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South Carolina Primary: Romney 28%, Gingrich 21%, Santorum 16%, Paul 16%
Rasmussen ^ | January 13, 2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 01/13/2012 8:28:30 AM PST by Qbert

Mitt Romney still holds first place in the South Carolina Primary field, while his opponents jockey for second with the voting eight days away.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in South Carolina finds Romney ahead with 28% support, but now former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is in second place with 21% of the vote.  Support for former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum who was in second a week ago has fallen back to 16%, putting him dead even with Texas Congressman Ron Paul who also earns 16%.

This South Carolina survey of 750 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted on January 12, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gingrich; romney; ronpaul; santorum
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Friday the 13th.
1 posted on 01/13/2012 8:28:41 AM PST by Qbert
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To: Qbert

Go Newt!!


2 posted on 01/13/2012 8:31:00 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: Qbert

If all the non-Romneys could agree on who will bear the standard, Romney would soon be yesterday’s news.


3 posted on 01/13/2012 8:32:48 AM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Sometimes progressives find their scripture in the penumbra of sacred bathroom stall writings (Tzar))
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To: Qbert

Just did a quick average of this Rasumssen poll and the ARG poll posted a little further down

Romney: 28.5
Gingrich: 23
Paul: 18
Santorum: 11.5


4 posted on 01/13/2012 8:33:14 AM PST by cotton1706
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To: Qbert

Conservatives have to make a move and unite behind a single candidate NOW or Romney is going to be the nominee even though he is uwanted by 75% of the GOP voters.


5 posted on 01/13/2012 8:33:52 AM PST by KansasGirl
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To: KansasGirl

We already had a Free Republic poll and the clear winner was Newt!


6 posted on 01/13/2012 8:35:07 AM PST by Boardwalk
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To: Qbert

Rasmussen does not weight his republican primaries when he should be doing so.

The weightings should be: I. likely voters in the repub primary: 1. republican conservative 2. repub moderate/lib 3. independent conserve, 4. independ moderate/lib

I’m assuming cross-over voting is permitted in S Carolina. I don’t really know.


7 posted on 01/13/2012 8:36:31 AM PST by xzins (Pray for Our Troops Remaining in Afghanistan, now that Iran Can Focus on Injuring Only Them)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

Could GINGRICH and SANTORUM meet and talk ?

Is that so difficult ? It’s not about them but for the future of USA...and beyond


8 posted on 01/13/2012 8:37:19 AM PST by Ulysse (a)
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To: Qbert

This is not good news for Newt.

I have simulated 7 following counties so far and have Newt at 21.41%. He is flat.

Anderson
Richland
Charleston
Aiken
Abbeville
Allendale
Oconee

With Santorum at 16%, it seems that Perry is garnering more Evangelical support than I thought in the NW. This leads to suggest that those not supporting to Santorum are turning to Perry before going to Gingrich, which is not good.

Once again, Paul is also running higher. I had him in the 13-15%. His increase may bring down slightly Romney’s percentages in Columbia and Charleston.

Overall, Newt hasn’t gained and Santorum has lost ground to Perry. If Santorum (who I had at 21.71%) had lost ground to Newt, then Gingrich should have been up over 25%. The fact he isn’t leads me to believe Gingrich has issues in the NW part of the state and that Perry is taking more votes than I though.


9 posted on 01/13/2012 8:39:16 AM PST by parksstp (Articulate Conservatives look for Converts. RINO's look for Democrat Heretics.)
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To: Qbert

In some way, shape or form, Gingrich and Santorum need to join forces.


10 posted on 01/13/2012 8:40:23 AM PST by Eagle of Liberty (Shaking My Head on a daily basis)
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To: Ulysse
Could GINGRICH and SANTORUM meet and talk ?

They might, but I for one will never vote for Gingrich. Period.

11 posted on 01/13/2012 8:43:10 AM PST by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: Qbert
If we lose Gingrich we will lose America. Look how far America has gone to a communists like nation now under King Obama. Keep this shi! up and you can wave goodbye to your lifestyle and be a slave to the State.
12 posted on 01/13/2012 8:43:42 AM PST by Logical me
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To: cotton1706

It sounds like Santorum is definitely in decline. I suspected this would happen after his disappointing post-Iowa performances.

Now if only we could get the Paulies to see the light...


13 posted on 01/13/2012 8:43:52 AM PST by Cato in PA
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To: Qbert

If I have to vote for the nom today it would be Newt. Newt has overall has had higher numbers than Perry or Santorum who have been mostly battling for third.
The one time Newt has had lower numbers have mostly been a result of Romney/Paul smear job. Otherwise, Newts numbers would have been more consistent and higher.


14 posted on 01/13/2012 8:43:58 AM PST by Leep
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To: Qbert

time for Rick to drop out and endorse newt

Newt/Rick 2012!


15 posted on 01/13/2012 8:44:22 AM PST by Skeez (O)
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To: Ulysse

Maybe Santorum would be willing to be Gingrich’s veep, with Gingrich promising Perry, Cain, and Palin each a prominent place in his cabinet. And even Ron Paul would get a promise to be made D.C.’s dogcatcher. (Pet isolationism, anybody?)


16 posted on 01/13/2012 8:44:25 AM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Sometimes progressives find their scripture in the penumbra of sacred bathroom stall writings (Tzar))
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To: cotton1706

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-1590.html


17 posted on 01/13/2012 8:44:37 AM PST by org.whodat (What is the difference in Newt's, Perry's and Willard's positions on Amnesty.)
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To: xzins

Yes Independents can vote in the SC primary so I was thinking Rasmussen should have had some indenpendents in that poll.


18 posted on 01/13/2012 8:46:59 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped.)
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To: parksstp

What is Perry’s number? Rasmussen doesn’t even list Perry. Yet if you add the numbers up, there are 19% unaccounted for. I’m sure most are undecided, but Perry must be getting some support.


19 posted on 01/13/2012 8:46:59 AM PST by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else.)
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To: KansasGirl

Unwanted AND unelectable.

Two very bad traits going into the general election.

But, hey — this is how the GOP and their various minions seems to want it. This is how various VOTERS seem to want it.

Perhaps we’re just going to have to sit back and watch as the country self implodes, and hopefully be here to pick up the pieces later on.

If we’re still here. If we’re not all in jail, detained, taxed to death, taken over, or otherwise.


20 posted on 01/13/2012 8:48:38 AM PST by LibsRJerks
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To: Ulysse; All

“Could GINGRICH and SANTORUM meet and talk?”

I fully agree. I think Santorum is a really great guy, and normally I would back him first. However, in this cycle, I think Newt would be the better GOP pick to go against the current POTUS. Ultimately, in my thinking a Gingrich/Santorum ticket would be ideal. If Santorum would drop out and endorse Newt, with Newt saying that Santorum WILL be his VP pick....I think it would get traction.

It is really time for Rick Perry, God Bless him, to get out of the race. He also should back Newt.

Ron Paul doesn’t concern me because those persons that would vote for him probably won’t vote for anyone else. So, he is just wasting time. IF I were running for POTUS, I would not want his endorsement.


21 posted on 01/13/2012 8:49:13 AM PST by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: parksstp

"Overall, Newt hasn’t gained and Santorum has lost ground to Perry."

Perry is at 5-6% in every poll in SC. He took 1% in NH. And he's currently at 2% in FL. He's the first one that needs to be voted off the island...

22 posted on 01/13/2012 8:49:46 AM PST by Qbert ("The best defense against usurpatory government is an assertive citizenry" - William F. Buckley, Jr.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

“Yes Independents can vote in the SC primary so I was thinking Rasmussen should have had some indenpendents in that poll.”

Oh great....another open primary.


23 posted on 01/13/2012 8:51:02 AM PST by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: KansasGirl; Cincinatus' Wife; altura; Chasaway

Santorum is the key.

If you go by this poll, and speaking only of SC, Santorum plus Gingrich easily beats Romney.

Since Gingrich is leading among the non Romneys, and speaking only of SC and only by this poll...

Santorum is the key.

It is so old, rote and shopworn to have all these threads where posters demand that Perry drop out or Santorum AND Perry drop out, and try to pretend that Perry is the key to ANYTHING. Not at this time he isn’t.

I would argue that he has by far the best record, is the only non Washington figure, has by far the best plan and on and on. But as for impacting the horse race...no.

Santorum supporters obviously don’t want their guy to drop out...most of them don’t trust the volatile Newt.


24 posted on 01/13/2012 8:51:12 AM PST by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

Yelp run as a team....Paul should be given the task of auditing the Fed Reserve....Should make his followers happy.


25 posted on 01/13/2012 8:51:22 AM PST by hoosiermama (David (in the Bible) had problems with adultery and GOD used him!)
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To: nhwingut

“What is Perry’s number? Rasmussen doesn’t even list Perry. Yet if you add the numbers up, there are 19% unaccounted for. I’m sure most are undecided, but Perry must be getting some support.”

6%. See link:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-1590.html


26 posted on 01/13/2012 8:54:51 AM PST by Qbert ("The best defense against usurpatory government is an assertive citizenry" - William F. Buckley, Jr.)
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To: Qbert

Right now I feel like the guy in the movie Groundhog Day since I’ve seen this scenario play out SO many times before!

There are far more people in this country who call themselves conservative but when the smoke settles all we ever have left to vote for is socialism lite!

GO NEWT!


27 posted on 01/13/2012 8:55:27 AM PST by Bigun ("The most fearsome words in the English language are I'm from the government and I'm here to help!")
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To: Qbert

Rush talked recently about the New Hampshire exit polling for Ron Paul, saying the the polls indicated a large percentage of RP supporters had no intention of voting for Paul in the general election, but would vote for Obama. I’m trying to find a story with those exit poll numbers. Can anyone direct me to it?

Thanks


28 posted on 01/13/2012 8:57:17 AM PST by RavenATB ("Destroy the family and you destroy the country!" ~Vladimir Lenin)
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To: hoosiermama

So long as Herman Cain is there to be sure Ron Paul gets the math right.


29 posted on 01/13/2012 8:59:11 AM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Sometimes progressives find their scripture in the penumbra of sacred bathroom stall writings (Tzar))
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To: Timber Rattler

I am catholic/christian trying to use reason.
And some evangelicals and also catholics are boring when they stay focused on a very narrow point of view...It might be ,actually, hardly Evangelical since that so-called “social conservatism” is blind on some very big issues which can’t be taken apart from the others.

Real Conservatives must try to see the whole picture and to be WISER than the average lunatic liberals.

Or maybe some “evangelicals” or “catholics” are trolls in order to divide ....

We should try to hold together freedom, truth-morality,and God ! Since we are not muslims but christians


30 posted on 01/13/2012 8:59:14 AM PST by Ulysse (a)
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To: Sola Veritas

Newt will be a WHackado president, not a conservative. He will hurt the brand of conservatism if he runs as a conservative, which he isn’t. If Santorum is his veep, he might be hurt by doing so.

I wish I trusted newt the way you all do.


31 posted on 01/13/2012 8:59:43 AM PST by Yaelle
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To: nhwingut

They want Perry out and are apparently going to make that happen. ;-(


32 posted on 01/13/2012 9:00:50 AM PST by Kenny (q)
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To: nhwingut

Perry is at 6%, where he’s been for a long time, but Huntsman has surprisingly gotten up to 5% in SC.


33 posted on 01/13/2012 9:01:07 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: Qbert
Above all else, RINOs must be punished ! We are in a war for the survival of our country and Mitt Romney is the Benedict Arnold of 2012 ! This must be dealt with BEFORE we can win against our enemies the democrats.

I intend to write in George Washington for president and vote conservative on all other ballot measures.

"If we must have an enemy at the head of Government, let it be one whom we can oppose, and for whom we are not responsible, who will not involve our party in the disgrace of his foolish and bad measures." - Alexander Hamilton


34 posted on 01/13/2012 9:01:21 AM PST by SENTINEL (Romney is to Conservatism what Mormonism is to Christianity.)
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To: txrangerette; All

“I would argue that he has by far the best record, is the only non Washington figure, has by far the best plan and on and on. But as for impacting the horse race...no. Santorum supporters obviously don’t want their guy to drop out...most of them don’t trust the volatile Newt.”

Your points about Santorum and his supporters are valid. Personally, I would never “demand” he drop out. I have too much respect for Rick Santorum. However, I do “wish” he and Newt could work out a deal.


35 posted on 01/13/2012 9:02:10 AM PST by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: Ulysse
Sorry, but I don't vote for backstabbing, hypocritical phony like Newt Gingrich. Folks around here are sadly deluding themselves about him and how he would govern, IF he somehow got elected.
36 posted on 01/13/2012 9:02:47 AM PST by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: Bigun

The youngest credible one (is that Santorum?) should be lined up as veep, because that’s usually the heir apparent to the candidacy from the party of a president who has served two terms. Perry is the only one who had been a governor, so might make sense as the immediate candidate, but his showing in the polls is very anemic, and throwing support to him might not boost him over Mitt Romney.


37 posted on 01/13/2012 9:05:15 AM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Sometimes progressives find their scripture in the penumbra of sacred bathroom stall writings (Tzar))
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To: Qbert
I like everything about Newt except his issue with trustworthiness. We know the media will ask him unfair questions and how does he answer them? My husband was in the military, then DOD at Stratcom, and now he is one of those evil military contractors. Those of you who had to have a top secret clearance to do your job will understand these questions. How does he answer them or similar ones?

Newt, military and DOD employee can't get or can lose their top secret clearance for having an affair. One of the main reasons is they can be blackmailed. How can voters be sure you only had two affairs and not susceptible to blackmail? Andrea Mitchell

Newt, the obamas look like the ideal family, while you have had issues with your trustworthiness? How do the voter know they can trust you?
George Stuffleupagus

38 posted on 01/13/2012 9:05:42 AM PST by Linda Frances (You rate Santorum too low. He’s as intelligent and well-informed as Gingrich; he has a terrific leg)
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To: parksstp; KansasGirl

Here would be an interesting simulation to run.

Since everybody on this forum seems to think like Kansas Girl: “Conservatives have to make a move and unite behind a single candidate NOW or Romney is going to be the nominee even though he is uwanted by 75% of the GOP voters.”,

What if everybody stayed in and actually allowed each state to go through the primary process and primary voters voted like the Rasmussen poll predicts, the Romney: 28.5%Gingrich: 23% Paul: 18% Santorum: 11.5%. in every state.

Would Romney then have enough committed delegates to win the nomination by virtue of winning the winner-take-all states with 28.5% plurality of the votes plus 28.5% of the proportional state delegates, or would the conservative opposition to Romney have more delegates at the Republican National Convention?

The reason to project this out would be to convince conservatives that they do not need to run over the Romney cliff like a bunch of lemmings, just because Romney has the 20-something percent of Republicans who are liberals in his pocket.


39 posted on 01/13/2012 9:05:42 AM PST by ngat
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To: Timber Rattler

G and S would be a big government conservative ticket.


40 posted on 01/13/2012 9:06:49 AM PST by achilles2000 ("I'll agree to save the whales as long as we can deport the liberals")
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To: Yaelle

Newt’s past is so checkered it looks like the floor of a large diner.

I’d like to know more about the particular Catholic diocese that took Newt in, which on the surface looks like a sincere move because they vet new members to try to ensure they have repented of their past sins. Is it one known for loosey goosey leftist philosophy, or does it honor the mainstream church beliefs and keep itself relatively free of scandal?


41 posted on 01/13/2012 9:10:01 AM PST by HiTech RedNeck (Sometimes progressives find their scripture in the penumbra of sacred bathroom stall writings (Tzar))
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To: HiTech RedNeck
Paul could use some of the CPAs to do the math, that Cain is going to put out of work with his flat tax ideas.

Don't know the “best” position for each person, BUT woke up this morning thinking that the team approach is the answer to unite the party. Give representation to each facet of the anti-O force. Maybe each candidate and previous potential candidate could just fill out a form state which area they feel most comfortable tackling.

42 posted on 01/13/2012 9:10:54 AM PST by hoosiermama (David (in the Bible) had problems with adultery and GOD used him!)
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To: Qbert

StaceinTexasStace in Texas
by vancarta

TWEET:

‘NEW SC POLL: Romney 29%, Gingrich 25%, Paul 20%” Perry 9% passing Santorum trending up! @GovernorPerry #SC’ #perry2012 #sc

1 hour ago


43 posted on 01/13/2012 9:14:56 AM PST by baysider
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To: Yaelle

Newt is a Reagan conservative. He will govern as a conservative, he did before. This lack of trust is not warranted.


44 posted on 01/13/2012 9:15:58 AM PST by david1313 (Newt all the way)
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To: Skeez
time for Rick to drop out and endorse newt

Which one?

45 posted on 01/13/2012 9:16:54 AM PST by ilgipper (Everything you get from the government was taken from someone else)
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To: Timber Rattler

Nonsense, Newt would govern as a Reagan conservative like he did before. The establishment types are still mad at him because he oppose the Senior Bush on tax increases. He is a conservative hero, always has been. Clinton was being impeached for obstruction to justice for lying to the grand jury, not for having an affair.


46 posted on 01/13/2012 9:20:10 AM PST by david1313 (Newt all the way)
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To: parksstp

Perry’s the key. I supported him and believe that he’s got the money, talent and infrastructure to win, but at some point he’s got to back out. Without coalescing around a single opponent Perry’s just helping Romney with conservatives splitting their votes.

At this point we need to prepare for Romney’s nomination.


47 posted on 01/13/2012 9:20:35 AM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Qbert

Perry has been the most consistent, consistently low. He needs to drop out and quit siphoning off the other votes.


48 posted on 01/13/2012 9:20:40 AM PST by montyspython ((Romney-Perry-Obama ... No Way))
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To: nhwingut

Perry is at 6% in the new Rasmussen poll, up only one point from the previous Rasmussen poll.

Both Ricks need to get out NOW to stop the Mittwitt madness. He needs to be stopped now in South Carolina before he has a chance to win SC & use that momentum to take Florida.


49 posted on 01/13/2012 9:20:57 AM PST by Josh Painter ("The only thing these 'investments' will get us is a bullet train to bankruptcy." - Palin)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

His conversion is important aspect of his life to me too. OTOH the Bible is full of how God has used sinners to do His will. (You wouldn’t believe the number of people who have gone ballistic over my tag line!)

I’m more concerned with God’s plan....Lots of prayers to open our collective eyes. Know that if we follow it we will be blessed. Pray that someone connected to the vine will speak our loudly and clearly....We need another Aaron.


50 posted on 01/13/2012 9:22:08 AM PST by hoosiermama (David (in the Bible) had problems with adultery and GOD used him!)
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