Posted on 01/03/2012 8:08:24 AM PST by Free Vulcan
Live thread to cover today's GOP caucus. News, predictions, opinions, totals, and the like.
Will be heading out about 4 pm or so to get our site ready and do a final review with the precinct chairs. I expect it to be bigger than 2008 with very heavy turnout and we are preparing for that.
We are also ready for disruptions. They simply won't be tolerated. The state party sent us a memo saying if there's any trouble call the cops immediately. Anyone trying to cause problems is going to get a rude awakening.
My predictions of the outcome are a narrow field with about a 10 point spread for the top five with Bachmann far behind in single digits:
Santorum - 24 Romney - 22 Paul - 20 Perry - 17 Gingrich - 14 Bachmann - 4 The Rest - 1
Think things are still in flux and many won't decide till right to the wire, so I'm not terribly confident of any predictions.
I agree. Iowa's is not winner-take-all so both Santorum and Romney will come away with 6 delegates regardless of who ekes out the plurality.
So Santorum is going to get all the headlines out of this, being that Romney's been campaigning for about 100 years already.
Santorum is about to speak to his crowd which I think is a smart move as people on the East Coast need to go to bed. It might be 2AM before we figure out who wins. Romney can give his speech to the crickets.
I agree 100%
Sad but true... this is why they hate him.
...oh, and IBTZ in case any more Romney bots/ Paulistinians show up!
Iowa is usually never a predictor of who will ultimately win. Santorum will have to show he can win in some other state. Or at least have a strong 2nd showing. At some point, the money dries up, and the establishments starts to get behind one candidate. If Santorum cannot get a win or strong show in SC or FL, then it will probably be Newt vs Mitt until the convention. I don’t see Newt dropping out as long as he has any money. Sounds like Perry may be chucking it in early, which is too bad. He was my candidate. But got stuck with a bad meme due to the early gaffs.
13% isn't too hot anyway, but taking your point, seems to me he got 13% of the men (the men making up half of his total), and 13% of the women (also making up half of his total); for a total of 13% of the voters.
Looked at the way you presented it, he also got 6.5% male voters ... but I think it's better to clarify that by saying 6.5% of the total votes were cast by males, for Gingrich.
I think you are right. They are finding Romney votes in a pickup truck between Ames and somewhere.
I suspect Ron Paul has hijacked the vote totin’ truck, and aims to rig them votes. Watch this thing.
And I could not be happier for him!... Even if this is his only win, at least he will have the "honor" to be attacked now :)... rather than IGNORED like he is a no body!
Remember Hunter 4 years ago? I supported him and still think he was "quality." and he was completely ignored except by a few here in FR)
Hi dear O .. very, very wild, huh?
I think Santorum might owe some of this to putrid Alan Colmes. I bet a ton of Iowans were just as beyond sickened as we all were when they heard his filthy, scathing lies and attack on Santorum .. and likely didn’t know he and his wife lost their precious newborn. My Lord, he’s a decent family man, and Colmes was so vicious and heartless.
But what a stunner! Woo hoo .. rebellion IS brewing! Romney has to be shaken.
“attacks didn’t come via debate”
True...but there is a debate Saturday night (I believe) that could be mighty interesting.
No national delegates were selected tonight in Iowa. Delegates to the next (county) level are uncommitted per national GOP rules.
Correct, but what I meant is that regardless of the final count Romney and Santorum will end up with the same number of delegates.
Santorum’s up now on FNC...
“attacks didn’t come via debate”
True...but there is a debate Saturday night (I believe) that could be mighty interesting.
I still say it’s rigged and Romney will win. These morons on Faux, CNN, MSNBC actually think Santorum is the main challenger to Romney now. Newt wins SC going away.
If not Newt, I was going to support Perry, weak debater and all. I couldn't see anyone else.
Tell you what, they better run Newt thru the metal detector cuz the long knives are coming out for Romney!
See how Santorum does in his speech. Hopefully he cuts the whiney stuff out forever.
CNN: John McCain to Endorse Mitt Romney in NH Tomorrow.
Aw, how nice. Isn’t that special?
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