Skip to comments.2012 Iowa Caucus Live Thread
Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan
Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.
Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.
We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.
My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:
Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1
Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.
Tonight is one step in the process. He is going to S.C.
P.S. Objectively, there’s no rational reason for Paul - he’s not going to get the nod, but he made a strong showing and is in a prime position to be a spoiler. (Of course, rational is not a word I often use in reference to Ron Paul.)
I sure as hell hope so. Time to thin the herd, starting with the sick one.
Whats the current vote total?
Perry needs to get out now. He is only helping Romney at this point.
With the way things are, I don’t think he has to be exciting. He just has to be believable.
You owe me a keyboard and a monitor,LOL
Do you know someone like that?
Irrelevant now. Projections on the delegates: (6) Santorum (6) Romney (4) Paul (1) Gingrich (1) Perry
PERRY DROPPING OUT!!! WOW!
They are waiting for us all to go to bed so they can slide a Romney win under the door.
Perry out .
Screw Romney! Screw Obama!
Iowa’s going RED in 2012 but tonight it’s PURPLE for you know who..
I see purple EVERYWHERE: http://iowacaucus.com/results/
Mitt is telling the truth from a legal standpoint, IIRC, but I don’t trust people to follow the law in such situations, especially Mitt.
Perry is reassigning the campaign it sounds like. I want Romney and Obama to go down in flames.
You will be voting for Newt unless you’re gonna be all about Romney. Your obsessive barking against Newt in Iowa is starting to say more about you than Newt. LOL! Get a grip, ole boy. Most pols already know the race begins in South Carolina.
I believe Rick Perry is preparing to drop out, given his speech right now.
Holy cats! I was IBTZ and didn’t even know it!
Theres no reason why these places can’t have their votes counted three hours after they took place. They are figuring out how to get Romney out front.
Understand just how vehement the media HATRED is going to be toward Santorum in the coming days.
Here are a few tweets, from just the LAST FEW MINUTES:
Ben Gilbert-And *now* you understand why it’s so funny when actual headlines say “Santorum surging from behind”
-Ben is a Brooklyn-based Senior Reporter at Joystiq, where he focuses on features, interviews, and news reporting.)
Rob Delaney- SANTORUM WINS! (designation of candidate most swollen with hate)
-L.A. Comedian, TV Personality
WONKETTE(liberal Blog) -Santorum’s real identity is Richey Rich!
Baseball Writer and ESPN Columnist - Meanwhile, somewhere in Washington the President is cackling — a Libertarian, a Mormon flip-flopper, and a Santorum.
(For those of you who don’t know, the liberal definition of a “Santorum” is the frothing mixture of semen, crap, and lube that leaks out of a rectum after bareback gay sex. This term was coined 4 years ago by DAILY KOS, and picked up with glee by MSNBC
Rob Kutner, Writer for Conan O’Brian - I’m just happy to hear the phrase, “Santorum in a Three-Way.”
Julie Fleischer (Ugly Chick on CBS ‘The Big Bang Theory’) - Cable news working to unscrew the horns on Santorum so they can cover him seriously going forward.
Aaron Mehta (Reporter for iWatch, and the SOROS-FUNDED “Center For Public Integrity” - I also admit to laughing at the thought of innocent voters going “oh, I’ll google this Santorum fellow and find out what he’s about!”
Numerous ‘Black” Tweeters - Santorum tells Iowans: I dont want to make black peoples lives better zite.to/u3fdJa (racist douche bag!)
The Borowitz Report (Hate-filled liberal Blog) - Santorum says he just got a call from Obama: “He stopped laughing long enough to say congratulations.”
XXtremity (Who knows?) - Grape, strawberry, lime, cherry, or watermelon? Which is your favorite flavor of Santorum?
There are MANY, MANY more, mostly from CELEBS and Media people. Get ready for the HATE ORGY, folks....
I can get that info tommorrow> I want the current ZOT total. I have 3 IBTZs.....maybe a record since the Guliani purge era ;)
Well, I’m very encouraged by the results. A Romney and Paul loss to Santorum here, makes SC the last stand for Perry and Newt.
That makes Florida a four way race. Could Romney win there? Sure. But it’s much more interesting race now with Santorum in it and the two heavyweights duking it out.
You’ve got an upset in the first round of the tournament, but it’s double knockout, and the two favourites are going to go at it.
Perry is not going to drop out
You ask why...because he is going to win, that’s why.
I just heard the Perry tail end. Is he cutting out? I bet he will. Oops.
I don’t know if Perry will have a “reasonable” number of votes to continue, but one thing is certain- he will have enough money to continue his fight as long as he wants to. He will be one of the last four or three standing.
I don’t think Perry should withdraw- he can give SC a try. But, on the other hand, if he’s in single digits, and that means the difference between a conservative and Romney winning, then I think he (or any other similarliy situated conservative), should bow out for the sake of conservatism.
A guy is driving votes to the HQ.. the fix is in.
Really, Perry out? Too bad. I was a Perry supporter. Wish he had gotten in sooner. Maybe he could have avoided some of the early gaffs which sunk his campaign.
Perry is presidential. I like him.
Newt may be a flawed conservative, but he is a conservative. Romney, on the other hand, is a liberal progressive with an R behind his name. Jim Rob owns this domain, and it's his right to ban any and all pro-liberal/progressive postings.
I think Jim Rob has been more than fair with regards to Romney. He didn't abolish pro-Romney posts here, until about six months ago, if I recall correctly. The Romney supporters had their say about him for years and years.
I had a clear feed on cnn.com but Governor Perry said he is going back to Texas to reassess his campaign and see if he should go forward or not.
P.P.S. For Paul to go anywhere, I mean.
What’s going on? Is Perry really out?
...wow. If this is true, my condolences to his supporters.
Did you hear his speach? He's out.
ROFL...That's more like horse manure.
Yep. He said he is going home to Texas to see if there is a path forward for him. He was very subdued reading and choking up over a Marine’s letter written to him. He is out, I am sure. Money people I am sure, more of showing than the 10%. I love Rick Perry.
Go Army! :-} Happy New Year grunt.
I was quoting “gswilder” and pointing out his shilling for romney.
Wow, that’s big news for Rick and Newt.
I just heard on the radio that whether Santorum wins, or loses in Iowa, he has STUNNED the political world, and I agree. Plus, this will help Santorum raise even MORE $$.
Trust me they are trying to figure out how to make it look normal that Romney is winning the Western districts.
So who will Perry endorse, sounds like he’s out?
Governor Perry is going back to Texas to consider his next steps... to see if he thinks there’s a pathway forward.
He’s going to pray about it, too.
I heard every word, and he said he was going to pray over it.
A concept the Fox News commentators seem not to understand...you?
With 97% in, only 37 votes separate Santorum from Romney.
The fags hate Rick Santorum. But they are only 2% of the population, so who cares?
They’re too busy with their filthy sexual practices to go out and vote anyway.
Yea, Perry is only running to try and help Mitt out? Not.
Sounds like he is “reassessing”. which probably means the end. Too bad. I really liked Perry and thought he had a chance to beat Obama, until all the gaffs. Bachman and Huntsman probably next to go.
He said he’s going back to TX.
Final results in IA now won’t matter. Santorum gets a share of delegates.
Refreshes realtime. By the way, I agree with your comments on possibilities. History repeats - remember McCain in ‘O8 - . Not much hope that most on FR will get solidly behind any candidate right now - no candidates are stellar. Way too early to say what will happen at this point.