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Fox News Poll: Romney Leads by 25 (National: Romney 40%, Santorum 15%, Gingrich 14%, Paul 13%)
National Review ^ | January 16, 2012 | Robert Costa

Posted on 01/16/2012 9:07:36 AM PST by Qbert

The latest national poll of GOP primary voters:

Romney 40%

Santorum 15%

Gingrich 14%

Paul 13%

Perry 6%

Huntsman 5%


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: abolishregulations; beatromney; gingrich; gingrichsantorum; romney; santorum; stopthedivide
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Hot Air questions the sampling, though.
1 posted on 01/16/2012 9:07:40 AM PST by Qbert
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To: Qbert

Fox is sooo deep in Romney’s pocket its disgusting. About like MSNBC and BO.


2 posted on 01/16/2012 9:09:22 AM PST by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: driftdiver

If Gingrich and Perry would drop out and endorse Santorum, I’d be very happy.


3 posted on 01/16/2012 9:10:50 AM PST by demkicker (My passion for freedom is stronger than that of Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.)
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To: Qbert

4 posted on 01/16/2012 9:12:09 AM PST by Bobalu (Newt is just the a-hole we need at a time like this)
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To: Qbert

FOX News polls are notoriously poor. I rather doubt that Mittens is at 40% at this juncture.


5 posted on 01/16/2012 9:12:50 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: demkicker

as long as paul is pulling 13-15 noone catches romney no matter who else drops out


6 posted on 01/16/2012 9:12:57 AM PST by skaterboy (Hate=Love....Love=Hate)
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To: driftdiver

Fox and other pundants are enabling another win for Obama.


7 posted on 01/16/2012 9:13:35 AM PST by sheikdetailfeather ("Kick The Communists Out Of Your Govt. And Don't Accept Their Goodies"-Yuri Bezmenov-KGB Defector)
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To: driftdiver

I have it on good authority that the people polled were all Fox employees...pass it on.


8 posted on 01/16/2012 9:14:16 AM PST by greyfoxx39 (When GOP wants to guarantee a loss, they pick from MA: Dukakis, Kerry and now Romney.)
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To: Lazlo in PA

ya he cant be at 40...won iowa and new hampshire..up in sc and fla...no way he can be at 40...im not happy bout it but im not living in fantasy land either


9 posted on 01/16/2012 9:15:06 AM PST by skaterboy (Hate=Love....Love=Hate)
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To: driftdiver

Fox News is bipolar my friend, they trash Romney one day, and give a poll in favor of him the next. As for this whole poll, IMO, it’s all about provocation, who would want to think that Romney is set to win, if it looks that way, plenty of people will stubbornly vote against him, because they don’t believe the poll, at least I will go for Santorum, regardless of the poll.


10 posted on 01/16/2012 9:15:41 AM PST by Morpheus2009
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To: Qbert
Hot Air questions the sampling, though.

Fox undersampled independents by 7-9%. However those voters would mostly accrue to Paul and not Mittens or Newt, so the lead is essentially the same. Gingrich's use of the disastrous "documentary" against Mittens has backfired big time.

11 posted on 01/16/2012 9:16:42 AM PST by montag813
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To: Qbert

Upside: Santorum is in 2nd.
Downside: A verrrrrry distant 2nd.

The conservatives could mount a serious challenge of Romney if they’d just friggin’ coalesce behind one single (Santorum/Gingrich/Perry) candidate already!


12 posted on 01/16/2012 9:17:08 AM PST by ScottinVA (Liberal logic: 0bamacare mandate is acceptable... but voter IDs are unconstitutional.)
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To: demkicker

Any one of the three you mentioned would be okay with me. IOW, anybody but Obamney or Huntsman, and Huntsman is gone.


13 posted on 01/16/2012 9:21:12 AM PST by izzatzo ( Anybody but Obamney or Huntsman.)
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To: Qbert

If correct, we will need every candidate to drop out and form around the main conservative to Beat Romney.

It’s 2008 all over again because too many conservatives got into the race.


14 posted on 01/16/2012 9:21:39 AM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: demkicker

Perry blew it on the debates and he is gone and needs to go , hell even Huntsman has seen the writing on the wall.

Newt and Rick need to get in talks and one of them DROP OUT AND STOP SPLITTING THE CONSERVATIVE VOTE.

Maybe promise the other they can have the VP spot but one thing is for sure, one of them HAS TO AND NEEDS TO GET OUT NOW TODAY, not wait till after FL get OUT NOW.

As for FOX, the socially liberal elitist north east establishment lot over there then obviously they have been on Romney’s pocket since the get go.


15 posted on 01/16/2012 9:24:56 AM PST by manc (Marriage is between one man and one woman.Trolls get a life, I HATE OUR BIASED LIBERAL MEDIA.)
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To: skaterboy

No fantasy here. FOX always has bad polls that generally are the outlier. RCP has Mittens at 31% even with this poll added. I will not believe that Milt is in the 40’s till we get some more credible polling in that direction.


16 posted on 01/16/2012 9:25:07 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: montag813

Yeah, if anything the 40% is probably too low. Romney has been steadily rising in the last 3 national polls, and even this Fox poll still included 5% for Huntsman, 3-4% of which will go to Romney.


17 posted on 01/16/2012 9:25:16 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: rwfromkansas

The problem is, not everyone agrees on who that main conservative is. Many of us cannot picture the Newt of the last few years as a conservative, others do not think Perry can hack it, and still others believe that Santorum has warts in his votes as well.


18 posted on 01/16/2012 9:25:37 AM PST by Ingtar (If the GOP wants my vote, they should start fielding candidate for whom I can vote - Jemian)
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To: Lazlo in PA

The RCP average is badly skewed by an older outlier CBS poll from 1/4-1/8 that had him at 19%.

The average of the last three polls from 1/10 forwards is 37%, with an average of 4% for Huntsman.


19 posted on 01/16/2012 9:28:51 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: montag813

"Gingrich's use of the disastrous "documentary" against Mittens has backfired big time."

Of all the things he could've attacked Romney with, he had to choose that for some odd reason.

20 posted on 01/16/2012 9:30:13 AM PST by Qbert ("The best defense against usurpatory government is an assertive citizenry" - William F. Buckley, Jr.)
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To: demkicker

I don’t know why either of them is staying in. With Gingrich, it’s probably his mammoth ego. Here’s the problem if Romney sews this up. Eleanor Clift, rabid liberal commentator, was on “The McLaughlin Group” program over the weekend. She flat out said that reports are now circulating that the reason Romney is refusing to release his tax returns is that he’s using tax shelters in the Cayman Islands.

Consider this: the elites in the Republican Party who are attempting to shove Romney down our throats will have set up a candidate who cannot possibly win if these rumors are true. A guy who’s worth a quarter of a billion dollars; who brags about giving people pink slips; who talks about how important it is to take on radical Jihadism but who has five sons who have never worn the uniform; and a guy whose record of job growth when he was governor was in public sector jobs is more electable than Santorum?

Romney’s background should be thoroughly scrutinized before he’s crowned. The Republicans aren’t doing it. The Democrats are. We are in for some nasty surprises should Romney be the nominee.


21 posted on 01/16/2012 9:30:30 AM PST by WestSylvanian
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To: montag813
Note the poll sampled REGISTERED VOTERS. This is the PRIMARY contest.

The poll is based on live telephone interviews with a national sample of 906 registered voters, and was conducted January 12-14, 2012 in the evenings. Landline and cell phone telephone numbers were randomly selected

 

Results among subgroups have larger sampling errors, including:Democrats (n = 367) ± 5% Republicans (n = 356) ± 5%Independents (n = 171) ± 7.5% GOP Primary Voters (n = 365) ± 5%

Link

22 posted on 01/16/2012 9:32:16 AM PST by greyfoxx39 (When GOP wants to guarantee a loss, they pick from MA: Dukakis, Kerry and now Romney.)
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To: Lazlo in PA

I believe the only way you get Romney to 40% is if you filter out of the sample for people who are either undecided or not 100% in any one camp.


23 posted on 01/16/2012 9:32:25 AM PST by gov_bean_ counter
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To: Qbert

So now, it looks like we have an awful nominee that is infintely better than ZERO.
YUCK!!!
So that means we have a choice between mananged decline with mittens versus a chaotic, unpredictable implosion with zero.


24 posted on 01/16/2012 9:34:29 AM PST by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot.)
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To: demkicker
quote “If Gingrich and Perry would drop out and endorse Santorum, I’d be very happy.”

lol

right. Santorum never led Romney nationally or anywhere, while Gingrich has shown the ability to utterly destroy Romney in the polls.

It's Santorum that should of dropped out along with Bachmann after Iowa. But the media hyped Mr 1% in the week prior to Iowa to hand it to Romney, and they are hoping his frothy media induced surge will last just long enough to hand South Carolina to Romney too.

You are being played. Every without blinders on knows that only Gingrich has a chance of stopping Romney at this point.

25 posted on 01/16/2012 9:37:18 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: grumpygresh

Mittens is looking more and more inevitable. It’s also looking more and more inevitable that I will vote 3rd party in the general.


26 posted on 01/16/2012 9:38:22 AM PST by jsdjason
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To: greyfoxx39

Eh, the trend over time looks to be a consistent upswing for Mittens.

Pretty sure we’re screwed.


27 posted on 01/16/2012 9:39:00 AM PST by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State | Gingrich 2012)
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To: grumpygresh

I will not be kept on the RNC plantation, they wanted Romney. They can vote for him, because I sure wont be voting for him or anyone else with a R after their name in November if Romney is at the top of the ballot.


28 posted on 01/16/2012 9:39:39 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: Qbert

Forty percent sounds pretty close to what this guy will get when he goes up against Obama—if that much. Right now, I’d say the only remaining hope is a real nominating convention, but getting that would take a miracle.


29 posted on 01/16/2012 9:39:39 AM PST by madprof98 ("moritur et ridet" - salvianus)
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To: Qbert

Fox News. That says it all. We don’t turn on Fox News anymore at my house. They are as in the tank for Romney as MSNBC is for Obama.


30 posted on 01/16/2012 9:41:57 AM PST by Proudcongal
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To: Qbert

With this poll, if Romney wins S. Carolina, its all over. We can’t keep burying our head in the sands until we end up with a circular firing squad. Sadly, our conservative friends from Bachmann to Perry siphoned off enough conservative votes to propel Romney into first place. Even Newt should have dropped out (far too much Freddie Mac etc baggage, un-telegenic, losing the female votes in spades, and is so yesterday) as should have Cain if he knew that his past would haunt him. Our talk radio conservatives sat on the fence and yes Sarah Palin stringed us around for so long that other true and tested conservatives stayed out of the race. Deny all you want, this is now the reality.


31 posted on 01/16/2012 9:43:01 AM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: WestSylvanian

" Here’s the problem if Romney sews this up. Eleanor Clift, rabid liberal commentator, was on “The McLaughlin Group” program over the weekend. She flat out said that reports are now circulating that the reason Romney is refusing to release his tax returns is that he’s using tax shelters in the Cayman Islands."

Yep. And even if it isn't true- if he doesn't release them and prove otherwise- the MSM and the Dems will lie and say it's true anyways.

(This thing ain't "over" yet, no matter how much they want to create the impression of "inevitability" for Romney.)

32 posted on 01/16/2012 9:43:38 AM PST by Qbert ("The best defense against usurpatory government is an assertive citizenry" - William F. Buckley, Jr.)
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To: driftdiver

agreed DD. Turned them on a couple times over the past couple weekends, it was nauseating to listen to.


33 posted on 01/16/2012 9:44:08 AM PST by Michael Barnes (Obamaa+ Downgrade)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Santorum isn’t going anywhere. He’s playing the part of the spoiler candidate as many predicted he would.

The only way we’d have a fighting chance is if Perry and Santorum dropped.


34 posted on 01/16/2012 9:50:25 AM PST by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State | Gingrich 2012)
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To: Qbert

The GOP might get its man, but will most likely lose it’s base. People will vote for anyone but Obama, but once the election is over, real conservatives will leave the Republican Party in droves. I’m one of them.


35 posted on 01/16/2012 9:51:48 AM PST by Jaidyn
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To: Qbert

Yesssss! Go Santy!!!


36 posted on 01/16/2012 9:53:25 AM PST by Yaelle
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PLEASE DONATE TODAY


37 posted on 01/16/2012 10:05:09 AM PST by JoeProBono (A closed mouth gathers no feet - Mater tua caligas gerit)
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To: Qbert
From Hot Air:
Fox takes a sample of 906 registered voters (landline and cell), which breaks out into a D/R/I of 41/39/20, which gets a good balance between Democrats and Republicans but oversamples both at the expense of independents. From this, the pollster gets 365 primary voters, which it claims as “likely voters,” even though this is the same subset of Republicans in the sample marked “registered voters.” However, this is the same methodology used in the Fox poll series for the last several months, and about the average for sample sizes on the primary question, so the series can at least be expected to reflect trending.

Why does Fox News include any Democrats in a sample for a Republican Primary election. This is deliberate distortion by Fox News.

41% Democrats? Come on Fox News; you're getting as bad a PMSNBC.

Apparently, Romney's support among Republicans was -1 percent.

38 posted on 01/16/2012 10:09:56 AM PST by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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To: jsdjason

“It’s also looking more and more inevitable that I will vote 3rd party in the general.”

Brilliant!


39 posted on 01/16/2012 10:13:34 AM PST by traderrob6
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To: Qbert

1. Newt wins SC
2. Santorum and Perry drop out and endorse Newt
3. Newt wins FL (and is our nominee no matter what Willard tries to pull))

If 1, 2, or 3 don’t happen.. then Obama’s second term is assured as he crushes Willard (Obama-lite) in November.

P.S. IF Santorum wins SC, of course Newt would NEED to drop out and endorse Rick. Bottom line is conservatives need a one-on-one versus the liberal from Massachusetts IN FLORIDA.


40 posted on 01/16/2012 10:22:07 AM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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41 posted on 01/16/2012 10:22:23 AM PST by TheOldLady (FReepmail me to get ON or OFF the ZOT LIGHTNING ping list)
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To: Qbert

Is it just me, or didn’t RCP used to use a lot more LV samples in their national averages…? I could’ve sworn they did.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html#polls


42 posted on 01/16/2012 10:24:23 AM PST by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State | Gingrich 2012)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Oh puhleeze - the media has been no help to Santorum. His numbers are incredibly high considering he doesn't have the millions the other candidates have had. He's the logical choice.

Sorry - as much as I admire Newt's intellect, he admires it more. He's an undisclpined hot head with an ego that isn't appealing.

43 posted on 01/16/2012 10:24:37 AM PST by demkicker (My passion for freedom is stronger than that of Democrats whose obsession is to enslave me.)
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To: manc
BINGO!!
44 posted on 01/16/2012 10:26:46 AM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: demkicker

Do you want a pro-life socialist? http://www.redstate.com/erick/.


45 posted on 01/16/2012 10:28:37 AM PST by Conservativegreatgrandma
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To: grumpygresh
So now, it looks like we have an awful nominee that is infintely better than ZERO.

No, he is not infinetly better than Obama, he is only marginally better than Obama and just like he did in Massachusetts to the State GOP with his compromising on all conservative positions, he'll destroy the national GOP if elected.
46 posted on 01/16/2012 10:29:20 AM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: TexasFreeper2009

“Santorum never led Romney nationally or anywhere, while Gingrich has shown the ability to utterly destroy Romney in the polls.”

Uh maybe a month ago. But then he wasn’t able to get on the ballot in VA and his vote collapsed.

Things change in politics, time to back Santorum because Newt has lost it.

“It’s Santorum that should of dropped out along with Bachmann after Iowa.”

Last I checked Santorum won Iowa. By this logic, Newt should have dropped out and endorsed Santorum.

“But the media hyped Mr 1% in the week prior to Iowa to hand it to Romney.”

That didn’t work too well, did it? Santorum won in Iowa, proving that we don’t need Newt.

“frothy media induced surge will last just long enough to hand South Carolina to Romney too.”

Newt did that all to himself. If Newt had simply held onto his polling numbers from December, he’d be the nominee. But alas, he fell apart and conservatives went with somebody else.

“Gingrich has a chance of stopping Romney at this point.”

No - he doesn’t. Look, TXFreeper. Newt’s done. He can’t catch Romney at this point, and has been done for over a month.


47 posted on 01/16/2012 10:29:36 AM PST by BenKenobi (Rick Santorum - "The Force is strong with this one")
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To: meadsjn

Remember - Paul supporters too.


48 posted on 01/16/2012 10:31:48 AM PST by BenKenobi (Rick Santorum - "The Force is strong with this one")
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To: Steelfish
Sarah Palin stringed us around for so long that other true and tested conservatives stayed out of the race. Deny all you want, this is now the reality.

No, that is just your opinion distorted by your PDS.
49 posted on 01/16/2012 10:32:51 AM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: Utmost Certainty

Given that he won Iowa - Newt is playing the spoiler role.

Newt has yet to top 12 percent in any primary, anywhere. Right now, it’s looking unlikely that he’ll beat Paul in SC, and finally climb out of fourth place.


50 posted on 01/16/2012 10:33:11 AM PST by BenKenobi (Rick Santorum - "The Force is strong with this one")
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