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Does Romney really have a lead over Santorum in Michigan? (Short answer: No)
02/25/2012 | Brices Crossroads

Posted on 02/25/2012 9:27:36 AM PST by Brices Crossroads

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To: CharlesWayneCT

Wow, that was quick and quiet, I saw him on another thread, he did seem frustrated.


41 posted on 02/25/2012 1:15:00 PM PST by ansel12 (Romney is unquestionably the weakest party front-runner in contemporary political history.)
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To: murron

Negative campaigning doesn’t always work and sometimes when you overuse it it blows up in our face. It usually works best the first time you use it, which is why ROmney was able to clobber Gingrich with it effectively in Iowa. Then Romney used it again in FLA. He won, but turnout was way down. He has only won one caucus since Florida, Nevada, which is so Mormon rich, it really is no bellweather at all. Meanwhile, he has lost a real bellweather-—Missouri— by 30 points, along with crushing defeats in MN and CO, where late polls showed him winning by double digits.

Mitt always overpolls. Mitt does more poorly in open primary states where the GOP-E has less control. Michigan is an open primary state. Mitt is going to lose it. Mark my words.

The latest ARG poll, which came out Thursday, has Romney behind in Michigan 38-34.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/mi/


42 posted on 02/25/2012 1:15:19 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: CharlesWayneCT

Looking at his posting history it seems that it wasn’t so quick, he was just a Romney troll, with the usual ‘Reagan would be a rino here’ type tales to tell.

http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/by:sick1/index?brevity=full;tab=comments


43 posted on 02/25/2012 1:26:42 PM PST by ansel12 (Romney is unquestionably the weakest party front-runner in contemporary political history.)
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To: Brices Crossroads

Come on, conservative Michiganders!! You can save the nation from having to be forcefed the Rominee!!!

Who are these people, what is this force, behind the Rominee, and what will they do to us if their “inevitability” and media purchase get them into the White House? Let’s speculate forever and NOT FIND OUT.

Come on Arizonians too. With a Santorum sweep we can broom Rominee into a corner before Super Tuesday and give the others that much more momentum.


44 posted on 02/25/2012 1:32:20 PM PST by Yaelle (Rick Santorum 2012)
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To: 21twelve; Absolutely Nobama; AFPhys; afraidfortherepublic; AmericanInTokyo; ...
Santorum for President Ping List.

FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.

45 posted on 02/25/2012 1:37:20 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: JediJones

What about the trendlines though?


The difference may be Time. There isn’t much time left to have some other candidate rise. Newt probably can’t get much of a bump at this point, because of all the Santorum voters now, and Newt’s supporters have to decide as they go into the booth whether they want to vote for Newt at any cost, or whether they want to keep Romney out. Because of the time factor, there may be more of the latter than previously.


46 posted on 02/25/2012 1:38:55 PM PST by Yaelle (Rick Santorum 2012)
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To: murron

Why is it we believe the polls when Santorum is in the lead, but when he’s not, we dismiss them?


Human nature!! Why would you like someone more when he agrees with your positions? I try not to do this but that self-bias creeps in a lot...


47 posted on 02/25/2012 1:41:38 PM PST by Yaelle (Rick Santorum 2012)
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To: Yaelle

The Newt Voters and rhe undecided voters are going to go heavily for Santorum. And the Democrat crossovers are going to pour it on Romney, the phony hypocrite who pretends to be from Michigan.

The dynamics here do not favor Romney and I don;t care how many Rasmussen polls he pulls out. Santorum is going to win this, and it won’t be all that close.


48 posted on 02/25/2012 1:49:58 PM PST by Brices Crossroads
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To: Brices Crossroads

We can still pray that Romney loses these next two races by enough of a margin to give the edge to Santorum in momentum. I do not trust Gallup polling, as it is consistently off, and they tend to poll people who will not be voting. I personally don’t think Santorum is collapsing as someone has suggested here. It’s been a couple weeks since the last primaries/caucuses, so it’s natural for them to dip a notch or two in the interim. I hope everybody reads the more recently posted article about Romney and his so-called conversion to conservative. I hope that goes VIRAL!!!


49 posted on 02/25/2012 3:52:27 PM PST by Shery (in APO Land)
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To: Mountain Mary

Have you seen my posts? :)

We need to get Newt folks in AZ & MI to vote for Rick and take out Romney... I think Rick should pull ALL Negative ads about Newt and have a serious conference with the Newt Team. This must include all the folks that Newt promised jobs to in exchange for them not supporting Rick. They need to have this talk now!


50 posted on 02/25/2012 4:48:09 PM PST by Dan.israel.2011 (Who should be on President Rick Santorum's Dream Team?)
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To: Mountain Mary

Have you seen my posts? :)

We need to get Newt folks in AZ & MI to vote for Rick and take out Romney... I think Rick should pull ALL Negative ads about Newt and have a serious conference with the Newt Team. This must include all the folks that Newt promised jobs to in exchange for them not supporting Rick. They need to have this talk now!


51 posted on 02/25/2012 4:48:41 PM PST by Dan.israel.2011 (Who should be on President Rick Santorum's Dream Team?)
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To: Dan.israel.2011

Agree Dan...and the Santorum folks have received this message from Freepers loud and clear. What they decide to do with it is theirs to win or lose.


52 posted on 02/25/2012 4:59:55 PM PST by Mountain Mary (Michigan patriots, ie Newt and Rick supporters, UNITE!)
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To: Dan.israel.2011

“We need to get Newt folks in AZ & MI to vote for Rick and take out Romney...”

do you really think that Newt supporters want to give their vote to Santorum? if Santorum were to win AZ and MI, then Newt would have the Santorum momentum to overcome. Newt still has a chance, and is the strongest candidate to defeat BO in November.


53 posted on 02/25/2012 6:13:48 PM PST by IWONDR
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To: Brices Crossroads
My peeps in Michigan tell me that they've received so many Romney Robo-calls that they're turning their phones off.

Romney, Inc. is in serious panic mode.

Hang in there, Rick!!!
54 posted on 02/25/2012 8:13:48 PM PST by Antoninus (Mitt Romney -- attempting to execute a hostile take-over of the Republican Party.)
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To: Allon
Seriously? Intrade is a joke.

Intrading on Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum in the Colorado Primary
55 posted on 02/25/2012 8:19:22 PM PST by Antoninus (Mitt Romney -- attempting to execute a hostile take-over of the Republican Party.)
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To: Antoninus

No, Colorado didn’t have a primary. This is a dangerous comparison if you want to compare polling data. The problem with comparing the Colorado intrade numbers is that they all used the same polling data, which pointed to likely voters. That’s much different than caucus goers, which turn out in far less numbers and require more time to fulfill the obligations.

Colorado didn’t vote, they caucused. Time will tell, but I suspect the polling numbers are accurate, and they were in Colorado too, but the caucus commitments skewed things.


56 posted on 02/26/2012 11:50:44 AM PST by Allon
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