hours, and my SIL/BIL used the generator for another day beyond that, as they didn’t get power back as quickly. As far as I am concerned, that insurance cost (because that is how you should look at a generator purchase) paid for itself in that event in the first year of ownership, and every time I’ve used it since was just gravy (probably 2-3 times). It’s still going strong, I change the oil annually and exercise it quarterly.
OK, I like the track movement offshore to the east. Now let’s pick up speed and get to Martha’s grape vines toute de suite
/Salute
On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here--> 
For sure I have so many friends from the NC line all the way to Atlantic Beach as well,hope they batten down the hatches.
Forward speed is really important in these big storms if it will get in and get out even 12 mph is a good forward speed,its when they stall that the damage is done.
Yeah true, but if it does not hit the mountains of Hispanola the track probably will remain true.
Same here. Lived through Rita. Anyone who thinks they are macho enough to go through a hurricane, needs to think again.
Well ain’t that something. Looks to be trackin’ right over the beach house. Wife and MIL will run down Thursday and batten the hatches. I got the Sunday cleanup run.
The way the lot sits the home is protected from north winds if the eye goes in around Southport or more east.
Comes in around Holden Beach and we’re toast.
I am hoping that the predicted track continues to shift eastward otherwise it’s a road trip to EI and back on Thursday for me! Ugh.
Now it looks like Floyd (1999).
I can remember driving through Princeville a few months later and seeing the water marks from the Tar River on the white town hall building. A muddy streak 2/3s of the way up the building.
Ominously so. Floyd was devastating to us in SE North Carolina.
present - removing potential projectiles from deck and stowed, will pull sails in and take canvas down later today - here we go - weeeeeeeeee
Hurricane Floyd was preceded by Hurricane Dennis, which set up Floyd’s major flooding by dumping 7 inches in Elizabeth City, 5-8” in Wilmington, 19” on Ocracoke Island, 9.9” in Newport and 13.5” in Southport prior to Floyd’s own heavy rainfall.
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