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Santorum moves ahead in Michigan (Santorum 39, Romney 24, Paul 12, Gingrich 11)
Public Policy Polling ^ | 2/13/12 | staff

Posted on 02/13/2012 8:12:57 AM PST by TexasFreeper2009

Rick Santorum's taken a large lead in Michigan's upcoming Republican primary. He's at 39% to 24% for Mitt Romney, 12% for Ron Paul, and 11% for Newt Gingrich.

Santorum's rise is attributable to two major factors: his own personal popularity (a stellar 67/23 favorability) and GOP voters increasingly souring on Gingrich. Santorum's becoming something closer and closer to a consensus conservative candidate as Gingrich bleeds support.

Santorum's winning an outright majority of the Tea Party vote with 53% to 22% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich. He comes close to one with Evangelicals as well at 48% to 20% for Romney and 12% for Gingrich. And he cracks the 50% line with voters identifying as 'very conservative' at 51% to 20% for Romney and 10% for Gingrich.

Santorum's benefiting from the open nature of Michigan's primary as well. He's only up by 12 points with actual Republican voters, but he has a 40-21 advantage with the Democrats and independents planning to vote that pushes his overall lead up to 15 points. Santorum is winning by a healthy margin in every region of the state except for Oakland County, where Romney has a 40-26 advantage, and the area around Lansing where Paul actually has an advantage at 30% to 27% for both Romney and Santorum.

(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; backstabberromney; biggestloserhistory; biggovt; bigspender; dcinsider; earmarks; gingrich; lostby30pointsinpa; mi2012; michigan; mitt4romney; openbordersrick; openprimary; poll; ppp; ppppoll; proillegals; protaxes; prounion; romney; romney4bigdig; romney4romney; romneyantiteaparty; santorum; santorum4romney; unionbiasedtaxagenda
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To: chrisnj

It says the blue collar socially consrvative Reagan Democrats are on board.


81 posted on 02/13/2012 9:12:47 AM PST by rwilson99 (Please tell me how the words "shall not perish and have everlasting life" would NOT apply to Mary.)
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To: dt57
I am saddened to think women will choose on the basis of looks and their precieved view of someone’s heart.

What planet have you been living on? This has been the case since the Nixon/Kennedy showdown.

Women are the backbone of the election this November, and if a wholesome, family-based man is on the Republican ticket, then they will support him.

Gingrich's baggage with bad marriages will NOT get him the support that a family man can get from women voters.

82 posted on 02/13/2012 9:12:58 AM PST by Prole (Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them)
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To: TexasFreeper2009

[ He’s only up by 12 points with actual Republican voters, but he has a 40-21 advantage with the Democrats and independents planning to vote that pushes his overall lead up to 15 points. ]

Not sure what to make of this.


83 posted on 02/13/2012 9:13:05 AM PST by KansasGirl
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
I have a great sense of humor.

Actually, it's because my sense of humor is so well-developed, that I find yours so disturbing.

But if it makes you feel better, keep thinking you're funny. And we'll all keep laughing..... at you........

84 posted on 02/13/2012 9:13:39 AM PST by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: Art in Idaho

Sorry, Newt has been his own worst enemy... I really, really liked him up until he bought into global warming, and began pushing, along with democrats, the crap and trade bs... then to see him setting on a couch with that whacked out Nancy Pelosi and THE REV. AL Sharpton, just made my head explode. But I decided I would come back to him during the primaries and give him a chance, he has failed. He has shown himself to be petty and undisciplined, not to mention narcissistic, which is probably why he’s been divorced more than once.


85 posted on 02/13/2012 9:13:55 AM PST by dps.inspect (the system is rigged...)
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To: TexasFreeper2009; cripplecreek; grellis

:: and the area around Lansing where Paul actually has an advantage at 30% to 27% for both Romney and Santorum. ::

Bwahahahaha! The MSU yute vote. Red Cedar Days would be a Paulinista’s dream.

Probably polls well in Washtenaw County, too. Hash Bash Paulbots.


86 posted on 02/13/2012 9:14:58 AM PST by Cletus.D.Yokel (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Alterations - The acronym explains the science.)
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To: ohioWfan

likely a college kid...


87 posted on 02/13/2012 9:15:43 AM PST by dps.inspect (the system is rigged...)
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To: Strategerist
[A steady drumbeat of scare ads about social conservatism will eliminate his moderate and independent support, and destroy Santorum in a general election.]

Not only that, but the numbers just cannot add up for Santorum. He had almost no money, organization OR popularity until the Primaries already started.

It's beyond too late to gather all of that together, this late in the election. There are too many key states in which he is not even on the ballot in.

And all of this latest “surge” is based on 3 sudden insignificant early states that don't matter in the count until the convention.

But the Lemming stampede is determined which cliff they want to run off of for the moment. That much is crystal clear.

88 posted on 02/13/2012 9:15:51 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
I have a great sense of humor.

Actually, it's because my sense of humor is so well-developed, that I find yours so disturbing.

But if it makes you feel better, keep thinking you're funny. And we'll all keep laughing..... at you........

89 posted on 02/13/2012 9:16:01 AM PST by ohioWfan (Proud Mom of a Bronze Star recipient!)
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To: dt57
Makes me wonder if they should vote at all.

Wow. Slamming women's suffrage. Are you for real?

90 posted on 02/13/2012 9:16:41 AM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: rwfromkansas

I would like to see Newt debate Obama, but after his Florida debates that desire diminished greatly. especially when he said he didn’t do well because he was shocked that Romney would like about what Newt was claiming. WTH does he think Obama is going to do in a debate? It will be all lies and Newt admits that he can’t handle an opponent that is not intellectually honest. So I’m not sure he would win either.


91 posted on 02/13/2012 9:18:06 AM PST by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
I agree. I was going for Newt earlier...but it was reluctant and it was more of an anti-Romney vote....not because Newt is some stellar conservative. He sat on the couch with Nancy...and I will never understand how people on this forum can forget that.

Anyway...I am STILL in an anti-Romney mood...and always WILL be. It is clear that as we near super Tuesday...Newt needs to go. He had his chance and he blew it. Rick lasted longer than him and he needs to bow out. If it doesn't...he takes away from Rick and slits the vote. All those who were calling for Rick to do the same thing should have some intellectual integrity and see that the worm has turned.

92 posted on 02/13/2012 9:18:20 AM PST by NELSON111
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To: Cletus.D.Yokel

MSU is relatively conservative compared to UofM. I live about equidistant from Lansing, Ann Arbor, and Hillsdale.


93 posted on 02/13/2012 9:19:14 AM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Prole
Newt is the only one who has a plan that will work to turn our economy around. I don't care about his baggage and I don't care about St. Santorum’s halo. I care about what kind of future my kids are going to have.

Santorum, like Romney, is a big spending, big government liberal, but what the heck, he never sat on a couch with Pelosi................UGH! OBTW, St. Rick's views on social issues, once known, won't fly with most Republicans must less independents.

94 posted on 02/13/2012 9:19:23 AM PST by LuvFreeRepublic ( (#withNewt))
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To: Strategerist

:: the “debates will magically save everything” and wishful thinking ::

I’m more and more convinced that Obamugabe will simply not debate the Republican challenger, no matter who it is.


95 posted on 02/13/2012 9:19:47 AM PST by Cletus.D.Yokel (Catastrophic Anthropogenic Climate Alterations - The acronym explains the science.)
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To: HMS Surprise
"Santorum is the lesser of evils. Palin would have been ideal, and probably the only conservative in the field at this point if she would have run.

Two Words - Brokered Convention.

Palin is letting the nominees self-destruct, throwing enough hints about supporting Gingrich to keep Romney from locking in the nomination. The HBO hit piece movie (Game Change) was probably timed to sink her nomination; with her not running it will draw a yawn from the media and be old news by the convention. Then she will step forward and be the only candidate not damaged by the nomination fight.

About time for the media attack machine to start on Santorum - if we are lucky they will try to make hay of his daughter's health as a reason he can't concentrate on the Presidency. That might backfire ....

96 posted on 02/13/2012 9:21:00 AM PST by In Maryland ("Truth? We don't need no stinkin' truth!" - Official Motto of the Main Stream Media)
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To: dt57
I am saddened to think women will choose on the basis of looks and their precieved view of someone’s heart.

What do looks have to do with anything? What a sexist thing to say. I don't like Gingrich because Gingrich IS Washington. I don't like Gingrich because of his ties to FM/FM. I don't like Gingrich because I don't trust him, no more than I would trust ANY serial philanderer.

97 posted on 02/13/2012 9:21:39 AM PST by grellis (I am Jill's overwhelming sense of disgust.)
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To: TexasFreeper2009; All
I had an interesting conversation with a non politico type here in Michigan Saturday, a construction foreman type, commerical real-estate. May have been an Obama voter.

He was asking me what I thought about the candidates.

He was stunned when I told him about "H3" and why Newt wants to go to the Moon, and he was Flummoxed why the media didn't tell him the truth ( hang with me here...)

He then says what do I think about this Santorum guy as he mispronounced his name.

I said ya I like him and told him a bit about him.

But his answer was the money something to this effect; "This Romney guy come across phony like a takeover guy, This Rick seems Blue Collar"

Ding, ding, ding we have a winner...

I have been saying for a few weeks, Rick could get the support of the "Macomb County Democrats" ergo the Reagan Democrats of which many were Catholic.

If so like I predicted, Michigan could become ground Zero for Zero....

98 posted on 02/13/2012 9:21:47 AM PST by taildragger (( Palin / Mulally 2012 ))
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To: dps.inspect
“likely a college kid...”

Apparently n00b, you don't have the courage or the courtesy, that when you stab another forum member in the back, you at least include their name in the post.

And calling me a “College kid”? ROFLMAO! Oh, I went to College alright, I am a Petroleum Drilling Engineer, who was last in College, on the GI Bill over 35 years ago.

60 years of living and near dying experiences, has taught me that beyond all doubt, cowards like you are a dime a dozen and especially love to shoot from behind the cover of their keyboards.

99 posted on 02/13/2012 9:23:35 AM PST by PSYCHO-FREEP (If you come to a fork in the road, take it........)
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To: magslinger

Do you have a backup MI ping list? MY pc crashed over the weekend, still in the process of moving docs from the dead to the living.


100 posted on 02/13/2012 9:23:46 AM PST by grellis (I am Jill's overwhelming sense of disgust.)
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