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CNBC: Markets Start to Anticipate Obama Victory in November
CNBC | 02/28/2012 | By: John Melloy

Posted on 02/28/2012 8:08:33 PM PST by SeekAndFind

While President Obama may not be Wall Street's ideal candidate, stock prices are rising on growing expectations he will be re-elected this November.

Part of that, market pros say, is simply that investors feel more certain about who will be in the White House for the next four years and which policies they will have to deal with.

Obama's chances of winning in November increased to above 60 percent on Tuesday, up from about 50 percent at the beginning of the year, according to the odds on prediction market Intrade.com.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has hit a new bull market high and is up 9 percent on the year.

The stock market’s rise comes as the supposed Republican frontrunner, Mitt Romney, continues to struggle to win the GOP nomination.

Romney has just a 55 percent chance of winning Tuesday’s Michigan Primary, down from 80 percent just a day ago, according to Intrade. Meanwhile, the odds of GOP challenger Rick Santorum winning the primary have shot up to 45 percent.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: november2012; obama
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1 posted on 02/28/2012 8:08:40 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

With Romney’s win tonight, his chances of re-election have increased to 100%.


2 posted on 02/28/2012 8:09:40 PM PST by dfwgator (Don't wake up in a roadside ditch. Get rid of Romney.)
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To: SeekAndFind

What I want to know is why the markets are rising with virtually no trading volume.

Something stinks.


3 posted on 02/28/2012 8:10:08 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: SeekAndFind

Obviously they don’t know what the hell they are
talking about. It couldn’t be that markets are up
because Obama is out of here...could it.


4 posted on 02/28/2012 8:11:20 PM PST by tet68 ( " We would not die in that man's company, that fears his fellowship to die with us...." Henry V.)
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To: SeekAndFind
"market pros say"

they, along with other economists, say "Unexpected" more than anything

5 posted on 02/28/2012 8:13:21 PM PST by BookmanTheJanitor
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To: SeekAndFind
...according to the odds on prediction market Intrade.com.

Like Intrade is infallible? Dopes that base anything off of this gamblers website haven't a clue. How about Obummer under 50% approval in the polls for years, high gas prices, high food prices, housing in the toilet and high unemployment. Those might be something that says Obummer is finished.

6 posted on 02/28/2012 8:14:51 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: SeekAndFind
if opining that the markets "anticipate" his re-election, than why don't they also opine that there was a massive layoff just as he was elected and since then....

can't have it both ways....

he better not get re elected folks....he better no...

7 posted on 02/28/2012 8:16:26 PM PST by cherry
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To: SeekAndFind

Just a plain stupid article. This election will be about Obama,jobs, and gas prices. Doesn’t matter who we nominate.


8 posted on 02/28/2012 8:16:45 PM PST by cornfedcowboy (Trust in God, but empty the clip.)
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To: SeekAndFind

9 posted on 02/28/2012 8:17:01 PM PST by Doogle (((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: SeekAndFind

Another Fed bubble is a more reasonable explanation.


10 posted on 02/28/2012 8:18:14 PM PST by 2 Kool 2 Be 4-Gotten
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To: mylife

I agree with you. The market rise is nothing but a setup trying to drive cash out of savings, bonds, etc. into the stock market before it crashes. Most of the trading is by the big players to drive up commissions and management fees. A lot of the trading is done by the big players through buying and selling to themselves using separate branches/divisions to mask the transactions.


11 posted on 02/28/2012 8:18:32 PM PST by RetiredTexasVet (There's a pill for just about everything ... except stupid!)
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To: SeekAndFind
We are so Ffff...Screwed! I hate how the GOP candidates have slit their their very own throats while the mediaWHORES and the EVIL VOMIT FROM HELL MUSLIM PRESIDENT is laughing all the way to a second term!! MY GOD the republicans candidates are so DAMN STUPID! YES I'M PISSED AS HECK!! NOW we are in danger of losing the WH, house and yes we had a shot at the senate, but all that is SHOT TO HELL, THANKS A MILLION YOU STUPID IDIOTS at the RNC!! THIS COUNTRY IS SO FINISHED if the RATS get control of all three branches AND Supreme Court....GOD HELP US!
12 posted on 02/28/2012 8:18:49 PM PST by RoseofTexas
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To: mylife
What I want to know is why the markets are rising with virtually no trading volume.

Because the economy is still in the toilet and most people either don't have any money to invest or are smart enough to stay out. There are nothing but institutional investors playing the market now. This 13K DJI number is absolutely nothing to be impressed about.

13 posted on 02/28/2012 8:20:02 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: RetiredTexasVet

I believe so, but I aint biting.


14 posted on 02/28/2012 8:20:36 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: RoseofTexas

Best do some heavy praying that God takes charge and trumps the GOP and Progressives.


15 posted on 02/28/2012 8:21:01 PM PST by RetiredTexasVet (There's a pill for just about everything ... except stupid!)
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To: SeekAndFind

With these liberals, up is down, everything is backwards.

The Communist Obama is going to lose. Big.

Markets cannot wait. Markets are saying Obama will LOSE.


16 posted on 02/28/2012 8:21:20 PM PST by Cringing Negativism Network ("The door is open" PALIN 2012)
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To: Lazlo in PA

But 13k is an important Psychological watermark! /S


17 posted on 02/28/2012 8:23:05 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: dfwgator

Not if I can help it.


18 posted on 02/28/2012 8:23:22 PM PST by Big Horn (Rebuild the GOP to a conservative party)
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To: RetiredTexasVet

RE: Best do some heavy praying that God takes charge and trumps the GOP and Progressives.

But what if God wants to teach America a hard lesson?


19 posted on 02/28/2012 8:23:53 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

I guarantee that the Feds are pumping money into the stock market, creating another bubble.


20 posted on 02/28/2012 8:24:24 PM PST by scott7278 ("...I have not changed Congress and how it operates the way I would have liked..." - BHO)
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