Skip to comments.Tropical Storm Lee [interests in Louisiana need to check the rainfall forecasts]
Posted on 09/01/2011 4:54:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Tropical Depression Thirteen has developed in the Gulf of Mexico.
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Rainfall Forecast Totals Loop
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New Orleans/Baton Rouge
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GFS, 78 Hours, back over water http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/GemPakTier/MagGemPakImages/gfs/20110902/00/gfs_namer_078_10m_wnd_precip.gif
Plodding, erratic Gulf of Mexico storm puts Louisiana on alert
I have been to NOLA during a 15 inch rain. No problem, as their storm pumps will do just fine. It's when the levees give way when NOLA floods. Now the burbs are another issue.
Looks like its gonna miss us NN...
But thanks for your diligence in keeping us informed.
Tropics update: A ton of rain on the way
Very soon to be Lee. Just waiting for the official word.
I always find it puzzling when a comment gets yanked on a thread with a seemingly seemingly innocuous subject such as the weather...
Sometimes the poster request it after they realize they said something stupid or they accidently posted to a wrong thread, happens all the time.
Thanks for the ping NN!
“Send down the rain, Lord, Send down the rain!”
Thankful in Louisiana, but our pecan trees could do without the wind :(
Tropical Depression 13 forces Gulf coast to brace for rain, flooding
I was so hoping this would head for us so we’d get a good soaking. Looks like Louisiana is now the target and “if” we’re lucky we may get some squalls out of this.
Tropical depressions will be fine. :) We need several days of some good ground soaking rain all across the state.
How about a Cat 1?
I certainly wouldn’t turn down a Cat 1, but the trees are weak and dying from no rain and the winds would probably blow them all over the place. A trip to Academy for some football gear to wear as protection would probably be in order if we’re faced with a hurricane anytime soon.
p.s. I surely do miss another dear Louisianan this hurricane season: 1-COUNTER-MORTER-68. RIP, FRiend.
TROPICAL STORM LEE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
100 PM CDT FRI SEP 02 2011
...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM LEE SOUTH OF THE
LOUISIANA COAST...HEAVY RAINBANDS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS MUCH
OF SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
Maybe you can get the mods to update the title!
Grand Isle orders mandatory evacuations of RVs, campers; voluntary evacuation for others
About 200 miles SW of the mouth of the Mississippi River
Creeping NW at 2 mph
Max sustained winds 40 mph, 1003mb
Tropical Storm Lee is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
10 to 15 inches over southern Louisiana...southern Mississippi...and
southern Alabama through Sunday...with possible isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches. These rains are expected to cause extensive
flooding...especially in urban areas.
Hopefully this just remains as a rain event and moves a little more north — we need rain badly here in Central Alabama and a nice 5 inch Lee drenching would be very welcome.
OY! Here we go again!
Tropical Storm Lee’s biggest threat is flooding, Gov. Bobby Jindal warns
Admittedly have been paying little attention. I guess no rain for Houston?
Check the precip. loop at the top of the thread. Houston area may yet get rain out of this system.
It’s a wide system, I think it will be able to push at least an inch or two of rain into east Texas. I know it would be nicer if it took a steady trip across Texas, but it doesn’t look like that’s in the cards.
Thank you both. My son would be thrilled to get a little bit of that moisture! He would be doubly thrilled NOT to get the wind! :)
Tropical Storm Public Advisory
Statement as of 4:00 PM CDT on September 02, 2011
...Tropical Storm Lee drifting northward toward the southern
Louisiana coast...squalls with heavy rain and gusty winds spreading
inland across much of southeastern and south-central Louisiana...
summary of 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...information
watches and warnings
summary of watches and warnings in effect...
a Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Pascagoula Mississippi westward to Sabine Pass Texas...including
the city of New Orleans...Lake Pontchartrain...and Lake Maurepas
a Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area...in this case within the
next 24 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
Reports from oil rigs and an Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance
aircraft indicate maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45
mph...75 km/h...with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is
forecast during the next 48 hours.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 200 miles...325
km...mainly northeast through southeast of the center. A sustained
wind of 60 mph was recently observed on an oil rig located about 65
miles south of the mouth of Mississippi River at an altitude a few
hundred feet above the ocean surface.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from nearby
oil rigs is 1003 mb...29.62 inches.
Hazards affecting land
Storm surge...a storm surge will raise water levels by as much as
2 to 4 feet above ground level along the northern Gulf Coast within
the Tropical Storm Warning area. Elevated water levels are also
possible east of the warning area over coastal portions of Alabama
and the Florida Panhandle resulting in minor coastal flooding
within these areas. See products issued by local National Weather
Service forecast offices for more details.
Wind...tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area this evening...making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.
Tornadoes...isolated tornadoes are possible tonight over portions of
southern Louisiana and extreme southern Mississippi.
Hope that was just a random glitch somewhere in the grid and not due to the weather.
Rainfall in advance of Tropical Storm Lee forces road closures in Lacombe
We need to keep an eye on Katia too....she’s has the potential to be bothersome.....about 8 days from now.
I can only wonder what this could have done parked over Texas.
I suspect that if it were parked over the dust bowl called Texas it would die a rapid death.
Tropical storms can make their own weather.
Tropical Storm Lee prompts tornado warnings for much of the New Orleans area this morning
Published: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:26 AM Updated: Saturday, September 03, 2011, 6:30 AM
By Mark Schleifstein, The Times-Picayune
Much of the New Orleans area is under a tornado warning this morning, as rainbands from approaching Tropical Storm Lee has produced a series of severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, the National Weather Service said.
Individual warnings still in effect cover western St. Bernard, northwestern Plaquemines, Jefferson, St. Charles, and Central Lafourche parishes and southwestern New Orleans; northern St. Tammany and south central Washington parishes; and northern St. John, Livingston and southern Tangipahoa parishes.
Meteorologists detected a tornado near Chalmette at 5:51 a.m. moving northwest at 50 mph; another 12 miles north of LaPlace moving northwest at 35 mph at 5:55 a.m.; and a third possible tornado near Kiln, Miss., at 6:14 a.m.
Numerous additional tornado warnings have been issued overnight. In Metairie, the Jefferson Parish emergency alert system called registered homeowners at about 5:25 a.m. about one such report.
Most of these possible tornadoes are embedded in heavy rainfall, and may not be readily visible.
Lots of rain and wind this morning, passing in the typical bands. Few miles north of Baton Rouge here.
Stay alert for those tornadoes.
Tropical Storm Lee prompts tornado, flash flood warnings for St. Tammany Parish, street flooding widespread elsewhere in New Orleans area
Max sustained winds 60 mph, 993mb
Creeping N at 6mph
Rainfall amounts up to 7 inches have occurred thus far across
portions of southeastern Louisiana.
Photos from the Times-Picayune - NOLA.com
He's either become a secret agent for FEMA or someone to consult before scheduling a vacation
Thanks for your reporting, NN.
Nice steady soft rain here on the western fringe of the storm in SE Texas. Haven’t seen it this cool in these parts since probably June
Temp 78.8 Winds NNE 20-25 mph