Skip to comments.Early, absentee voting rises in Florida's GOP primary, making Tuesday less important?
Posted on 01/30/2012 5:56:09 PM PST by varina davis
More than 600,000 Republicans have already turned in their ballots for Tuesdays Florida primary.
By Troy Kinsey , Capitol Reporter Last Updated: Monday, January 30, 2012
More than 600,000 Republicans have already turned in their ballots for Tuesdays Florida primary.
That's around 100,000 more early and absentee votes compared to four years ago, meaning the vote Tuesday may not matter nearly as much.
Absentee voting began nearly a month ago. Early voting kicked off more than a week ago.
The Republican Party of Florida's Brian Hughes says between 30 and 40 percent of the primary vote is already in.
"The campaigns have been aggressive in targeting these early voters and they really have to, because when you have 600,000-plus voters already voting before Election Day, if you haven't paid attention to them, you're going to lose a huge block of votes," Hughes said.
GOP strategist Pete Dunbar doesn't buy that theory.
"Both candidates, or actually, the two major candidates, have had sufficient resources," Dunbar said. "I just think Speaker Gingrich may have been late deploying his."
In the end, no matter who trails in the early vote, the candidates still have a chance to catch up Tuesday, when around a million Republicans are expected to flood the polls.
That estimate is based on turnout in 2008, when many people who otherwise wouldn't have voted showed up to weigh in on a property tax cut on that year's ballot.
Just a hunch, but I suspect Newt has a lot more early votes than folks expect and that might be a reason that Romney is dirty dancing all over Newt’s race in Florida.
Stop the early voting. I don’t think you can guarantee that these votes are getting counted.
Absentee ballots are huge for voter fraud. Hope not but the increase in absentee ballots is scary.
I hope your hunch is right. I’m getting depressed listening to Fox tonight. Trying to hang on to hear Newt and Sarah on Hannity before changing the channel . . . about to hit the mute button until then.
I figure, a bunch of snowbirds in FL . . . and hope the results in SC are more reflective of how the people feel right now about candidates and this race.
Not good for Gingrich. I guess we will see what happens. There was a time in early voting when Gingrich was way ahead though, so that may help him as well.
But, I am thinking Gingrich loses tomorrow. The other polls don’t show him surging like the one posted yesterday, so I think it’s over for Florida. We will have to look ahead to later after a sure loss in NV and likely other northern states.
Why would you say that? In Texas those votes are counted first. In fact they are counted the Sunday before election day, and the results are kept under wraps. They are then released promptly just after poll closing time.
Let now your heart be troubled ;-)
Newt will be in the race regardless, yes it’s 29 votes but it takes over 1100 to win the nomination. It ain’t over til it’s over and my fervent hope is that Newt does well, and Yr. Humble Correspondent has to eat his bold and fresh predictions.
I have been wanting to post "Do you believe in Miracles!" aka the 1980 Hockey Team, it could happen...
I thought it was 50?
There are many of us Florida conservatives - myself included - who are registered Democrats. Why? To screw them up when they put a wacko up for elected office. Soooo, just because Romney may win doesn’t mean that Newt does not have lots of support in the state.
Do you get to vote in the Republican Primaries?
In a primary this important, you should have switched back.
I think people began voting for Newt right after the S.C. primary, by absentee and in person at the polls that opened for early voting over a week ago.
In TN the names of the people who voted early are published in their local newspaper the Sunday before Election Day...
I’m really hoping that the SC win was at the right time for a Newt bump in the absentees.
Report earlier this week says that Newt has connected more to modern technology....Poll today has those under forty going Newts way.
It occured to me that many people under forty do not have land lines. They use their cell phones. Polls are conducted over land lines. Think that may have happened in SC too. That’s why polls were so off.
That why I’m calling it for Newt 24 hours early.
Take that MSM
From one Hoosier mama to another — I’m with you!
>> In a primary this important, you should have switched back.
Agreed, but I’m stuck out of state.
no I;m here.
Paul and Romney right after NH went after absentee.
Now we have a closed primary and photo ID so how is the best way to get round all of that, yep absentee.
Romney with his elitist north east pals using vacation addresses down here and the vote down here and up there back in their state and maybe NH.
Romney looked at absentee here and no other state now does that not make it , mmmmmmmmmmmmmm
in 2008 McCain won our state 53% to 47%
early voting changed that and obama got so many vote early vote often that he got my state and trust me there was no way he did fairly and even the GA media found over 100,000 votes were frauds from just two states, GA, OH.
put in the illegals, snowbirds who use vacation addresses then he did not win our state
STOP EARLY VOTING
because here in this state, we have so much fraud from the left voting early and often.
have one day and get people off their bums and vote that day
no more fraud
I;’m here and know many who voted for Newt right after SC
HUH, you are a Dem but conservative in our state,. why the hell would you do that and not be able to vote in our primary?
Not only that but we need to show there are more republicans here than Dems.
Sorry but this is my state and it doesn’t make sense what you’re doing
we do not have landlines at my house and never get polled and know a hell of a lot like me.
you could have done absentee
Bummer. The rest of us get to have all the fun!
why is early voting necessary? you either vote absentee OR you vote on election day. period. so many people in this country, including,sadly, some on the right, have every excuse possible for not having the time to vote on election day.
That’s particularly true in the Democrat controled Southern counties; but.........I’ve noted that the Democrat party operatives are more and more attacking early voting, particularly in the Yankee and Left Coast states where they’re advocating a “one election day” system. But, personally, I think thats because they believe they can use their racist thugs to intimidate non-Democrat voters into staying home.
I’m not sure how much difference this will make since early voters tend to be people whose minds are firmly made up, whatever side they’re on or whatever candidate they’re for.
Well......the early, absentee voting is in the recored books, but......the election day primary voting is just underway!!! Simple: Republican Florida voters, get out and vote today. Your country’s future rests in your hands.
Shucks, I’d like for you to cast your vote for Newt Gingrich, but....who you vote for is strictly your choice!!! Main thing, is to get out and vote!!!
A massive voter turnout in this primary and others will send the clearest of signals to the Obamabots, that, we the people, will be turning out in overwhelming numbers come November, 2012 to massively defeat, Barack Husseon Obama and his Democrat Party ilk!!!
Without the Democrats involved, who’s doing the voter fraud?
Early voting in TX is not the same as absentee voting. Early voting is done in person at any one of several locations in the county where one is registered. The counties have a centralized database that is accessed at all the early voting locations. Immediately, when someone votes in one location, that name is marked as voted in the central database and can't be voted again.
Asentee voting is done by mail on scannable paper ballots that can be tabulated either by machine or by hand. They are only made available to people who won't be in the county or are over the age of 65. If a voter is not over the age of 65, the ballot must be mailed or sent by a common carrier from another country, state, or county or it won't be counted.
Early voting laws in Texas were created, because there were lots of people who couldn't legally vote absentee but couldn't guarantee that they would be in their county of residence on election day to vote. At the time there were lots of people employed in the oil and gas industry around the state who have irregular work schedules and often have no idea where they will be on election day or even holidays. It's 24/7/365 industry. Lots of people in the oil and gas industry like my father were voting absentee even though they might be home on election day just because they couldn't plan on being home on election day. The early voting legislation legalized what had already become a practice.
I vote early, because in recent elections I have either been an election clerk, poll watcher, or election judge at a different precinct than the one at which I vote.
Romney is every bit as bad as a Democrat. I wouldn’t put anything past him.
thanks for your explanation, but I will stand firm in my own opinion that it’s not necessary. Just my opionion, but we as a country use any excuse possible why we can’t vote on election day. Absentee ballots can be used by anyone who thinks they won’t be available to vote on election day.
You are incorrect about Texas law. Prior to the creation of early voting in the 1980's the law said a person had swear that he or she would be out of town on election day to vote absentee.
Texas also has a new photo ID law, that hopefully the courts will uphold against Eric Holder's "Justice" department interference. That will make it much more difficult to conduct fraud by getting people to vote using other people's identities either on election day or during early voting.
A large number of my friends line up on the first day of early voting. I knew one man who was over 90 when he died about a year ago, who made sure he voted on the first day, because at his age he was never sure if he would be alive on election day. I usually go a day or two later so I don't have to be in a line.
Local Republican strategists are very keen on getting out Republicans during early voting, especially since early votes get tabulated on Sunday before the election and get reported to the Texas Secretary of State immediately after polls close on election day. It allows our candidates to start out with a lead in the election returns reported by the media.