Posted on 03/04/2012 8:35:15 PM PST by lilyfreeper
Georgia: Gingrich 47, Romney 24, Santorum 19, Paul 8. Looks like some chance Newt could even hit 50...
Irrelevant (for now) but interesting: GA if Newt wasn't in race is Romney 38, Santorum 37. Mitt may do better in South than expected.
Santorum definitely the loser in tonight's 3 polls. Good news for both Romney (in OH and TN) and Gingrich (in TN and GA)
Santorum is an affirmative action candidate. He was the least qualified candidate in the field but managed to fly under the radar. When all the other more viable candidates dropped out, he sometime became a frontrunner. It is insane.
“No. Santorum will win TN, OK, and Ohio. Newt will win Georgia and that is it. He should be able to get 50 percent so he can get those important Winner Takes All delegates but he is not strong enough in Georgia to even win that. Romney will win Mass and Vermont. Newt has not won a state since January 21! Can you believe how weak he is. He has been fourth place for a month now. Washington he was dead last even paul beat him.”
Pretty neat how you can see the future like that.
Santorum couldn’t get reelected in his home state; missed by 19%.
You are a liar. He did get reelected in his home state. So much for you knowing all about Santorum. Do research before you get back to me.
Santorum built an ABR bubble of support when he helped Romney take Newt out in Florida. The bubble is bursting.
Where other than Georgia?
If he is such a terrible candidate why does Rasmussen have him closer to Obama than Romney or Gingrich in its daily poll?
Newt in winning big, populous states with hard delegates, and he’s also beating Santorum in the actual vote count:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html
Santorum’s only wins since Iowa was a trifecta of caucuses in February that no one else even competed in, in which comparatively few people even participated. And those wins will turn out to be worthless, because they were beauty contests, with the delegates to be decided later by state conventions.
And those beauty contest wins got Santorum zero momentum - as he went on the lose to Romney in MI & AZ. If you look at the polls, sweater-boy is also on track to lose in TN and OH.
Newt will win in GA, the most delegate-rich state at stake on Super-Tuesday. He already getting over 50% of the vote, and will do so in the final count. This despite a million spent by Romney, and a lot of effort & visits to GA by Santorum. Newt is also surging in Tennessee.
The state on Tuesday where Santorum has the best shot to win is Oklahoma, getting maybe 30 of that state’s 43 delegates. That’s not nothing, but overall it will be a bad day for Santorum.
Santorum is losing support everywhere. He could not even beat Ron Paul in Washington!
Georgia is not WTA for the at-large delegates, except for the three party leader delegates, unless only one candidate is above 20%, but if a candidate gets more than 50% in a CD, they get all three delegates allocated to the CD.
He is freepers/tea-partier’s affirmative action candidate. When a candidate has a ‘true conservative’ label, these voters will just ignore all other qualifications. This is crazy, no different than liberals!
It is not necessarily knowing the future but finally early voting is going to help Santorum. He has Tennessee in the bag because he is big time ahead with early voting. Georgia doesn’t take much to know that Newt will win. Mass and Vermont are Romney areas so it would be a jaw dropping if he lost there. Oklahoma have the same early voting which Santorum has a big lead so that is pretty easy. Ohio is a bit of a mystery but Santorum will probably win by a squeaker. It was not too difficult to figure out. Alaska to me is 100 percent difficult to guess.
Look at the graph of the Gallup poll.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/election.aspx
Santorum is dropping like a rock - he lost 14 points in the last 12 days. In the same period, Newt gained 4 points. The two candidates are now just 5 points apart, 22 v. 17, and as the trend continues Newt will surpass Santorum this week.
In 2006 Santorum gave his all hoping that the voters would keep him as their Senator, but they had seen enough, they dumped him by a record breaking 18 points.
Early voting in OK is only the Friday, Saturday and Monday before an election, whereas in Tennessee it runs from 20 days before the election to 5 days before the election, so it’s never really very much (if any) in OK, whereas it’s always quite substantial in TN.
I was a Pennsylvania resident at that time, but that is not what the other FREEPER said. They said that he was not reelected to the state which is a big fat lie.
Santorum used to be so liberal, and of course pro-abortion, that might be seeping out to some voters.
A past where he is anti-Reagan and supports pro-abortion fanatic, Arlen Specter for President, can turn off some primary voters when they learn about it.
You are closer to being a liar than the other poster. He posted this “”Santorum couldn’t get reelected in his home state; missed by 19%.””.
We all know that means the 2006 reelection race, and you knew it also, you pretended differently to fake outrage and to make a dishonest claim that he was a liar.
Santorum was a record breaking loser of a Senate candidate for reelection.
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