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Rasmussen poll shows Gingrich with double-digit lead in Iowa
Hot Air ^ | 11/17/2011 | Ed Morrissey

Posted on 11/17/2011 10:58:22 AM PST by TBBT

Rasmussen’s latest poll in Iowa gives Newt Gingrich a big claim to legitimacy in the Republican nomination fight, but it also is pretty good news for Mitt Romney as well. Among likely caucus-goers, Gingrich now leads Romney 32/19, with Herman Cain dropping more than half of his previous support:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers shows Gingrich with 32% followed by former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at 19%. Georgia businessman Herman Cain, who led in Iowa last month, drops to third with 13% of the vote. Texas Congressman Ron Paul draws 10% of the vote in Iowa, while Texas Governor Rick Perry and Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann each grab six percent (6%).

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum draws support from five percent (5%) of caucus-goers while former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman picks up two percent (2%). Only one percent (1%) would prefer some other candidate and six percent (6%) more are undecided.

This is the first primary survey conducted entirely after last week’s GOP debate on foreign policy. Cain also recently fumbled a response to the administration’s actions in Libya.

This comes from a sample of 700 respondents, which is larger than the Bloomberg survey released this week showing a four-way tie in Iowa. This survey took place more recently than the Bloomberg poll as well, incorporating the Saturday debate on foreign policy, in which Cain struggled. As far as the Ron Paul surge Bloomberg noted, it seems to have bypassed Rasmussen’s sample. In fact, while Paul continues to hold onto about 10% of the caucus goers in Iowa, he’s not likely to get much more:

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: cain; ia; ia2012; iowa; newt; polls
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Some polls up, some polls down, some polls go round and round...
1 posted on 11/17/2011 10:58:25 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

Gingrich embraces Washington “insider” label (Video)

http://www.cbsnews.com/video/watch/?id=7388533n ^ | 11-17-11 | CBS news

Stick a fork in Newt he is done.

No way he wins now.

All the 0 campaign will have to do if Newt is our nominee is run this clip in the swing states the last week in Oct 2012.


2 posted on 11/17/2011 10:59:17 AM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: MNJohnnie

Yawn...


3 posted on 11/17/2011 11:02:04 AM PST by TBBT
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To: TBBT

But.....http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=un63LEAN22E ?


4 posted on 11/17/2011 11:02:29 AM PST by Salamander (I'm Wounded, Old And Treacherous.)
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To: TBBT

Wow. Someone said a while back that Iowa voters wouldn’t go for a thrice married candidate...hm..

I am, still, undecided. We vote January 31.


5 posted on 11/17/2011 11:02:29 AM PST by Recovering_Democrat
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To: TBBT

ALL public polls are for profit marketing tools to manipulate. They have no laws to ensure they are not manipulated, no real penalty for lying. Think for yourselves. IGNORE all of them!


6 posted on 11/17/2011 11:03:12 AM PST by Mechanicos (Why does the DOE have a SWAT Team?)
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To: TBBT

And Cain leading in 2 other Iowa polls. We shall see. It will be a long 7 weeks.


7 posted on 11/17/2011 11:03:26 AM PST by montag813
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To: MNJohnnie
I take it political calculus is not your strong suit?

Which sainted conservative are you pushing?

8 posted on 11/17/2011 11:04:43 AM PST by G Larry (Catholic Conservative Supporting Israel!)
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To: TBBT

I’m so sick of this cr*p! I’m tired of the media meddling!! Stick with your candidate. If it’s Cain, help him out. If it’s Newt, help help him out. If it’s Palin, well, see you in 4 more years?


9 posted on 11/17/2011 11:04:47 AM PST by italyconservative (No Mittens!!)
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To: TBBT

Cain will take Iowa. If he doesn’t and Gingirch does, well, that is not too bad.

As long as Romney doesn’t win.


10 posted on 11/17/2011 11:05:07 AM PST by ZULU (Anybody but Romney or Huntsman)
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To: TBBT

The only thing the Newt surge will do is knock all the conservatives out of the race.


11 posted on 11/17/2011 11:05:39 AM PST by BarnacleCenturion (Heartless)
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To: MNJohnnie

Ditto......Yawn.......


12 posted on 11/17/2011 11:06:36 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: TBBT

Is it just me or are these Iowa polls all over the place?


13 posted on 11/17/2011 11:06:36 AM PST by colorado tanker
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To: TBBT

Has the feeling of an outlier to me. Let’s see if we see this kind of change in a couple of other polls.


14 posted on 11/17/2011 11:06:44 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: MNJohnnie
Stick a fork in Newt he is done.
Do you have to drop a negative comment into every single Gingrich post on this site?
Being for some other candidate is all well and good, but your flaming Newt 24/7 is really tiresome.
Don't you have a job, a family, a hobby ... how about a life?
15 posted on 11/17/2011 11:08:16 AM PST by oh8eleven (RVN '67-'68)
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Comment #16 Removed by Moderator

To: BarnacleCenturion

> The only thing the Newt surge will do is knock all the
> conservatives out of the race.

Bears repeating.

Newt talks a good game, but since he left Congress in 98, he has visibly and often betrayed conservatives.


17 posted on 11/17/2011 11:11:28 AM PST by Westbrook
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To: ZULU

Iowa is an eternity away in political terms to make such a definitive claim. Don’t you think?


18 posted on 11/17/2011 11:11:56 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: TBBT

The polls go round and round...making us all dizzy


19 posted on 11/17/2011 11:12:43 AM PST by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: TBBT
The Cain/Gingrich/Perry and most of the Paul votes are interchangeable within that group of candidates.

The Christian voting block, en masse, will never support Romney, only cult members and liberal RINOs.

The results of this poll shows Cain and Perry supporters switching to Gingrich for the most part.

Romney with the nomination means an awful lot of Christians sitting this election out and Obama being re-elected.

20 posted on 11/17/2011 11:12:48 AM PST by SENTINEL (Romney is to Conservatism what Mormonism is to Christianity.)
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To: BoingBoing

Sometimes polls are just wrong. If we get a huge Gingrich surge in the next few days of polling, it was a poll ahead of the curve. If we don’t, it was just a bad poll.

No big deal, but why people shouldn’t freak out (good or bad) over a single poll.


21 posted on 11/17/2011 11:13:08 AM PST by Anitius Severinus Boethius
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To: TBBT

http://www.news.iastate.edu/news/2011/nov/ISUpoll


22 posted on 11/17/2011 11:16:59 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Perry and his fellow demorats.)
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To: MNJohnnie
Stick a fork in Newt he is done.

Want to give any odds on that?

23 posted on 11/17/2011 11:17:26 AM PST by itsahoot (There was a bloodless coup in 08, and no one seemed to notice. God help us.)
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To: TBBT

Gingrich would made a good Vice President. He has too much baggage to lead the country. America needs a fresh face like HERMAN CAIN.


24 posted on 11/17/2011 11:18:56 AM PST by stars & stripes forever ( Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord.)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
And how did your relentless pimping McCain around here in 2008 work out for us PF?

How many times are you and the GOPbots going to make the same mistake before you finally wise up?

25 posted on 11/17/2011 11:21:11 AM PST by MNJohnnie (Giving more money to DC to fix the Debt is like giving free drugs to addicts think it will cure them)
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To: itsahoot
SHUSH! don't get him started.
26 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:25 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: org.whodat

Interesting. Since that doesn’t support the game plan, I doubt that will get much publicity in the media.


27 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:50 AM PST by meatloaf (It's time to push back against out of control government.)
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To: stars & stripes forever

America got a ‘fresh face’ in 2008. Fresh face doesn’t always mean good.


28 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:50 AM PST by ph12321 (We must, indeed, all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: TBBT

Polls Polls Polls, another one with different results? A few posts down I read this “according to a new poll released Thursday. The Iowa State University/Gazette/KCRG poll found that the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO leads the GOP field in Iowa with the support of 24.5 percent of Republican voters.”.

You can go nuts with these polls. They’re all worthless as far as I am concerned.


29 posted on 11/17/2011 11:22:56 AM PST by Bringbackthedraft (Its not who we elect, its those who they appoint that mater most!.)
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To: TBBT

The truth, newt has obummer smilling, http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/archive/election_2012_archive/november_2011/election_2012_obama_50_gingrich_38


30 posted on 11/17/2011 11:23:35 AM PST by org.whodat (Just another heartless American, hated by "AMNESTY" Perry and his fellow demorats.)
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To: ph12321
Fresh face doesn’t always mean good.

It is good when the candidate is qualified.

10 REASONS WHY CAIN IS ABLE

1) Mathematician for the Navy, where he worked on missile ballistics (making him a rocket scientist 2) Computer systems analyst for Coca-Cola 3) VP of Corporate Data Systems and Services for Pillsbury 4) Business Manager for 400 Burger King restaurants He learned the business from the ground up to turn the poorest performers into three the best performers in three years) 5) CEO and owner of Godfather’s Pizza 6) Chairman of the National Restaurant Association 7) Adviser to the Federal Reserve System and Chairman of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank 8)Writer, public speaker, and WSB-Atlanta Radio Host 9)Associate Minister 10) faithful husband, and father.

31 posted on 11/17/2011 11:30:31 AM PST by stars & stripes forever ( Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord.)
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**Would you miss it if it went away?**
**Click above, donate what you can to help take us to the top**
Thank you!

32 posted on 11/17/2011 11:34:46 AM PST by STARWISE (The overlords are in place .. we are a nation under siege .. pray, go Galt & hunker down)
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To: TBBT
I take two meanings from this poll: First, it is a Rasmussen poll which means that it's very likely to be accurate. I know he polled 700 likely caucus goers. Rasmussen's methodology is good and he is usually right on.

Second, this poll confirms the momentum which has been up for Gingrich and down for his two competitors, Romney and Cain. Although we are far away from the January caucus event, Romney and McCain will have a difficult time stopping their fall, reversing the direction and overtaking Gingrich. Absent an intervening event such as a scandal or a monumental gaffe by Gingrich, the trajectory of the arrows show Gingrich pulling away from the other two and we would expect that to continue.


33 posted on 11/17/2011 11:35:28 AM PST by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: montag813
It will be a long 7 weeks.

The next seven weeks include Thanksgiving Day, college football rivals week, Advent, Christmas Eve, Christmas Day, New Year's Eve, and New Year's Day.

It's the most wonderful time of the year and it will go by fast, just like it always does.

The leftists are trying desperately to bury Cain, and to raise Mitt and Obama. I'm going to kick back a bit, tuck into a couple of good meals, enjoy some gridiron and some tasty beverages, and then starting January 3rd take up the important business of beating down the commies with a CAIN!

34 posted on 11/17/2011 11:36:58 AM PST by rogue yam
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To: TBBT; TitansAFC

Newer poll shows Gingrich in lead


35 posted on 11/17/2011 11:38:00 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of our Troops PRAY for their VICTORY!)
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To: stars & stripes forever

IF Cain makes it out of the primary, I’ll gladly campaign for him. If it’s mutt romney, I’m writing in Palin.

I believe the establishment is pushing romney, which would just about guarantee the resident reelected. Mutt’s former work with bain capital would be too easy for the media to repeatedly use in today’s environment setup from the ows pansies to help the resident.

Sad, but found this interesting list below (regarding Cain):

1. He supported TARP
2. He endorsed Romney
3. He is a flip-flopper on abortion (numerous times)
4. He is a flip-flopper on gay marraige
5. He is a flip-flopper on killing Al Awlaki
6. He donated to Democrat politicians in Nebraska
7. He has no voting record, so we don’t know which way he would on anything
8. He worked for the Fed
9. He has high praise for Alan Greenspan (Andrea Mitchell’s hubbie)
10. He ripped people who opposed TARP as “free market purists”

Sources:
1. http://004eeb5.netsolhost.com/hc133.htm
2. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXUz1gscEnM
3. http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/herman-cain-and-abortion-flip-flop-flip/2011/10/24/gIQAZ16NDM_blog.html
4. http://theweek.com/article/index/220679/herman-cains-lastest-flip-flop-a-federal-gay-marriage-ban
5. http://rt.com/news/blogs/contrarian-view/al-awlaki-killing-obama/
6. http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/herman-cain-explains-past-donations-democrats-162526044.html
7. - (no voting record speaks for itself - no link)
8. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herman_Cain
9. http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/10/herman-cain-praises-greenspan-at-risk-of-tea-party-support/
10. http://washingtonexaminer.com/blogs/beltway-confidential/2011/05/flashback-2008-herman-cain-praised-tarp-chided-free-market-purist


36 posted on 11/17/2011 11:40:42 AM PST by ph12321 (We must, indeed, all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately - Benjamin Franklin)
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To: BoingBoing

We never buy the polls we don’t like. LOL


37 posted on 11/17/2011 11:41:55 AM PST by Gator113 (~Just livin' life, my way~.. Newt/West 2012.“I’ve got a lot swirling around in my head.”)
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To: MNJohnnie

I think Newt is smarter than to allow a contract he had as a private business consultant to slow him down.

Fanny/Freddie hiring Newt is no different than my hiring the best plumber in the area. They wanted valid input and they got it. They didn’t get what they wanted to hear, but they got an expert’s input.


38 posted on 11/17/2011 11:43:17 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! True Supporters of our Troops PRAY for their VICTORY!)
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To: rogue yam

Sounds like a WINNING PLAN. Just keep flooding Cain with tons of funds as well. And volunteer where needed.

https://www.supporthermancain.com/donate/src/1103weAD16


39 posted on 11/17/2011 11:44:17 AM PST by CainConservative
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Comment #40 Removed by Moderator

To: TBBT
Rasmussen poll shows Gingrich with double-digit lead in Iowa

Imagine that - a GOP candidate who openly favors ethanol subsidies has a big lead in Iowa. Shocking.

Gingrich or Romney? Are these two ethanol-panderers really the best the GOP is able to offer America as we slide into the financial abyss? The Tea Party movement has done great work, but the 2012 GOP field shows how much is yet to be done - whether in the current GOP or in a new third party, we need fiscal conservatives with the requisite communication skills and charisma positioned for presidential runs.
41 posted on 11/17/2011 11:46:55 AM PST by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: stars & stripes forever

>>Gingrich would made a good Vice President. He has too much baggage to lead the country. America needs a fresh face like HERMAN CAIN.<<

I think Cain has cost himself too much support with his responses to legitimate questions from the news media over the past two weeks. More and more, it appears that those incidents were not just isolated ones, but part of a pretty consistent pattern. He just doesn’t seem to have the horses to be President. I hope I’m wrong, and he recovers, but I doubt he will.

Gingrich bothers me, even though he’d be good in a debate, but he really has bounced all over the lot ideologically over the years. I really don’t see a lot of difference between Gingrich and Romney, to be honest. Both would probably sign onto the global warming agenda, or would have a year ago...a bad sign.

I guess for now I hope Perry manages to recover. If Cain continues to fade, and Gingrich starts to fade, those votes will probably slide over to Perry as next alternative, and he could start to recover.

Absent that happening, maybe a “Draft Paul Ryan” movement?


42 posted on 11/17/2011 11:47:40 AM PST by Norseman (Defund the Left-Completely!)
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To: Recovering_Democrat

Gingrich/Cain
Cain/Gingrich
Gingrich/West

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/iowa/2012_iowa_republican_caucus


43 posted on 11/17/2011 11:48:17 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: nathanbedford
Good points, Nathan

I would also add, that Gingrich is not new to the majority of us and his slow but steady rise is the result of us knowing fully, who and what he is, his past is quite well known, but most of us are beyond that.

what we know is what Gingrich has clearly displayed in the debates, as well as his strong participation and activity in his campaign. He is knocking on doors, shaking hands and connecting with people.

More importantly, he displays the strongest ability of how to handle that 3 am call on the crisis hot line, and he certainly knows how to handle the Middle East and China.

Few other candidates are even remotely in his class or have the logical ability to handle the very difficult job ahead. Any candidate who has to rely on other people (experts) in order to make the right decisions has no business even being close to the White House in the coming years.

44 posted on 11/17/2011 11:49:23 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: kalee; TitansAFC; onyx; LuvFreeRepublic; Sea Parrot; SweetCaroline; matthew fuller; Gator113; ...
The "Newt Gingrich for President" ping list!

If you want ON or OFF of the ping list, just let me know!

To whom it may concern: If you wish to give me BREAKING news, links, information, or tidbits for the purpose of (perhaps) having me post it at FR, your confidentiality WILL be kept by yours truly. I will tell NOBODY the source of my information.



Conservatism, experience, results, eloquence, statesmanship, knowledge.
SERIOUS solutions to SERIOUS problems!
---Newt Gingrich 2012.


NEWT SURGES INTO BIG LEAD IN IOWA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
45 posted on 11/17/2011 11:49:56 AM PST by TitansAFC (Stop the caINSANITY, The Pizza guy is less qualified than Obama!!! No New taxes!!)
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To: Gator113
I buy 'em all..

Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus

RCP Average of Polling Data

Cain Gingrich Romney Paul Perry Bachmann Santorum Huntsman Spread

RCP Average 20.2 17.6 17.2 14.0 7.0 6.8 4.0 1.3 Cain +2.6

CAIN/NEWT '12!

Game. Set. Match.

46 posted on 11/17/2011 11:51:02 AM PST by CainConservative
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To: MNJohnnie

I just saw on drudge that Perry is washed up no money.How can some here have bashed Perry to this point and now are okay with Newt is beyond me?


47 posted on 11/17/2011 11:51:11 AM PST by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!
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To: SENTINEL

Christians will be held accountable for staying home by God in this election just as much as they were for pulling the lever for the Won in 2008. There is no copping out as He expects us to show a kind of resolve and courage that is not demonstrated by the world. As a body we still need to go to the polls and still vote for Senators/Congressman who can make a difference. You can always write in the POTUS candidate or leave it blank. The days of moral equivalence spoiled crybaby wimpdom are over.


48 posted on 11/17/2011 11:51:25 AM PST by DarthVader (That which supports Barack Hussein Obama must be sterilized and there are NO exceptions!)
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To: BarnacleCenturion

Cain is in a swan dive and Newt is in full soar. What will week after next bring?


49 posted on 11/17/2011 11:51:48 AM PST by RitaOK (Rasmussen is the standard and owns the record on accuracy.)
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To: Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid!

” How can some here have bashed Perry to this point and now are okay with Newt is beyond me? “ <<<

A decent question. Read where one of Perry’s fundraisers said that he is still raising money for Perry because even if he doesn’t win the nomination, he will have politcal power.... Weird. People must have millions to light a match to when they can pay for not winning, but for power and positioning?


50 posted on 11/17/2011 11:56:46 AM PST by RitaOK (Rasmussen is the standard and owns the record on accuracy.)
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