Skip to comments.New poll shows Rick Santorum leading in Alabama GOP primary
Posted on 03/08/2012 7:54:01 AM PST by pgkdan
A new poll released on the eve of Rick Santorums first campaign visit to Alabama shows the former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania leading in the state Republican Party presidential primary.
The statewide poll conducted by Alabama State Universitys Center for Leadership and Public Policy showed 22.7 percent of likely Republican voters supported Santorum, who is scheduled to make campaign appearances Thursday in Huntsville and Mobile.
Former Massachussetts Gov. Mitt Romney trailed Santorum with 18.7 percent, followed by Newt Gingrich, the former Speaker of the House from neighboring Georgia, with 13.8 percent.
The telephone poll of 470 likely GOP voters showed 29.8 remained undecided and 15 percent saying they intended to support other candidates. The poll did not ask voters whether they supported Ron Paul, the Texas congressman seeking the GOP nomination.
The poll was conducted March 1, prior to the Super Tuesday vote that helped establish Romney and Santorum as leaders in the race for the nomination, with Romney holding a total of 415 delegates and Santorum with 176.
Gingrich, with 105 delegates, canceled campaign plans in Kansas this week to focus on voters in Alabama and Mississippi, which share a primary election day Tuesday.
But the poll results indicate that support for Gingrich is waning in Alabama, according to ASU political science professor Thomas Vocino.
The numbers are just not in his favor, and the trend is working against him, Vocino said. I cant foresee a situation where he can rebound and win in Alabama.
Vocino said Gingrichs support has fallen steeply since ASU began tracking the race five weeks ago. Gingrich led the field in Alabama with 26.9 percent in the initial round of polling on Feb. 2. His support slipped to 18.9 percent by Feb. 23, when results showed him with a slim lead over Santorum at 18.3 percent.
Santorums steady increase over the same time period came almost completely at Gingrichs expense, Vocino said. Romney, by comparison, has held flat at around 16-18 percent, according to Vocino.
The results indicate that Gingrich is unlikely to reach the 20 percent threshold that would allow him to win delegates in any of the states seven congressional districts.
I think it is very problematic for Gingrich to get any delegates, Vocino said
of course, we could not just disagree. I have to be ‘something’ not legit in order to be on this thread, if I disagree with you. Give me a break. thread spammer, ok sure.
Thanks, I would prefer Mitch Daniels or Newt winning in a brokered convention. I like Sarah, but I worry what the national media would do to her. (again)
Cherry pick much?
Rick is WAY ahead of Newt in National polls:
National polls move up and down at the whelm of people who are not paying attention to the race. They have been all over the place. They really are worthless right now. Our problem is we just disagree. I really think you are wrong about Rick being a better candidate. I am afraid we need to just agree to disagree and be done with this.
“I would prefer Mitch Daniels “
May I suggest your rethink Mitch Daniels?
“When Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R) called on conservatives to declare a “truce” on social issues and “agree to disagree,” he clearly “shot himself in the foot” and ended his presidential prospects.”
No, I didn't cherry pick. Now, you're conflating the subject. The subject is the Alabama state primary election polls and not any national polls.
Sorry that you didn't like seeing Newt virtually tied in one Alabama poll with Santo, and then leading Rick by over three point in another Alabama poll.
ok, then it is Newt all the way. LOL. I did say I would vote for Ricky if he gets to the general. And I will not have to hold my nose like last time. I will however be very concerned and wonder how we let another one slip away. I felt like this when the country elected Bill Clinton the second time as well. Been around a long time. I usually am pretty good at picking a winner. Obama beats Rick by 10 and hurts the down ticket considerably in my opinion. Newt would kick his butt back to Chicago. Just my humble opinion. And I have been wrong before, just not very often. :)
I wasn't clear. You're fine. I was speaking about Sun's comments.
@ Red Steel: I'm not unaware of Gingrich's repentance. I've repeatedly said I like what I read from Rev. Jim Garlow, pastor of Skyline Wesleyan Church in San Diego, about Gingrich's personal faith and repentance. I could cite others as well commenting on Gingrich's personal faith, but I'm citing this one because Jim Robinson later picked up the Garlow thread and reposted it himself. Read this item which I wrote after South Carolina about evangelicals needing to make our peace with Gingrich since it looked at the time like he's the only one able to beat Romney: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2837165/replies?c=33
I can live with Gingrich. My primary concern is not what I'm hearing from Gingrich but what I'm hearing from some of his supporters — definitely not all, but some.
So it only depends on Alabama? LOL
Cherry pick much?
Even though I like Rick more, I would be VERY happy with either Newt, or Rick, as POTUS. But Newt just isn’t catching on.
This is what I’m talking about. See Ms. Sun’s post #250 above as a case in point.
Wondering if Obama and hese wealthy masters are secretly pushing and helping Santorum’s candidacy in order to destroy him after the primaries if he wan .
In that case the liberals would have 2 republican candidates considered as easily beatable by the One( one faux “conservative” and a one issue caricature of conservative)
“Mitt 419 Delegates
Rick 178 Delegates
Newt 107 Delegates
Ron 47 Delegates”
And current NATIONAL polls have Rick 13.3 points ahead of Newt.
It’s time to choose. Just hope it’s not too late.
There is little doubt that democrats are fueling Rick especially in places like Michigan and Ohio. It was a fact if you look at their blogs. The democrats really relish either Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum. They fear Newt Gingrich. Is fairly plain for anyone who has followed politics for half a century like I have. The democrats have been setting up Romney for over a year. In the last couple of months they have pivoted to Rick Santorum to hedge there bets. Either one and it is a easy walk for Obama. Newt would kick butt, and they know it.
Today, we are fighting against Islamic fascists. His recent remarks on Iran have been especially harsh. This is the type of talk that gives the State Department jitters, even if it happens to be true.”
Here’s another post by Mrs. Sun:
“27.3 Santorum 14.0 Gingrich”
ok, you win Rick is incredible. LOL. He still loses by 10. Get back to me in December. With any luck the world will come to an end on the 20th.