Skip to comments.Intrade: Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary - 57.5%
Posted on 01/19/2012 8:11:37 PM PST by BCrago66
The Intrade investors are (unlike Newt supporters such as myself) unsentimental, and for the first time in the run-up to the South Carolina primary, their collective assessment has Newt as the favorite, with a 57.5% chance of winning. Even earlier today, after all the favorable morning & afternoon polls came out, Newt was only at about 42%.
What made the difference? A couple candidates:
1) Yet another PPP poll came out about 1/2 hour ago, including polling done this very night, showing Gingrich maintaining his 6 point lead.
2) Santorum's attack Chiwawa routine at the CNN debate tonight drew some blood re Romney, but mostly damaged Santorum himself, and will, IMHO, accelerate the South Carolina voter exodus from Santorum to Gingrich.
(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...
WOW! That’s hugh and series indeed!
I agree with point 2. Santorum nailed Romneycare, but he came off real bad overall. His demeanor was amateurish - whiny, angry and just unlikable.
This will help Newt.
I’m probably full of it but IMHO, Newt won the nomination with his first answer at the debate tonight. The abc smear piece with Newt’s ex-wife just ain’t workin’ for the DNC toadies in the “media”. That dog won’t hunt. Any remaining respect for the state run “media” just got whacked down a few more notches. Another exploding cigar for the DemocRATS. They fall for it every time.
Santorum had the best closing on why he’s most electable against Obama than either Newt/Romney. The diverse CNN panel thought he’s was one of the best performances of the night. I agree. Watch Santorum’s numbers go up. He’s on CNN’s Morgan Piers tomorrow night.
Santorum had the best closing on why he’s most electable against Obama than either Newt/Romney. The diverse CNN panel thought he’s was one of the best performances of the night. I agree. Watch Santorum’s numbers go up. He’s on CNN’s Piers Morgan tomorrow night.
Please go to Drudge and Freep his poll!
Oh my goodness. I don’t go to Drudge but I did on your request and I am just stunned how much info is negative on Gingrich. Nothing Romney? Not even a small headline? Nothing. Folks have been saying this all night but I sorta didn’t think much about it. I am still stunned. lol.
And Santorum is a whiny little turd.
Coulter is slamming Newt on her twitter feed, too bad she’s ignoring me slaming Mittens lol.
“Please go to Drudge and Freep his poll!”
Looks like the Paulbots are all over it as usual.
Coulter is slamming Newt on her twitter feed, too bad shes ignoring me slaming Mittens lol.
That gave me a laugh. I needed that tonight. You made my evening. Thank you!
Newt on InTrade now up to 64.5% as buyers flood in following the PPP release.
Hey, did Intrade pay THE Willard or Santorum winning BET in Iowa???
“Newt on InTrade now up to 64.5% as buyers flood in following the PPP release”
LOL This is really going to torque of Coulter, Hume, Krauthammer, Perino, and many others over at FOX. Let’s see how they spin this tomorrow.
Freeped and pinged! The Paul-tards are out in force tonight!
I fear the Dems have run out of dirt on Newt. They done scraped de bottom of de barrel dry!
Just to be balanced, Rueters/Ipsos just released a new poll tonite showing Romney 12,...... just saying only poll that matters is saturday,
Intrade says Romney won Iowa and wont revisit the issue. I think someone should sue them
I aim to please!
Sheesh...doesn't anyone even bother to spell check anymore?
Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!
Looks like Newt is catching fire.
He's been a good placeholder these few months; but his schoolboyish adventures in rhetoric show him to be out of his element in that setting. And we need him and those narrow issue partisans.
My favorite example: Santorum was asked to take Newt and Mitt to task on their support of individual mandates. Rick went on for quite a while about how this would hamper Newt in a debate with obama (i.e., it would be hard for him to criticize brocko on the point). He asked Newt how he could possibly carry that point in a debate. Newt said: "Simple. I'd just point out that I'd been smart enough to have learned I was wrong; but he hasn't learned it yet." World class; just like the opening round with Mr. I-been-butt-raped-on-national-TV John King.
That poll began on the 16th. Kinda old.
Yeah. They’ve got to start making stuff up from here on out. Newt has definitely been “vetted”. Barry would never have survived a rectal exam like the ones that the Republicans have been getting.
“Rick went on for quite a while about how this would hamper Newt in a debate with obama”
Yeah I don’t know what he was thinking with that approach. Newt’s problem won’t be the debates. It will be all those 30 second TV ads.
That's where a record comes in. Not just the record of votes, which is often a meaningless toll of positions taken for political reasons on bills that were always going to pass or were never going to pass, but a record of actions taken that actually mattered.
A record of actions taken that actually mattered. Newt is the man who fits that description to a "T".
He can identify what is most important to the country, develop a plan to overcome that challenge, articulate the the merits of overcoming the challenge and why the plan will work.
I hadn't been for Gingrich initially and spent plenty of energy excoriating him, these last several years, for any number of sins he committed against the Republican/Conservative ideals. He seemed a turncoat of sorts, particularly when he babysat Pelosi on the couch.
On reflection, Newt is an attention whore seeking relevancy for his ideas and I guess I take him at his word that he made a few mistakes in his life and he has at least some regret for those decisions. God knows I am no angel and so I have to reflect on the man's ability to get things done.
Newt gave us the Republican majority, the Contract with America and completed 2/3rds of his agenda while in office.
He now has a new plan for America and with what is likely to become a Congressional Super Majority and a Senate Majority, if not Super Majority, I believe he will absolutely accomplish his agenda.
Say goodbye to ObamaCare the single biggest scam and travesty foisted upon a free people who, by right, ought to have been given the opportunity to read the bill and debate it. Instead, a win at all cost, cheating agenda was developed and it was signed with most people never laying eyes on at least page 2 of this utopian dreck.
Executive Orders Positions:
The following are all within the executive powers to simply order and with the exception of securing the border within one year, they are all easily accomplished with the stroke of a pen and no way to challenge them in the legislature.
Keystone may be challenged in the courts but I think the Executive can order the EPA to approve, under National Security Priorities and it is a National Security issue, as well, a jobs issue.
As President, Newt, could actually have a very busy 1st week or month just on these initiative alone.
1. Eliminate the thirty-nine White House "Czar" positions created during the current administration. The president does not have the authority to appoint bureaucrats to power who are not accountable to the Congress.
2. "Mexico City Policy" of Respect for Life. Reauthorize President Ronald Reagan’s policy – also known as the "Mexico City Policy"— to stop tax payer dollars from being used to fund or promote abortions in foreign countries.
3. Restore conscience clause protections for Healthcare Workers.No American working in a medical environment should be forced to perform any procedure that he or she finds morally or ethically objectionable based on religious teaching. This protection should include, but not be limited to abortion. Existing conscience clause protections need to be strengthened.
4. Respect Each Sovereign Nation’s Choice of its Capital. Each sovereign nation, under international law and custom, may designate its own Capital. Accordingly, the U.S. State Department should be instructed to respect the choice of each sovereign nation and place the American embassy in their Capital. (Israel is the only country the United States discriminates against in this regard. The people of Israel have designated Jerusalem as their capital. Yet the United States retains its embassy in Tel Aviv.)
5. End the Attorney General's Assault on the States. Instruct the Attorney General to withdraw all immigration-related lawsuits against states immediately, including those pending in Arizona and South Carolina. The Obama Administration refuses to enforce federal immigration laws, and instead sues states who are merely trying to enforce the laws that the federal government neglects. The Gingrich Administration will secure the border by Jan. 1, 2014 by any means necessary.
Unleash American Energy by Approving the Keystone XL Pipeline. Instruct the State Department to approve a Presidential Permit immediately for the Keystone XL pipeline, a project that will send 700,000 barrels of oil a day from Great Plains and Southwestern states to Gulf Coast refineries lower staggering energy prices, and create up to 120,000 American jobs.
Now we get into the details of an inclusive agenda that brings the people(you and me), through their representatives, into process. The TEA Party and conservatives are going to have a majority in both houses.
Let’s elect an Executive who will absolutely fulfill the promise of our ideals.
Newt gave us the three most important victories of the 90’s Welfare Reform, Balanced Budget and Reduced Taxes. I hope I don’t need to describe the benefits of those victories. They ought to be obvious to everyone by now.
Lastly, there have been some reports that Newt shouldn’t get all the credit. Really? Then perhaps we marginalize the accomplishments of Washington, Roosevelt, Kennedy and ….wait for it… Reagan.
Do we really want to go down the road with that kind of adolescent sophistry and parsing of what happened?
Newt is the guy who thought of these big things, proposed them and shepherded their implementation?
Newt has once again identified what is important to us now, at this time and described how we can get there with our representative majorities. He has done it before and I declare Newt Gingrich was then and is Now a leader.
We should elect Newt Gingrich to the Presidency of the United States
I've been trying very hard to like Rick Santorum, and I believe he is a good man. However, I was darned angry with him by the time the debate was half over.
Early in the debate, Santorum made it a point to say that he could beat Obama and he was going to make his campaign ABOUT Obama ... then he proceeded to trash and whine about how bad Newt was in congress, how nobody's support of life was a strong as his ... blah, blah, whine, trash.
Santorum is desperate, and he sure as heck showed it. Yes, he needed to score some points or his campaign is over. Florida is next and a very expensive state to cover and in which to buy media spots. Santorum has no money and has to count on getting some quick.
I can't imagine that Santorum's own family was proud of the angry little man syndrome on display. Ron Paul even looked like he felt Santorum's pain, as he grimaced when Santorum would go off on Newt.
Looks like it's going to be Newt for me. I've already donated to the campaign because I wanted to give him a chance, but these last 2 debates have got me excited and we'll be donating again this week. I can't vote for or support Romney or Ron Paul ... not in an eon.
And came up with a big bunch of you-know-what all over its face, and promptly wiped it off on John King's feet!:)
Not kinda “old” . 16-18th (thats 2 days of post debate polling, and before the marital infidelity story). Also LV poll which is more accurate.
Again just trying to be informative. Folks tend to be selective on polls.
Ann Coulter, my dear-
You used to enthrall conservatives with your well-directed invectives, but somewhere along the line you lost sight of Middle Earth.
Perhaps you attended a cocktail party too many where we were denigrated; perhaps your ivy-league buds and you agreed once too often that we were asleep.
We are not, and you do not represent us, nor are we enthralled.
You still have to eat, even though you don’t appear to eat much.
We have some freshly prepared crow.
Newtered The List Grows
newter: verb; The act of figuratively destroying, decimating or completely blowing out of the water; esp. pertaining to journalists exhibiting blatant left-wing bias via the implementation of gotcha questions; named for the tactical oratorical skills of Newt Gingrich.
The Reuters/Ipsos is a piece o’ crap, an Internet poll with self-selected participants. Here’s an examination of that worthless Reuters poll:
And here’s updated lists of all the SC poll pointing toward a Gingrich win, from Realclearpolitics.com and from the NYTimes pollster blog (I know, it’s the NYTimes, but data is data):
So the question is whether you trust all these polls - half a dozen or more - or one crappy Internet poll that gets support only from its sponsor, Reuters.
You wanna look at only Wed and newer polls at this point.
You’ll see why on Saturday, my friend...
I like Santorum ok, but I’ve forgotten or didn’t notice what you are referencing. That in itself is an issue.
Oh, it’s an internet poll, too = Totally Worthless
Santorum is a geek freak. Check out his voting record. I am stunned Mitt and Newt didnt nail him on it. Also, little Ricky talking about dealing with the states like Wisconsin, Pa and etc...hello! he LOST in PA! Ann Coulter reminds me of a transvestite with that massive adams apple...she is a shrill shill for Mitt. Also, wonder if the good folks of SC know Santorum voted to move a nuclear waste dump site to their state...LOL LOL....and on health care? check this out...Spending and Entitlements
Voted to make Medicare part B premium subsidies a new entitlement.
Voted against paying off the debt ($5.6 trillion at the time) within 30 years.
Voted to give $18 billion to the IMF.
Voted to raid Social Security instead of using surpluses to pay down the debt.
Voted to allow states to impose health care mandates that are stricter than proposed new Federal mandates, but not weaker.
Voted twice for Federal mental health parity mandates in health insurance.
Voted against allowing consumers the option to purchase a plan outside the parity mandate.
the doggone Paulistas are sure active, aren’t they?
Coulter needs to run back to her boyfriend Mahr to figure out who she should support. She’s a RINO trailer trash bimbo.
Santorum has a weak chin. And he has a weasel look about him. Like a worried look. I don’t like him all.
druggies for Paul? blogging on high SPEED
He sounded whiny when he was 1 of 8 or so and I could sympathize with that. But he’s still the same Santorum after it’s down to 4 and after it turned out that he really did win Iowa.
Santorum is the ONLY candidate who will not put off the female voters (a crucial demographic that shows Newt losing in spades) and his blue-collar appeal will peel of blue states into the Republican column. He wins PA and with Rubio as his VP, FL falls into the red column and its all over for Obama. This is about winning the general and is much more than derailing Romney. While Newt dishes out red meat, he is undisciplined and unelectable and un-telegenic and Obama will scald him over his prior support of mandatory health insurance purchase.
I spelled it phonetically for your sake, because bitching is your substitute for life.
I like chiwawa, clever.
Check out HillBuzz tonight! http://hillbuzz.org/