Iowa: Romney 23%, Gingrich 20%, Paul 18% (Rasmussen)

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 12/15/2011 | Rasmussen Reports

[Conservativegreatgrandma]

Great idea, count me in. Now, where are we going to get enough like-minded voters to win an election?

[org.whodat]

Money flows to the winner, dumb-ass McCain was forth in iowa.

[greene66]

Mad at the GOP establishment is an understatement. I’ve voted exclusively GOP my entire voting life. But after the past three years of watching them trash the Tea Party, Palin, and conservatism in general... I could truly go third-party at the drop of a hate. Never would have remotely imagined this a few short years ago.

[Proud2BeRight]

“Great idea, count me in. Now, where are we going to get enough like-minded voters to win an election?”

We did it in 2010 when several Tea Party conservatives first pushed away establishment GOP in the primaries and then went on to win elections.

Consider this: Bachman, Santorum, Perry, Palin and Cain (yes Cain) get together and form a conservative group that consolidates to one “real” conservative candidate. A single GOP conservative might displace the RINO and the kook and move a lot of conservative Gingrich support back to a full conservative.

[iowamark]

It is, sadly, very possible that Ron Paul will win the Iowa Caucus because of Dems re-registering as Republicans on caucus night to vote for him. However, there is no chance that he will get the nomination. Conservatives may split among several candidates, leaving Paul-Romney (or Romney-Paul) in first and second place.

If Romney wins Iowa and New Hampshire, does he become the inevitable nominee? I don’t think so. Both Bachmann and Santorum have bet everything on Iowa and will likely be forced out without a win there. I do not see Perry as a credible candidate, although others may disagree. Gingrich may well survive as the conservative alternative to Romney in SC and FL. Newt is almost certainly the only one who can stop Romney. Romney sees this also, which is why he and his people are gunning so hard against Newt.

[xzins]

I sure hope you’re right, Iowa, about a 1-2 of Iowa/NH not being the ballgame for Romney.

I place a lot of weight on the media’s ability to shape the sheeple.

They will crown him, and then promote him through the remainder of the primaries until it’s sewn up.

Then they’ll begin the attack on his Mormonism, his bankrupting companies, his flip-flopping, and his RomneyCare versus Zero’s ObamaCare.

[Timaeus]

True to form, Romney holds steady at revolting 77% of the party.

Yes, and wouldn't it be ironic--ironic in a sad, grim, depressing sort of way--if that 77% could never unite itself sufficiently to prevent 23% Willard from winning Iowa.

[freespirited]

Yep. it will be Romney. That's a fact.

As recently as a week ago, Newt and Romney were less than 10 points apart at Intrade. Now Mitt leads Newt by more than 40 points.

[w1andsodidwe]

I will be Iowa the next two weeks to check this out. My own internal polling (talking to family and friends) does not replicate this result.

It is just too convenient leading into the FOX debate tonight. Yawn!!!

[InterceptPoint]

Newt is almost certainly the only one who can stop Romney. Romney sees this also, which is why he and his people are gunning so hard against Newt.

I agree. And I don't see Romney winning SC or FL.The problem is that because of RNC rules the delegates will get split for all of the primaries held before April. After that it is winner take all.

I'm hoping some clever Freeper will do an analysis of the likely impact of this on the Romney vs. Newt delegate count. Knowing nothing else it would seem to favor Romney and that may have been part of the intent of the RNC. Split the early southern delegates and let the liberal state delegates go to Romeny.

As I said: Interesting times we live in. Keep the faith.

[Zevonismymuse]

I am a conservative and Tea Party

So am I. I went toe to toe with the SEIU infront of Rep. Lois Capps office during the Healthcare Debate.

Rep.Capps Protest

After Action Report

I am extremely active in the fight to save America. We may disagree about how to go about it but I will put my bona fide conservatism next to anyone on this site.

[kingattax]

Obovine excrementula

more razzmussen propaganda

[PapaNew]

Romney sinking, Romney winning, Obama losing, Obama winning...

Wheeeee.....

[wmfights]

blame the media for lying or the pollster for switching methods

I'm not surprised the polls are up and down. Everyone wants obama out!

IA is not a strong conservative state. IA is more of a swing state, so the "moderates/independents" have a big voice. Gingrich is great to listen to if you're tuned in to politics and know the players. However, he can appear to be "too strident" to the person who is not tuned in. They seem to want the "uniter" type.

FWIW, I think Newt overcomes this negative if he gets the nomination. I think the country will want real leadership after looking at 4 failed years of "leading from the rear" by obama.

[familyop]

Anyone who’s learned much about politics, propaganda and history shouldn’t be surprised.

Zeitgeist
http://www.archive.org/details/ZeitgeistTheMovie

Zeitgeist: Addendum (2008)
http://www.archive.org/details/Zeitgeist.Addendum

After watching the second video, “Addendum,” and seeing the many calls to support Ron Paul in that, go to the “Venus Project” (as also advertised in the video) to see what they’re about (”resource-based” world economy with all the world’s people owning the resources, and so on).

Then you’ll know the truth. BTW, anarchists paved the way for communist organizations during Europe’s decades past.

Mao wanted to destroy husbands and monogamy by putting all of the Chinese women to work away from their homes. He wasn’t as successful at that as our business, political and academic leaders in the Midwest. Thus,...the Midwestern political situation.

[txrangerette]

"Gingrich may well survive as the conservative alternative to Romney"

[DestroyLiberalism]

no dems wrote:
<<
But, let’s be fair: Michele’s mouth and mean-spirited attacks against everyone in the GOP field took her out.
>>

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Please refresh my memory here because I honestly don’t remember Michele Bachmann making any mean-sprited attacks.

The truth is, she may be the last trace of hope for a true conservative GOP nominee in this race. Rick Santorum for whatever reason just can’t seem to gain any traction.

[Theodore R.]

No matter what, we can be sure IA will again make the wrong choice.

[DestroyLiberalism]

DM1 wrote:
<<
i agree with you
all (possible Paul exception) would be better than Obama and whoever wins will get my vote even if it is Romney
>>

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I’m not a Ron Paul fan at all, but even HE would be a far better alternative than that evil despicable Marxist Obama.

[parksstp]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhY4oeNgAv_ldHNoWFZaaXVWZnZsdHQyQTUxclctVUE&hl=en_US#gid=0

It isn’t perfect, but I tried my best.

I am working on an even bigger project at the moment. I’m going through every single state, county, metropolitan statistical area looking at voter make-up from 2004, 2008, and 2010, trying to run a General Election simulation. That one is probably going to take several weeks, but I hope to have it completed before the Iowa Caucuses. It’s slanted towards the Anti-Romney candidate.