Rasmussen poll shows Gingrich with double-digit lead in Iowa

Hot Air ^ | 11/17/2011 | Ed Morrissey

[TBBT]

Rasmussen’s latest poll in Iowa gives Newt Gingrich a big claim to legitimacy in the Republican nomination fight, but it also is pretty good news for Mitt Romney as well. Among likely caucus-goers, Gingrich now leads Romney 32/19, with Herman Cain dropping more than half of his previous support:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers shows Gingrich with 32% followed by former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney at 19%. Georgia businessman Herman Cain, who led in Iowa last month, drops to third with 13% of the vote. Texas Congressman Ron Paul draws 10% of the vote in Iowa, while Texas Governor Rick Perry and Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann each grab six percent (6%).

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum draws support from five percent (5%) of caucus-goers while former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman picks up two percent (2%). Only one percent (1%) would prefer some other candidate and six percent (6%) more are undecided.

This is the first primary survey conducted entirely after last week’s GOP debate on foreign policy. Cain also recently fumbled a response to the administration’s actions in Libya.

This comes from a sample of 700 respondents, which is larger than the Bloomberg survey released this week showing a four-way tie in Iowa. This survey took place more recently than the Bloomberg poll as well, incorporating the Saturday debate on foreign policy, in which Cain struggled. As far as the Ron Paul surge Bloomberg noted, it seems to have bypassed Rasmussen’s sample. In fact, while Paul continues to hold onto about 10% of the caucus goers in Iowa, he’s not likely to get much more:

[maine-iac7]

Little Jojnnie One Note repeats his Newt bashing - and repeats and repeats and repeats. Doesn’t miss a thread. Doesn’t mind repeating half truths and disinformation.

R little jonnie and the other bashers - Go ahead and knock Newt - or any of the candidates.

But then, give us the largess of your wisdom and tell which candidate CAN now beat both obama and the media - AND WHY.

Otherwise, maybe go do some research so you CAN...

Start with each of the leaders plans for running the country. look at their web sites... Try to be honest with yourself. Go ahead, give it a try. It’s only our country’s very survival that is at steak...

Maybe you could forgo one episode of ‘Dancing With the Stars” and do some research...

“He has the right to criticize who has the heart to help” Abraham Lincoln

[af_vet_rr]

Perry is not “washed up” and out of money. He just know how to spend it more wisely than the other candidates. He will come from behind and soon.

We've been hearing for weeks and weeks about how Perry is going to make a come back. Where is this comeback? Has anybody told Perry that the primaries are six weeks away??

Let me back up - why do you think Perry dropped so much?

[varina davis]

“Let me back up - why do you think Perry dropped so much?”

IMHO, I don’t think it’s so much that he “dropped” as it is that the media is once again trying to choose a GOP candidate for voters. The left is scared to death of an authentic macho type male with military service, a long record of getting things done and winning elections.

The fact that he is plain spoken, can laugh at himself and has a sense of humor makes him even more dangerous to the self-annointed liberal “intellectuals.”

His so-called “gaffs” are minor league compared to those of Obama and some of the other GOP candidates.

As far as the polls go, there is a history of surprises in Iowa and New Hampshire on elections days. Folks don’t always tell pollsters what they really believe.

[af_vet_rr]

IMHO, I don’t think it’s so much that he “dropped”

If he didn't drop, then what do you call it when he goes from consistently hitting 20%-30% in the polling down to 6%-10%?

as it is that the media is once again trying to choose a GOP candidate for voters.

Are you saying the media convinced Conservatives to leave Perry? Most Conservatives I know certainly don't let the media dictate their choices. So who are these people that the media convinced to stop supporting Perry?

Plus, the media went after Cain a lot harder with the Gloria Allred crap than they ever went after Perry, and Cain didn't drop down to single digits. Perry's treatment by the media wasn't nearly as brutal as Cain's treatment by the media.

Folks don’t always tell pollsters what they really believe.

So you're saying there is a group of Perry supporters who are pretending to support anybody but Perry? How does that help Rick Perry?

[varina davis]

Uh oh. I fell for that one. Thought you were seriously asking for my opinion. Goodnight.

[af_vet_rr]

Uh oh. I fell for that one. Thought you were seriously asking for my opinion. Goodnight.

You didn't fall for anything, I asked you some very simple questions, and I'll restate them in a more simple fashion:

Do you really believe the media caused Conservatives to leave Perry?

If so, why was the media unable to get Conservatives to leave Cain in similar numbers after the Gloria Allred crap?

Finally, do you believe that there are Rick Perry supporters who are unwilling to admit to pollsters that they support Rick Perry?

[nikos1121]

http://townhall.com/columnists/peterferrara/2011/11/18/newt_checks_and_balances_liberal_judges

Please read. Here’s a man who knows how to get this country back to what it once was...

[FreeReign]

ALL public polls are for profit marketing tools to manipulate. They have no laws to ensure they are not manipulated, no real penalty for lying. Think for yourselves. IGNORE all of them!

Pollsters become credible to conservatives when ones own conservative candidate leads in the pollster's poll. It's at that point, when the "paid for" pollster becomes "credible", that the pollster knocks down the conservative and delivers the RINO.

Oh Bachmann is surging...Oh never mind.

Oh Perry leads....Oh never mind.

Oh Cain is running away with it...Oh never mind.

Oh here comes the partime conservative, Newt. Does anybody want to gues how long his surge will last?

By the time the primaries roll around, with their "credibility" intact, the pollster will deliver the balls-to-the-wall RINO, Romney.

Mark my words.

[varina davis]

1. yes — certainly in part

2. Many did leave Cain — thus his drop in the polls

3. Absolutely

[EveningStar]

” RUN SARAH RUN!! “ <<<

OMG. Puhleeeze, make it STOP. Suicide is NOT an option. Enough already!!!! She is more than half the reason we are thought to be wild eyed and illiterate barbarians led by Neanderthals. Good grief, I need a lemon to cleanse the palate. We pulled the fork out of that one quite some time back. All the world watched. Done.

Here. Use this. :)

[RitaOK]

You’re the best. Thanks.

[af_vet_rr]

1. yes — certainly in part

2. Many did leave Cain — thus his drop in the polls

3. Absolutely

1 - If you believe the media drove Conservatives away from Perry, that would mean that you believe the media influences Conservatives, and I just do not see that. The Conservatives I know do not listen to the MSM.

2 - Some left Cain, but not nearly in the numbers that folks left Perry. The allegations against Cain were far more serious than the media mocking Perry's debate prowess. If the media had the kind of influence on Conservatives you seem to think it does, Cain should be polling around Perry's numbers, but he's not, not even close. Cain is still firmly in the first tier of candidates while Perry remains in the second tier.

3 - If you believe that there are Rick Perry supporters who are covering up their support for Rick Perry, don't you think they are doing Perry harm by doing so? Perry having such low numbers creates the impression that he's a has-been and that impression does not help him with six weeks to go until the first primary.

[af_vet_rr]

By the time the primaries roll around, with their "credibility" intact, the pollster will deliver the balls-to-the-wall RINO, Romney.

The problem with that thinking is two-fold.

First, the media has been unable to help Romney. His numbers have not moved up like the media had hoped. What you see as far as his supporters is what you get. All it's going to take is for a few of the second tier candidates to drop and you'll see somebody consistently passing up Romney.

Second, the Tea Party movement. Romney cannot counter the Tea Party movement.