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InsiderAdvantage Poll: Gingrich Now Leads Romney in S. Carolina Newt 32 Mitt 29 Santorum 11 Perry 3
Newsmax ^ | 1-18-12 | Staff

Posted on 01/18/2012 7:48:04 PM PST by VinL

An InsiderAdvantage poll conducted Wednesday night has former House Speaker Newt Gingrich now leading the Republican primary race in South Carolina.

The poll of likely Republican primary voters has Gingrich with 32 percent, ahead of Mitt Romney who trailed close behind at 29 percent.

The results are a significant reversal for Romney, who had led polls before Tuesday's Fox News debate. A poll conducted by InsiderAdvantage last Sunday showed Romney with a double-digit lead over Gingrich.

The InsiderAdvantage poll is the first major South Carolina survey after the debate. Gingrich has been crediting with winning the debate.

The poll found that support for Ron Paul and Rick Santorum is faltering, with both pulling 15 and 11 percent, respectively.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry finished last with just 3 percent of the vote. Three percent of those polled selected "other candidate" and 7 percent said they had no opinion.

The survey polled 718 registered Republican voters.

Read more on Newsmax.com: InsiderAdvantage

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: elections; gingrich; mittromney; newt; newtgingrich; perry; poll2012; rickperry; ricksantorum; romney; ronpaul; santorum; southcarolina; threepercentperry
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To: EDINVA

imagine the polling was concluded before a) Sarah Palin said she’d vote for Newt and b) Marianne Gingrich’s story was ‘leaked.’ The change has everything to do with Newt’s performance in Monday night’s debate.

***************
I think you’re right on, Ed- at least, there was an inkling where the polls were going.

Sarah endorsed because of the polling- she didn’t want to lose her credibility backing a loser 20 points down- and Romney Establishment forces reacted to the new numbers-—


101 posted on 01/18/2012 8:38:46 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: chris37

That’s why we call this LAST MAN STANDING. Real men don’t drop out, they get dragged down.


102 posted on 01/18/2012 8:38:56 PM PST by txhurl (EVERYONE is losing their virginity in this election. -Marty60)
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To: chris37

May we at least wait for the vote?


103 posted on 01/18/2012 8:39:59 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: tsowellfan
Yup, I also remember Tony Snow here until he got the job at the WH.

Actually, Tony again posted discised things with many of us after he left the WH, but before he died of course.

I have always believed Hannity and Rush both post comments and maybe even threads here, but under pseudo names.

Many times I find myself missing the old days, but then again what else is new?
104 posted on 01/18/2012 8:40:50 PM PST by OneVike ((Just a Christian waiting to go home) internet ID:: impeachobamanow)
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To: upchuck

So is the McCain file dump.


105 posted on 01/18/2012 8:41:56 PM PST by matthew fuller (Mitt is not a used car salesman- he's an aborted fetus salesman! See Stericycle)
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To: jeltz25

The polls only today caught up with the virtuoso performance and rousing vocal and standing ovation by Newt Gingrich in the debate Monday night. These polls have NOT yet had time to catch up with any measurement of Sarah Palin’s tepid remark expressing favor for Newt in only one state, South Carolina, just to keep the “vet” going. Likewise it will be at the ballot box on Saturday where the POLL of ALL POLLS will catch up with the breaking news tonight delivered up by Marianne the Vicious.

A Palin endorsement would do him no good and possibly hurt Newt in national polls, with many Republicans and most Independents who do not share the FR enthrallment with Sarah Palin. She knows that by now, and respects Newt enough to keep her mouth shut and to go with only “tepid” favor for him in but one single state.

Decent polls are three days rolling in order to capture the day to day in their entirety. This why the timing of this by Newt’s enemies is superb. The October Surprise is a Wednesday Surprise prior to the Saturday election. Time to get it distributed and NO time to counter forcefully before Saturday. The polls will be affected some, but could also backfire and actually stabilize again.


106 posted on 01/18/2012 8:42:11 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012/ Ron Paul is already Third Party, inside OUR Party.)
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To: VinL

CRY HAVOK!!!!!!! ....and let slip the dogs of war!!
~ Marcus Antonius - Julius Caesar Act 3 Scene 1


107 posted on 01/18/2012 8:42:28 PM PST by rwoodward ("god, guns and more ammo")
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To: varina davis

I guess he is just to much of an “outsider”


108 posted on 01/18/2012 8:42:47 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: chris37
Santorum will most likely endorse Romney, just like Huckabee has.

Every candidate, and I mean every single one, who comes out seeking the "evangelical vote" knows they can lock up the 10% or 15% of voters with lowest, rock-bottom IQ just by saying a few magic words.

And not a single one of those candidates seeking the "evangelical vote" can clearly articulate any Constitutional conservative principles.

109 posted on 01/18/2012 8:43:24 PM PST by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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To: matthew fuller
"So is the McCain file dump."

That would be the dump of McCain's file on Romney.

110 posted on 01/18/2012 8:43:50 PM PST by matthew fuller (Mitt is not a used car salesman- he's an aborted fetus salesman! See Stericycle)
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To: Kevmo

I knew some of this stuff was coming out and tried to warn those idiots over there to take their profits over the last 2 days, but they refused to listen.

I bet they had listened now :P


111 posted on 01/18/2012 8:44:30 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: mylife

Yes. Perry is really the only one the Dems should be afraid to face in the general. He makes Obama look like a scared schoolboy.


112 posted on 01/18/2012 8:46:00 PM PST by varina davis (Elect a real American patriot in 2012 -- Gov. Rick Perry)
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To: chris37

At this point, I would say that it is reasonable to ask Perry and Santorum to drop out and endorse whomever they are going to endorse (I suspect that will be Newt).

****************

C-7, I think Perry’s a class act- I can see him dropping and backing Newt for the sake of conservatives.

Rick S, I think, is a little peeved that Newt said he should drop out- and he said that Newt was arrogant. Now, like myself, he has Italian blood- so he gets a little heated some time. -:) So, I don’t see him dropping in SC.


113 posted on 01/18/2012 8:46:58 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: Jim Robinson
I could be wrong, but I think the base seriesly dislikes Romney. All your base are belong to us!!
LOL... Now there is a blast from the past.

I am thinking that if Newt can win SC with both Santorum and Perry in the race, Romney will be in s*^t creek without a paddle come time for Floridians to vote.

Then maybe we can get that brokered convention we all want, for Sarah to step forward.

Pardon me as I barrow a phrase from Judy Tenuta.
"It Could Happen!"

114 posted on 01/18/2012 8:47:30 PM PST by OneVike ((Just a Christian waiting to go home) internet ID:: impeachobamanow)
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To: Babsig
I participated in this poll today. Got the call this afternoon. All the internal polling the last 48hrs shows Newt ahead.

GOOD FOR YOU!

GO NEWT!

Don't forget to vote on Saturday!

115 posted on 01/18/2012 8:47:57 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC - DONATE MONTHLY! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know!)
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To: VinL

Oh please Lord, let it be so!


116 posted on 01/18/2012 8:48:24 PM PST by ConfidentConservative (If my people shall humble themselves and pray,I will hear from Heaven and heal their land.)
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To: katiedidit1; VinL

I am not counting Axlerod out here. This is right down is line of expertise, and he has the strings to the ABC pals & liberal media. He can let Romney take the heat for this while at the same time taking out Romney’s threat, Newt. They WANT TO RUN AGAINST ROMNEY. Not Newt. Newt has rolled them already, multiple times, and Newt knows where all the bodies are buried in DC.


117 posted on 01/18/2012 8:48:40 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012/ Ron Paul is already Third Party, inside OUR Party.)
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To: trumandogz
It is time for the two Ricks to go home.

Agreed. One is sinking, and the other is already sunk. Get those passengers over to the USS Newt as quickly as possible.

118 posted on 01/18/2012 8:49:29 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: ExtremeUnction

Extreme Unction
Jesus said “let he who is without sin cast the first stone”
Maybe you should think about that.


119 posted on 01/18/2012 8:49:35 PM PST by nurse-rn
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To: meadsjn

SoCon Huck will NEVER endorse Willard the $50 Abortion Mandator in the primary. Period.


120 posted on 01/18/2012 8:50:28 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: BenKenobi

Yes, we may, I don’t mean to jump the gun, it just looks like things are moving in a postive direction, but I am content to wait.


121 posted on 01/18/2012 8:51:42 PM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: VinL

except as of last night when she said that, the most recent polls had Newt down by 11. She had no way of knowing what they’d say today.

Now. since Todd endorsed Newt and apparently has some connections to the campaign, maybe they filled him in on some internal news yesterday and said “you know, Todd, you might want to say a few words to the missus, we’re on the upswing here and she could really do some good”

But she still backed someone who was down double digits in SC and nationally and had been given up for dead by most of the media and establishment.


122 posted on 01/18/2012 8:52:09 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: meadsjn

I certainly hope Rick wouldn’t do that..><

I believe Newt has flaws, but so does every man, I think he is more conservative than Romney by far, and I would rather Newt be the nominee than Romney.


123 posted on 01/18/2012 8:53:44 PM PST by chris37 (Heartless.)
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To: varina davis
Perry is really the only one the Dems should be afraid to face in the general. He makes Obama look like a scared schoolboy.

What? I mean, I think Perry is a good man. He's got a good heart and I like him and all, but he's not even ahead in his own state!

124 posted on 01/18/2012 8:54:13 PM PST by tsowellfan (Video: The Real Romney (running to the left of Ted Kennedy) http://ow.ly/8rknZ)
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To: varina davis

Pery has been nailing the talking points from DAY ONE.
The MSM is reassigning them to the other candidates.

I don’t get it.
He is the MOST experienced guy period, and the most experienced with fighting the current administration.

If Perry was the nominee folks like Holder and Jackson would be purged on day one.

These other candidates want to play around and entertain these people.
Romney, Newt, and Santorum dance like puppets.

Bah!


125 posted on 01/18/2012 8:54:22 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: Miss Didi
On Drudge it says the ex-wife will air Thursday night on Nightline

The debate is on CNN. Nightline is on ABC after the debate.

I hope Newt is given ample, ample time during the debate to address this.

I won't watch Nightline, because I'm not about to give it my Nielsen rating, and I'm sure Team Romney at Faux will get permission to repeatedly air the juiciest parts.

126 posted on 01/18/2012 8:54:44 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC - DONATE MONTHLY! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know!)
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To: varina davis

Frankly, the death nail was pulling out in Iowa before pulling back in. That message was the end to an abysmally run campaign, to whom I wrote early on. They went dead silent for two weeks after Perry announced. He had all pals, plenty of money and no sharks on his team. Terrible campaign. People had to move on. By the time he recovered it was nice but seen in the rear view mirror. He does need to pull out if this helps Newt, unless he wants to help Romney and I surely don’t think he does. Though one never knows what deals are made among whom or for what.


127 posted on 01/18/2012 8:55:09 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012/ Ron Paul is already Third Party, inside OUR Party.)
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To: RitaOK

why does this have to be some secret plot? It’s not like the Cain thing where it’s a total surprise and the accusers had to be found out.

Everyone knows about Marianne Gingrich. She’s given interviews before. they know her name and her # and where she lives.

No one needs Axelrod to pull off some scheme. ABC just had to call her up and ask.


128 posted on 01/18/2012 8:55:21 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: All

Santorum WISHES he were a Huckaboom, when sadly he’s only a 3rd place Fred..

2012

Newtaboom 32
Willard 29
SANTORUM 11
Perry 3% ..TIME to endorse Newt tomorrow morning!

2008

McLame 33
Huckaboom 30
THOMPSON 15


129 posted on 01/18/2012 8:57:10 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: jeltz25

Jeltz,
I think she endorsed after the debate—

But, you just gave me a thought. To counteract Newt’s wife, wouldn’t it be great if Sarah came down and addressed some TEA PARTY functions in SC. Headlines would go from Newt’s ex (if any)- to Sarah coming to town. Maybe?


130 posted on 01/18/2012 8:57:27 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: jeltz25

Not to mention probably 97% of Newt’s supporters knew this would eventually get ugly, and got behind him because taking down zero is the goal here.

No traction, IMO.


131 posted on 01/18/2012 8:59:02 PM PST by txhurl (EVERYONE is losing their virginity in this election. -Marty60)
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To: onyx

I think the debate will be for all the marbles. If Newt handles it well and wins the debate he’ll win SC and be the nominee. If not, Romney will win SC and be the nominee.

Newt has the momentum and it’s in his hands. He’s up in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs, the bases loaded and his team down a run. Their ace closer is on the mound.

It’s all up to him.

I think the nomination will be determined tomorrow night.


132 posted on 01/18/2012 9:00:52 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: txhurl

LOL!!!


133 posted on 01/18/2012 9:00:57 PM PST by moehoward
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To: mylife

I so agree with you mylife.


134 posted on 01/18/2012 9:02:04 PM PST by varina davis (Elect a real American patriot in 2012 -- Gov. Rick Perry)
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To: OneVike

SC winners become FL winners due to momentum :~)

And I’m sure a certain Vegas billionaire will help out Newt’s PAC again and again and again....


135 posted on 01/18/2012 9:03:21 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: varina davis

IT is what it is.


136 posted on 01/18/2012 9:03:50 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: BenKenobi
What’s that I’m hearing? Santorum needs to pull out? I think you owe us an apology.

You're either terminally delusional, or you're very well paid.

Did you examine the poll? Did you notice that Newt is now LEADING, and that your boy Santo is FADING?

Did you also happen to miss that nearly everyone on this thread agrees that this ex-wife attack will likely backfire on Mitt/Obama?

137 posted on 01/18/2012 9:04:33 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: VinL
"And frankly, if they do, that will help Newt-—i.e. “Newt took the lead in the polls, and now Romney and the Establishment pull this stuff”. The motivation is too transparent now!"

I hope he follows that advice.

138 posted on 01/18/2012 9:04:50 PM PST by moehoward
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To: CainConservative

Interetsing that Romney could end up trumped by a guy with even more money to spend than he has.


139 posted on 01/18/2012 9:05:02 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: txhurl

“Not to mention probably 97% of Newt’s supporters knew this would eventually get ugly, and got behind him because taking down zero is the goal here.

No traction, IMO.”

Bingo!


140 posted on 01/18/2012 9:06:52 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Windflier

“Agreed. One is sinking, and the other is already sunk. Get those passengers over to the USS Newt as quickly as possible”

Hahahaha. I like that analogy. GO NEWT GO!


141 posted on 01/18/2012 9:07:27 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: jeltz25

” why does this have to be some secret plot?” <<<

Marianne the Vicious is not a secret plot. You are absolutely correct. The marvel here is the superb, meticulous timing of all this, three days before the ballot. Marianne the Vicious has been sitting on “GO” for years, but to make her story catch fire someone had to time its perfect release to a national audience. Marianne didn’t force this timing. ABC didn’t force this timing it seems to me, or else they wouldn’t have been said to be in a “civil war” over it and when to release it. So SOMEBODY with power DID. Someone said go see Marianne, and go national with what she has to say, NOW, when it counts.


142 posted on 01/18/2012 9:08:39 PM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. NEWT 2012/ Ron Paul is already Third Party, inside OUR Party.)
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To: chris37

I ain’t gonna spoil the happiness, just let’s wait for the results.

Then we figure where we go from here.

Meanwhile now we can focus on dumping on Romney.


143 posted on 01/18/2012 9:09:52 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Windflier

Well, from where I sit, Newt is winning. So why would you want Santorum to drop out, when Newt’s going to collect all the delegates from South Carolina?

Let’s wait for the results and then go from there.


144 posted on 01/18/2012 9:12:06 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: VinL

I pray to God this is accurate! Mitt Romney must be stopped. Newt, with all his flaws and imperfections, is our last hope for having a level headed, mostly conservative President.


145 posted on 01/18/2012 9:12:32 PM PST by GR_Jr. (ABR / AB0 (Anybody but Romney / Anybody but 0bama))
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To: CainConservative

I agree, Newt will walk away with Florida if he pulls out the upset in SC. No cross over voters in Florida, so Romney will not be able to count on Dems and Indies to help him out.

Romney needs to prove that he can win a Southern state before Florida, or it will be 2008 all over again for him.

That is the dirty little secret no one talks about. Mitt has yet to prove he can win in the deep South.


146 posted on 01/18/2012 9:12:52 PM PST by OneVike ((Just a Christian waiting to go home) internet ID:: impeachobamanow)
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To: jeltz25

“It’s all up to him.

I think the nomination will be determined tomorrow night.”

Race is just getting started.


147 posted on 01/18/2012 9:16:49 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: varina davis
"Perry is really the only one the Dems should be afraid to face in the general. "

There's reason for that. It's a matter of record that Perry shoots coyotes.

148 posted on 01/18/2012 9:17:04 PM PST by matthew fuller (Mitt is not a used car salesman- he's an aborted fetus salesman! See Stericycle)
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To: RitaOK

but this interview apparently took place on monday, before the debate, when Newt was way behind and no one thought he really had a chance of winning.

They had no way of knowing when they did the interview that Newt would do great in the debate, Romney relatively poorly, Palin would “endorse” him, and he’d surge forward and possibly take the lead by Thursday.

As far they knew on monday they were interviewing the ex-wife of a guy on the verge of being blown out in SC and pretty much done heading into FL.

So why would someone say go see her on Monday(and the interview was likely set up a bit before that) when Romney was up by double digits?

I just think is good timing and luck that Newt ended up killing it at the debate and surging just at the time they did the interview. I don’t think there was any big conspiracy or plan, at least initially.

I do agree, that the decision to air it tomorrow night may be influenced by certain quarters. I doubt Axelrod. the dems would love Newt to be the nominee and would want this held till the fall. If there’s any outside push it’s from Romney and the beltway as a last ditch effort to stop Newt and save Romney.


149 posted on 01/18/2012 9:17:36 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: RitaOK

I think if this was anything new and damning, it wouldn’t be on some late late night 1/2 hour news show that no one watches on ABC.

Botom Line: They’ve got nothing on Newt or this would have been the six o’clock lead network news story or sold to CNN. Instead this is pure National Enquirer retread filler.


150 posted on 01/18/2012 9:17:49 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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