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NBC/Marist Poll: Romney Up 15 Over Gingrich In Florida [47% To 26% Women Prefer Romney]
MSNBC ^ | January 29, 2012 | Domenico Montanaro

Posted on 01/29/2012 10:36:59 AM PST by Steelfish

NBC/Marist Poll: Romney Up 15 Over Gingrich In Florida

Domenico Montanaro

Mitt Romney may be on his way to a decisive victory in the Florida GOP primary Tuesday, according to a new NBC/Marist poll.

Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 points, 42 percent to 27 percent in the crucial state. Rick Santorum is third with 16 percent, followed by Ron Paul with 11 percent. Just 4 percent said they were undecided. "The bottom line in all this is Romney's sitting in the driver's seat going into Tuesday," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion at Marist College, who conducted the poll.

If Romney pulls off a victory of that magnitude, he could be on a glide path to the nomination. But there are warning signs for the Republican Party that the primary has taken a toll on Romney and the rest of the GOP field. Each of the candidates struggles in a general-election matchup with President Barack Obama in this swing state, especially with independents.

(CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL POLL.) (CLICK HERE FOR POLL OVERVIEW AND MARGIN OF ERROR.)

How Romney wins: Consolidates supporters, women

Romney beats Gingrich and the rest of the field by winning broadly across many subgroups -- those who are not Tea Party supporters (52 percent), those who are liberal or moderate (49 percent), make more than $75,000 a year (49 percent), identify as "conservative" (47 percent), and, in particular with women.

There was a stark gender gap between Romney and Gingrich. Women said they preferred Romney by 47-26 percent over Gingrich. The gap is closer with men, but Romney leads with them as well, 38-29 percent.

"He's winning both," Miringoff said, "but runs up the score among women."

Romney also does well enough with Tea Party supporters, splitting the vote....

(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.msnbc.msn.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: backstabberromney; romney; teaparty; worstprimaryever
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To: Steelfish

I can’t imagine Newt will quit even if he loses in a landslide. The objective is to go one on one with the bas*ard once SAntorum steps down which he MUST do. Makes no sense for him to stay in the race after Florida.

Secondly, it’s one thing for Palin to say vote for Newt, it’s another thing for her to get off her butt and come down and campaign with him.


51 posted on 01/29/2012 11:43:35 AM PST by nikos1121
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To: Steelfish

Newt is attracting huge crowd and Mitt is scoring high, something is not making sense here ?


52 posted on 01/29/2012 11:46:31 AM PST by jennychase
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53 posted on 01/29/2012 11:48:39 AM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Steelfish
“who knew those chromosomes will play a decisive role in American politics”

One needs look no further that Clinton and Obambi that MANY (not all) Women think no further than the Candidates hairline when they enter the Voting Booth.

Sad but true.

54 posted on 01/29/2012 11:50:15 AM PST by DAC21
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To: COBOL2Java
That cartoon was just too funny! Because it's too true.

“I just live here.” Hahahahahahaha!

I'm thinking of my poor BIL when my sister goes nuclear (and rightly so) on their son.

55 posted on 01/29/2012 11:51:29 AM PST by Chgogal (WSJ, Kristol, Krauthammer, Rove et al., STFU. Thank you.)
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To: Chgogal
47% To 26% Women Prefer Romney

Women can vote?

56 posted on 01/29/2012 11:51:55 AM PST by DNA.2012
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To: WhistlingPastTheGraveyard

Boy, if this isn’t Exhibit A for repeal of the 19th Amendment.


57 posted on 01/29/2012 11:52:36 AM PST by Marathoner (In the 80s we had Reagan, Johnny Cash and Bob Hope. Now we have Obama, no cash and no hope.)
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To: Steelfish

Anybody remember who had “no chance” in the Florida straw poll according to pollsters and talking heads but then smoked the competition? I’m not buying polls.


58 posted on 01/29/2012 11:54:17 AM PST by greatvikingone
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To: Steelfish

Look at the brighter near future. Most of us Baby Boomers will be going away during the next two decades.


59 posted on 01/29/2012 11:55:27 AM PST by familyop (We Baby Boomers are croaking in an avalanche of rotten politics smelled around the planet.)
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To: DNA.2012
{Sigh}

Don't get me started. It is embarrassing that so many women vote white teeth, good hair and youth. It makes me sick to my stomach.

60 posted on 01/29/2012 11:56:21 AM PST by Chgogal (WSJ, Kristol, Krauthammer, Rove et al., STFU. Thank you.)
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To: apocalypto

Gingrich didn’t attack capitalism. Questioning somebody’s business practices, especially after that person has made unfounded and misleading claims on the basis of that business, is perfectly legitimate. You are aware that it was the practices of firms like Romney’s and Warren Buffet’s that led to the huge number of seniors who lost their pensions in things like airlines and other major industries in the 1980’s and early 90’s, right?

Gingrich’s position on illegal immigrants is perfectly conservative and realistic, knowing that we can’t wave a magic wand and we have to develop policies that reflect reality. Romney never even really says what his is, because he knows he would give a general amnesty immediately and then never even deal with the basic issues.

I wouldn’t trust a man who comes from a religion that believes in polygamy (although they were forced to renounce this as a condition of Utah’s becoming a state), whose family fled to Mexico (with his several great grandmothers) to avoid arrest, and who thinks he’s going to get his own planet stocked with willing ladies when he dies. Yuck.

As for Gingrich, the first wife was a lot older than he was, had seduced him with a teenager, and they were estranged (she asked for the divorce but they were on good terms afterwards). His second wife, obviously a rebound, was somebody who made a career out of stalking married men (she was involved with another married man when she latched onto him, probably because she perceived him as more powerful) and they had a legal separation agreement that permitted both of them to date other people at the time that he met his third wife (Callista).


61 posted on 01/29/2012 12:00:45 PM PST by livius
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To: apocalypto

Sorry, I meant “when a teenager” (referring to Gingrich as a teenager). My apologies for any lack of clarity!


62 posted on 01/29/2012 12:02:12 PM PST by livius
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To: NoGrayZone
I’m not remembering correctly, but didn’t the polls also show mittens ahead of Newt in SC as well?

Newt had moved ahead after the debates a couple of days before the primary.

63 posted on 01/29/2012 12:07:26 PM PST by Kazan (Mitt Romney: The greater of two evils)
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To: Steelfish

This isn’t a poll of GOP voters, it’s a poll of registered voters. Not GOP voters, not likely GOP primary voters, just regular voters.

Only 31% of poll respondents planned to vote in the GOP primary.

Only 46% of poll respondents disapproved of Barack Obama’s performance.

The poll is worthless as far as predicting the outcome of the GOP primary in Florida.

MSNBC is at it again.


64 posted on 01/29/2012 12:08:37 PM PST by risen_feenix
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To: impimp

There are so many MR commercials here in South Florida and I dont really see any NG commercials.

Reminds me of mr obama vs McCain, McCain ran hardly any, too busy apologizing for Mr obamas middle name or racist preacher, wife, etc


65 posted on 01/29/2012 12:13:07 PM PST by italianquaker ( Mr Obama inherited an AAA rating and made it AA, thnx Resident Zero)
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To: impimp

There are so many MR commercials here in South Florida and I dont really see any NG commercials.

Reminds me of mr obama vs McCain, McCain ran hardly any, too busy apologizing for Mr obamas middle name or racist preacher, wife, etc


66 posted on 01/29/2012 12:14:54 PM PST by italianquaker ( Mr Obama inherited an AAA rating and made it AA, thnx Resident Zero)
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To: libh8er

Watch it, buster.


67 posted on 01/29/2012 12:17:26 PM PST by VictoryGal (Never give up, never surrender! REMEMBER NEDA)
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To: nolongerademocrat
The taller, leaner, better looking candidate tends to take the day. That is probably the only reason I think that Romney is more likely to beat Obama than Gingrich.

This is so true. There's an old about selling yourself before you can sell anything else, and unfortunately charm and charisma doesn't spring to mind when I think of either one of our candidates.

I love Newt, but his past popularity numbers even among his own party are dismal. Unfortunately Obama has that charm the birds off the trees type of personalities, and that's going to be hard to beat. Also, unless I'm wrong, there are more of "them" than there are of us.

68 posted on 01/29/2012 12:18:52 PM PST by mupcat
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To: KansasGirl

They’re only supposed to seat 50 as a penalty for holding the primary early, but I think last time they ended up letting all 100 sit anyway. You can be sure that this year if those extra 50 are what puts Mitt over-the-top, they’ll flip-flop and accept them.


69 posted on 01/29/2012 12:20:20 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: mupcat

Sorry, that should have been there’s an old adage......


70 posted on 01/29/2012 12:21:29 PM PST by mupcat
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To: Steelfish
Polls mean nothing. Whether they're for your candidate or against him.

Reagan was DOWN 30 points, ACCORDING to POLLS, 2 weeks before his election against Carter in 1979. Reagan won 49 of the 50 States.

KEEP the FAITH !

71 posted on 01/29/2012 12:24:44 PM PST by VideoDoctor
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To: mylife

Sounds very much like liberal spin. These polls are not to be believed at face value. Please don’t discount prayer. I would hope everyone pulling for Newt will spend some time in prayer for his winning on Tuesday.


72 posted on 01/29/2012 12:26:03 PM PST by Maryhere ("HE comes to rule the earth")
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To: Steelfish

Libs want Romney, they know they have to take out Gingrich first. You want the cub, first get rid of the lion.


73 posted on 01/29/2012 12:27:33 PM PST by Lady Lucky (A tea party in name only is worse than no tea party at all.)
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To: impimp

Newt’s already for 0% corporate income tax and 15% flat income tax.

He lost Iowa and New Hampshire and is losing Florida because he did not focus on attacks on Romney’s Bain Capital record. He won South Carolina precisely because he focused on Romney’s Bain Capital record there. Romney’s record at Bain Capital is one of a coldhearted, unethical “buyout baron” and corporate raider who helped bankrupt companies and kill American jobs. It makes him unelectable either in a Republican primary or in the general election. When it’s made the focus of a campaign, he loses. There is no other way to defeat him unless the electorate is heavily stacked with hardcore ideological conservatives. If Romney is allowed to use his business record as a positive, he wins. If his opponents highlight his unseemly business practices, that adds a negative to his resume at the same time it takes away a positive, and he loses.


74 posted on 01/29/2012 12:27:55 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: Free America52

Women support Romney? Interesting, my wife can’t stand him and voted for Newt in pre polling. Something about looking like a snake oil salesman she said.


75 posted on 01/29/2012 12:30:15 PM PST by Mouton (Voting is an opiate of the electorate. Nothing changes no matter who wins..)
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To: entropy12

I’ve heard clips of Rubio’s speeches and couldn’t get through them. It sounded like phony hot air to me, like an Obama speech. Not quite as phony as a Romney speech though. I agree Rubio’s overrated and think he’ll prove himself to be counted by most people in the RINO camp soon enough.


76 posted on 01/29/2012 12:31:37 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: Marathoner

One thing Coulter used to be dead-on right about is when she said the country started going downhill after that, because women consistently support liberalism and socialism. I don’t think any Republican president has ever lost when strictly counting the male vote.


77 posted on 01/29/2012 12:34:49 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: Jim Robinson

And we all know that 50 state plans will not work. Eventually there’d be chaos and so many conflicts with whatever’s remaining of federal obamacare, they’d have to consolidate it under federal auspices.
No different than the states being allowed to issue their own coinage. Didn’t work, can’t work, mustn’t happen.
He’s just...LYING!


78 posted on 01/29/2012 12:34:56 PM PST by Lady Lucky (A tea party in name only is worse than no tea party at all.)
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To: Marathoner

> Boy, if this isn’t Exhibit A for repeal of the 19th Amendment.

Yeah, why don’t you tell Sarah this to her face.

No one can compare with Conservative women for sheer guts and American principles.


79 posted on 01/29/2012 12:36:51 PM PST by VictoryGal (Never give up, never surrender! REMEMBER NEDA)
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To: Jim Robinson

Romney’s first act as president would be to rename obamacare: Articles of Medical Confederation. The result would be as much fun as the original AoC. None!


80 posted on 01/29/2012 12:38:03 PM PST by Lady Lucky (A tea party in name only is worse than no tea party at all.)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Stupid women. Vote for the pretty face.


81 posted on 01/29/2012 12:38:17 PM PST by Roklok
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To: mupcat

Winning presidential elections is not about looks. If looks were all that mattered, Dan Quayle would’ve run for president at some point. In fact, they picked him as V.P. because they thought his looks would appeal to women voters, and they did not get the results they desired. The personal qualities that tend to win elections are strength, toughness, masculinity, alpha male qualities. Gingrich has more of those than the metrosexual Obama.

Primary elections are different. Ideology and the perception of who can beat Obama are key factors (however misperceived it might be, because most people are not professional political analysts and have no real idea). Hence, whoever has the “best week” is winning these primaries. So far, effective negative ads and effective debate performances have been the driving forces in who is winning these primaries. Romney is very good at lying and doing dishonest ads, but the media will absolutely tear him to shreds if he does that against Obama.


82 posted on 01/29/2012 12:43:22 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: NoGrayZone

Perhaps I’m not remembering correctly, but didn’t the polls also show mittens ahead of Newt in SC as well?

***

Uhh, can’t you see there’s a Defcon 2 magnitude pity party going on??

Whatever happened that Newt won SC, needs to happen again ...


83 posted on 01/29/2012 12:48:14 PM PST by ROTB (Christian sin breeds enemies for the USA. If you're a Christian, stop sinning, and spread the Word..)
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To: VictoryGal

The problem is there are very, very few conservative women. We’d love if the majority of the gender was in the Margaret Thatcher/Sarah Palin mold, but that isn’t reality. And college-educated women consistently come out having changed their views to leftist ones (if they weren’t already left), because the colleges convince everyone who isn’t a white heterosexual male that they are victims of white heterosexual males.


84 posted on 01/29/2012 12:48:14 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: JediJones

This Floridian thinks Rubio is overrated as well.


85 posted on 01/29/2012 12:51:30 PM PST by LuvFreeRepublic ( (#withNewt))
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To: ROTB

I was asking a question....no need to be snarky to me. I just remember Newt being ahead of mittens early on, then all of a sudden mittens was in lead.

We’re all pissy, just please don’t take it out on me when I was merely asking a question.


86 posted on 01/29/2012 12:53:04 PM PST by NoGrayZone (Jim "Firebrand" Robinson endorses Newt...with EPIC call to action!!)
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To: JediJones

Guess I was raised right. My Dad fought in WWII and I got my strong American values from him. My Mom, though an angel and the dearest person ever, easily fell prey to liberalist arguments only to regret her lapses afterward. I learned from both the rightness and importance for consistent conservatism.

I think women who were raised by weak fathers don’t have the advantage I did.


87 posted on 01/29/2012 1:00:37 PM PST by VictoryGal (Never give up, never surrender! REMEMBER NEDA)
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To: Steelfish

Bull——


88 posted on 01/29/2012 1:03:54 PM PST by FreedomFighter1013 (Obama: The Man, the Myth, the Marxist)
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To: impimp
I prefer Newt to Romney but Newt's attacks on capitalism and attacks on Bain moved many in the GOP base to Romney. Newt stepped in it and the anti-capitalist fringe that includes some Freepers encouraged him to double down. It was pure ignorance.

I completely doubt your sincerity.

Anyone, who knows the records of both Newt and Myth, and knows how much Myth lies and changes his positions regularly, and also knows the progressive record of Mitt as Governor and then zero in on one issue with Newt is lying.
89 posted on 01/29/2012 1:08:25 PM PST by SoConPubbie
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To: nolongerademocrat

” That is a problem we have had for many years. The truth is that Romney is a handsome man, and many people vote for that characteristic. The taller, leaner, better looking candidate tends to take the day. That is probably the only reason I think that Romney is more likely to beat Obama than Gingrich. “

This is basically what I said a month ago here on FR , and was chastised and called names by fellow Freepers for saying it . Hope you don’t experience the same backlash .


90 posted on 01/29/2012 1:44:08 PM PST by sushiman
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To: VictoryGal
No one can compare with Conservative women for sheer guts and American principles.

That may well be true, I know there are exceptions, but taken as a whole the numbers don't lie. Just go back and look at the title.

91 posted on 01/29/2012 2:24:30 PM PST by Marathoner (In the 80s we had Reagan, Johnny Cash and Bob Hope. Now we have Obama, no cash and no hope.)
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Click

House Minority Whip Gingrich and 7th District congressional candidate
Brenda Fitzgerald throw mock tea crates into the Chattahoochee River on
April 15, 1994, as part of a "Taxpayer's Tea party" in Roswell, Georgia.
GO NEWT!
GO FREE REPUBLIC!!!

92 posted on 01/29/2012 2:41:49 PM PST by RedMDer (Forward With Confidence!)
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To: JediJones

“Newt’s already for 0% corporate income tax and 15% flat income tax.

He lost Iowa and New Hampshire and is losing Florida because he did not focus on attacks on Romney’s Bain Capital record. He won South Carolina precisely because he focused on Romney’s Bain Capital record there. Romney’s record at Bain Capital is one of a coldhearted, unethical “buyout baron” and corporate raider who helped bankrupt companies and kill American jobs. It makes him unelectable either in a Republican primary or in the general election. When it’s made the focus of a campaign, he loses. There is no other way to defeat him unless the electorate is heavily stacked with hardcore ideological conservatives. If Romney is allowed to use his business record as a positive, he wins. If his opponents highlight his unseemly business practices, that adds a negative to his resume at the same time it takes away a positive, and he loses.”

Your post has some truths and some things I disagree with. Newt’s policies are better for business and he does want lower taxes. But his rhetoric painted him as a Stalinist Commie. And created the illusion Romney was more in favor of capitalism.

The issue is if you attack Bain you move the Republican party to the left. You help to destroy conservatism. Attack Romneycare. Attack his pro-choice past. Attack his flip flops. Do not touch Bain. The more wise people say, “Do not touch Bain!”, the more it seems some people are drawn to attack it - reminds me of Lord of the Rings.


93 posted on 01/29/2012 3:11:50 PM PST by impimp
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To: NoGrayZone
"Perhaps I’m not remembering correctly, but didn’t the polls also show mittens ahead of Newt in SC as well?"

Mid-month, but by four days out, they looked a lot like the current FLA polls in reverse. The RCP average was +5 Gingrich; PPP was closest at +10 to the final results of +12.6. PPP currently has Mittens in FLA at +8.

94 posted on 01/29/2012 3:28:33 PM PST by StAnDeliver (=)
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To: risen_feenix

Good analysis.


95 posted on 01/29/2012 4:08:00 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
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To: NoGrayZone

I was asking a question....no need to be snarky to me. I just remember Newt being ahead of mittens early on, then all of a sudden mittens was in lead.

We’re all pissy, just please don’t take it out on me when I was merely asking a question.

***

I had to google “snarky” to find out what it means, and according to http://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=snarky and the definition starts out by saying, “
A word that should be googled to find the definition as per direction from Dane Cook.”

Anyways, once you got to the words “Defcon 2” in describing the mood on this message board, you should have known I was being silly.

For the confusion I caused in you, I apologize. I have been trying to lay down and give up being sarcastic, and jokiing, and foolishness. It does not lift anyone up, and it is unbecoming.

I apologize.


96 posted on 01/29/2012 4:27:04 PM PST by ROTB (Christian sin breeds enemies for the USA. If you're a Christian, stop sinning, and spread the Word..)
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To: impimp

Attacking Bain’s business practices is not “attacking capitalism” any more than attacking Planned Parenthood for profiting off abortion is “attacking capitalism.” Mark Levin himself has said on the air that Romney is more of a corporatist than a capitalist. If you want to know the facts about Romney’s record at Bain, start with the below links.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2839325/posts

http://www.realchange.org/romney.htm#predatory

http://www.realchange.org/romney.htm#money

http://www.buyoutofamerica.com/


97 posted on 01/29/2012 4:35:39 PM PST by JediJones (Newt-er Romney in 2012!)
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To: JediJones

What I’d like to know is ...where are all the women who are supposedly out of work in Florida? Foreclosed on? Struggling through tough times?

Do they REALLY feel Romeny is the one to save them? Are they REALLY just voting on looks when their lives are supposedly so bad off?

I don’t get how people can think this way.

However, I just have some inner hunch that Newt is NOT going to do all that badly in Florida. I think the media is lying, and I think he’s going to stay in, no matter what. I just feel it in my gut that he could even win. Maybe I’m wrong ...I just don’t trust the media at this point or the polls. I think the Romney campaign has just paid everyone off to say ANYTHING.


98 posted on 01/29/2012 4:44:44 PM PST by LibsRJerks
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To: Steelfish
But I thought the Jews hate Mormons. So why are Jewish Seniors flocking to Romney? Or do they see him as the the lesser of two evils? The Jewish vote in FL accounts for 6% of the population.
    Three Reasons
  1. Romney is the least conservative.
  2. Romney is the least Christian.
  3. Romney is the least Republican.

Bonus Reason
Romney is the good grandson.

99 posted on 01/29/2012 5:07:24 PM PST by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began,)
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To: Steelfish

Don’t believe it. Go Newt Go !


100 posted on 01/29/2012 5:11:59 PM PST by Carry me back
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