Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Iowa GOP ^ | 1.3.12 | Free Vulcan

Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan

Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.

Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.

We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.

My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:

Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1

Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2012; bigideas; campaign2012; caucus; foxnewsisbiased; foxnewspimpsmitt; frankly; getitdone; gop; gosantorum; ia2012; iowa; iowacaucus; iowaisirrelevant; iowamattersnot; liveiowacaucus; muchadoaboutiowa; muchadoaboutnothing; newt; newtlautenberg; nominee; openprimary; perry; president; ricksantorum; santorum; santorum2012; solutions
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-50 ... 1,301-1,3501,351-1,4001,401-1,450 ... 2,101-2,136 next last
To: onyx

“NH is the same: OPEN primary”

I read where a lot of people from Massachusetts are coming to New Hampshire to help out Romney. Liberals sticking together.


1,351 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:01 PM PST by Parley Baer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1325 | View Replies]

To: Rational Thought

YES! Bachmann dropping out would be excellent news for Perry, Santorum, and Gingrich. I’d take any of them over Romney.


1,352 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:16 PM PST by Cato in PA (Hope and pray for the Santorum surge!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1341 | View Replies]

To: Prokopton

If it’s Obama v. Gingrich, Gingrich will be my man.


1,353 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:20 PM PST by Chandalier (Perfect is the enemy of good.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1321 | View Replies]

To: NKP_Vet

Nice she’s remaining positive ...but Michelle, the People HAVE spoken now ...


1,354 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:37 PM PST by LibsRJerks
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1333 | View Replies]

To: pollywog

I will be happy as long as the liberal Romney loses.


1,355 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:47 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1348 | View Replies]

To: VinL

No offense taken.


1,356 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:56 PM PST by tennmountainman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1318 | View Replies]

To: Windflier

If people like me answer conservative on Gallup’s poll then it seems logical that the term conservative has meanings that do not reflect the ideologies of most here. When you point to conservatives being a large plurality, you’re adding people like me into that mix. From your tone I suppose you’d rather me stay home on Election Day than accept a vote from someone not considered pure by FR standards.


1,357 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:56 PM PST by xkaydet65 (IACTA ALEA EST!!!')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1266 | View Replies]

To: varina davis

Well, I guess we’ll see in the days ahead.


1,358 posted on 01/03/2012 8:51:56 PM PST by Rational Thought
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1282 | View Replies]

To: magritte

Ron Pul was born in Pittsburgh and lived in greentree...(I used to live there)


1,359 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:13 PM PST by angelcindy ("If you follow the crowd ,you get no further than the crowd!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1263 | View Replies]

To: Proudcongal

“The Mitt camp (and MSM/Fox/Rep. Establishment/dems) cannot be happy right now. Even if he managed to pull out a squeaker, he’s got to know that conservative Republicans just don’t like him and as candidates like Bachmann, Huntsman and Perry drop out, he’ll do worse. It’s going to be even harder to win in SC and FL. If there are upcoming debates, I hope Newt kicks butt. Newt will win SC and FL. Go Newt!”

Oh, there’s plenty debates coming. Go Newt/Santorum! Beat Willard!


1,360 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:18 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1328 | View Replies]

To: altura
Wish I could give up ethanol.

Now now, you poor dear, one must not be too hasty.

1,361 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:18 PM PST by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1219 | View Replies]

To: Proud2BeRight
Romney has to be running scared now

The MSM and NWO sure is.

1,362 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:22 PM PST by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west)?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1302 | View Replies]

To: Rational Thought
ti doesn't appear that Perry has moved outside the margin of error for sometime now. He campaign was kicked off by big Texas money. They will not keep it up
1,363 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:22 PM PST by gov_bean_ counter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1329 | View Replies]

To: make no mistake

He’s rated A- A+ by the NRA.


1,364 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:43 PM PST by BenKenobi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1343 | View Replies]

To: LibsRJerks

Someone said Newt has been sick this weekend, so that explains the tiring.


1,365 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:55 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1330 | View Replies]

To: Cato in PA

OK. I agree moral issues are important, they just aren’t the overriding concern of people without jobs and living in a car or with the parents. Maybe they should be, but they aren’t. Happy New Year.


1,366 posted on 01/03/2012 8:52:59 PM PST by PghBaldy (War Powers Res: http://avalon.law.yale.edu/20th_century/warpower.asp)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 223 | View Replies]

To: Tribune7

Hilarious!!!! That was the take I had. But, you said it best. Willard needs to be exposed for the RINO he is.


1,367 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:23 PM PST by Anti-Hillary
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1317 | View Replies]

To: Rational Thought
I hope so. I was watching her speech and thinking she should have had the Happy Hands Club backing her up.
1,368 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:26 PM PST by Tribune7 (Vote Perry or Gingrich, maybe. OK Santorum too)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1341 | View Replies]

To: chilepup; All
If you take out 30% of Romney’s vote and 48% of Ron Pauls, that means that they performed POORLY among the Republican base.

i keep seeing these figures, and i'm assuming these are the numbers of cross-over Dem voters who registered as GOP so they could vote? Can someone tell me where these stats come from?

1,369 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:28 PM PST by naxetevitan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1154 | View Replies]

To: JosephMama; 50mm; darkwing104; Arrowhead1952; TheOldLady; onyx; Lady Jag; Allegra; Chode; ...
We got us another one, gang!
The air is thick with flying prey!


1,370 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:43 PM PST by Old Sarge (RIP FReeper Skyraider (1930-2011) - You Are Missed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1121 | View Replies]

To: Chandalier
If it’s Obama v. Gingrich, Gingrich will be my man.

Same here, ANYONE BUT OBAMA, but if Mittens gets the GOP nod, I'll need a gurney, a barf bag, and sedatives to vote GOP.

1,371 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:46 PM PST by DCBryan1 ("Forget the Lawyers! FIRST YOU MUST kill the journalists!" - Die Ritter, die sagen, "nee"!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1353 | View Replies]

To: InterceptPoint

heheheheh,:)


1,372 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:50 PM PST by fatima (Free Hugs Today :))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1272 | View Replies]

To: Rational Thought

Did you hear what Bachmann said during her speech “There may be a Michelle in the White House” she is going to endorse Romney..she was a shill for him all along.


1,373 posted on 01/03/2012 8:53:56 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1341 | View Replies]

To: Antoninus; TheOldLady

Is anyone keeping track of the zots tonight?


1,374 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:22 PM PST by reaganaut (If Romney is a conservative then I'm the frickin Angel Moroni.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1313 | View Replies]

To: nicmarlo

Agreed; any one of the three leaders implodes and he’s back in the game.


1,375 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:22 PM PST by Slings and Arrows (You can't have Ingsoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1324 | View Replies]

To: Rational Thought

Well, I think you’re wrong. We Perry supporters are strong for Perry because Perry is strong.

He’s faced challenges before. Everyone thought Kaye Bailey Hutchison would be able to unseat him and the liberal press was praying for it.

She didn’t make a dent.

Perry may not win the nomination, which will be a sad thing for the party and the country, but he won’t give up.


1,376 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:25 PM PST by altura (Perry 2012)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1329 | View Replies]

To: angelcindy

Ha, 54 years. He might have had a case of senioritis.


1,377 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:25 PM PST by EEGator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1316 | View Replies]

To: LdSentinal

Bachmann is staying in. Mitt must need her to keep taking votes away from Santorum and Newt.


1,378 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:29 PM PST by dirtboy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1327 | View Replies]

To: jjotto

We shall see. Seems his prolife message is resonating, and he’s a solid social conservative. That’s not going to be a hindrance in the south.


1,379 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:29 PM PST by BenKenobi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1349 | View Replies]

To: Cato in PA

Perry should drop out as well.


1,380 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:42 PM PST by Mozilla
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1352 | View Replies]

To: shoedog
Romney cannot win the nomination with only 25% of the vote. 75% of the voters will vote for anyone other than Romney. And so will their delegates.

For the umpteenth time, Romney will not be the GOP nominee.

1,381 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:42 PM PST by Hoodat (Because they do not change, Therefore they do not fear God. -Psalm 55:19-)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1058 | View Replies]

To: NKP_Vet

I had great hopes that Michele working as a Tea Party supporting Congresswoman would make a difference since the 2010 midterms. Alas, that was not to be realized since she has been otherwise absorbed by this run for POTUS. I truly think this was a missed opportunity for Bachmann to make a real difference in the lives of Americans.


1,382 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:50 PM PST by antceecee (Bless us Father.. have mercy on us and protect us from evil.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1333 | View Replies]

To: Kansas58

I like Rubio - he is a good man ... BUT BOTH his parents were NOT American Citizens when he was born ... thus he is NOT a Natural Born Citizen...

You are just plainly wrong - those who deny the truth of the matter scream racist as you do - because you cannot defend your position with rational thought ... you are just a moron


1,383 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:58 PM PST by ICCtheWay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 944 | View Replies]

To: jjotto
Iowa evangelicals supported Catholic Santorum, but I’m skeptical Southerners will.

Gingrich is in big trouble then.

1,384 posted on 01/03/2012 8:54:58 PM PST by Prokopton
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1349 | View Replies]

To: Palladin
Newt is done. Listening to him now. He looks and sounds defeated.

Also, Callista’s eyes are very sad.

They have seen the writing on the wall and it says:

SANTORUM

Yes, you're absolutely right. < 30,000 people in a nation of over 300 Million have spoken.

All Hail the Boy-Prince of the Cornfields

1,385 posted on 01/03/2012 8:55:06 PM PST by Yankee (ANNOY THE RNC AND THE MEDIA: NOMINATE NEWT GINGRICH!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1223 | View Replies]

To: gswilder

Newt is going to New Hampshire. Rick Perry is going to SC in the morning.


1,386 posted on 01/03/2012 8:55:06 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1337 | View Replies]

To: gswilder

Newt is gonna go wherever Mitt goes with blood in his eyes and the nomination be damned. Thats my prediction.


1,387 posted on 01/03/2012 8:55:38 PM PST by jwalsh07
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1337 | View Replies]

To: DCBryan1

LOL! Same here. But I’ll do it for the cause!


1,388 posted on 01/03/2012 8:55:50 PM PST by Chandalier (Perfect is the enemy of good.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1371 | View Replies]

To: tennmountainman

That is not a big factor for a lot of women I know. They are more interested in his accomplishments in Congress, his intellect, and ability to explain his plans.

The infidelity is an issue between him and his family.


1,389 posted on 01/03/2012 8:56:00 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1275 | View Replies]

To: taildragger

Hiya taildragger!

UGH! Banish our UN Membership like Governor Perry suggested! Move the UN to Iran! Ron Paul would approve...LOL.


1,390 posted on 01/03/2012 8:56:30 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC:DONATE MONTHLY! Sarah's New Ping List - tell me if you want on it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1342 | View Replies]

To: Windcatcher
...Which is why I'm doubly glad I donated to him a couple of months ago to try to keep him alive. I've had it with the elitist media jerks and I've ***really*** had it with the militant gay groups and their tactics....

BINGO!.. It's about the FAGS, that is why ROMNEY has been pushed in our faces... There are a lot of lefty GOP operators... manipulating the system hidden in the shadows, lobbying for the homes, and Flip flopper is it, this time around... The PRO-Queer Candidate. On the last one, it was Guiliani and MaCaca...


1,391 posted on 01/03/2012 8:56:35 PM PST by ElPatriota (The SILENCE of the Catholic Church in protecting our culture from perversion is ** DEAFENING **)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1211 | View Replies]

To: Cato in PA

She said she’s not dropping out......what a ditz...she’s in it for herself more than anything.


1,392 posted on 01/03/2012 8:56:35 PM PST by teg_76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1352 | View Replies]

To: NKP_Vet

But, no. She IS the next Margaret Thatcher. Can’t you see it in her eyes?


1,393 posted on 01/03/2012 8:56:44 PM PST by Palladin (No Newts!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1333 | View Replies]

To: RobinOfKingston
Rubio is a Natural Born Citizen.
Were both his parents born in the US? Just askin’, ‘cause I don't know

If both his parents were naturalized citizens at the time of his birth, yes he would be. Unfortunately I don't believe this is so, and hence he is not. He is not eligible to serve as president, nor vice-president. He is my senator, but unfortunately he can not run for president. I really like him.

1,394 posted on 01/03/2012 8:56:52 PM PST by Yulee (Village of Albion)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1320 | View Replies]

To: altura

I’m not in the tank for Perry, but those here who keep insisting his financial support will disappear over 120,000 votes in Iowa don’t understand the nature of Texans, especially wealthy Texans, very well.


1,395 posted on 01/03/2012 8:56:57 PM PST by bigbob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1376 | View Replies]

To: jjotto

That thought did cross my mind. But, Newt is from that part of the country, so maybe .......


1,396 posted on 01/03/2012 8:57:14 PM PST by RitaOK (The higher you poll in Iowa, the more embarrassing it is for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1349 | View Replies]

To: gswilder

Reads like shilling for Romney from here.

Romney will win the republican nomination. And he has a very good chance of beating Obama. So if you don’t like Romney, fine. But don’t support him, and take 4 more years of Obama. It’s not who we want. It’s only who we can choose from.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2828094/posts?page=665#665

The reality is Mitt is the only republican (running) that can beat Obama in 2012. I wish there were alternatives, but the reality is, there isn’t.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2826321/posts?page=285#285


1,397 posted on 01/03/2012 8:57:14 PM PST by free me (heartless)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1305 | View Replies]

To: altura

“Perry may not win the nomination, which will be a sad thing for the party and the country, but he won’t give up.”

Doing the right thing for the party and dropping out is NOT giving up.

It’s helping us beat Willard! Period.


1,398 posted on 01/03/2012 8:57:30 PM PST by CainConservative ( Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Bolton, Perry, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1376 | View Replies]

To: jwalsh07

I agree Newt’s in it to take Romney out at this point, which is interesting because that is Perry’s sole goal too.


1,399 posted on 01/03/2012 8:57:30 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1387 | View Replies]

To: jwalsh07
I think Newt should ignore NH. Have Romney, Huntsman and Paul battle it out there.

Concentrate on SC.

1,400 posted on 01/03/2012 8:57:30 PM PST by LdSentinal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1387 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-50 ... 1,301-1,3501,351-1,4001,401-1,450 ... 2,101-2,136 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson