Posted on 02/24/2012 7:35:14 AM PST by gandalftb
U.S. intelligence agencies don't believe Iran is actively trying to build an atomic bomb.
A highly classified U.S. intelligence assessment circulated to policymakers early last year largely affirms that view, originally made in 2007. Both reports, known as national intelligence estimates, conclude that Tehran halted efforts to develop and build a nuclear warhead in 2003.
The most recent report, which represents the consensus of 16 U.S. intelligence agencies, indicates that Iran is pursuing research that could put it in a position to build a weapon, but that it has not sought to do so.
Senior U.S. officials say Israel does not dispute the basic intelligence or analysis.
It is not known precisely what other technical hurdles Iran would have to overcome, but Albright and many other experts believe that if it decides to proceed, the country has the scientific knowledge to design and build a crude working bomb in as little as a year. It would take as long as three years, Albright estimated, for Iran to build a warhead small enough to fit on a ballistic missile.
Albright said a push by Iran to build a nuclear weapon probably would be detected.
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
Why would Iran bury their facilities hundreds of feet underground if they were just refining to 20%?
They are working on a bomb. Delivery could be as simple as a container ship.
Or give it to a terrorist group kookier than themselves. (if that’s possible)
As far as their concern about retaliation, it’s their ride to heaven. They are looking forward to it.
My concern re: Pakistan is not that the country’s nominal leadership would allow sale or transfer of WMD’s to Iran, but that the leadership is itself very tenuous. By accounts I have read, their ISI is closely allied with Islamic radicals throughout the region, to the extent of quite possibly being responsible for Bin Laden’s extended protection. Israeli intel assets are certainly in-country, but they must deal with very untrustworthy people whose allegiances can change quickly.
I think you missed my meaning. Why would Israel communicate to Barry’s intelligence services that they disagree with their analysis and/or info? The Israelis have many reasons not to trust that Barry’s intelligence services would keep their confidences.
Perhaps you missed the part where Iran places no value on survival?
12th Imam?
40 years ago I had completed Nuke Weapons school and was in my first assignment.
I’m still in the defense biz and don’t need much public info to make my assessments.
In my prior life folks would bring briefings to us that had a little box and describe it as where intelligence "fusion" occurred. But when you ask them to describe what exactly this "fusion" was the result was some exceptional tap dancing. Fusion is one of those amorphous terms is often used and seldom defined.
Good points, particularly about a ship delivered nuke. I have always thought they could get one within Tel Aviv.
A crude device is very heavy to transport and they don’t have the “reflectors” to get enough blast yield for a portable nuke.
No problem on a ship.
If you Google “iran explosive lens” there are some articles that discuss research on developing explosive lens for an implosion bomb. Maybe they should be taken with a grain of salt but maybe not.
A Look at Iran
http://www.truthusa.com/IRAN.html
Why even try to drag them into the light? Just send them some enlightenment. One missile at a time:
“If the radiance of a thousand suns
Were to burst at once into the sky,
That would be like the splendor of the Mighty One...
I am become Death,
The shatterer of Worlds”
Has it dawned on anyone that all of the oil that Iran is selling is going for about forty dollars a barrel more than it was a year ago?
All they need to do is meet with us every few months, pretend to be good, and then start all over again.
Our economy goes to crap, while they bring in tons of hard currency.
So, who is the fool?
Has it dawned on anyone that all of the oil that Iran is selling is going for about forty dollars a barrel more than it was a year ago?
All they need to do is meet with us every few months, pretend to be good, and then start all over again.
Our economy goes to crap, while they bring in tons of hard currency.
So, who is the fool?
Note: This is NOT classified information.
#
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2847197/posts?page=19#19
#
“Formerly secret telexes offer window into Iran’s nuclear deceit”
http://forum.internet-haganah.com/showthread.php?637
(February 23, 2012)
Report:
http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/PHRC_report_23February2012.pdf
Telexes:
http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/Telex_Appendix-1.pdf
SNIPPET from gandalftb. “Why is Iran building rockets that can fly thousands of miles? They say the rockets are for satellites. Same rocket can carry a nuke. It only matters where you point them. Dual use.”
~
Thank you for the ping gandalftb.
The Israeli’s keep their intel very close to the vest, you’re right about that. When they disagree they are noisy about it, they are pros at shaping the psychological battlefield.
Thanks for the ISIS pings, wasn’t aware of that intel.
Twelfth Imam bump
You’re welcome gandalftb.
There can be miracles,
When you believe...
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