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CNBC: Markets Start to Anticipate Obama Victory in November
CNBC | 02/28/2012 | By: John Melloy

Posted on 02/28/2012 8:08:33 PM PST by SeekAndFind

While President Obama may not be Wall Street's ideal candidate, stock prices are rising on growing expectations he will be re-elected this November.

Part of that, market pros say, is simply that investors feel more certain about who will be in the White House for the next four years and which policies they will have to deal with.

Obama's chances of winning in November increased to above 60 percent on Tuesday, up from about 50 percent at the beginning of the year, according to the odds on prediction market Intrade.com.

Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has hit a new bull market high and is up 9 percent on the year.

The stock market’s rise comes as the supposed Republican frontrunner, Mitt Romney, continues to struggle to win the GOP nomination.

Romney has just a 55 percent chance of winning Tuesday’s Michigan Primary, down from 80 percent just a day ago, according to Intrade. Meanwhile, the odds of GOP challenger Rick Santorum winning the primary have shot up to 45 percent.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: november2012; obama
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To: editor-surveyor

Commodities certainly seem like the place to be.


51 posted on 02/28/2012 9:23:54 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: SeekAndFind

Seriously? The election is more than 8 months away. Alot can, and will happen between now and then, and damn little of it good for Obama.

Oil and gas on the rise. A major war in the Middle East. The Euro and the European Union in turmoil. The Occupy Wall Street crazies coming out in full force this Spring, with violent episodes erupting all over the country. And this is just the tip of the iceberg.

Throwing in the towel is not an option.


52 posted on 02/28/2012 9:24:13 PM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (I'm NOT smitten' with Mittens)
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To: july4thfreedomfoundation

Everyone should stop for a moment and think about something:

Are we really so brainwashed, we actually believe that the stock market going up, means the communist is going to win?


53 posted on 02/28/2012 9:26:18 PM PST by Cringing Negativism Network ("The door is open" PALIN 2012)
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To: jdsteel
I have made it clear to my compliance department that I do get involved in 1st Amendment protect political speech from time to time.
I NEVER will recommend specific strategies or securities, in a public post.

I also do not directly list my name. :)
Anyway, so far so good.

I was once Kansas Republican Party Treasurer and a Broker at the same time.

It can be done but you are correct, we must be careful.

54 posted on 02/28/2012 9:27:18 PM PST by Kansas58
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To: SeekAndFind

who are these people voting for him?


55 posted on 02/28/2012 9:29:20 PM PST by ColdOne (I miss my poochie... Tasha 2000~3/14/11)
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To: Cringing Negativism Network

“Are we really so brainwashed, we actually believe that the stock market going up, means the communist is going to win?”

####

The two statements DO seem mutually exclusive don’t they?

But then, we are no longer in the mostly sane, market-based financial environment of old.


56 posted on 02/28/2012 9:30:53 PM PST by EyeGuy (2012: When the Levee Breaks)
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To: SeekAndFind
CNBC says........
What's not to believe?

ROTFLMAO!!!

57 posted on 02/28/2012 9:32:33 PM PST by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Newt......Nuff said.)
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To: SeekAndFind

CNBS is a joke.

I wouldn’t put a single penny down on anything they say.


58 posted on 02/28/2012 9:35:40 PM PST by WeatherGuy
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To: dfwgator

The vote will be anti Obama and not pro anybody


59 posted on 02/28/2012 9:43:41 PM PST by woofie (It takes three villages and a forest of woodland creatures to raise a child in Obamaville)
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To: Kansas58; SeekAndFind

“Hard to pin the market on any one good thing or bad thing.”
The market is the market.
_____________________________________________
Right....
It is no longer your father’s stock market.
It is fat cats like Soros and Buffet, and others with big computers, doing the pump and dump.
On a day to day basis, the market has nothing to do with reality.
To say that the public is expecting a glorious eight years
of Marxist ideology, run by the Obumber puppet, is whistling in one’s britches.


60 posted on 02/28/2012 10:04:31 PM PST by AlexW
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To: mylife
Yes I agree there is manipulation going on not just the Markets but everything we are being told is manipulated. I have heard that gas is high because of the unrest in the Middle Eat as far as I know there has been unrest in the Middle Eats since forever but this is the first time that I have paid $4.25 for gas. And then I hear that the economy is better everything is great. Well I don't feel like everything is great I don't believe anything anymore on either side of the isle. I can tell you I make hats and sell them on a venue called Etsy and since Obama has been President my business has gone down by 50% and my costs have risen and it is hard to pass them along to my customer. My shipping rates keep going up and up I use the US Postal service we all know how they are doing. I get some of my packing supplies such as boxes and packing peanuts through a company called Uline and they deliver in one day and they are delivered via a car the last order I received the shipping cost was $50.00 that was up by $20.00 just for the shipping. My economy and my reality are not better off no matter what I am told.
61 posted on 02/28/2012 10:40:36 PM PST by funfan (and his crew)
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To: funfan

Color me skeptical too


62 posted on 02/28/2012 10:45:25 PM PST by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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To: RoseofTexas

The seeds of a second American recvolution will be planted.


63 posted on 02/29/2012 12:16:37 AM PST by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: SeekAndFind

this is called Dem BS.........no one with brains is expecting the liar in chief to win


64 posted on 02/29/2012 2:14:27 AM PST by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now and in the future)
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To: funfan
Oil is going up because of inflation. But you need to know the real definition of inflation, which is "an increase in the money supply that leads to a rise in prices".
65 posted on 02/29/2012 2:43:12 AM PST by The Truth Will Make You Free
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To: funfan
Oil is going up because of inflation. But you need to know the real definition of inflation, which is "an increase in the money supply that leads to a rise in prices".
66 posted on 02/29/2012 2:43:12 AM PST by The Truth Will Make You Free
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To: Lazlo in PA

That, and the fact that the Fed and the other centrtal banks have pumped about $7 trillion in liquidity into the markets over the past couple of years...


67 posted on 02/29/2012 3:43:50 AM PST by NOVACPA
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To: EyeGuy

There is simply no way, that markets actually want Obama.

That’s like claiming chickens, support Colonel Sanders.

What market “support” Obama may have, is government corruption - oops I mean stimulus. Government money spent on democrats by other democrats.

The actual free market, is being the leading indicator it always is. It tanked before Obama was elected, and it’s rising now.

In anticipation that he’s about to be un-elected.


68 posted on 02/29/2012 3:54:25 AM PST by Cringing Negativism Network ("The door is open" PALIN 2012)
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To: mylife

They’re rising with government money, particularly pension and retirement money goes into this so called “market.”

This makes the market polluted and of course not a free market. This psuedo market is based on TAX flow, period.

Which is why the financial racket wants Romney to counter inflation by CONSOLIDATION and IMPLEMENTATION of Arbeitsziehungslager- Shackle-Care. Which sucks more from non-govt. right into the government system and right into the government poisoned pension market.

Quite insidious.


69 posted on 02/29/2012 4:06:20 AM PST by Varsity Flight (Phony-Care is the Government Work-Camp: Arbeitsziehungslager)
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To: RetiredTexasVet

you sir, are correct beyond belief. Been looking at this myself and every day I scratch my head saying how can this be with the market? There will be many BIG investors who will make a lot of money in the short term. Others it will be a long drop to a dry well.


70 posted on 02/29/2012 4:06:40 AM PST by VF-51vnv
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To: Doogle

Good one.


71 posted on 02/29/2012 4:09:54 AM PST by jersey117 (The Stepford Media should be sued for malpractice)
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To: jersey117

I will post that every time the BS meter pegs.....


72 posted on 02/29/2012 4:11:48 AM PST by Doogle (((USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: ColdOne

Blacks, unions, illegals and stupid white people.


73 posted on 02/29/2012 4:17:23 AM PST by jersey117 (The Stepford Media should be sued for malpractice)
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To: mylife

The way I look at the stock market under such an oppressive and fascist government as we have with Obama and his henchmen Czars is that it would be the very LAST place I put any of my money or keep any.

Before he was elected and took office, I took every everloving cent I had in it out. Its true that levels eventually nearly got back up to where they were almost three years later, but one must remember that the DOW hit over 14000 before he was elected. At best last year, smart investors were able to keep their money with no return.

Todays high increases and low volume? I’d guess computers and brokers fleecing the gullible people who think they are ‘stock traders’ ala Guitar Hero or something like the government artificially making strategic money-dumps. In any case, it’s not a smart place to be for someone not well-connect and on the “in”.....


74 posted on 02/29/2012 4:29:39 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: woofie

The vote will be for ‘The Devil You Know.’


75 posted on 02/29/2012 6:24:14 AM PST by dfwgator (Don't wake up in a roadside ditch. Get rid of Romney.)
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To: Cringing Negativism Network

“In anticipation that he’s about to be un-elected.”

####

Let us hope so.

I’m not the most connected person in the world, and I don’t know who they are talking to, but I sure don’t get the certain impression that we are about the end the coup of the RaceMarxist.


76 posted on 02/29/2012 6:53:09 AM PST by EyeGuy (2012: When the Levee Breaks)
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To: mylife

The thing about precious metals is that unlike stocks and paper ‘currencies,’ they will never be worth nothing.

Food and guns are similar, but food perishes quickly, and guns are only yours as long as you can defend them.


77 posted on 02/29/2012 7:44:48 AM PST by editor-surveyor (No Federal Sales Tax - No Way!)
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To: Kansas58

I amuse myself watching the financial press change their story from Pre to Post market as to why things happened the way they did. Sometimes they end with the exact opposite of where they started!


78 posted on 02/29/2012 6:29:34 PM PST by jdsteel (Give me freedom, not more government.)
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