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2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
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To: Signalman
Santorum will insure an Obama victory. A social conservative is not what we need right now.

You need to get it through your thick head that the only way conservatives win is to have a candidate that is a social, fiscal and security conservative.

1,201 posted on 01/03/2012 8:32:24 PM PST by jwalsh07
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To: bigbob

I think Rick Perry is by far the best candidate in the race, but if he can’t get the nomination than I’m for Gingrich.

Although very disappointed in Gingrich’s failure to defend himself better against the attacks.

Wasn’t that supposed to be his long suit...being able to out debate everyone?

Sorry, but now that Santorum has a very tenuous hold on first place status the attacks will start on him.

They will be vicious and they will be true. He won’t be in for the long haul.


1,202 posted on 01/03/2012 8:32:24 PM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
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To: okie01

Romney’s to lose, unfortunately, and I think tonight’s results are a win.
*************

There are no real wins in Iowa-— it’s an aberration.


1,203 posted on 01/03/2012 8:32:29 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: jwalsh07

Well, he didn’t implement Romneycare.

He doesn’t support in state tuition for illegals and call people that oppose it heartless.
Has Santorum ever had to deal with illegals? What is his position on the border?
Santorum is a good man but he does not have the experience with jobs and energy as does Perry.


1,204 posted on 01/03/2012 8:32:53 PM PST by make no mistake
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To: angelcindy; TitansAFC; gov_bean_ counter; Gator113; StarFan

Newt talking now.

Starts out by graciously praising Santorum.

Now taking Ron Paul’s views on foreign policy (iran and nukes) to the woodshed.

GO GINGRICH!


1,205 posted on 01/03/2012 8:33:12 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
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To: JosephMama

are you sure you were directing that in the right direction?


1,206 posted on 01/03/2012 8:33:12 PM PST by wwcj
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To: jwalsh07

Well, he didn’t implement Romneycare.

He doesn’t support in state tuition for illegals and call people that oppose it heartless.
Has Santorum ever had to deal with illegals? What is his position on the border?
Santorum is a good man but he does not have the experience with jobs and energy as does Perry.


1,207 posted on 01/03/2012 8:33:16 PM PST by make no mistake
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To: CynicalBear

I love this site. I’m going to make a donation to FR after the Iowa results are in.


1,208 posted on 01/03/2012 8:33:29 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
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To: Anitius Severinus Boethius; Sioux-san
Show me that citation.

Start here, Antinius, thepostemail.com, then do a little research on what you learn.

1,209 posted on 01/03/2012 8:33:43 PM PST by RobinOfKingston (The instinct toward liberalism is located in the part of the brain called the rectal lobe.)
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To: altura

The game’s changed. :)

This is what happens when you have real electoral data. The game swings the most early on, which is why Iowa is so important.

Santorum is picking up Evangelical/Catholic heartland voters in Iowa, in sufficient numbers to win the state. This is Perry’s core voters.

Perry still has a shot, but he’s got to beat Newt. That he’s pushing to go to SC, means the last stand for Perry will be in SC.


1,210 posted on 01/03/2012 8:33:50 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: tcrlaf
"The Mainstream Media ABSOLUTELY HATES THIS GUY, because of his anti-gay stances.

MARK MY WORDS, the venomous explosion of hatred you are going to see directed at him now, will make the orgy of media Palin hate PALE in comparison."


Which is why I'm doubly glad I donated to him a couple of months ago to try to keep him alive. I've had it with the elitist media jerks and I've ***really*** had it with the militant gay groups and their tactics.
1,211 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:02 PM PST by Windcatcher (Obama is a COMMUNIST and the MSM is his armband-wearing propaganda machine.)
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To: Diogenesis

I don’t know about hominy Romeny’s eligibility, but no arguement here.


1,212 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:06 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
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To: Salvation

Santorum 11:23 EST.


1,213 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:33 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
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To: bray

“It is only a losing issue to the Country Club wives.”

And 99% of today’s mainstream media.
(50% actually Pro-Abortion, the other 49% fearing for their jobs if they dare say otherwise)


1,214 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:33 PM PST by tcrlaf (Election 2012: THE RAPTURE OF THE DEMOCRATS)
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To: CainConservative
Nice try. But Perry will endorse Newt. Stay tuned......

Perry ran on family values, Newt has none. Supporters of family values will not go to Newt, and that includes the social conservatives in SC.

1,215 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:45 PM PST by Prokopton
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To: parksstp

Newt’s making a great speech, basically calling Paul a dangerous, deranged nut.


1,216 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:52 PM PST by Pravious
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To: DCBryan1

I’ll pat you on the head too!! WELL DONE!!! You spoke well !!!!!


1,217 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:54 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: Proud2BeRight

“The real decision for conservatives, like it has been for me is between the candidates other than RINO Romney and nutcase Paul so as the lower vote total conservatives drop out, most supporters should consolidate to Santorum and Gingrich. The totals for the RINO and the nutcase will not change much.”

Exactly. And watch Michele and Perry (conservative team players they hopefully are) drop out TOMORROW.


1,218 posted on 01/03/2012 8:34:54 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: VinL

Thank the good Lord that I will not have to hear the word Iowa for another 8 years.

I may give up corn.

Wish I could give up ethanol.


1,219 posted on 01/03/2012 8:35:10 PM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
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To: altura

he problem for Gingrich was that the attacks didn’t come via debate. Romney doesn’t have the guts to confront him face to face. Apparently Gingrich didn’t at the time have the money (or the inclination) to respond. Maybe not a battle worth fighting over Iowa. Time will tell.


1,220 posted on 01/03/2012 8:35:10 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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