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Tropical Storm Lee [interests in Louisiana need to check the rainfall forecasts]
NHC/NOAA ^ | 1 September 2011 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/01/2011 4:54:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Tropical Depression Thirteen has developed in the Gulf of Mexico.


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TOPICS: Extended News; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: depression; tropical
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To: eastforker

GFS, 78 Hours, back over water http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/20110902/00/gfs_namer_078_10m_wnd_precip.gif


51 posted on 09/01/2011 9:16:50 PM PDT by eastforker
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/weather/index.ssf/2011/09/plodding_erratic_gulf_of_mexic.html
Plodding, erratic Gulf of Mexico storm puts Louisiana on alert


52 posted on 09/02/2011 1:10:49 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: eastforker
Talk of NOLA flooding with 20 inches of rain.

I have been to NOLA during a 15 inch rain. No problem, as their storm pumps will do just fine. It's when the levees give way when NOLA floods. Now the burbs are another issue.

53 posted on 09/02/2011 2:20:14 AM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: NautiNurse

Looks like its gonna miss us NN...

But thanks for your diligence in keeping us informed.


54 posted on 09/02/2011 4:01:00 AM PDT by Rightly Biased (Do you know how awkward it is to have a political argument with a naked man?)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.wwl.com/Tropics-update—A-ton-of-rain-on-the-way/10800505
Tropics update: A ton of rain on the way


55 posted on 09/02/2011 5:04:26 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: abb; NautiNurse; All

Very soon to be Lee. Just waiting for the official word.


56 posted on 09/02/2011 6:23:32 AM PDT by eastforker
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I always find it puzzling when a comment gets yanked on a thread with a seemingly seemingly innocuous subject such as the weather...


57 posted on 09/02/2011 6:31:11 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th (Proud to be a small monthly donor.)
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To: Repeal The 17th

Sometimes the poster request it after they realize they said something stupid or they accidently posted to a wrong thread, happens all the time.


58 posted on 09/02/2011 6:34:54 AM PDT by eastforker
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for the ping NN!

“Send down the rain, Lord, Send down the rain!”

Thankful in Louisiana, but our pecan trees could do without the wind :(


59 posted on 09/02/2011 7:09:37 AM PDT by trillabodilla (Jesus Saves)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/tropical_depression_13_forces.html
Tropical Depression 13 forces Gulf coast to brace for rain, flooding


60 posted on 09/02/2011 7:20:42 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: NautiNurse

I was so hoping this would head for us so we’d get a good soaking. Looks like Louisiana is now the target and “if” we’re lucky we may get some squalls out of this.


61 posted on 09/02/2011 8:26:35 AM PDT by girlscout
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To: Jack Hydrazine
Should we pray for a nice-sized hurricane to hit Texas? If so, I crank up the prayer machine for ya! LOL!

Tropical depressions will be fine. :) We need several days of some good ground soaking rain all across the state.

62 posted on 09/02/2011 8:29:07 AM PDT by girlscout
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To: eastforker
Click for Huffman, Texas Forecast This is kinda cool.
63 posted on 09/02/2011 9:12:19 AM PDT by eastforker
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To: girlscout

How about a Cat 1?


64 posted on 09/02/2011 9:18:12 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (It's the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine!)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

I certainly wouldn’t turn down a Cat 1, but the trees are weak and dying from no rain and the winds would probably blow them all over the place. A trip to Academy for some football gear to wear as protection would probably be in order if we’re faced with a hurricane anytime soon.


65 posted on 09/02/2011 9:23:28 AM PDT by girlscout
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To: eastforker
Click for Huffman, Texas Forecast Thats better
66 posted on 09/02/2011 9:26:12 AM PDT by eastforker
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To: trillabodilla
Very pleased you have checked in with us!

p.s. I surely do miss another dear Louisianan this hurricane season: 1-COUNTER-MORTER-68. RIP, FRiend.

67 posted on 09/02/2011 10:03:11 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)
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To: NautiNurse

TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
100 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM LEE SOUTH OF THE
LOUISIANA COAST...HEAVY RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH
OF SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION


LOCATION...27.4N 91.5W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


68 posted on 09/02/2011 10:38:08 AM PDT by eastforker
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To: NautiNurse

Maybe you can get the mods to update the title!


69 posted on 09/02/2011 10:40:16 AM PDT by eastforker
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/weather/index.ssf/2011/09/state_of_emergency_declared_in.html
Grand Isle orders mandatory evacuations of RVs, campers; voluntary evacuation for others


70 posted on 09/02/2011 10:44:42 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Tropical Storm Lee

About 200 miles SW of the mouth of the Mississippi River
Creeping NW at 2 mph
Max sustained winds 40 mph, 1003mb

Tropical Storm Lee is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
10 to 15 inches over southern Louisiana...southern Mississippi...and
southern Alabama through Sunday...with possible isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches. These rains are expected to cause extensive
flooding...especially in urban areas.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

71 posted on 09/02/2011 11:42:07 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks Nauti...


72 posted on 09/02/2011 12:06:44 PM PDT by GOPJ (126 people were indicted for being terrorists in the last two years. Every one of them was Muslim.)
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To: NautiNurse

bttt


73 posted on 09/02/2011 12:13:40 PM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: NautiNurse

Hopefully this just remains as a rain event and moves a little more north — we need rain badly here in Central Alabama and a nice 5 inch Lee drenching would be very welcome.


74 posted on 09/02/2011 12:13:48 PM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it.)
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To: NautiNurse

OY! Here we go again!


75 posted on 09/02/2011 12:19:24 PM PDT by Palladin (Sarah: Are you gonna fish or cut bait?)
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To: NautiNurse

bookmark


76 posted on 09/02/2011 12:44:18 PM PDT by lsucat
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To: sageb1

bookmark


77 posted on 09/02/2011 12:50:33 PM PDT by sageb1 (This is the Final Crusade, There are only two sides. Pick one.)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/gov_bobby_jindal_warns_of_floo_1.html
Tropical Storm Lee’s biggest threat is flooding, Gov. Bobby Jindal warns


78 posted on 09/02/2011 1:24:31 PM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: NautiNurse

Admittedly have been paying little attention. I guess no rain for Houston?


79 posted on 09/02/2011 1:34:58 PM PDT by brytlea (Wake me when it's over...)
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To: brytlea

Check the precip. loop at the top of the thread. Houston area may yet get rain out of this system.


80 posted on 09/02/2011 1:43:24 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)
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To: brytlea

It’s a wide system, I think it will be able to push at least an inch or two of rain into east Texas. I know it would be nicer if it took a steady trip across Texas, but it doesn’t look like that’s in the cards.


81 posted on 09/02/2011 1:57:09 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse; dirtboy

Thank you both. My son would be thrilled to get a little bit of that moisture! He would be doubly thrilled NOT to get the wind! :)


82 posted on 09/02/2011 2:05:02 PM PDT by brytlea (Wake me when it's over...)
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Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 4:00 PM CDT on September 02, 2011
Share This

...Tropical Storm Lee drifting northward toward the southern
Louisiana coast...squalls with heavy rain and gusty winds spreading
inland across much of southeastern and south-central Louisiana...

summary of 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...information


location...27.5n 91.5w
about 185 mi...295 km SW of the mouth of the Mississippi River
about 220 mi...355 km se of Port Arthur Texas
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/h
present movement...N or 355 degrees at 2 mph...4 km/h
minimum central pressure...1003 mb...29.62 inches

watches and warnings


changes with this advisory...

none

summary of watches and warnings in effect...

a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pascagoula Mississippi westward to Sabine Pass Texas...including
the city of New Orleans...Lake Pontchartrain...and Lake Maurepas

a Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within the
next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

Discussion and 48-hour outlook


at 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Storm Lee was
located near latitude 27.5 north...longitude 91.5 West. Lee is
drifting toward the north near 2 mph...4 km/h. A slow and
possibly erratic motion toward the northwest or north is expected
tonight and Saturday. On the forecast track...the center of the
tropical storm is expected to approach the coast of southern
Louisiana during the weekend.

Reports from oil rigs and an Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance
aircraft indicate maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45
mph...75 km/h...with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is
forecast during the next 48 hours.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 200 miles...325
km...mainly northeast through southeast of the center. A sustained
wind of 60 mph was recently observed on an oil rig located about 65
miles south of the mouth of Mississippi River at an altitude a few
hundred feet above the ocean surface.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from nearby
oil rigs is 1003 mb...29.62 inches.

Hazards affecting land


rainfall...Tropical Storm Lee is expected to produce total rain
accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over southern Louisiana...southern
Mississippi...and southern Alabama through Sunday...with possible
isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches. These rains are expected to
cause extensive flooding...especially in urban areas. Rainfall
amounts of 4 to 8 inches will be possible over the Florida
Panhandle through Sunday.

Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as
2 to 4 feet above ground level along the northern Gulf Coast within
the Tropical Storm Warning area. Elevated water levels are also
possible east of the warning area over coastal portions of Alabama
and the Florida Panhandle resulting in minor coastal flooding
within these areas. See products issued by local National Weather
Service forecast offices for more details.

Wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area this evening...making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.

Tornadoes...isolated tornadoes are possible tonight over portions of
southern Louisiana and extreme southern Mississippi.


83 posted on 09/02/2011 2:05:19 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)
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To: NautiNurse
About 60 miles southwest of New Orleans, constant moderate to light rain, winds about 25 to 30 MPH, just had my first power glitch about 15 minutes ago.

Hope that was just a random glitch somewhere in the grid and not due to the weather.

84 posted on 09/02/2011 2:16:52 PM PDT by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Rush, Hannity......Nuff said.)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/rainfall_in_advance_of_tropica.html
Rainfall in advance of Tropical Storm Lee forces road closures in Lacombe


85 posted on 09/02/2011 3:50:54 PM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: brytlea

We need to keep an eye on Katia too....she’s has the potential to be bothersome.....about 8 days from now.


86 posted on 09/02/2011 4:38:42 PM PDT by Guenevere (....)
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To: brytlea
This thing has really spread out today and is huge, geographically - the rain goes from Louisiana all the way down to the Yucatan:

I can only wonder what this could have done parked over Texas.

87 posted on 09/02/2011 4:41:17 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

I suspect that if it were parked over the dust bowl called Texas it would die a rapid death.


88 posted on 09/02/2011 5:40:32 PM PDT by Ingtar (Together we go broke (from a Pookie18 post))
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To: Ingtar
My mom and dad live in Georgetown, TX - and TS Hermine dumped 15 inches of rain on them in last year's otherwise drought.

Tropical storms can make their own weather.

89 posted on 09/02/2011 5:47:27 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/tropical_storm_lee_prompts_tor.html

Tropical Storm Lee prompts tornado warnings for much of the New Orleans area this morning
Published: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:26 AM Updated: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:30 AM
By Mark Schleifstein, The Times-Picayune

Much of the New Orleans area is under a tornado warning this morning, as rainbands from approaching Tropical Storm Lee has produced a series of severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, the National Weather Service said.

Individual warnings still in effect cover western St. Bernard, northwestern Plaquemines, Jefferson, St. Charles, and Central Lafourche parishes and southwestern New Orleans; northern St. Tammany and south central Washington parishes; and northern St. John, Livingston and southern Tangipahoa parishes.

Meteorologists detected a tornado near Chalmette at 5:51 a.m. moving northwest at 50 mph; another 12 miles north of LaPlace moving northwest at 35 mph at 5:55 a.m.; and a third possible tornado near Kiln, Miss., at 6:14 a.m.

Numerous additional tornado warnings have been issued overnight. In Metairie, the Jefferson Parish emergency alert system called registered homeowners at about 5:25 a.m. about one such report.

Most of these possible tornadoes are embedded in heavy rainfall, and may not be readily visible.


90 posted on 09/03/2011 4:45:58 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: NautiNurse

Lots of rain and wind this morning, passing in the typical bands. Few miles north of Baton Rouge here.


91 posted on 09/03/2011 4:59:32 AM PDT by trillabodilla (Jesus Saves)
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To: trillabodilla

Stay alert for those tornadoes.


92 posted on 09/03/2011 5:27:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)
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To: NautiNurse

http://www.nola.com/hurricane/index.ssf/2011/09/tropical_storm_lee_prompts_fla.html
Tropical Storm Lee prompts tornado, flash flood warnings for St. Tammany Parish, street flooding widespread elsewhere in New Orleans area


93 posted on 09/03/2011 6:47:21 AM PDT by abb ("What ISN'T in the news is often more important than what IS." Ed Biersmith, 1942 -)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
...Lee approaching Atchafalaya Bay LA...heavy rains...strong gusty
winds...and possible tornadoes lashing southeastern Louisiana...

Max sustained winds 60 mph, 993mb
Creeping N at 6mph

Rainfall amounts up to 7 inches have occurred thus far across
portions of southeastern Louisiana.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

94 posted on 09/03/2011 8:18:33 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Drink good coffee. You can sleep when you are dead.)
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To: NautiNurse
We've been getting winds and thundershowers in the Redneck Riviera (Northwest Florida). Nothing really bad.


95 posted on 09/03/2011 8:23:30 AM PDT by darkwing104 (Let's get dangerous)
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To: NautiNurse

http://photos.nola.com/4500/category/weather/index.html
Photos from the Times-Picayune - NOLA.com


96 posted on 09/03/2011 8:35:28 AM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: NautiNurse
I shouldn't laugh but I have a friend who flew from his condo in SoBe to his north Jersey home for the earthquake, traveled down to his house in Long beach Island just in time for Irene ... and landed in New Orleans on Thursday

He's either become a secret agent for FEMA or someone to consult before scheduling a vacation

.

97 posted on 09/03/2011 8:44:18 AM PDT by Elle Bee
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To: NautiNurse
Steady drizzle here in Mobile interrupted by an occassional heavy downpour. It's starting to get pretty soggy here now. I hear heavy thunder way off in the distance from time to time.

Thanks for your reporting, NN.

98 posted on 09/03/2011 8:46:11 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

Nice steady soft rain here on the western fringe of the storm in SE Texas. Haven’t seen it this cool in these parts since probably June


99 posted on 09/03/2011 8:54:58 AM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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To: catfish1957

Temp 78.8 Winds NNE 20-25 mph


100 posted on 09/03/2011 8:57:41 AM PDT by catfish1957 (Hey algore...You'll have to pry the steering wheel of my 317 HP V8 truck from my cold dead hands)
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