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Hurricane Irene [Now at Cat 3]
NHC/NOAA ^ | 20 August 2011 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Storm Irene has developed from Invest 97 in the Western Atlantic Ocean, east of the Leeward Islands.

Satellite Images

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions

Sea Surface Temps

Buoy Data:


Caribbean Sea
Florida

Stormpulse


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricaneirene; irene; tropical
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2011 Hurricane Season is heating up...
1 posted on 08/20/2011 4:22:08 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse

Good night Irene!


2 posted on 08/20/2011 4:24:38 PM PDT by DeaconBenjamin (A trillion here, a trillion there, soon you're NOT talking real money)
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To: NautiNurse

What do you call an Irish lassie with one leg?

Eileen.

What do you call a Japanese lady with one leg?

Irene.

Sorry. Had to.


3 posted on 08/20/2011 4:25:14 PM PDT by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: DeaconBenjamin
Irene goodnight
4 posted on 08/20/2011 4:26:22 PM PDT by DeaconBenjamin (A trillion here, a trillion there, soon you're NOT talking real money)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; ...
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for Puerto Rico
and the U.S. Virgin Islands...Vieques and Culebra.

Heads up Florida...


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

5 posted on 08/20/2011 4:26:30 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: NautiNurse

My mama’s name is Irene.

Don was a dud. What’s Mama gonna do, I wonder?


6 posted on 08/20/2011 4:28:24 PM PDT by don-o (He will not share His glory and He will NOT be mocked! Blessed be the name of the Lord forever.)
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To: NautiNurse

After living through Ike and the aftermath, it seems to be a little strange how much we, on the Texas coast, are hoping for a storm.


7 posted on 08/20/2011 4:29:14 PM PDT by Ditter
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To: Travis McGee

I think John Madden needs to go to work for the weather channel.


8 posted on 08/20/2011 4:30:34 PM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin)
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To: don-o

This system has had the local wx babblers perked up for a couple of days already.


9 posted on 08/20/2011 4:32:26 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: Ditter

Maybe if all us Texans inhale collectively, we can suck that storm into the Gulf and towards Houston.


10 posted on 08/20/2011 4:36:01 PM PDT by fwdude ("When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve ...")
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To: NautiNurse

I just had to go braggin’ we haven’t had a storm in the Tampa Bay area since 1921. I’m a hurricane nut and picked the Bay Area because I love the Gulf and Pinellas/Hillsboro has about a 1% chance of a direct hit. Mother Nature doesn’t really care about statistics, however.


11 posted on 08/20/2011 4:36:25 PM PDT by numberonepal (Palin/Cain 2012)
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To: fwdude

SST’s in the gulf are mostly over 90F. I’d rather not have a possible Cat 3-5 storm head our way


12 posted on 08/20/2011 4:39:43 PM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: numberonepal
I just had to go braggin’ we haven’t had a storm in the Tampa Bay area since 1921.

There are some things best left unsaid. I'm holding you personally responsible if this storm wallops Tampa Bay. ;o)

13 posted on 08/20/2011 4:41:18 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: fwdude

Great idea you say when! :D


14 posted on 08/20/2011 4:41:26 PM PDT by Ditter
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To: fwdude
Maybe if all us Texans inhale collectively, we can suck that storm into the Gulf and towards Houston.

As my Mom always says...be careful what you wish for. Check out the SST in the GOM. It's near boiling.

15 posted on 08/20/2011 4:47:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: NautiNurse

Oh boy now I can watch the weather the next couple of days and hear the readers mispronounce the Leeward Islands.


16 posted on 08/20/2011 4:56:23 PM PDT by Figment ("A communist is someone who reads Marx.An anti-communist is someone who understands Marx" R Reagan)
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To: NautiNurse

Pulling my vessel on Tuesday. This storm track has me nervous. Added to that, the St. Lucie Lock is only opening at 9:00AM and again at 4:00PM. It should be a “goat rodeo” come Thursday, getting in and thru the locks. They shut things down when the wind reaches 35 knots.


17 posted on 08/20/2011 4:57:37 PM PDT by Capt_Hank (btu's...kcal's...to kJ's, but my activation energy is still high.)
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To: Travis McGee

What do you call an Irish lassie with one leg?

Eileen.

Wasn’t that Paul McCartney’s ex?


18 posted on 08/20/2011 4:59:27 PM PDT by Figment ("A communist is someone who reads Marx.An anti-communist is someone who understands Marx" R Reagan)
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To: Capt_Hank

Sounds like a good plan. Still gives a couple of days to track the storm, allowing another couple of days to beat the crowd.


19 posted on 08/20/2011 5:01:09 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...

Florida Freeper


20 posted on 08/20/2011 5:02:35 PM PDT by Joe Brower (Sheep have three speeds: "graze", "stampede" and "cower".)
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To: Ditter

After living through Ike and the aftermath, it seems to be a little strange how much we, on the Texas coast, are hoping for a storm.

After being in Houston for a week in July I can understand wanting a tropical storm for the rain. It’s a case of careful what you wish for. My prayers to the good folks in Texas for some kind of drought relief


21 posted on 08/20/2011 5:10:52 PM PDT by Figment ("A communist is someone who reads Marx.An anti-communist is someone who understands Marx" R Reagan)
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To: NautiNurse

Keeping an eye on this one....


22 posted on 08/20/2011 5:14:43 PM PDT by Guenevere (....)
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To: NautiNurse
There are some things best left unsaid.

I feel like I'm a magnet anyway:
Camille 1969 - Lived in Long Beach, MS
Eloise 1975 - Lived in Ft Walton Beach, FL
Frederick 1979 - Lived in Mobile, AL
Alicia 1983 - Visiting relatives in Liberty, TX
Opal 1995 - Lived in Atlanta, GA where she blew through with 60 mph sustained winds
Ivan 2004 - Have a home in Gulf Shores, AL (purchased 2003)
Dennis 2005 - Same home in GS, AL
Katrina - Same home in GS, AL

23 posted on 08/20/2011 5:20:49 PM PDT by numberonepal (Palin/Cain 2012)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at201109.html


24 posted on 08/20/2011 5:25:31 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Figment

The heat is brutal but nothing that we haven’t lived through before. The heart break now is our huge 100+ year old oaks and pines are dead, not dying, they are dead. The big trees in yards, for the most part, are still alive because they are being watered but now we have water rationing. It is our beautiful city parks that are suffering. Makes me cry. :(


25 posted on 08/20/2011 5:32:32 PM PDT by Ditter
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.spaghettimodels.com/


26 posted on 08/20/2011 5:38:01 PM PDT by sheikdetailfeather ("Kick The Communists Out Of Your Govt. And Don't Accept Their Goodies"-Yuri Bezmenov-KGB Defector)
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To: Travis McGee
"What do you call an Irish lassie with one leg?...Eileen."

Unless and until she's fitted with a prosthesis. Then you call her "Peg."

27 posted on 08/20/2011 5:45:51 PM PDT by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: NautiNurse
I think Irene could be potentially VERY frightening for southern Florida, especially if the track heads straight towards the city of Miami itself.

Even if you don't get a Category 2 or 3 hurricane, the combination of circa 90-100 mph winds plus the storm surge could heavily damage the very expensive South Beach area of Miami Beach, FL, which could effectively wipe out much of the tourist industry of that city (South Beach is by far the #1 tourist spot in the Miami area).

28 posted on 08/20/2011 5:52:56 PM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: fwdude

I’m with you... But let’s hope for another tropical storm Allison...I wouldn’t wish a hurricane Ike on anyone.


29 posted on 08/20/2011 6:07:51 PM PDT by Tim n Texas
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To: NautiNurse; Joe Brower
Here we go! Got TP? ................... FRegards
30 posted on 08/20/2011 6:10:06 PM PDT by gonzo ( Buy more ammo, dammit! You should already have the firearms .................. FRegards)
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To: fwdude

Doesn’t work I’ve tried!


31 posted on 08/20/2011 6:45:07 PM PDT by PROTESTBYPROXY (We are manning up!!)
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To: RayChuang88

We’ll have a much better idea about likely landfall locations in a couple of days. A lot of the models have trouble with forecast tracks prior to getting a fix on a center of circulation—which only occurred a few hours ago. Like Emily the other week, it could run into the mountains of Hispaniola and dissipate. Time will tell.


32 posted on 08/20/2011 6:45:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: RayChuang88

As I recall, Andrew didn’t generate all that much of a storm surge.


33 posted on 08/20/2011 6:50:37 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Ditter

I’m so sorry, there is nothing prettier than Texas live oak trees. I pray your part of the country gets beneficial rain and then it heads on up here.


34 posted on 08/20/2011 6:58:33 PM PDT by pepperdog (Why are Democrats Afraid of a Voter ID Law?)
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To: gonzo
Hiya Gonzo!

Do ya think Obama will interrupt his vacation in Martha's Vineyard to tell us how to prepare for the storm in a diversity and eco friendly way?

35 posted on 08/20/2011 7:06:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: NautiNurse

monitoring ...


36 posted on 08/20/2011 7:09:25 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (Murray / Baucus / Kerry / Upton / Clyburn? I've had better picks come out of my nose.)
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To: pepperdog

Most of the oaks in the woods of Memorial Park are water oaks, tall stately magnificent trees. But I am sure the Live Oaks are dying too.


37 posted on 08/20/2011 7:24:30 PM PDT by Ditter
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To: NautiNurse

OK, Looks like south Florida or the Gulf Coast are going to get a hurricane.

Tropical Storm Irene Develops East Of The Leeward Islands; Tropical Storm Warnings Issued For Puerto Rico, The US Virgin Islands & The Lesser Antilles
Rob Lightbown on August 20, 2011, 9:03 pm

Tropical Storm Irene:
Reconnaissance aircraft investigated the tropical disturbance located east of the Leeward Islands late this afternoon and found a 50 mph tropical storm; therefore, Invest 97L has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Irene. Irene is tracking slightly north of due west at a forward speed of 22 mph. A ridge of high pressure to the north of Irene will steer the storm between due west and west-northwest through at least Tuesday. After that, global model guidance seems to be trending towards a flatter trough of low pressure and a stronger ridge of high pressure. Based on this, I still think Irene will track just south of Hispaniola rather than right over the island. This thinking is supported by both the GFS and European ensemble guidance, as well as the most recent GFDL model which actually forecasts a track right over Jamaica on Tuesday evening. Personally, I think Irene will shoot the gap between Jamaica and the south coast of Cuba on Tuesday night into Wednesday and then track across central and western Cuba late Thursday into early Friday. This track could then bring Irene very close to or right over Key West during Friday.

Beyond Friday, the model guidance varies on the potential routes Irene could take with an ultimate landfall anywhere between Mobile, Alabama and a track that takes Irene right along the western coast of Florida and inland near Cedar Key. Timeframe for this would be late Saturday into Sunday.

Satellite imagery this evening indicates that Irene is strengthening with deep convection really firing very near the center of the storm. Irene is expected to track across very warm ocean waters with favorable upper conditions. The intensity guidance forecasts that Irene will become a hurricane within the next 24 hours and I agree with this and think that Irene will be a hurricane by this time tomorrow or earlier. The intensity forecast for Irene becomes very difficult once it gets near Hispaniola and Cuba. If Irene tracks over Hispaniola, then significant weakening would occur and Irene would potentially impact Florida as a much weaker hurricane. Now, if Irene tracks south of Hispaniola and tracks across the flatter terrain of western Cuba, then Irene could be a very strong hurricane when it enters the eastern Gulf of Mexico. It should be pointed out that the most recent GFDL model forecasts that Irene will be an upper end Category 4 hurricane when it reaches the western Caribbean and southern Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday night. I think the GFDL model is overdoing the intensity, but, the potential is there for this to be a strong hurricane should it avoid land interaction.

Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands and the Leeward Islands. For those of you that are under the Tropical Storm Warning, make sure you prepare for tropical storm conditions according to your Hurricane Disaster Plan. Mariners are strongly urged to make all necessary preparations to return to port, seek safe harbor and secure your craft.

Tropical storm conditions are expected across the Leeward Islands tonight into Sunday morning. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Sunday afternoon and will continue right into much of Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible in the Dominican Republic by Monday afternoon.

Total rainfall amounts of 4 to 8 inches are expected across the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands with the passage of Irene. These rainfall totals will cause flash floods and mudslides across the Tropical Storm Warning area.

I strongly urge all of our Crown Weather friends across the rest of the Caribbean, the central and eastern Gulf coast, the entire Florida Peninsula and the US Southeast coast north to Cape Hatteras to closely monitor this system and go over your hurricane preparedness kits and think about what you would do in case of Hurricane Watches & Warnings. I will be monitoring Tropical Storm Irene extremely closely and I will keep you all updated.

The next tropical weather discussion will be issued by 11 am EDT/10 am CDT Sunday morning.

Forecast Wind Swath Map For Tropical Storm Irene:


38 posted on 08/20/2011 7:25:57 PM PDT by Rome2000 (OBAMA IS A COMMUNIST CRYPTO-MUSLIM)
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To: NautiNurse

Riiiigggghhttt....something about guns, Bibles, sort of causes some folks to look the other way...


39 posted on 08/20/2011 7:36:11 PM PDT by jennings2004 (Sarah Palin: "The bright light at the end of a very dark tunnel!")
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To: Joe Brower

It’s that time of year... thanks for the ping.


40 posted on 08/20/2011 7:55:07 PM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: catfish1957; NautiNurse

With the severity of this hell-inspired drought and the real danger of many Texas communities, whole cities, running out water completely, I’ll go out on the line and say that we can afford the sacrifice of one coastal area to quench the thirst of 90% of the state of Texas. Sorry, but communities can recover after a storm and advanced warning can save virtually all lives. We are dying inland.


41 posted on 08/20/2011 8:17:59 PM PDT by fwdude ("When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve ...")
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To: NautiNurse

Thank you for the ping.


42 posted on 08/20/2011 8:21:26 PM PDT by houeto
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To: fwdude
Hey bud, you ever had property that went through a Cat 3 hurricane? You really think one hurricane is going to quench 90% of Texas?

I tell you what ... Maybe a nice front can come down and spawn an F5 tornado and wipe out your house. Hell Texas could use the rain.

Geez some people.

43 posted on 08/20/2011 8:24:11 PM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: NautiNurse
Check out the SST in the GOM. It's near boiling.

What is SST NautiNurse?

44 posted on 08/20/2011 8:32:16 PM PDT by houeto
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To: catfish1957

Okay, how about I wish for a marginal Cat 3 storm with the dirty side coming ashore in the sparsely populated King Ranch shoreline with no deaths? Happy now?


45 posted on 08/20/2011 8:33:04 PM PDT by fwdude ("When in the Course of human events it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve ...")
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To: houeto
SST is the fuel for hurricanes...


Sea Surface Temperatures

46 posted on 08/20/2011 8:42:57 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: NautiNurse

Gotcha. Thank you.


47 posted on 08/20/2011 8:45:06 PM PDT by houeto
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To: NautiNurse; WestCoastGal

As bad as we need the rain, contrary to some people’s opinion, we don’t need a hurricane.


48 posted on 08/20/2011 8:47:55 PM PDT by SouthTexas (You cannot bargain with the devil, shut the government down.)
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To: SouthTexas

Nothing good can come from a tropical cyclone in the overheated Gulf of Mexico right now.


49 posted on 08/20/2011 8:53:10 PM PDT by NautiNurse (TSA Tit for Tat--Yukari Mihamae--thank you!)
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To: NautiNurse

Amen to that!


50 posted on 08/20/2011 8:55:31 PM PDT by SouthTexas (You cannot bargain with the devil, shut the government down.)
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