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InsiderAdvantage Poll: Gingrich Now Leads Romney in S. Carolina Newt 32 Mitt 29 Santorum 11 Perry 3
Newsmax ^ | 1-18-12 | Staff

Posted on 01/18/2012 7:48:04 PM PST by VinL

An InsiderAdvantage poll conducted Wednesday night has former House Speaker Newt Gingrich now leading the Republican primary race in South Carolina.

The poll of likely Republican primary voters has Gingrich with 32 percent, ahead of Mitt Romney who trailed close behind at 29 percent.

The results are a significant reversal for Romney, who had led polls before Tuesday's Fox News debate. A poll conducted by InsiderAdvantage last Sunday showed Romney with a double-digit lead over Gingrich.

The InsiderAdvantage poll is the first major South Carolina survey after the debate. Gingrich has been crediting with winning the debate.

The poll found that support for Ron Paul and Rick Santorum is faltering, with both pulling 15 and 11 percent, respectively.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry finished last with just 3 percent of the vote. Three percent of those polled selected "other candidate" and 7 percent said they had no opinion.

The survey polled 718 registered Republican voters.

Read more on Newsmax.com: InsiderAdvantage

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: elections; gingrich; mittromney; newt; newtgingrich; perry; poll2012; rickperry; ricksantorum; romney; ronpaul; santorum; southcarolina; threepercentperry
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To: Windflier

If you’re going to persist in calling me delusional when I’m playing for your team after SAT, you’re going to eat a big plate of crow.

I suggest you refrain.


151 posted on 01/18/2012 9:18:48 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Now it’s 30 points of differential. By tomorrow morning it might flip.

Politics - 2012 US Primaries
South Carolina Primary (Republican)
Contract Bid Ask Last Vol Chge
STH.CARO.ROMNEY
Mitt Romney to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary M Trade 75.9 77.4 77.5 26445 -15.7
STH.CARO.GINGRICH
Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary M Trade 20.2 22.8 22.8 17416 +15.8


152 posted on 01/18/2012 9:22:00 PM PST by Kevmo (If you can define a man by the depravity of his enemies, Rick Santorum must be a noble soul indeed.)
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To: varina davis

I’m all in for Newt Gingrich, but I like Rick Perry second best. He’s the most personable and likable and he’s so friendly, nice and gracious in person, too. I am certain he would keep his word as president. I was surprised he didn’t get the endorsement of the Evangelical pastors. I guess they watch polls, too.

This probably isn’t the best thread to opine, but I’ve been thinking how different the results might be were one of the first primaries in my state of Mississippi for example, instead of New Hampshire or Iowa. I’m willing to wager Romney’s $10,000, that Southerner’s Perry and Gingrich would both be leading the Massachusetts moderate going into Iowa or New Hampshire.

OPEN primaries, in two purple states, permitted the Ron Paul vote and Romney to win.

But, it is what it is. The GOP is the stupid party.


153 posted on 01/18/2012 9:22:19 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC - DONATE MONTHLY! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know!)
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To: VinL

Ironically the Cain attacks may have immunized voters against these kind of tactics.


154 posted on 01/18/2012 9:22:55 PM PST by lainde
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To: jeltz25

“I do agree, that the decision to air it tomorrow night may be influenced by certain quarters”

I think that is just it. They had the interview in the can and were waiting to air it at the right moment. It just so happened the right moment in their minds came up sooner than they probably thought.


155 posted on 01/18/2012 9:22:55 PM PST by Parley Baer
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To: txhurl
LOL... no kidding!

Michael Douglas as one of the stars of the movie "Wall Street" -- a Vulture Capitalist who bought companies, bought stock, then dumped it before gutting the companies and ruining people's lives.

Good movie. Check it out sometime.

156 posted on 01/18/2012 9:24:43 PM PST by BagCamAddict (Since the Ricks aren't going to drop out before SC, we need to do it for them: VOTE FOR NEWT.)
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To: Parley Baer

Probably. They were planning on airing it monday. Likely as they figured after SC no one would care about Newt anymore and Monday would be the last day he’d have any relevance. Sort of a kick him while he’s down. The media never liked him and this was thier last chance to rub it in and dance on his corpse.

Now, they saw the polls, and moved it up.


157 posted on 01/18/2012 9:25:29 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: BenKenobi
Well, from where I sit, Newt is winning. So why would you want Santorum to drop out, when Newt’s going to collect all the delegates from South Carolina?

Because Santo isn't doing anything but wasting his, and his supporters' time and money, while splitting the conservative vote.

I tried to tell you after Iowa, that Rick's poll numbers would revert to trend, and they're doing just that, day by day.

I don't personally have anything against the man, but like Bachmann, he's over-reaching in his bid for the presidency. He would have had a much better chance at the nomination, if he were a sitting Senator.

When he was a Senator, he didn't make the sort of large impact on national politics that could carry him through to a presidential run while out of office. Heck, most Americans aren't even sure who the guy is.

Rick is still young enough to serve a term as a state Governor, then come back to the presidential contest with some real governing stats and 'gravitas'. Even that's no guarantee that he'll ever win his party's nomination, but he'd have a real shot, in my opinion.

158 posted on 01/18/2012 9:25:59 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: onyx

Speaking of winning Iowa..

I think early tomorrow morning Willard’s gettin’ bad news out of Iowa.

And we can ALL congratulate Senator Ricky Santorum for it!


159 posted on 01/18/2012 9:27:53 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: lainde

Ironically the Cain attacks may have immunized voters against these kind of tactics.

**************
lainde, could have. But, millions of dollars of negative ads against Newt in Iowa, NH, and now SC-— What more can they possibly say about him that isn’t known? Seriously.

If Rush and the gang deal with this properly- and call it for the smear attack that it is- and rally folks against it——Newt will come out the better because Romney will look like the most craven, creepy politician imaginable.


160 posted on 01/18/2012 9:29:58 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: VinL

Does anyone else here on FR feel like they are losing their mind?!!! These Primaries are causing such see-saws that I feel I am going to lose my sanity!


161 posted on 01/18/2012 9:30:03 PM PST by pollywog ("O Thou who changest not, abide with me.".......)
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To: VinL

I don’t really want to say this, having been for Perry since he declared his candidancy... but I do think that this is the time for him to shut down his campaign and endorse Newt as the official opposition against Romney. Based on current polling, that would given Newt enough of a fudge factor to carry South Carolina.

Same with Santorum.


162 posted on 01/18/2012 9:30:13 PM PST by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: VinL
Ha. Ha. Great news. That explains the desperation, and anger emanating from Jim Talent on Kudlow’s Report tonight.

Now get ready for the “whack a mole” from LSM and others to try to drive him down again”.

163 posted on 01/18/2012 9:32:52 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: jeltz25

It’s always been in Newt’s hands. He loves to debate.

The only thing that’s not in his hands is the control of the debate, and the questions, but he has his way of making the best of every question and the time allocated him.

Tomorrow night, he might have to be more forceful, -— interrupt if he’s ignored -— but I have been watching CNN instead of Faux, -— and I think several of their hosts despise Romney so Newt might get more time than I anticipate.

I’m praying.

GO NEWT!

God be with Newt!


164 posted on 01/18/2012 9:32:53 PM PST by onyx (PLEASE SUPPORT FREE REPUBLIC - DONATE MONTHLY! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, let me know!)
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To: BenKenobi
If you’re going to persist in calling me delusional when I’m playing for your team after SAT, you’re going to eat a big plate of crow.

I suggest you refrain.

Now, that's a sourpuss attitude, if I ever saw one. If you want to quit making delusional posts, I'll quit calling them that. Perhaps the one I responded to on this very thread, will be your last.

That would be good for me, and even better for you, because I don't intend on eating any crow, when you're the one who'll have to admit that I was right all along.

165 posted on 01/18/2012 9:33:23 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: varina davis

Who’s buying all this talk about Newt being a catastrophically flawed candidate? Please.

Since when has being a ladies’ man been this big deal? Does anyone really believe that moderate women voters are going to get all offended just because Gingrich repeatedly cheated on both of his previous wives with younger, hotter women? Are women voters really going to care that he glibly destroyed not one but two marriages to move on to greener pastures? Callista is nearly a quarter-century Newt’s junior. Of course he traded up! Sheesh.

Besides, does the GOP really need women voters to win in the general election?? As if!


166 posted on 01/18/2012 9:34:34 PM PST by Presto (Liberalism is nonsense on stilts.)
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To: pollywog

you still have your sanity???? God love you (LOL)


167 posted on 01/18/2012 9:34:47 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: Windflier

“Because Santo isn’t doing anything but wasting his, and his supporters’ time and money, while splitting the conservative vote.”

That vote split isn’t hurting Newt in any way shape or form. As for him wasting his supporter’s money, isn’t that something that he and his supporters should decide for themselves?

Let me ask you something. Would you prefer Romney to be in second or third?

“I tried to tell you after Iowa, that Rick’s poll numbers would revert to trend, and they’re doing just that, day by day.”

His poll numbers a month ago were one percent. Pushing out Santorum now, is premature. He’s going to be continuing onto Florida, regardless of what happens here in South Carolina.

“he’s over-reaching in his bid for the presidency.”

I don’t see how he’s overreaching when we are talking about supporting a sitting congressman. Again, a Senator has considerably more support than a congressman.

“When he was a Senator, he didn’t make the sort of large impact on national politics”

Actually, I would argue, yes he did. I would wager that if you asked folks to name any of the senators in his class, that Santorum would be one of the first names that come up. How many Senators make such a mark that the homosexual lobby go out of their way to attack him? Santorum, yes. Whom else?

“Heck, most Americans aren’t even sure who the guy is.” That was true of Cain until October. Everyone else, Santorum included, had good name recognition. Do I need to cite a stat?

“Rick is still young enough to serve a term as a state Governor, then come back to the presidential contest”

Same nonsense we were dealing with Cain. Newt has never been a governor. If we want a governor, than Perry, not Newt is our man. You seem to have a list of credentials, that Newt doesn’t fulfill, and yet, Newt is the best candidate here.

I agree with you that executive experience is nice to have, but I don’t regard it as particularly essential.

“he’d have a real shot, in my opinion.”

Eh, I’m really tired of nominating losers, but I guess the Newt folks will get their just desserts.

You try to prevent the party from making a big mistake, but what can you do when the party is bound and determined to make them.

If Newt wins in SC - then yes, I’ll back him, but I expect Obama to win and then we can look to 2016 to back a real conservative. :)

When we come back in a years time, don’t say I didn’t warn you.


168 posted on 01/18/2012 9:36:39 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: Babsig

How do you know about the internal polling?


169 posted on 01/18/2012 9:37:14 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: Windflier

No, that’s called taking one for the team.

If I’m delusional now, then clearly, I’m not helping you when I’m supporting Newt, eh? :D


170 posted on 01/18/2012 9:38:49 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: meadsjn

Based off of that piece of information... can considering the similarities between Santorum and those two... I would hazard that when Santorum does drop out of the race, he will endorse Romney as well.


171 posted on 01/18/2012 9:39:20 PM PST by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: meadsjn

Yep.

I’d hazard that most social conservatives would get a tingle up their leg if they read that the federal government had banned abortion and was increasing the size of the FBI to properly enforce it.

(of course, not realizing what else a plussed up FBI can do)


172 posted on 01/18/2012 9:45:35 PM PST by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: Parley Baer

A Newtritious balance specially formulated for conservatives.


173 posted on 01/18/2012 9:45:42 PM PST by paintriot (Newt 2012 & 2016 Thinking long term!)
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To: gogogodzilla

Both Ricks being CONSERVATIVES will endorse Speaker Newt who they both have said they admire.

Willard the LIBERAL will get Charlie Crist though. Woo hoo!

Jeb Bush and Huck will wait till the Tampa convention for obvious reasons.


174 posted on 01/18/2012 9:46:31 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Santorum 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: caww

Maybe she is just sweet on Paul, and working with him, sure would be an exact duo. Both Loons


175 posted on 01/18/2012 9:46:41 PM PST by annieokie
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To: gogogodzilla
I would hazard that when Santorum does drop out of the race, he will endorse Romney as well.

The Santorum die hards really do not like Mitt, that is why they are still supporting Santorum as an anti Mitt. I do not see those supporters flocking to Mitt if Santorum endorses Mitt.

So that endosrement, should it occur, will be of little benefit to Mitt.

They (supporters) may have their sails deflated though.

176 posted on 01/18/2012 9:47:36 PM PST by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: BenKenobi

Agreed. But Newt isn’t a sitting Congressman.

He was the Speaker of the House, #2 in line to the Presidency. He ran the Congress. He was the leader of the party and the top conservative/Republican on the natl scene for a few years. He was the architect of the 94 victory and it was largely his own personal doing.

You can’t just compare him to some normal Congressman.


177 posted on 01/18/2012 9:47:46 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: BenKenobi
I’m really tired of nominating losers, but I guess the Newt folks will get their just desserts. You try to prevent the party from making a big mistake, but what can you do when the party is bound and determined to make them.

If Newt wins in SC - then yes, I’ll back him, but I expect Obama to win and then we can look to 2016 to back a real conservative.

Boy, have you got a case of sour grapes.

Hey, don't hurt yourself. If you honestly believe the conservative right is making a mistake by backing Newt for the nomination, by all means, go with your conscience, and vote write-in, or just concentrate on the down-ticket races.

Like you said, Newt doesn't need your vote.

178 posted on 01/18/2012 9:47:48 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Babsig

Yahhhooooooooooooooooooooooo. I knew this would happen and finally the polls I wanted to hear. This is GREAT NEWS, and I believe the momentum will carry through. Yipeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.


179 posted on 01/18/2012 9:49:12 PM PST by annieokie
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To: Presto

There is NO CHANCE that Obama being happily married to the same woman with two adorable little girls in an intact family will contrast sharply with Newt’s promiscuous past. There is no way this will siphon away large numbers of women voters who would have normally defaulted to an acceptable alternative.
Not a chance.


180 posted on 01/18/2012 9:49:48 PM PST by Presto (Liberalism is nonsense on stilts.)
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To: VinL

I just look at the Resumes, and I choose Newt, for this year, but I like Perry now that he is feeling better. I’d consider him, if he ran again.


181 posted on 01/18/2012 9:49:48 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: RitaOK
"Newt has rolled them already, multiple times, and Newt knows where all the bodies are buried in DC."

Bump that.

182 posted on 01/18/2012 9:50:51 PM PST by moehoward
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To: OneVike

Where did all these former posters and insiders from the old days go?


183 posted on 01/18/2012 9:55:35 PM PST by greeneyes (Moderation in defense of your country is NO virtue. Let Freedom Ring.)
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To: Presto

women didnt seem to care about Cinton’s promsicuous past compared to Bush41 who was married to the same woman. Or Dole who I think was on his 2nd wife but here was no allegation of infidelity or anything.


184 posted on 01/18/2012 9:56:26 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: greeneyes

greeneyes, Gov. Perry is very likeable. But even when I supported Sarah, then Cain- I always felt that Newt would be the best person to “redirect” the country in 2013. He did it in 1994. I just didn’t think he’d ever get this far. But, now that he has, I’m all in for him.


185 posted on 01/18/2012 9:56:47 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: going hot

The same was said about Huntsman in New Hampshire... and look who he endorsed.

Santorum and Huckabee are very similar on their views and what they campaigned on in their respective elections... and Huckabee has already endorsed Romney.

And considering that their views are so similar, I’d hazard that Santorum will come to the same conclusion as Huckabee when the time comes. For it’s in his nature.

And the Santorum fans will again be disappointed.


186 posted on 01/18/2012 9:59:07 PM PST by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: mylife
I don’t get it. He is the MOST experienced guy period, and the most experienced with fighting the current administration.

What's not to 'get'? Perry has been a piss poor salesman, and has failed to close the deal with the voters throughout the campaign. His supporters have done a far better job of selling him, than he's done selling himself.

Not to knock the guy, but since I've been watching him, I've never seen him take down any serious opponent in a race. I voted for him twice, and each time, he was running against others who were so odious, that even I could have beaten them.

'Nuff said on all that. I'm not trying to rub in your disappointment. I like the Governor, but I'd rather see him back here at home, doing what he can to address the issues that are hurting Texans.

187 posted on 01/18/2012 10:00:50 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: Windflier

I made a promise and I’ll keep my promise.

If Sarah Palin can drag for as long as she did McCain, then I can do the same for Newt.

As for sour grapes - I’ve said that from day one. You can go look it up.


188 posted on 01/18/2012 10:01:32 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: txhurl
"Not to mention probably 97% of Newt’s supporters knew this would eventually get ugly, and got behind him because taking down zero is the goal here."

IMHO it's more to keep folks from jumping ship to Newt.

189 posted on 01/18/2012 10:01:42 PM PST by moehoward
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To: gogogodzilla

huckabee hasnt endorsed anyone. do you have any evidence he endorsed romney?


190 posted on 01/18/2012 10:02:04 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: jeltz25

Yeah, but Clinton’s promiscuous past was not verified until AFTER he won re-election. The whole Lewinski scandal blew up after Clinton was sworn back into office.
Before that there were unconfirmed rumors of possible infidelity that he and Hillary adamantly denied. (Yes, she stood by her man.)

Unlike Gingrich, Dole only had two wives - neither of which he cheated on. But Dole lost big in the general election.

But like I said, who really thinks we need moderate women voters to win in the general election anyway??


191 posted on 01/18/2012 10:02:45 PM PST by Presto (Liberalism is nonsense on stilts.)
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To: gogogodzilla

I don’t think so. Folks said the same about Cain, and he hasn’t endorsed Romney either.


192 posted on 01/18/2012 10:03:19 PM PST by BenKenobi
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To: varina davis

“He is still by far the most appealing candidate in the race, but the establishment, both RINO and conservative simply won’t have it.”

I like a lot about Perry, but I can’t get past his immigration stuff...


193 posted on 01/18/2012 10:04:33 PM PST by babygene (Figures don't lie, but liars can figure...)
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To: BenKenobi

So, if Newt wins this and then loses to Obama, do we all have to deal with Romney running again in 2016 or is this it for him?


194 posted on 01/18/2012 10:05:18 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: Georgia Girl 2

This is great news for Newt Gingrich. If he is perceived as the frontrunner it will make more Santorum and Perry supporters vote for him in the primary.

Speaking about his bitter ex-wife. He always treated her good. There are stories on the internet about their marriage. They were basically separated for 6 years leading up to the divorce, didn’t live together. She worked with Newt on the campaign trail. But he met his current wife, and filed for a divorce. It hurt this Marianne gal, but life is not a bed of roses and life goes on. Newt never abused her in any way, but she loved being married to a powerful congressman. She needs to let it go. Hopefully any voters that watch her hit piece on him will realize that she’s just being a hard ass because she’s no longer married to him. I don’t think it amounts to much. She needs to let it go. I guarantee you he’s still paying her alimony.


195 posted on 01/18/2012 10:06:33 PM PST by NKP_Vet (creep.)
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To: jeltz25

See post #86, to which I was originally replying to.


196 posted on 01/18/2012 10:06:51 PM PST by gogogodzilla (Live free or die!)
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To: jeltz25
If Newt handles it well and wins the debate he’ll win SC and be the nominee. If not, Romney will win SC and be the nominee.

Given that Newt is the undisputed master of jaw-jitsu, I'm comfortable with that "if". Mitt doesn't stand a chance.

197 posted on 01/18/2012 10:06:51 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: jeltz25

Nah, Romney will switch parties- run as a Dem.


198 posted on 01/18/2012 10:07:31 PM PST by VinL (It is better to suffer every wrong, than to consent to wrong.)
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To: Presto

Everyone knew about Clinton’s promiscuity in 92 and in 96. Maybe not the speifics on Monica. But everyone knew he was a hound dog. And Clinton would have beaten W in 2000 even after the Monica stuff came out if he could have gone for a 3rd term.

I agree with you in general. I think if the economy is bad enough it won’t matter, though. Just as it didn’t in 92. Clinton wouldn’t have won with a good economy.


199 posted on 01/18/2012 10:08:02 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: gogogodzilla
Santorum endorsing Romney would not raise my eyebrows, I half expect it, though his reasoning may be entertaining.

My point is that it will not help Romney, just as Huntsman's endorsement did not, because Santorum's supporters by definitiion reject Romney at face value.

200 posted on 01/18/2012 10:08:49 PM PST by going hot (Happiness is a momma deuce)
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