>> As the rampant speculations that Israel will soon launch a military strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities continue &etc
This breathless Israeli attack speculation has “continued” for, oh, only about five freaking years now.
I’m hoping it materializes someday, but I’ll believe it when I see it.
Why wouldn’t Israel use its submarines ?
God Bless Israel and her allies, in the fight with any country that threatens Israel
One thing for sure, Iran will not try to “defeat” anybody on the battlefield, sea or air. They’ll try but will succumb very quickly.
Primarily, they will retaliate by bombarding the oilfields and oil industry from Iraq to Bahrain. Theyll use mainly short-range surface-to-surface missiles and put the Gulf’s western seaboard on fire for months to come.
Even if Israel attacks alone, our cowardly President won’t apologize fast enough to stop Iran from attacking US assets and the Arab countries who allowed Israeli planes safe passage and/or air bases.
This is the most publicized “secret” attack since Attila the Hun made early restaurant reservations in Rome for 50,000.
Watch for Chicom or South Korean diplomatic personnel quietly urging the departure of business people from Teheran holding their respective citizenships and passports. Very quietly but rumors will leak. Then “show time” should not be that far off. When the final ‘essentials’ from their embassies padlock things and redploy to say Gulf nations or India or what not, it will be the Eve of the Main Event.
This is what an Israeli attack on Iran will look like:
(1) The Israelis will do their thing while Obama dithers and dithers and dithers in order to remain sitting on the fence.
(2) While the Israelis. God help them (and us) hopefully prevent a complete meltdown of the entire Middle East, Obama will continue dithering.
(3) IF the Israelis are successful and the Middle East still exists, Obama will send in Seal Team 6 and claim a victorious victory, just in time for the November election.
(4) At some point, if Seal Team 6 still exists, Obama will list them by name in order to place them in the most dangerous position possible to appease his base. He may even charge them with war crimes.
I hope it looks like this.
And then this.
And in 10,000 years, this...
Will they get in and out and hit targets, yes.
However, distance from Israel, political pressures (no protracted campaign), a moderately capable Iranian IADS, the hardening of Iranian sites and their dispersion, limited Israeli mass, types of platforms, ordinance, guidance capabilities available, as well as intell will make such an attack limited in its effectiveness.
It will be more symbolic, a gesture that shows “action” than actually effective in derailing anything.
They forgot the part where Benjamin Netanyahu calls Obama who is in the middle of a round of golf, to tell him that they got the job done, and thanks for your help, Not.
A glazen, oil filled desert.
If Israel attacks Iran, there are several universal considerations it must make.
1) To put all Israeli and Jewish activities around the world on alert that they may be attacked by Iranians and their proxies. This is already happening, as Iran has stated its intentions to make such attacks.
2) If at all possible, be aware of and neutralize, if possible even enable an ineffective attack clearly from Iran, to establish in international law that Iran is the aggressor, who has started an aggressive war, and Israel is engaged in self defense when it attacks Iran.
3) Timetable how the war will happen very carefully from the Israeli side, including countless contingencies. Likewise, plan on how to disrupt the Iranian war timetable.
This is to get them to use insufficient forces before they are ready, and to commit forces where they will achieve no good.
4) Plan extensive non-linear unconventional attacks, such as sabotage, espionage, propaganda, counterintelligence, assassinations, and support for Iranian anti-government organizations.
5) Extensive diplomatic preparations for overt and covert alliances among those also opposed to Iran. Hiring of mercenaries for special purpose activities.
I don’t think they will attack. Isreal can’t risk starting a theater wide war with a US pesident like Obama. They can’t hit Iran without a stop on the way, and no one will allow them to.
alt answer: decapitation ???