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Intrade: Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 South Carolina Primary - 57.5%
Intrade ^ | 1/19/12 | Intrade

Posted on 01/19/2012 8:11:37 PM PST by BCrago66

The Intrade investors are (unlike Newt supporters such as myself) unsentimental, and for the first time in the run-up to the South Carolina primary, their collective assessment has Newt as the favorite, with a 57.5% chance of winning. Even earlier today, after all the favorable morning & afternoon polls came out, Newt was only at about 42%.

What made the difference? A couple candidates:

1) Yet another PPP poll came out about 1/2 hour ago, including polling done this very night, showing Gingrich maintaining his 6 point lead.

2) Santorum's attack Chiwawa routine at the CNN debate tonight drew some blood re Romney, but mostly damaged Santorum himself, and will, IMHO, accelerate the South Carolina voter exodus from Santorum to Gingrich.

(Excerpt) Read more at intrade.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: attackchiwawa; newtgingrich; southcarolina
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1 posted on 01/19/2012 8:11:43 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

WOW! That’s hugh and series indeed!


2 posted on 01/19/2012 8:15:54 PM PST by bigbob
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To: BCrago66

I agree with point 2. Santorum nailed Romneycare, but he came off real bad overall. His demeanor was amateurish - whiny, angry and just unlikable.

This will help Newt.


3 posted on 01/19/2012 8:17:36 PM PST by nhwingut (Sarah Palin 12... No One Else.)
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To: BCrago66

I’m probably full of it but IMHO, Newt won the nomination with his first answer at the debate tonight. The abc smear piece with Newt’s ex-wife just ain’t workin’ for the DNC toadies in the “media”. That dog won’t hunt. Any remaining respect for the state run “media” just got whacked down a few more notches. Another exploding cigar for the DemocRATS. They fall for it every time.


4 posted on 01/19/2012 8:18:09 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer ("Climate Change" my a.... All weather is local.)
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: nhwingut

Santorum had the best closing on why he’s most electable against Obama than either Newt/Romney. The diverse CNN panel thought he’s was one of the best performances of the night. I agree. Watch Santorum’s numbers go up. He’s on CNN’s Morgan Piers tomorrow night.


6 posted on 01/19/2012 8:23:00 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: nhwingut

Santorum had the best closing on why he’s most electable against Obama than either Newt/Romney. The diverse CNN panel thought he’s was one of the best performances of the night. I agree. Watch Santorum’s numbers go up. He’s on CNN’s Piers Morgan tomorrow night.


7 posted on 01/19/2012 8:23:30 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: BCrago66

Please go to Drudge and Freep his poll!


8 posted on 01/19/2012 8:23:32 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: Kansas58

Oh my goodness. I don’t go to Drudge but I did on your request and I am just stunned how much info is negative on Gingrich. Nothing Romney? Not even a small headline? Nothing. Folks have been saying this all night but I sorta didn’t think much about it. I am still stunned. lol.


9 posted on 01/19/2012 8:29:53 PM PST by napscoordinator (Newt MUST win the nomination to get rid of Romney and Obama....Dear God let November 2012 go our way)
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To: BCrago66
Awesome!!

And Santorum is a whiny little turd.

10 posted on 01/19/2012 8:33:13 PM PST by teenyelliott (Obama warned if he loses the election it could herald a new, painful era of self-reliance)
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To: napscoordinator

Coulter is slamming Newt on her twitter feed, too bad she’s ignoring me slaming Mittens lol.


11 posted on 01/19/2012 8:33:46 PM PST by Mmogamer (I refudiate the lamestream media, leftists and their prevaricutions.)
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To: Kansas58

“Please go to Drudge and Freep his poll!”

Looks like the Paulbots are all over it as usual.


12 posted on 01/19/2012 8:35:15 PM PST by diverteach (If I find liberals in heaven after my death.....I WILL BE PISSED!!!)
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To: Mmogamer

Coulter is slamming Newt on her twitter feed, too bad she’s ignoring me slaming Mittens lol.

That gave me a laugh. I needed that tonight. You made my evening. Thank you!


13 posted on 01/19/2012 8:37:53 PM PST by napscoordinator (Newt MUST win the nomination to get rid of Romney and Obama....Dear God let November 2012 go our way)
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To: BCrago66

Newt on InTrade now up to 64.5% as buyers flood in following the PPP release.


14 posted on 01/19/2012 8:39:33 PM PST by montag813
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To: All

Hey, did Intrade pay THE Willard or Santorum winning BET in Iowa???


15 posted on 01/19/2012 8:43:23 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Perry 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: montag813

“Newt on InTrade now up to 64.5% as buyers flood in following the PPP release”

LOL This is really going to torque of Coulter, Hume, Krauthammer, Perino, and many others over at FOX. Let’s see how they spin this tomorrow.


16 posted on 01/19/2012 8:46:02 PM PST by freeangel ( (free speech is only good until someone else doesn't like it)
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To: Kansas58

Freeped and pinged! The Paul-tards are out in force tonight!


17 posted on 01/19/2012 8:46:33 PM PST by JaguarXKE
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To: FlingWingFlyer

I fear the Dems have run out of dirt on Newt. They done scraped de bottom of de barrel dry!


18 posted on 01/19/2012 8:47:38 PM PST by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: freeangel

Just to be balanced, Rueters/Ipsos just released a new poll tonite showing Romney 12,...... just saying only poll that matters is saturday,


19 posted on 01/19/2012 8:47:41 PM PST by gswilder
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To: CainConservative

Intrade says Romney won Iowa and wont revisit the issue. I think someone should sue them


20 posted on 01/19/2012 8:48:22 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Go Newt!)
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To: napscoordinator

I aim to please!


21 posted on 01/19/2012 8:48:45 PM PST by Mmogamer (I refudiate the lamestream media, leftists and their prevaricutions.)
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To: BCrago66
"Santorum's attack Chiwawa routine..."

Sheesh...doesn't anyone even bother to spell check anymore?

Scouts Out! Cavalry Ho!

22 posted on 01/19/2012 8:49:43 PM PST by wku man (Who says conservatives don't rock? http://www.bigdawgmusicmafia.com)
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To: freeangel

Looks like Newt is catching fire.


23 posted on 01/19/2012 8:49:52 PM PST by luvbach1 (Stop the destruction in 2012 or continue the decline)
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To: teenyelliott
And Santorum is a whiny little turd.

He's been a good placeholder these few months; but his schoolboyish adventures in rhetoric show him to be out of his element in that setting. And we need him and those narrow issue partisans.

My favorite example: Santorum was asked to take Newt and Mitt to task on their support of individual mandates. Rick went on for quite a while about how this would hamper Newt in a debate with obama (i.e., it would be hard for him to criticize brocko on the point). He asked Newt how he could possibly carry that point in a debate. Newt said: "Simple. I'd just point out that I'd been smart enough to have learned I was wrong; but he hasn't learned it yet." World class; just like the opening round with Mr. I-been-butt-raped-on-national-TV John King.

24 posted on 01/19/2012 8:51:24 PM PST by Migraine (Diversity is great; until it happens to YOU.)
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To: gswilder

That poll began on the 16th. Kinda old.


25 posted on 01/19/2012 8:51:43 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Perry 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: luvbach1

Yeah. They’ve got to start making stuff up from here on out. Newt has definitely been “vetted”. Barry would never have survived a rectal exam like the ones that the Republicans have been getting.


26 posted on 01/19/2012 8:53:55 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer ("Climate Change" my a.... All weather is local.)
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To: Migraine

“Rick went on for quite a while about how this would hamper Newt in a debate with obama”

Yeah I don’t know what he was thinking with that approach. Newt’s problem won’t be the debates. It will be all those 30 second TV ads.


27 posted on 01/19/2012 8:55:32 PM PST by ari-freedom
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To: BCrago66

That's where a record comes in. Not just the record of votes, which is often a meaningless toll of positions taken for political reasons on bills that were always going to pass or were never going to pass, but a record of actions taken that actually mattered.

A record of actions taken that actually mattered.  Newt is the man who fits that description to a "T".

He can identify what is most important to the country, develop a plan to overcome that challenge, articulate the the merits of overcoming the challenge and why the plan will work.

I hadn't been for Gingrich initially and spent plenty of energy excoriating him, these last several years, for any number of sins he committed against the Republican/Conservative ideals.  He seemed a turncoat of sorts, particularly when he babysat Pelosi on the couch.

On reflection, Newt is an attention whore seeking relevancy for his ideas and I guess I take him at his word that he made a few mistakes in his life and he has at least some regret for those decisions.  God knows I am no angel and so I have to reflect on the man's ability to get things done.

Newt gave us the Republican majority, the Contract with America and completed 2/3rds of his agenda while in office.

He now has a new plan for America and with what is likely to become a Congressional Super Majority and a Senate Majority, if not Super Majority, I believe he will absolutely accomplish his agenda.

Say goodbye to ObamaCare the single biggest scam and travesty foisted upon a free people who, by right, ought to have been given the opportunity to read the bill and debate it.  Instead, a win at all cost, cheating agenda was developed and it was signed with most people never laying eyes on at least page 2 of this utopian dreck.

Executive Orders Positions:

The following are all within the executive powers to simply order and with the exception of securing the border within one year, they are all easily accomplished with the stroke of a pen and no way to challenge them in the legislature.

Keystone may be challenged in the courts but I think the Executive can order the EPA to approve, under National Security Priorities and it is a National Security issue, as well, a jobs issue.

As President, Newt, could actually have a very busy 1st week or month just on these initiative alone.

1. Eliminate the thirty-nine White House "Czar" positions created during the current administration. The president does not have the authority to appoint bureaucrats to power who are not accountable to the Congress.

2. "Mexico City Policy" of Respect for Life. Reauthorize President Ronald Reagan’s policy – also known as the "Mexico City Policy"— to stop tax payer dollars from being used to fund or promote abortions in foreign countries.

3. Restore conscience clause protections for Healthcare Workers.No American working in a medical environment should be forced to perform any procedure that he or she finds morally or ethically objectionable based on religious teaching. This protection should include, but not be limited to abortion. Existing conscience clause protections need to be strengthened.

4. Respect Each Sovereign Nation’s Choice of its Capital. Each sovereign nation, under international law and custom, may designate its own Capital. Accordingly, the U.S. State Department should be instructed to respect the choice of each sovereign nation and place the American embassy in their Capital.  (Israel is the only country the United States discriminates against in this regard. The people of Israel have designated Jerusalem as their capital. Yet the United States retains its embassy in Tel Aviv.) 

5. End the Attorney General's Assault on the States. Instruct the Attorney General to withdraw all immigration-related lawsuits against states immediately, including those pending in Arizona and South Carolina. The Obama Administration refuses to enforce federal immigration laws, and instead sues states who are merely trying to enforce the laws that the federal government neglects. The Gingrich Administration will secure the border by Jan. 1, 2014 by any means necessary. 

6. The Keystone Pipeline

Unleash American Energy by Approving the Keystone XL Pipeline. Instruct the State Department to approve a Presidential Permit immediately for the Keystone XL pipeline, a project that will send 700,000 barrels of oil a day from Great Plains and Southwestern states to Gulf Coast refineries lower staggering energy prices, and create up to 120,000 American jobs.

LEGISLATIVE PROPOSALS

 Now we get into the details of an inclusive agenda that brings the people(you and me), through their representatives, into process.  The TEA Party and conservatives are going to have a majority in both houses.

Let’s elect an Executive who will absolutely fulfill the promise of our ideals.

Executive Summary

  1. Repeal Obamacare and pass a replacement that saves lives and money by empowering patients and doctors, not bureaucrats and politicians.
  2. Return to robust job creation with a bold set of tax cuts and regulatory reforms that will free American entrepreneurs to invest and hire, as well as by reforming the Federal Reserve and creating a training requirement for extended federal unemployment benefits to encourage work and improve the quality of our workforce.
  3. Unleash America’s full energy production potential in oil, natural gas, coal, biofuels, wind, nuclear oil shale and more, creating jobs,  stimulating a sustainable manufacturing boom, lowering gasoline and other energy prices, increasing government revenues, and bolstering national security.
  4. Save Medicare and Social Security by giving Americans more choices and tools to live longer, healthier lives with greater financial independence.
  5. Balance the federal budget by freeing job-creators to grow the economy, reforming entitlements, and implementing waste cutting and productivity improvement systems such as Lean Six Sigma to eliminate waste and fraud. Pass a balanced budget amendment to keep it balanced.
  6. Control the border by January 1, 2014 and establish English as the official language of government; reform the legal visa system, and make it much easier to deport criminals and gang members while making it easier for law abiding visitors to come to the US.
  7. Revitalize our national security system to meet 21st century threats by restructuring and adequately funding our security agencies to function within a grand strategy for victory over those who seek to kill us or limit American power.
  8. Maximize the speed and impact of medical breakthroughs by removing unnecessary obstacles that block new treatments from reaching patients and emphasizing research spending towards urgent national priorities, like brain science with its impact on Alzheimer’s, autism, Parkinson's, mental health and other conditions knowledge of the brain will help solve. 
  9. Restore the proper role of the judicial branch by using the clearly delineated powers available to the president and Congress to correct, limit, or replace judges who violate the Constitution.
  10. Enforce the Tenth Amendment by starting an orderly transfer of power and responsibility from the federal government back “to the states, respectively, or to the people,” as the Constitution requires. Over the next year, state and local officials and citizens will be asked to identify the areas which can be transferred back home.    

Newt gave us the three most important victories of the 90’s Welfare Reform, Balanced Budget and Reduced Taxes.  I hope I don’t need to describe the benefits of those victories.  They ought to be obvious to everyone by now.

Lastly, there have been some reports that Newt shouldn’t get all the credit.  Really?  Then perhaps we marginalize the accomplishments of Washington, Roosevelt, Kennedy and ….wait for it… Reagan.

Do we really want to go down the road with that kind of adolescent sophistry and parsing of what happened?

Newt is the guy who thought of these big things, proposed them and shepherded their implementation?

Newt has once again identified what is important to us now, at this time and described how we can get there with our representative majorities. He has done it before and I declare Newt Gingrich was then and is Now a leader.

We should elect Newt Gingrich to the Presidency of the United States

28 posted on 01/19/2012 8:57:03 PM PST by Vendome (Don't take life so seriously, you won't live through it anyway)
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To: nhwingut
"I agree with point 2. Santorum nailed Romneycare, but he came off real bad overall. His demeanor was amateurish - whiny, angry and just unlikable."

I've been trying very hard to like Rick Santorum, and I believe he is a good man. However, I was darned angry with him by the time the debate was half over.

Early in the debate, Santorum made it a point to say that he could beat Obama and he was going to make his campaign ABOUT Obama ... then he proceeded to trash and whine about how bad Newt was in congress, how nobody's support of life was a strong as his ... blah, blah, whine, trash.

Santorum is desperate, and he sure as heck showed it. Yes, he needed to score some points or his campaign is over. Florida is next and a very expensive state to cover and in which to buy media spots. Santorum has no money and has to count on getting some quick.

I can't imagine that Santorum's own family was proud of the angry little man syndrome on display. Ron Paul even looked like he felt Santorum's pain, as he grimaced when Santorum would go off on Newt.

Looks like it's going to be Newt for me. I've already donated to the campaign because I wanted to give him a chance, but these last 2 debates have got me excited and we'll be donating again this week. I can't vote for or support Romney or Ron Paul ... not in an eon.

29 posted on 01/19/2012 8:57:03 PM PST by JustaDumbBlonde (Don't wish doom on your enemies ... plan it.)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
I'm sorry, you're wrong. That dog DID hunt.

And came up with a big bunch of you-know-what all over its face, and promptly wiped it off on John King's feet!:)

30 posted on 01/19/2012 8:58:27 PM PST by milagro (There is no peace in appeasement.)
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To: CainConservative

Not kinda “old” . 16-18th (thats 2 days of post debate polling, and before the marital infidelity story). Also LV poll which is more accurate.

Again just trying to be informative. Folks tend to be selective on polls.


31 posted on 01/19/2012 8:58:51 PM PST by gswilder
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bttt


32 posted on 01/19/2012 9:00:36 PM PST by Matchett-PI ("One party will generally represent the envied, the other the envious. Guess which ones." ~GagdadBob)
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To: napscoordinator

Ann Coulter, my dear-

You used to enthrall conservatives with your well-directed invectives, but somewhere along the line you lost sight of Middle Earth.

Perhaps you attended a cocktail party too many where we were denigrated; perhaps your ivy-league buds and you agreed once too often that we were asleep.

We are not, and you do not represent us, nor are we enthralled.

You still have to eat, even though you don’t appear to eat much.

We have some freshly prepared crow.


33 posted on 01/19/2012 9:01:43 PM PST by One Name
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To: BCrago66; All

Newtered – The List Grows

newter: verb; The act of figuratively destroying, decimating or completely blowing out of the water; esp. pertaining to journalists exhibiting blatant left-wing bias via the implementation of “gotcha questions”; named for the tactical oratorical skills of Newt Gingrich.

Photos: http://themorningspew.com/2012/01/19/newtered-the-list-grows/


34 posted on 01/19/2012 9:03:14 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Perry 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: gswilder

The Reuters/Ipsos is a piece o’ crap, an Internet poll with self-selected participants. Here’s an examination of that worthless Reuters poll:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/01/15/before-citing-a-poll-read-the-fine-print/

And here’s updated lists of all the SC poll pointing toward a Gingrich win, from Realclearpolitics.com and from the NYTimes pollster blog (I know, it’s the NYTimes, but data is data):

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_presidential_primary-1590.html

http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/fivethirtyeight/primaries/south-carolina

So the question is whether you trust all these polls - half a dozen or more - or one crappy Internet poll that gets support only from its sponsor, Reuters.


35 posted on 01/19/2012 9:03:41 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: gswilder

You wanna look at only Wed and newer polls at this point.

You’ll see why on Saturday, my friend...


36 posted on 01/19/2012 9:04:49 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Perry 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: milagro

You’re right.


37 posted on 01/19/2012 9:05:02 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer ("Climate Change" my a.... All weather is local.)
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To: Steelfish

I like Santorum ok, but I’ve forgotten or didn’t notice what you are referencing. That in itself is an issue.


38 posted on 01/19/2012 9:05:25 PM PST by vmivol00
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To: BCrago66

Oh, it’s an internet poll, too = Totally Worthless


39 posted on 01/19/2012 9:05:45 PM PST by CainConservative (Newt/Perry 2012 with Cain, Huck, Petraeus, Parker, Watts, Duncan, & Bachmann in Newt's Cabinet)
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To: Mmogamer

Santorum is a geek freak. Check out his voting record. I am stunned Mitt and Newt didnt nail him on it. Also, little Ricky talking about dealing with the states like Wisconsin, Pa and etc...hello! he LOST in PA! Ann Coulter reminds me of a transvestite with that massive adams apple...she is a shrill shill for Mitt. Also, wonder if the good folks of SC know Santorum voted to move a nuclear waste dump site to their state...LOL LOL....and on health care? check this out...Spending and Entitlements

Voted to make Medicare part B premium subsidies a new entitlement.
Voted against paying off the debt ($5.6 trillion at the time) within 30 years.
Voted to give $18 billion to the IMF.
Voted to raid Social Security instead of using surpluses to pay down the debt.

Health Care

Voted to allow states to impose health care mandates that are stricter than proposed new Federal mandates, but not weaker.
Voted twice for Federal mental health parity mandates in health insurance.
Voted against allowing consumers the option to purchase a plan outside the parity mandate.


40 posted on 01/19/2012 9:06:33 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: Kansas58

the doggone Paulistas are sure active, aren’t they?


41 posted on 01/19/2012 9:06:56 PM PST by bigbob
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To: Mmogamer

Coulter needs to run back to her boyfriend Mahr to figure out who she should support. She’s a RINO trailer trash bimbo.


42 posted on 01/19/2012 9:08:06 PM PST by vmivol00
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To: CainConservative
Coulter’s getting shriller.. i really wonder what happened to her.
43 posted on 01/19/2012 9:08:21 PM PST by Mmogamer (I refudiate the lamestream media, leftists and their prevaricutions.)
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To: Steelfish

Santorum has a weak chin. And he has a weasel look about him. Like a worried look. I don’t like him all.


44 posted on 01/19/2012 9:08:28 PM PST by ExtremeUnction
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To: bigbob

druggies for Paul? blogging on high SPEED


45 posted on 01/19/2012 9:09:20 PM PST by katiedidit1 ("This is one race of people for whom psychoanalysis is of no use whatsoever." the Irish)
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To: JustaDumbBlonde

He sounded whiny when he was 1 of 8 or so and I could sympathize with that. But he’s still the same Santorum after it’s down to 4 and after it turned out that he really did win Iowa.


46 posted on 01/19/2012 9:09:20 PM PST by ari-freedom
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To: vmivol00

Santorum is the ONLY candidate who will not put off the female voters (a crucial demographic that shows Newt losing in spades) and his blue-collar appeal will peel of blue states into the Republican column. He wins PA and with Rubio as his VP, FL falls into the red column and its all over for Obama. This is about winning the general and is much more than derailing Romney. While Newt dishes out red meat, he is undisciplined and unelectable and un-telegenic and Obama will scald him over his prior support of mandatory health insurance purchase.


47 posted on 01/19/2012 9:10:22 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: wku man

I spelled it phonetically for your sake, because bitching is your substitute for life.


48 posted on 01/19/2012 9:14:12 PM PST by BCrago66
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To: wku man

I like chiwawa, clever.


49 posted on 01/19/2012 9:16:27 PM PST by Toespi
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To: katiedidit1

Check out HillBuzz tonight! http://hillbuzz.org/


50 posted on 01/19/2012 9:17:44 PM PST by Matchett-PI ("One party will generally represent the envied, the other the envious. Guess which ones." ~GagdadBob)
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