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New poll shows Rick Santorum leading in Alabama GOP primary
al.com ^ | 03/07/12 | George Talbot

Posted on 03/08/2012 7:54:01 AM PST by pgkdan

A new poll released on the eve of Rick Santorum’s first campaign visit to Alabama shows the former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania leading in the state Republican Party presidential primary.

The statewide poll conducted by Alabama State University’s Center for Leadership and Public Policy showed 22.7 percent of likely Republican voters supported Santorum, who is scheduled to make campaign appearances Thursday in Huntsville and Mobile.

Former Massachussetts Gov. Mitt Romney trailed Santorum with 18.7 percent, followed by Newt Gingrich, the former Speaker of the House from neighboring Georgia, with 13.8 percent.

The telephone poll of 470 likely GOP voters showed 29.8 remained undecided and 15 percent saying they intended to support other candidates. The poll did not ask voters whether they supported Ron Paul, the Texas congressman seeking the GOP nomination.

The poll was conducted March 1, prior to the Super Tuesday vote that helped establish Romney and Santorum as leaders in the race for the nomination, with Romney holding a total of 415 delegates and Santorum with 176.

Gingrich, with 105 delegates, canceled campaign plans in Kansas this week to focus on voters in Alabama and Mississippi, which share a primary election day Tuesday.

But the poll results indicate that support for Gingrich is waning in Alabama, according to ASU political science professor Thomas Vocino.

“The numbers are just not in his favor, and the trend is working against him,” Vocino said. “I can’t foresee a situation where he can rebound and win in Alabama.”

Vocino said Gingrich’s support has fallen steeply since ASU began tracking the race five weeks ago. Gingrich led the field in Alabama with 26.9 percent in the initial round of polling on Feb. 2. His support slipped to 18.9 percent by Feb. 23, when results showed him with a slim lead over Santorum at 18.3 percent.

Santorum’s steady increase over the same time period came almost completely at Gingrich’s expense, Vocino said. Romney, by comparison, has held flat at around 16-18 percent, according to Vocino.

The results indicate that Gingrich is unlikely to reach the 20 percent threshold that would allow him to win delegates in any of the state’s seven congressional districts.

“I think it is very problematic for Gingrich to get any” delegates, Vocino said


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Alabama
KEYWORDS: adiosnewt; al2012; biggovernmentrick; blowhardnewt; bspoll; bspushpoll; byebyenoot; conservatives; crybabynewt; getoutnewt; getoutrick; getthehelloutnewt; newt4obama; newt4romney; newtgetout; newtsfinaldays; newtsplittingthevote; nonewt; pushpoll; rickgetout; rickspoiler; santorum; santorum2012; santorum4romney; santorumspoiler; slimynoot; sorelosernoot; toast4newt; valuesvoters
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To: Red Steel

ok, thanks.


251 posted on 03/08/2012 1:51:06 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: dt57

Even though I like Rick more, I would be VERY happy with either Newt, or Rick, as POTUS. But Newt just isn’t catching on.


252 posted on 03/08/2012 1:52:07 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: dt57

This is what I’m talking about. See Ms. Sun’s post #250 above as a case in point.


253 posted on 03/08/2012 1:53:10 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

Got ya!


254 posted on 03/08/2012 1:54:36 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: VanDeKoik

Wondering if Obama and hese wealthy masters are secretly pushing and helping Santorum’s candidacy in order to destroy him after the primaries if he wan .

In that case the liberals would have 2 republican candidates considered as easily beatable by the One( one faux “conservative” and a one issue caricature of conservative)


255 posted on 03/08/2012 1:54:36 PM PST by Ulysse
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To: All

“Mitt 419 Delegates

Rick 178 Delegates

Newt 107 Delegates

Ron 47 Delegates”

http://projects.wsj.com/campaign2012/delegates

And current NATIONAL polls have Rick 13.3 points ahead of Newt.

It’s time to choose. Just hope it’s not too late.


256 posted on 03/08/2012 1:55:02 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Ulysse

There is little doubt that democrats are fueling Rick especially in places like Michigan and Ohio. It was a fact if you look at their blogs. The democrats really relish either Mitt Romney or Rick Santorum. They fear Newt Gingrich. Is fairly plain for anyone who has followed politics for half a century like I have. The democrats have been setting up Romney for over a year. In the last couple of months they have pivoted to Rick Santorum to hedge there bets. Either one and it is a easy walk for Obama. Newt would kick butt, and they know it.


257 posted on 03/08/2012 1:57:51 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: All

(RICK SANTORUM)
“Today, we are fighting against Islamic fascists.” His recent remarks on Iran have been especially harsh. This is the type of talk that gives the State Department jitters, even if it happens to be true.”
snip

http://www.heymiller.com/2010/08/the-fate-of-rick/


258 posted on 03/08/2012 1:58:09 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Red Steel; All

Here’s another post by Mrs. Sun:

“27.3 Santorum 14.0 Gingrich”

snip http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html


259 posted on 03/08/2012 2:00:58 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Sun

ok, you win Rick is incredible. LOL. He still loses by 10. Get back to me in December. With any luck the world will come to an end on the 20th.


260 posted on 03/08/2012 2:01:41 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: Antoninus
As long as we're talking about multimember districts, I'm aware of one state legislature in the United States that uses that system:

“The House of Delegates’ districting system divides the state into 58 districts that elect a varying number of members. The majority of districts, 35, are single-member districts. 23 districts are multi-member constituencies, varying from two to seven (the 30th District in Kanawha County) delegates. Some have claimed that districts are gerrymandered in such a way as to preserve the status quo. Republicans have called for 100 single-member districts, with the districts representing compact areas of common interests.”

http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/West_Virginia_State_Legislature

I know very little about the details of how West Virginia's system works in practice. Perhaps someone with knowledge of that state can comment.

261 posted on 03/08/2012 2:09:45 PM PST by darrellmaurina
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To: Carry_Okie
Santorum has a better grip on foreign policy than Newt.

Only for the neocon interventionists. Santorum's Iranian war drum banging is madness, a sure loser at the fall ballot box.

Newt's unafraid to engage in intellectual debate, he's willing to go beyond orthodoxy, to challenge assumptions, to investigate. On foreign policy, he's more circumspect in the model of Reagan. Santorum represents reckless hawkishness.

Santorum's not a curious person and he's dishonest about his own past positions having run on individual healthcare mandates in 1992 and 1994 both according to historical press accounts.

262 posted on 03/08/2012 2:15:02 PM PST by newzjunkey (Santorum: 18-point loss, voted for Sotomayor, proposed $550M on top of $900M Amtrak budget...)
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To: manc

Fair enough. Thanks Manc.


263 posted on 03/08/2012 2:18:08 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: pgkdan

The sample in this poll is way too small to be taken seriously.


264 posted on 03/08/2012 2:20:36 PM PST by Hawthorn
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To: dt57; All

Four years ago today, McCain was ahead by a whooping 30 points, but Romney is only ahead by around 10.

Getting rid of Romney is doable, but time is short.


265 posted on 03/08/2012 2:25:01 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: DoughtyOne

>> The people in some states don’t take a real hankerin to folks from outside the area <<

You mean like Pennsylvania-born Newt, Pennsylvania-born Rick, or Pennsylvania-born Ron? Or were you referring to Michigan-born Mitt? All are outsiders, all are carpetbaggers. So what’s to choose?


266 posted on 03/08/2012 2:27:47 PM PST by Hawthorn
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To: pgkdan

Wonderful!

If Romney has any sense, and if his campaign managers have any strategy, they will choose Rick as the Vice-Presidential candidate.

Romney will get the business people; the Mormons; good, decent women; the family values crowd; and the moderates and Utah.

Rick will get the South, more family values crowd, more decent good women, the Catholics, the conservatives, the Evangelicals, and Pennsylvania.

It’s a win—win—win—for Romney, Rick, and the GOP.

But most especially for the American people, because Obama will go down to ignominious defeat in November!


267 posted on 03/08/2012 2:27:47 PM PST by GracieOMalley
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To: Sun

ok, let’s all vote for Newt and be done with it. Good plan Ms. Sun. Not voting for Romeny, NO WAY.


268 posted on 03/08/2012 2:32:58 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: GracieOMalley

Mittbot, Romney is an anti-freedom (Romneycare) socialist, anti-gun, pro-abort piece of human debris.

The GOP can GTH as far as I’m concerned, they’ve sold the American people out for whatever crumbs the RATs will let them have.


269 posted on 03/08/2012 2:34:05 PM PST by SZonian (Throwing our allegiances to political party's in the long run gave away our liberty.)
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To: Hawthorn

That’s a fair question. I believe my emphasis was concerning the idea that Mitt has tons of cash to exert influence, and the other folks were trying to win over people in a lot less (purchase the win) manor.

If a guy wants to come down there, meet with folks, and present his views fine. I think they’ll listen. If he purchases tons of media spots and trashes the others, I think the natives would get real restless.


270 posted on 03/08/2012 2:36:18 PM PST by DoughtyOne (Abortion? No. Gov't heath care? No. Gore on warming? No. McCain on immigration? No.)
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To: SZonian

Not a Mitt-bot. Just a pragmatist. After all, we conservative Republicans do want to win in November.

ALL my campaign cash has gone to Santorum.


271 posted on 03/08/2012 2:36:45 PM PST by GracieOMalley
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To: dt57; All

I’m thinking of writing a polite letter to Newt, and ask him to support Rick, because Rick is 13.3 points ahead of Newt in the National polls.

btw, Mr. Sun asked me, who’s winning the discussion, and I said me. :)


272 posted on 03/08/2012 2:39:10 PM PST by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: Sun

Don’t waste your time writing such a letter to Newt. He is
the ultimate egotist, and cares only about what is good for Newt. (see: two previous wives ditched because they became ill.)


273 posted on 03/08/2012 2:41:48 PM PST by GracieOMalley
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To: GracieOMalley

You’re promoting Romney, that makes you mittbot.

I’m a conservative before I’m a Republican.

The Republican party is dead to me.


274 posted on 03/08/2012 2:41:48 PM PST by SZonian (Throwing our allegiances to political party's in the long run gave away our liberty.)
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To: SZonian

And you, dear sir, are an ex-Mormon and hater of all things and persons Mormon.

That makes you a hater, and I will not respond any further to haters of any stripe.


275 posted on 03/08/2012 2:43:02 PM PST by GracieOMalley
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To: Sun

What do you expect Mr. Sun to say. Geez. Let me ask my spouse. Well, you will never believe it but....lol. Go ahead write the letter, he will get a kick out of it. Jr. Senator who lost by 17 points in his home states asks former Speaker of the House to step aside because he is 13 points ahead in the national polls at this point. Well, if that be the case, Rick would have left the reace a very long time ago. Like when he was down 18 points, or wait that was 28 points in the national polls. LOL. You are a trip.


276 posted on 03/08/2012 2:43:55 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: GracieOMalley; Sun

BTW, Sun, you are winning.

Keep up the good work.


277 posted on 03/08/2012 2:44:11 PM PST by GracieOMalley
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To: Godzilla; All

Who has the mittbot watch (aka ZOT) list?

I think we have a live one here.


278 posted on 03/08/2012 2:44:21 PM PST by SZonian (Throwing our allegiances to political party's in the long run gave away our liberty.)
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To: GracieOMalley

My, my, so judgemental.

I’m a “hater”? LOL! Pathetic dodge. You know absolutely NOTHING about me and pretend to be so much better than me. LOL! What a laugh a minute from a rookie such as you.

You are a promoter of liberal scum, get ready, a world of hurt is coming.


279 posted on 03/08/2012 2:47:57 PM PST by SZonian (Throwing our allegiances to political party's in the long run gave away our liberty.)
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To: darkwing104; 50mm; Old Sarge; Lazlo in PA

Something smells here...kinda like ozone.


280 posted on 03/08/2012 2:51:09 PM PST by SZonian (Throwing our allegiances to political party's in the long run gave away our liberty.)
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To: SZonian

No, you are judgemental. Anyone here can go read your profile page, where the hatred of Mormonism is so thick you could cut it with a knife.

Better go back and revise your page, if you don’t want readers to know where you’re coming from.

Hell hath no fury like an ex-Mormon!


281 posted on 03/08/2012 2:52:49 PM PST by GracieOMalley
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To: dt57; All

Ms. scores and wins....upps, Ricky still loses by 10.

Go NEWT.

Romney is a cyborg.


282 posted on 03/08/2012 2:53:22 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: GracieOMalley
Not a Mitt-bot. Just a pragmatist. After all, we conservative Republicans do want to win in November.

Yeah, which...is...why...we can't vote for Mitt! HELLO, ANYBODY HOME? We want CONSERVATIVES to win, not liberals.

Newt is the ultimate egotist, and cares only about what is good for Newt. (see: two previous wives ditched because they became ill.)

You're spreading absolute lies. Newt did not leave his wives because they got ill. His first wife was a teacher who seduced him when he was 16 years old. She is alive and well today. His second marriage was a troubled one with a long separation and reconciliation attempt before the divorce years later. You can look at anything from that woman in the media and understand why Newt would not have been able to live with her.

Newt is anything but an egotist. He courageously risked his own career and reputation many times in order to stand up for conservative beliefs. He ticked off powerful Republicans and Democrats time and time again (the Democrat Speaker, Bush, Sr., Bob Dole, Bill Clinton, etc.) by pushing a hard-line conservative philosophy and forcing them to live up to their promises. That's not egotism, that's courage and confidence.

Sounds like you're part of the Mormon block vote from what you're saying. If that's true, then thanks for buying into the liberal philosophy of identity politics and giving preferential treatment to preferred ethnicities.

283 posted on 03/08/2012 2:56:02 PM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: GracieOMalley

Nothing wrong with Mormons, except when they pretend to be Christians. There’re not. Sorry


284 posted on 03/08/2012 2:56:32 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: GracieOMalley

Hyperbole fail. Try reading my posting history before you get on your high jackass.

Spoken like a true mormon, are you one?

Cause if you are, identity politics is as bigoted as it comes.


285 posted on 03/08/2012 2:57:23 PM PST by SZonian (Throwing our allegiances to political party's in the long run gave away our liberty.)
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To: GracieOMalley

Revise NOTHING! I posted it there so folks like you, who sit in judgement of others can get schooled.

Here, here is what you claim is “hate”.


John 6:29 Jesus answered them, “This is the work of God, that you believe in him whom he has sent.”

I am an ex-mormon. I make no bones about my exposing the false doctrines or theology of mormonism. Exposing the dark underbelly of mormonISM, its doctrines, theology and tenets does not make one a “hater” of mormons as individuals.

I was led to believe many lies perpetrated by the mormon church. I have come to the knowledge that the purported “prophets” in SLC have kept their members in the dark. I was a mormon for many years, temple recommend, sealed to my wife in the Wash. D.C. temple, melchizedek p.h., various callings throughout.

How did I come to leave mormonism? The mormon teaching/belief that Jesus is a created being, that He “worked” or earned His way back to heaven. That man can become as God. [Garden of Eden original sin.] Once I started putting all of this together, I quit. But I didn’t really. I was a jack mormon for quite some time. It wasn’t until recently that I engaged some folks on FR about mormons. They helped me gain an even deeper understanding of what it was that I was missing. A relationship with Jesus Christ. Since then, it’s been a rocky road, filled with a lot of false starts, but I finally got some momentum going. I have found the one, unalterable God and my salvation in Jesus Christ.


Come on, show me the “HATE”!!!

Now, if you’re done trying to deflect my criticism of your PRO-Romney posts by making this about me, why don’t we discuss why promoting Romney is “pragmatic”?


286 posted on 03/08/2012 3:04:16 PM PST by SZonian (Throwing our allegiances to political party's in the long run gave away our liberty.)
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To: SZonian

Good job. By the way, you are winning. Just saying.


287 posted on 03/08/2012 3:09:00 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: SZonian

Good job. By the way, you are winning. Just saying.


288 posted on 03/08/2012 3:13:21 PM PST by dt57 (illerate, noobie....)
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To: GracieOMalley; TheOldLady; SZonian; 50 Cal
It’s a win—win—win—for Romney, Rick, and the GOP.

Sniff, sniff. Methinks I agree with you SZ, seems like a mittbot to me.

289 posted on 03/08/2012 3:28:13 PM PST by Godzilla (3/7/77)
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To: GracieOMalley; JediJones

Gracie, I read just a few of your posts and my analytical skills kicked in. Just judging by the language, your sign-up date, and attacking anyone against Romney as being Anti-Mormon, would I be going out on a limb to suggest that you are the previous zotted poster known as Sandra Duffy?

If I’m correct, please let me know so I can add this skill to my resume for some of the intelligence jobs I’m applying for. Thanks.


290 posted on 03/08/2012 3:32:28 PM PST by parksstp (I pick RIck! (If he's good enough for Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, he's good enough for me))
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To: pgkdan

“...“I can’t foresee a situation where he can rebound and win in Alabama...”

More professional observers can ALWAYS forsee such situations. I predict Newt will win big here in Alabama.


291 posted on 03/08/2012 4:36:16 PM PST by Monterrosa-24 (...even more American that a French bikini and a Russian AK-47.)
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To: Carry_Okie

Santorum’s foreign policy is basicly to start a lot of wars. He is a neoconservative, just like Romney, McCain, Bush and Obama, and that is really my only main issue with him. We need a foreign policy realist.


292 posted on 03/08/2012 4:52:16 PM PST by wolfman23601
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To: pgkdan
With Santorum's stronger than expected and Romney's weaker than expected Super Tuesday showings things should look even better for Rick now.

We are talking about Alabama here. If PA's Santorum is #1, and MA's Romney is #2, I don't think Romney is the weak one here.

293 posted on 03/08/2012 4:55:17 PM PST by paudio (no tagline for now...)
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To: Hawthorn

Rick was born in Virginia, but don’t let the facts interrupt you.


294 posted on 03/08/2012 4:58:24 PM PST by Joe 6-pack (Que me amat, amet et canem meum)
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To: SZonian

I love good testimony! Thanks for sharing.


295 posted on 03/08/2012 4:58:51 PM PST by conservativejoy ("Where there is no vision, the people perish." Proverbs 29:18)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

Split vote giving it to Romney again, but you must be thrilled Romney is winning, what with your rabid hatred for Santorum and all.


296 posted on 03/08/2012 5:02:24 PM PST by Pinkbell (Knock Romney Out - Vote for Santorum in Ohio/Oklahoma/Tennessee and Vote for Gingrich In Georgia)
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To: Pinkbell

Yes, this rabid hatred for Saint Rick is working to the benefit of Mittens, who always knew that it would do so.


297 posted on 03/08/2012 5:15:27 PM PST by Theodore R. (Mathematically, it's all over, says Mittens.)
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To: JediJones

No, Newt was a big Dole backer in GA in 1996; I specifically remember he was. Dole did not see fit to return the favor.


298 posted on 03/08/2012 5:18:26 PM PST by Theodore R. (Mathematically, it's all over, says Mittens.)
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To: Monterrosa-24

Newt may win AL, but it won’t make much difference at this late date.


299 posted on 03/08/2012 5:20:11 PM PST by Theodore R. (Mathematically, it's all over, says Mittens.)
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To: Houghton M.

I was thinking he’s more like FRaud Thompson. A stalking horse for Willard like Freddy was for McLame, staying in just long enough to ensure a weak-kneed RINO is the nominee.


300 posted on 03/08/2012 6:17:37 PM PST by RasterMaster ("Towering genius disdains a beaten path." - Abraham Lincoln)
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