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Canary Island volcanic eruption may be imminent
http://www.catholic.org ^ | 09-29-2011 | Staff

Posted on 09/29/2011 1:25:47 PM PDT by Red Badger

Residents of El Hierro have been put on standby for mandatory evacuation.

The Canary Islands are on watch for what scientists believe is a pending volcanic eruption.

MADRID, SPAIN - The 108 square mile island of El Hierro is home to about 10,000 people. And the population is on standby orders for emergency evacuation. The island has seen thousands of small earthquakes in what seismologists refer to as an, "earthquake swarm." They believe the earthquake swarm is a sign that an eruption is imminent. Nearly 9,000 tremors have been detected in the last two months.

On Monday a 3.8 quake was felt across the whole island.

Volcanologists cannot be certain that the volcano will erupt, but they believe it is likely. Of greatest concern are landslides that are being triggered by the near-constant earthquakes. At least 50 people have already been evacuated because of landslide risk.

Schools on the island have been closed as well as a tunnel which links the two small towns on the island.

Scientists are saying that a ball of magma is rising to the surface and causing the seismic activity that has so many worried. Volcanologist Juan Carlos Carrecedo said, "We don't know if that ball of magma will break through the crust and cause an eruption." However, he warned that an eruption could certainly occur within days to months.

The last eruption in the Canary islands occurred in 1971 on the island of La Palma. The last eruption on El Hierro took place in 1793 and lasted for a month.

At this time, the Spanish government has sent rescue personnel to be ready to assist in evacuations, if needed. And volcanologists raised the alert level to "yellow" on Sunday, which is the highest alert status the island has seen in a very long time.

(Excerpt) Read more at catholic.org ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: canaryislands; cumbrevieja; earthquake; elhierro; lapalma; tsunami; volcano
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A graphic of the earthquake swarm that has struck the island of El Hierro.

1 posted on 09/29/2011 1:26:11 PM PDT by Red Badger
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To: Red Badger

I beat you :)

Here’s a continuously updated earthquake list, they are getting bigger but not shallower:

http://www.ign.es/ign/layoutIn/sismoListadoTerremotos.do?zona=1&cantidad_dias=10

Here’s the original thread from two days ago with some great links from Blam and others

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2784674/posts

(Sorry about the PM, pushed wrong button)


2 posted on 09/29/2011 1:32:35 PM PDT by Technocrat (Cain-Palin 2012)
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To: Red Badger

La Palma is currently the most volcanically active island in the Canary Islands Archipelago. It is likely that several eruptions would be required before failure would occur on Cumbre Vieja. However, the western half of the volcano has an approximate volume of 500 km3 (5 x 1011 m3) and an estimated mass of 1.5 x 1015 kg. If it were to catastrophically slide into the ocean, it could generate a wave with an initial height of about 1,000 metres (3,281 ft) at the island, and a likely height of around 50 metres (164 ft) at the Caribbean and the Eastern North American seaboard when it runs ashore eight or more hours later.


3 posted on 09/29/2011 1:32:52 PM PDT by frithguild (We admitted we were powerless over government - that out lives had become unmanageable)
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To: Red Badger

“Scientists are saying that a ball of magma is rising to the surface”

“Hey, Jimmy - know where we put that bigass bottle of Prilosec? No reason....”

Colonel, USAFR


4 posted on 09/29/2011 1:33:25 PM PDT by jagusafr ("We hold these truths to be self-evident...")
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To: Red Badger
I don't know ... ♫
5 posted on 09/29/2011 1:36:30 PM PDT by NonValueAdded (So much stress was put on Bush's Fault that it finally let go, magnitude 6)
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To: jagusafr

LOL. Mama Nature’s got GERD...


6 posted on 09/29/2011 1:39:14 PM PDT by mewzilla (Forget a third party. We need a second one.)
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To: jagusafr

You’re calling on CARTER for help. The Canary Islands are doomed! LOL.


7 posted on 09/29/2011 1:41:02 PM PDT by righttackle44 (I may not be much, but I raised a U.S. Marine.)
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To: jagusafr

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EF5cyH_GRKE


8 posted on 09/29/2011 1:41:54 PM PDT by Red Badger (We cannot defeat an enemy that the president and hence his administration cannot name.......)
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To: righttackle44

I’ve heard that a massive Canary Island quake will send a Tsunami to the US East Coast.


9 posted on 09/29/2011 1:42:36 PM PDT by massgopguy (I owe everything to George Bailey)
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To: NonValueAdded

Good song.
I would leave.......


10 posted on 09/29/2011 1:43:14 PM PDT by Red Badger (We cannot defeat an enemy that the president and hence his administration cannot name.......)
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To: frithguild

There is, I believe a fissure (crack) that is on the western side of the volcano that could lead to that catastrophic slide.

Most know of the San Andreas Fault in CA—but few could even find the Canary Islands (off the coast of NW Africa). This has been a real possibility for decades.


11 posted on 09/29/2011 1:44:19 PM PDT by PennsylvaniaMom ( Barry, eat your own damn peas.)
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To: frithguild

I have always wondered if someone like A-Jad would send a submarine to this island once he gets a nuclear device. I sure hope we have some naval assets stationed there on a permanent basis.


12 posted on 09/29/2011 1:45:32 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est)
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To: righttackle44; tx_eggman
Isn't this the island that is suspected of causing the largest tsunami on geological record when the entire NW side of the island slid into the ocean?
13 posted on 09/29/2011 1:45:47 PM PDT by SpinnerWebb (In 2012 you will awaken from your HOPEnosis and have no recollection of this... "Constitution")
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To: NonValueAdded

“But a’ where I go I hope there’s rum.”


14 posted on 09/29/2011 1:47:01 PM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Technocrat

Seems plumes might head south, get caught up in the equatorial ICTZ and cool down the tropics?


15 posted on 09/29/2011 1:49:00 PM PDT by txhurl (Did you want to talk or fish? Or feed the fish?)
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To: SpinnerWebb

I was thinking about the tsunami threat as well. Seems that volcanic islands produce BIG landslides. The Hawiian islands are surrounded with huge chunks of submerged slides as well.


16 posted on 09/29/2011 1:50:36 PM PDT by cripplecreek (A vote for Amnesty is a vote for a permanent Democrat majority. ..Choose well.)
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To: SpinnerWebb

Yep, the east coast would be gone about 60 miles west of the coastline. This will help Governor Perdue get the elections cancelled in her part of the country.


17 posted on 09/29/2011 1:58:26 PM PDT by Enterprise ("Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." Voltaire)
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To: SpinnerWebb
Obligatory reference to "global warming" at your link:

Lateral collapse events at stratovolcanoes, similar to the current threat posed by the western flank of Cumbre Vieja, could increase due to the physical effects of global warming on the Earth from increases in deviatoric stress from post-glacial rebound while the size and frequency of eruptions are also likely to increase.

My comment -- what the heck does global warming have to do with post-glacial rebound?? Scientific globbly gook.

18 posted on 09/29/2011 1:59:14 PM PDT by CedarDave (My Sarah prediction: Announcing for President between October 12 and 28.)
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To: SpinnerWebb

This is the island in question

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/El_Hierro

Scroll down and read the Energy section.


19 posted on 09/29/2011 2:02:31 PM PDT by txhurl (Did you want to talk or fish? Or feed the fish?)
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To: Enterprise

Maybe this is the jobs plan Obama keeps promising.


20 posted on 09/29/2011 2:12:13 PM PDT by Jonty30
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To: Red Badger

Sometime in the late 70s, while at college, I travelled to the Canary Islands with some friends. We never visited Hierro, but went to the main island, Tenerife, and up to the summit of the Teide volcano. It’s been about 300 years since the last eruption, but walking around the summit I was startled by the fact that the ground was too hot to stand still, I had to keep on moving. A park ranger demonstrated cracking an egg on a rock and we watched it cook! All of that while a pretty cold wind was blowing, because Teide is the highest mountain in Spain. Add to that the smell of sulfur and the fissures with steam escaping and you will understand that it was a trip to remember!


21 posted on 09/29/2011 2:42:22 PM PDT by Former Fetus (Saved by grace through faith)
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To: Technocrat
Isn't this situation supposed to cause a vast slide and send a horrific tsunami rocketing toward the US east coast? Was thinking I saw something about this on some PBS program in the last few years.

If so, has this been discussed on any of the threads you've linked here?

22 posted on 09/29/2011 3:37:47 PM PDT by SierraWasp (I'm done being disappointed by "He/She is the only one who can win" and being embarrassed later!!!)
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To: frithguild
If it were to catastrophically slide into the ocean, it could generate a wave with an initial height of about 1,000 metres (3,281 ft) at the island, and a likely height of around 50 metres (164 ft) at the Caribbean and the Eastern North American seaboard when it runs ashore eight or more hours later.

If we were to follow the foolish "precautionary principle" advocated by proponents of catastrophic anthropogenic global warming theories, we would be spending squandering trillions of dollars to evacuate all of the cities on the Atlantic Coastal Plain of the US and relocate them inland.

23 posted on 09/29/2011 3:43:29 PM PDT by Zeppo ("Happy Pony is on - and I'm NOT missing Happy Pony")
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To: massgopguy
"I’ve heard that a massive Canary Island quake will send a Tsunami to the US East Coast."

I've heard it too. It's supposed to trigger a huge underwater avalanche that will make the Japanese tsunami look like nothing ever happened, compared to the inland rush on our eastern seaboard. I've even seen a movie based on this but can't remember the name of it.

24 posted on 09/29/2011 3:43:42 PM PDT by SierraWasp (I'm done being disappointed by "He/She is the only one who can win" and being embarrassed later!!!)
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To: frithguild

Thank you! You’ve answered all my questions for not having read far enough in the thread. Let that be a lesson to me!!!


25 posted on 09/29/2011 3:46:21 PM PDT by SierraWasp (I'm done being disappointed by "He/She is the only one who can win" and being embarrassed later!!!)
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To: CedarDave

deviatoric stress is the culprit. Convexial declination forces acting on the batter axis results in the stress


26 posted on 09/29/2011 4:08:49 PM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 ....Rats carry plague)
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To: frithguild

likely height of around 50 metres (164 ft) at the Caribbean and the Eastern North American seaboard when it runs ashore eight or more hours later, and minutes later slams in to the Allegany Mountains sending spray over the top.


27 posted on 09/29/2011 4:24:38 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: massgopguy
I’ve heard that a massive Canary Island quake will send a Tsunami to the US East Coast.

A standing wave tsunami ... which will totally obliterate all standing structures from the coast line to the Allegheny Mountains.

28 posted on 09/29/2011 4:27:07 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: Zeppo

we would be spending squandering trillions of dollars to evacuate all of the cities on the Atlantic Coastal Plain of the US and relocate them inland.

No need, they are mostly populated by liberals who will surf the wave over the Mountains.

/s


29 posted on 09/29/2011 4:30:46 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now it is your turn ...)
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To: SierraWasp

Yes, lots of discussion. A bunch of stuff has to happen at the same time to make the tsunami, so it is somewhat unlikely.


30 posted on 09/29/2011 7:24:51 PM PDT by Technocrat (Cain-Palin 2012)
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To: bert
deviatoric stress is the culprit. Convexial declination forces acting on the batter axis results in the stress

Thanks for the explanation, I was worried for a bit about that global warming reference.

/s

31 posted on 09/29/2011 7:31:27 PM PDT by CedarDave (My Sarah prediction: Announcing for President between October 12 and 28.)
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To: Red Badger; Quix

“The odds set by these scientists have risen to 99%”

The Canary Islands government radio alert to all operators of the impending El Hierro volcanic eruption on the island 12 kilometers

http://www.youtube.com/redirect?q=http%3A%2F%2Ftranslate.google.com%2Ftranslate%3Fhl%3Den%26ie%3DUTF8%26prev%3D_t%26rurl%3Dtranslate.google.com%26sl%3Dauto%26tl%3Den%26twu%3D1%26u%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.eldigitaldecanarias.net%2Fnoticia54411.php&session_token=-e9dzlMhYnmn3jfp1xj5nj9II9J8MTMxNzQ0Mzg3NUAxMzE3MzU3NDc1

Measurements and forecasts made by scientists on the island of El Hierro and the whole structure of IGN have pointed to the competent authorities within the Pevolca activated by the Canarian Government to the volcanic eruption is expected for several days can occur in next few hours at a point in the sea to twelve miles off the coast southwest of the island, which correspond to the town of Frontera.

The odds set by these scientists have risen to 99%, giving the reason Carracedo, which set the deadline for its experience and professional expertise long before any of that until now have come to the public.

In order not to alarm the population is deciding when to make public a statement giving an account of this incident, but was ordered by radio high alert all operators to be prepared, especially in the EMU and its device that includes a shelter for 2,000 people, if it is considered that the entire population evacuated.

At this time the technicians of the Canary Islands from the Cecoi El Hierro are already coordinating emergency resources and security and all air and sea operating when the eruption occurs.

Rising Volcanic Activity Prompts Evacuations On El Hierro, The Canary Islands

http://www.irishweatheronline.com/news/earth-science/geology/rising-volcanic-activity-prompts-evacuations-on-el-hierro-the-canary-islands/39807.html/comment-page-1


32 posted on 09/29/2011 10:20:46 PM PDT by Whenifhow
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To: Red Badger; SunkenCiv; Quix

Dynamics of diffuse CO2 emission from El Hierro volcanic system, Canary Islands

http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.V21D2023B

Abstract
El Hierro Island (278 km2) is one of the youngest and the southwesternmost of the Canary Islands and rises 4000 m above the sea floor. The main characteristics of El Hierro consist on a truncated trihedron shape and three convergent ridges of volcanic cones. Since fumarolic activity is absent at the surface environment of El Hierro, the study of the evolution of diffuse CO2 emissions becomes an ideal geochemical tool for monitoring its volcanic activity. Since 1998, diffuse CO2 emission has been investigated at El Hierro volcanic system. Since then, a total of 9 diffuse CO2 emission surveys have been performed in the summer periods of 1998, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009, with approximately 600 observation sites. Diffuse CO2 emission measurements were performed by means of a portable NDIR sensor according to the accumulation chamber method. Soil CO2 efflux contour maps were constructed using a Sequential Gaussian Simulation (SGS) as interpolation method. Soil CO2 efflux for all the studies ranged from negligible values to 57.4 g m-2 d-1. Most of the study area showed CO2 efflux background values about 1.3 g m-2 d-1. Relatively high CO2 efflux values (>10 g m-2 d-1), if we consider the mean of the background, were measured along the main volcanic-structural features of study area. The total diffuse CO2 output released to atmosphere was estimated for each survey considering the positive volume generated by interpolation, showing a range between 358 and 1.434 t d-1. Our results reveal significant variations from 1998 to 2009 and indicate that CO2 emissions at El Hierro fluctuate greatly. Temporal variations in the total CO2 output do not seem to be masked by external variations, showing a temporal correlation with the peaks of seismic activity occurred in 2004 and previously to the soil gas survey. The observed changes in the diffuse CO2 emission between 1998 and 2009 suggest a close relationship between strain/stress changes in the subsurface of El Hierro volcanic system and the dynamics of CO2 emission. Performing frequent soil CO2 efflux surveys appear to be an effective surveillance tool for El Hierro volcanic system.


33 posted on 09/29/2011 10:25:38 PM PDT by Whenifhow
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To: Whenifhow; Alamo-Girl; Amityschild; AngieGal; AnimalLover; Ann de IL; aposiopetic; aragorn; ...

Perhaps FREEPERS and loved ones on the East Coast—particularly in low lying areas . . . would do well to stay alert to realities currently in the Canary Islands???

THANKS TONS for the links, whenifhow:

http://www.youtube.com/redirect?q=http%3A%2F%2Ftranslate.google.com%2Ftranslate%3Fhl%3Den%26ie%3DUTF8%26prev%3D_t%26rurl%3Dtranslate.google.com%26sl%3Dauto%26tl%3Den%26twu%3D1%26u%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.eldigitaldecanarias.net%2Fnoticia54411.php&session_token=-e9dzlMhYnmn3jfp1xj5nj9II9J8MTMxNzQ0Mzg3NUAxMzE3MzU3NDc1http://www.youtube.com/redirect?q=http%3A%2F%2Ftranslate.google.com%2Ftranslate%3Fhl%3Den%26ie%3DUTF8%26prev%3D_t%26rurl%3Dtranslate.google.com%26sl%3Dauto%26tl%3Den%26twu%3D1%26u%3Dhttp%3A%2F%2Fwww.eldigitaldecanarias.net%2Fnoticia54411.php&session_token=-e9dzlMhYnmn3jfp1xj5nj9II9J8MTMxNzQ0Mzg3NUAxMzE3MzU3NDc1

http://www.irishweatheronline.com/news/earth-science/geology/rising-volcanic-activity-prompts-evacuations-on-el-hierro-the-canary-islands/39807.html/comment-page-1

http://adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2009AGUFM.V21D2023B

Let me see if I can add some paragraphing to the Abstract:


Abstract

El Hierro Island (278 km2) is one of the youngest and the southwesternmost of the Canary Islands and rises 4000 m above the sea floor. The main characteristics of El Hierro consist on a truncated trihedron shape and three convergent ridges of volcanic cones.
.
Since fumarolic activity is absent at the surface environment of El Hierro, the study of the evolution of diffuse CO2 emissions becomes an ideal geochemical tool for monitoring its volcanic activity.
.
Since 1998, diffuse CO2 emission has been investigated at El Hierro volcanic system. Since then, a total of 9 diffuse CO2 emission surveys have been performed in the summer periods of 1998, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009, with approximately 600 observation sites.
.
Diffuse CO2 emission measurements were performed by means of a portable NDIR sensor according to the accumulation chamber method. Soil CO2 efflux contour maps were constructed using a Sequential Gaussian Simulation (SGS) as interpolation method.
.
Soil CO2 efflux for all the studies ranged from negligible values to 57.4 g m-2 d-1. Most of the study area showed CO2 efflux background values about 1.3 g m-2 d-1. Relatively high CO2 efflux values (>10 g m-2 d-1), if we consider the mean of the background, were measured along the main volcanic-structural features of study area.
.
The total diffuse CO2 output released to atmosphere was estimated for each survey considering the positive volume generated by interpolation, showing a range between 358 and 1.434 t d-1. Our results reveal significant variations from 1998 to 2009 and indicate that CO2 emissions at El Hierro fluctuate greatly.
.
Temporal variations in the total CO2 output do not seem to be masked by external variations, showing a temporal correlation with the peaks of seismic activity occurred in 2004 and previously to the soil gas survey.
.
The observed changes in the diffuse CO2 emission between 1998 and 2009 suggest a close relationship between strain/stress changes in the subsurface of El Hierro volcanic system and the dynamics of CO2 emission.
.
Performing frequent soil CO2 efflux surveys appear to be an effective surveillance tool for El Hierro volcanic system.


34 posted on 09/30/2011 12:55:41 AM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: Whenifhow
Since fumarolic activity is absent at the surface environment of El Hierro,.....

This is not a good thing. No fumaroles means there are most likely no 'safety valves' for the magma chamber.......

35 posted on 09/30/2011 5:15:18 AM PDT by Red Badger (We cannot defeat an enemy that the president and hence his administration cannot name.......)
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To: Quix

I noticed the translate google would not open correctly - below is the source.

found it under this video.
UPDATE: El Hierro, Canary Island...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyTMdN-VghU&feature=feedf


36 posted on 09/30/2011 6:31:56 AM PDT by Whenifhow
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To: SierraWasp

Perhaps I need to get my kayak out...just in case.


37 posted on 09/30/2011 10:03:01 AM PDT by brytlea (Wake me when it's over...)
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To: PIF

Well, in that case, my kayak may not be much help.


38 posted on 09/30/2011 10:04:18 AM PDT by brytlea (Wake me when it's over...)
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To: Whenifhow

THX THX


39 posted on 09/30/2011 10:12:08 AM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: Red Badger
Just did a google news search to see what popped for volcano.....

Click here.

More activity than I thought there'd be came up. Is this an average amount of volcanic friskiness worldwide, anyone know?

40 posted on 09/30/2011 12:58:05 PM PDT by mewzilla (Forget a third party. We need a second one.)
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To: mewzilla

I’ve heard that at any given time there is an average of about 40 volcanoes erupting on earth...............


41 posted on 09/30/2011 1:00:36 PM PDT by Red Badger (We cannot defeat an enemy that the president and hence his administration cannot name.......)
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To: Red Badger

All I can say is, thanks Long Island. Thanks for being there.


42 posted on 09/30/2011 1:10:02 PM PDT by Jack of all Trades (Hold your face to the light, even though for the moment you do not see.)
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To: Jack of all Trades

What is the highest elevation on Long Island? The expected tsunami could be 100+ feet....................


43 posted on 09/30/2011 1:30:57 PM PDT by Red Badger (We cannot defeat an enemy that the president and hence his administration cannot name.......)
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To: Red Badger


44 posted on 09/30/2011 3:19:34 PM PDT by Momaw Nadon ("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
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To: Red Badger
Thx! BTW, here's an interesting link I just came across....

http://earthquake-report.com

45 posted on 09/30/2011 4:26:44 PM PDT by mewzilla (Forget a third party. We need a second one.)
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To: Quix
Hey Quix...

This is a very odd sequence of events. The dynamics are not normal. Few things to consider; EQ’s have actually lowered in depth as the intensity has increased. Typically if magma was on the move the opposite would be observed. Constant rumble, not harmonics are being heard by land and by sea. There is no chimney suggesting that magma is sourcing from the hotspot located directly under El Hierro.

Inflation is directly resulting from movement, inflation is not causing the movement.

Weird stuff.....the EQ swarm has rotated as if a large pool of magma is caught in the throat but there is no recording of it rising there....Some scientist are suggesting a stress load from the last landslide is finally releasing it's energy but that would not explain the CO2 rises.

This is something I have been watching....but just am in awe with!

46 posted on 09/30/2011 8:21:07 PM PDT by winoneforthegipper ("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
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To: Quix

Thanks for the ping!


47 posted on 09/30/2011 8:59:43 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: winoneforthegipper

A FREEPER was just in the Canary Islands.

Not sure if they’ll comment on thread, or not.


48 posted on 10/01/2011 6:20:05 AM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: SpinnerWebb
History Channel segment on Canary Island tsunami
49 posted on 10/01/2011 6:55:29 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (When you've only heard lies your entire life, the truth sounds insane.)
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To: Red Badger

Not much. Some models have a tsunami inundating up to 10 miles or so, others more than a hundred. In the first case, I have water front property. In the latter, I’m toast. Very soggy toast.


50 posted on 10/03/2011 5:53:26 AM PDT by Jack of all Trades (Hold your face to the light, even though for the moment you do not see.)
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