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Insider Advantage : Paul 17.3, Romney 17.2, Gingrich 16.7, Santorum 13.4, etc
Real Clear Politics ^ | 12/29/11 | Insider Advantage

Posted on 12/29/2011 7:08:41 AM PST by BigEdLB

Poll details from Insider Advantage Poll released today. Title indicates change since last Insider Advanntage poll 10 days ago.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: insideradvantage; iowa; poll; ricksantorum
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Santorum up, Paul, Perry down...
Poll of Dec 18
1 posted on 12/29/2011 7:08:54 AM PST by BigEdLB
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To: BigEdLB

If it’s really that close... Gingrich wins, because the average voting age in the Iowa caucus is like 65 or something like that, and Gingrich gets most of his support from the elderly.


2 posted on 12/29/2011 7:10:48 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: BigEdLB

Well, the race is on and here comes Santorum
Up the backstretch
Newts a-going to the inside
Michelle is holding back
And tryin’ not to fall
Huntsman’s out of the running
Perry’s scratched for another’s sake
The race is on and it looks like Romney
And the winner loses all


3 posted on 12/29/2011 7:16:21 AM PST by dblshot (Insanity: electing the same people over and over and expecting different results.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
LOL Texas, I am 58 and for Newt... Don't feel myself `elderly`, but I am NOT in Iowa either...
Error in title... Change since Dec 18 poll. Paul 17.3 down 6.6, Romney 17.2 down 1.0, Gingrich 16.7 up 4.8, Santorum 13.4 up 10.5 , Bachmann 11.8 up 1.7, Perry 10.5 down 5.0 , Huntsman 2.8 down 1.0.... Numbers change since previous Insider Advantage poll...
4 posted on 12/29/2011 7:16:47 AM PST by BigEdLB (Now there ARE 1,000,000 regrets - but it may be too late.)
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To: BigEdLB

Dec. 18? This is ancient history.


5 posted on 12/29/2011 7:16:56 AM PST by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: TexasFreeper2009

lol

even when they added 30% independents and Democrats to the mix they still could only make it basically even.

Go Gingrich!


6 posted on 12/29/2011 7:18:11 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

>>If it’s really that close... Gingrich wins, because the average voting age in the Iowa caucus is like 65 or something like that, and Gingrich gets most of his support from the elderly.

I read the poll that in the age group 65+, it is 28.3% Romney, 13.4% Gingrich. Am I missing something?


7 posted on 12/29/2011 7:18:11 AM PST by expat1000
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Gingrich and Perry do best amongst the older voters in this poll. Romney does best with Republicans but only slightly. Paul isn't going to be in this race because much of his support comes from Dems and Indy's.

looks like this is coming down to the wire

8 posted on 12/29/2011 7:18:18 AM PST by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: BigEdLB

If Newt pulls this off next Tuesday it will be hugh, and possible vey series for Romney. Like getting bitten by a moose.


9 posted on 12/29/2011 7:18:18 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: BigEdLB
I question the Insider Advantage polling... or at least it's best to look at it as a longer term trend line.

For example, according to Insider Advantage Santorum has gone from 7% to 3% to 13%, Romney has gone from 12(!)% to 18% to 17%, Perry has gone from 13% to 16% to 11%...

Polling results shouldn't be perfectly smooth, considering the margin of error, but those results are a bit too jumpy for my taste.

Regardless, the overall message from this and other polls is that Santorum is rising while other candidates are relatively stagnant.

10 posted on 12/29/2011 7:19:22 AM PST by Crichton
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To: BigEdLB

Almost 33% of INDEPENDENTS are voting for Paul.

I wonder what types of voters can be found in this group recently in Iowa???


11 posted on 12/29/2011 7:19:48 AM PST by SumProVita (Cogito, ergo...Sum Pro Vita. (Modified Decartes))
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma

um..

The Poll is from yesterday, the 28th.


12 posted on 12/29/2011 7:20:14 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: normy
Paul isn't going to be in this race because much of his support comes from Dems and Indy's.

And bong tokers. Althought admittedly you already said "Dems," so I guess I'm being redundant.

13 posted on 12/29/2011 7:20:34 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: Thane_Banquo
If you check the internals, Paul is at 10.5 percent amongst Republicans.

Paul is going to disappoint and come Super Tuesday the only candidate Virginians will get to vote for is Mitt Romney.

That is messed up.

14 posted on 12/29/2011 7:22:46 AM PST by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: SumProVita

in 2008 only 15% of the voters in the Iowa Republican primary weren’t republican, yet this poll is estimating 30% this time...

that was done on purpose to make Paul and Romney numbers look better.


15 posted on 12/29/2011 7:23:29 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Newt Gingrich 2012!)
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To: normy
Paul is going to disappoint and come Super Tuesday the only candidate Virginians will get to vote for is Mitt Romney

Couldn't they do a write-in campaign for Newt or another candidate?

16 posted on 12/29/2011 7:24:50 AM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: Thane_Banquo

17 posted on 12/29/2011 7:25:08 AM PST by Yankee (ANNOY THE RNC: NOMINATE NEWT GINGRICH!)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

There are also many leaving the Democrat Party and registering as Independents.


18 posted on 12/29/2011 7:25:50 AM PST by SumProVita (Cogito, ergo...Sum Pro Vita. (Modified Decartes))
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To: Conservativegreatgrandma
He just posted an old poll to show the movement. What this shows me is the race is still incredibly fluid.

The conservative vote is split 3 1/2 ways ( I don't think Newt takes 100% of the conservative vote).

It's coming down to Caucus night for sure. Pray that the speakers for Perry have power with God, with men and that we prevail and that we speak boldly as we ought.

19 posted on 12/29/2011 7:26:38 AM PST by normy (Don't take it personally, just take it seriously.)
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To: Thane_Banquo

Write-in ballots are prohibited by law in the Old Dominion.


20 posted on 12/29/2011 7:26:59 AM PST by Yankee (ANNOY THE RNC: NOMINATE NEWT GINGRICH!)
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