Skip to comments.Sarah Palin Has Until Late December to Jump In, and Still Win
Posted on 09/25/2011 7:52:21 PM PDT by Freepmanchew
As I watch the Republican presidential debates, I must admit that we have a great field of candidates running, and if the reports about New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie getting into the race are true, then things will only get more interesting. It is a great field of candidates because America is finally getting a chance to see how truly diverse the Republican party is. After all, take a look at the Democrat party. All you will find is a who's who of the anti-American, communist-reject society.
Although I must admit that there is one person missing from the debate stage, and her absence has left many wondering why. I do know that she is of the belief that times have changed, and that Obama and the Democrats are so toxic that she could enter the race as late as November, or even late December, and still be the one to beat. Recent polls taken of just the conservative base in the Republican party prove her right. She is still the one to beat, and that has the rest of the field a little uneasy, and you can bet that Sarah is on their minds.
When Rick Perry jumped in many were claiming it's all over, but since then he has slipped. Since she won the Iowa straw poll, Michele Bachmann has slipped a bit. Rick Perry even attempted to lock up the Christian right vote before he jumped in, but Sarah Palin is still the choice of over 80% of the Christian conservatives. And guess who will show up en masse if she enters the race? You got it, the conservative Christian base. That is why the country-club Republicans keep touting Romney, or begging
(Excerpt) Read more at newsblaze.com ...
Obama is going to go negative on any GOP candidate. The GOP nominee should aim to prove to the country that he/she isn’t a nut. This is done by not saying crazy shit that makes no sense to an intelligent person. This can be done without backing away from his/her agenda or refraining from laying it on Obama, who deserves everything he gets. Obama will try to make the other side the issue next year, but I think he’ll find that very hard to do, and also dangerous because he’s really wading in it as it is. The GOP nominee needs to be optimistic but serious, probably more so than Barry is likely to be.
Perhaps it would help you to read the full article which included;
The question is, why should Sarah enter the race ahead of her own schedule? If you ask me, I think she is one smart cookie to be sitting by as the current candidates destroy each other. These debates and all this early campaigning are primarily about getting recognized by the base, and there is not a possible candidate who is better known than Sarah is already. So unlike the others, Palin can sit back and watch the show while she sharpens her teeth for the battle against an inevitable attack she will receive when she does jump in.
Sounds like a plan.
Um, you need to get out more. She has issued many de facto white papers on key issues and at Indianola she put forward the broad outline of a comprehensive campaign platform, to be filled in as the campaign progresses. She is spending almost no effort on defensive maneuvers of the kind you suggest. For that she relies on her vast army of volunteer cyber warriors. We have her back, and she knows it.
Yep. This ain't our grand fathers' primary politics. She's got maybe another two weeks to step in, given the way the game is played today. I think the author is nuts.
“She has missed too many debates because she is afraid of coming off bad in them....”
Just like George Bush would be devastated by master debater Al Gore.........
There are only 55 posts on this thread as I type this. LOL?
“That is correct but I have a few problems with his position on Global Warming. Gingrich is an intellect of great standing”
I don’t have a problem with his position. His position is simply this. IF IF IF global warming is true, what is the best conservative response so that we have something on the table?
Now you understandably reject the premise and have no need to provide an answer but Newt was always the kind of guy who would ponder what-if hypothetical examples. For example, he wrote a book (1945) on what if we didn’t fight Germany after Pearl Harbor.
She’s going to have the ‘powers’ in the GOP begging her to run before it’s over!;-)
Christie Courted, Still Says No
You do know that the Nov 1st date is just some states don't you? If she wants to get her name on the ballot for all the state primaries the date would be November 1st she would have to announce by, but even in those early Nov 1st states she can still be eligible for as a write-In. Candidates do concede states all the times. Reagan did not announce until later in November.
His point at the time was to prove that the solution to global warming was a free market solution. His intent was judo, turning the Dems’ own argument on its head.
Here’s how it is going to come down:
Sarah joins the race in mid-October, 2012 as a write-in independent candidate. On election day, 64% of the electorate writes her in and she makes history.
No muss, no fuss. Nuttin’ to it.
“I think shes waiting to be drafted at the Convention.”
I have serious doubys about that, and can’t see it being a part of her strategy.......drafted candidates are as rare as mice that catch cats.
“Sarah joins the race in mid-October, 2012 as a write-in independent candidate. On election day, 64% of the electorate writes her in and she makes history.”
unfortunately it was the other way around in Alaska. Palin was for Miller but write-in Lisa won.
I can’t stand it when people choose a candidate and spend all their time coming up with excuses for their behavior. If you’re serious about running for president, you’d better start fundraising now and make it clear that you’re in the race. You either are or you aren’t. If you’re neither, you’re a weak candidate to start with.
>>> PERRY REVIVES NEVADA CAUCASES <<<
Sorry, that’s what I get for thread jumping. And you’re late.
I know everyone has their favorite candidate candidate,, and since you so “eloquently” made your case against Palin, who would you suggest? Someone the moderate Dems and indies can vote for...Hmmm sounds like you want a RINO?!
BTW, the insults and name-calling on a pro-palin thread are really getting old. Seriously, you don’t have to to be so rude and insulting. Calling people idiots and stupid is low-brow.
Good advice for all to follow.
Re platform. Can’t picture Palin standing among several exemplary candidates delivering her OWN SPECIFIC action points and their priority. She is too above it all. The PALIN/CAIN suggestion is an insult to the declared candidate who has been in and digging from the start.
Do we want a president PALIN who waits and waits and waits when there is a national emergency? Or do we want an ENGAGED and DELIBERATE president? Why not wait until she sweeps us off our feet at the convention and is drafted? What difference would it make from where we are now? Presidential? Call me whatever names you like. Not for me.
Palin has been pointing out the failures of the Obama administration and offering her own solutions for the past two years. She's been on offense the whole time. You've got to pay attention!
I have a question. Is it possible to file the paperwork for state primaries without officially announcing?
No.....I won't stop up my ears, and I'm not going anywhere, noob.
You threw out some of the most ridiculous pap I've read on this forum in a long time, so I called you on it. You don't like that, then don't post patently false liberal memes about Governor Palin. The stale talking points you barfed up were last seen sometime around the summer of 2009.
It's obvious that you haven't been keeping up with what Governor Palin has been writing and speaking on, over the last two years. If you were, you'd never have made those assertions.
If you've got some real policy disagreements with Palin, then you need to bone up on what her policy positions are. Otherwise, you're going to come off like some interloper from DU, spouting crap that 99% of us will see through in a nanosecond.
Is that what that PSA with Nancy Pelosi was all about? A free market solution?
I guess he sure fooled her.
” If youre neither, youre a weak candidate to start with.”
Or the only unstoppable candidate.........
Sarah joins the race in mid-October, 2012 as a write-in independent candidate. On election day, 64% of the electorate writes her in and she makes history.
Maybe in the movies, or some political thriller, but not in the real world of rough and tumble electoral politics. I honestly don't believe that Sarah intends to be that unconventional.
Sorry, but you are misinformed.
The key for this election is to get at least 4% of the people who voted for Obama. Basically we need the moderate Dems and the indies..
First, it's not about the popular vote totals. It's about electoral votes. With the Census and redistricting and reallocation of House seats, if we had an exact rerun of 2008, with exactly the same states going to Obama and McCain, Obama has already lost about 10 electoral votes, I think. More of the states Obama carried lost electoral votes than gained. McCain states gained more than they lost. Still, Republicans need to flip some states. Florida (29 EV) is important, so are Ohio (18 EV) and Pennsylvania (20 EV). Even Colorado (9 EV) and New Mexico (5 EV) can help.
This is one reason that Rubio is considered likely to be the VP no matter who gets the nomination. Florida is critical. It's probably the largest block of electoral votes that Obama had in 2008 that are in play and vulnerable in 2012.
Also, we need some of the people who were so turned off by McCain that they stayed home in 2008. Palin actually minimized that damage in 2008, but some conservatives did not vote for McCain in 2008. The Republicans are far more likely to win in 2012 if they can keep their base motivated than by trying to "convert" Obama voters. Don't get me wrong, I do think some Obama voters will switch to the Republican side in 2012, especially among the independents. They will likely go for "anybody but Obama." But that shouldn't be the focus of the Republican candidate. If you think that alone will carry the election, you're following a losing strategy.
I really would like to respond to you but you posted pure nonsense so I’ll pass.
It's kind of hard to get elected when you're name is not on the ballot, although Alaskans do seem to have a thing for write in campaigns.
Maybe it's because they are the smallest state in the country. Won't work in the big leagues.
If you'd made that statement two months ago, I could forgive you for not understanding that she is strategically timing her entry into the race. Even the sharpest political watchers were only then beginning to grasp what she is doing.
But now, after months and months of observing the race, and seeing the declared candidates taking on ever-increasing damage, even the most casual watchers have completely grasped her basic strategy, and have concluded that it makes perfect sense.
No need for me to explain it for the umpteenth time. It's already old news. Just watch for her announcement soon. It's coming.
Sounds a little like “Curses, foiled again!”.
...reality shows with Kate Gosselin
Snarky attempt at demeaning satire duly noted and filed accordingly (flush...)
I think you've been 'behind liberal lines' too long. You're starting to sound just like the enemy.
Palin didn't say that - the author did. It's a ridiculous theory, but otherwise, the article is a good piece.
Dunno, but post 92 is coming up soon. We'll see here in just a few minutes.
Not really. As far as I know, any candidate paperwork filed is public record, and here in Illinois it will be on the state board of elections website more or less immediately. This is so objectors can jump right in and try to knock people off the ballot, and I actually know of one objector here who will complain about candidate birth certificates.
So no, trying to file without announcing would really just be turning the announcement over to a hostile press, and there's no upside to that.
Sarah Palin is too cool and too rogue to participate in GOP debates. That’s for the little people. Palin is waiting for the lead candidates to implode, then she steps in to save the day. I doubt her scenario will take place plus this is what vultures do.
Sarah is within 5 points of BO in the latest polls. As other candidates slip, some of their support might look to Gov. Palin.
Ahhh no ... if she wants to enter the race now is the time to do it. Not getting in earlier was fine, but now it’s crunch time - do whatever she will, but decisions must be made.
Some states require teh canddiate to file, some require the delegates to file. Some of Palin’s delegates can file whether she’d declared or not. And her supporters can file for her to be on ballots whether she’s formally in the race or not.
First of all, Palin isn't above debating any serious contender about the state of the country, and which solutions are best for fixing it.
Where you err, is in attaching any value to the current dog and pony shows that some are calling 'debates'. Mitt Romney and Rick Perry have (or had) enough name recognition and standing in the polls, that they could have delayed their entry into the race, and skipped most of these 'debates', just as Palin is doing.
They would have avoided being damaged by their opponents, and would have kept the chances of their losing any points to a minimum, as well. In addition, they could have continued to get their messages out to supporters and potential supporters without being a part of that demolition derby - and saved a whole lot of campaign cash and energy to boot.
But, for whatever reason, they felt they had to jump in with both feet and battle it out with the second tier. Now that they have, what have they gained? More support? No.... Better standing in the polls? No.... A strengthened message? No.... Better positioning as front runners? Not exactly...
So, tell me again why Sarah Palin is making a mistake by delaying her entry into the race?
And the Establishment outsider, Perry.
deadlines for some primaries and their delegates are before your surmisal
I’ve moved on to Herman Cain, who actually has the guts to get in the race and show up and debate, instead of hemming and hawing.
What a concise way to describe him. I don't think I've seen better.
I've perused many Perry threads, and read the various posters debating his pros and cons, but as someone who's watched him closely as my Governor, all I can say is that I saw right through him years and years ago.
For what it's worth, he doesn't come across as sincere. Every time I've watched him speak, my radar has started pinging, "con man alert!" I've been around the block enough times to know the vibes of real honesty and sincerity, and Perry just does not have emanate them.
Perhaps now that he's been in a couple of televised debates, people will see in him, what voters in 1960 saw in Nixon. I'm sorry, but the man has always struck me as a politician's politician. For my money, he is most definitely the establishment's hand-picked outsider.
By now, it should be clear to even the dimmest among us, that Sarah isn't procrastinating, or trying to make up her mind about running.
I, and many others, figured out months ago, that she's strategically timing her entry into the race for maximum advantage. Two or three months ago, that took some serious observation and deduction to figure out, but now? It's plain for all to see. Even the MSM turdlings get it.
These “debates” resemble a joint news conference, with the questions asked by liberal pundits.
I would much rather see the GOP contenders ask each other questions, instead of fielding gotcha questions from the so-called moderators.
Seriously? Have you seen the debate schedule?