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Polls show Southern split (Loving on Newt)
The Hill ^ | Christian Heinze - GOP 12

Posted on 03/09/2012 9:24:38 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

[SNIP]

ALABAMA, Rasmussen poll:

1. Newt Gingrich 30%

2. Rick Santorum 29%

3. Mitt Romney 28%

4. Ron Paul 7%

These numbers are much more salubrious for Gingrich than Alabama State University's recent poll.

In that survey, Santorum was 23%, Romney was 19%, and Gingrich was 14%.

One explanation? Even though the ASU poll was released Wednesday, it was conducted before Super Tuesday, which shook things up a bit.

But... that makes things even more curious, since you'd expect Newt to have fallen after his bad Super Tuesday performance and not risen as Rasmussen suggests.

MISSISSIPPI, American Research Group poll:

1. Newt Gingrich 35%

2. Mitt Romney 31%

3. Rick Santorum 20%

4. Ron Paul 7%

That's a pretty big gap between Newt and Santorum, which is driven by Santorum's horrible support with the tea party in the state.

49% of tea party supporters say they'll vote for Gingrich; only 17% say the same about Santorum. Even Romney beats Santorum with tea partiers.

[SNIP]

(Excerpt) Read more at gop12.thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: alabama; gingrich2012; gopprimary; mississippi; newt2012; newtcalls
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To: Cincinatus' Wife; AEMILIUS PAULUS
"...so you can do your part June 3."

until June 3, you can make calls for Newt, especially this weekend into MS and AL. It's fun and you'll like it!

www.newtsnetwork.com (click the MAKE THE ALL button on top right)

21 posted on 03/09/2012 10:06:23 AM PST by true believer forever (If Newt is good enough for Sarah, he's good enough for me!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
"49% of tea party supporters say they'll vote for Gingrich; only 17% say the same about Santorum. Even Romney beats Santorum with tea partiers. "

This is a contention I have made for some time now.

If Gingrich were to drop, it's likely his votes would go to Romney and Paul, not Santorum.

Santorum is at his ceiling of voter support in the GOP.

22 posted on 03/09/2012 10:10:34 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: Jedidah

“Lovin’ on Newt” may leave us “Stuck with Romney.”

“Lovin” on Romney, Santorum or Paul will leave us “Stuck with obama.”


23 posted on 03/09/2012 10:11:55 AM PST by duffee (NEWT 2012)
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To: Mariner
....If Gingrich were to drop, it's likely his votes would go to Romney and Paul, not Santorum. Santorum is at his ceiling of voter support in the GOP.

I suspect that is true.

24 posted on 03/09/2012 10:15:46 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: taildragger
Unfortunately, this map says otherwise:

Santorum is still a long field goal with a 4th down, 18 seconds left and the team down by 3 points.

But the blue guy isn't going to drop out and make room for the red guy to do a one on one with the green guy. Nor should he.

25 posted on 03/09/2012 10:16:35 AM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Gator113

“Santorum needs to drop out NOW. He likes to “take one for the team”..... this time it would be for the right team.”

Agreed! Between the two “conservatives” (I use the term loosly) Newt is the stronger of the two. There’s a lot to like about Rick, but Newt brings a “give ‘em hell” attitude that Rick just doesn’t have. Rick is a nice guy who if this was the 90s would be a good Repub candidate, but times have changed and the GOP needs a scrapper...that is Newt.


26 posted on 03/09/2012 10:17:02 AM PST by AlwaysFrosty
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS
What do the Texas polls say as to the numbers that plan to vote for Newt?


Not much not in the way of polling being done lately in Texas that I've seen. The primary was delayed and now appears to be on schedule for May 29. At that point in time 77% of the delegates will have been voted on. So it remains to be seen if Texas will be a player or not. If it remains close then Texas with its 155 delegates most likely will be the deciding factor.

The last poll I find shows the following:


Feb. 8-15, 371 GOP likely voters.

Older polls from back in 2011

27 posted on 03/09/2012 10:22:24 AM PST by deport (..............God Bless Texas............)
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To: AlwaysFrosty

“In 1994, there was only one person who consistently believed Republicans could weather the storms and capture control of the Congress for the first time in four decades; in 2012, he is a candidate for President.” ~Ken Kies

“I’m not sure [Gingrich] ever had a lot of friends here, and I’m not sure he cared, because he came here to accomplish a purpose, not to make buddies,” said Ken Kies, an influential tax lobbyist and a Gingrich donor. “Newt led a revolution, so that tends to leave bodies on the floor.”


28 posted on 03/09/2012 10:24:14 AM PST by true believer forever (If Newt is good enough for Sarah, he's good enough for me!)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

29 posted on 03/09/2012 10:27:19 AM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: Jedidah

They’re both too far behind and with too many “Romney lock” states in the future (4 more of the top 10 Mormon states plus states like New Jersey) to win the nomination outright, probably even in a Romney head-to-head. The only hope is for them to accumulate enough delegates to beat Romney and Paul’s, team up and win it at the convention. So there’s less reason than ever to have infighting between Newt and Rick.


30 posted on 03/09/2012 10:30:33 AM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: deport

Thanks for posting the poll. At this point in time the choice for Texas voters is Santorum.


31 posted on 03/09/2012 10:36:21 AM PST by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
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To: true believer forever

Thanks. However, won’t Southerners resent outsiders calling them? I geuss one would not have to say where he is calling from, except I’ll not have a Southern accent!


32 posted on 03/09/2012 10:39:50 AM PST by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

No, not at all; in fact, the calls I made from out of state during other primaries, the callers were really impressed to talk to someone from out of state... it was kinda cute really, and you’d be surprised, you get into some interesting, and oftentimes funny, conversations. A good ice-breaker, how’s the weather in your part of the country? What’s the price of gas down your way?

Please try it, and get others, also. This is a really important weekend for Newt...


33 posted on 03/09/2012 10:47:08 AM PST by true believer forever (If Newt is good enough for Sarah, he's good enough for me!)
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS; deport

Santorum will not be the choice, come May 29, just because he was in early Feb, my friend.


34 posted on 03/09/2012 10:50:14 AM PST by txrangerette ("HOLD TO THE TRUTH...SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR" - Glenn Beck)
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To: txrangerette

Certainly. Opinions are constantly changing.


35 posted on 03/09/2012 11:00:04 AM PST by AEMILIUS PAULUS (It is a shame that when these people give a riot)
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

p.s. I forgot to tell you the campaign gives you a script, and as people feel more comfortable, they ad lib and tweak it a little...


36 posted on 03/09/2012 11:02:05 AM PST by true believer forever (If Newt is good enough for Sarah, he's good enough for me!)
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To: txrangerette

Who knows the choice come May 29? The question was about polling data for Texas. If you have any other please post for our info. Thanks.


37 posted on 03/09/2012 11:02:34 AM PST by deport (..............God Bless Texas............)
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

The republicans in California are VERY conservative, so this gives Newt a chance over Romney


38 posted on 03/09/2012 11:23:54 AM PST by peekaboo
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

The republicans in California are VERY conservative, so this gives Newt a chance over Romney


39 posted on 03/09/2012 11:24:07 AM PST by peekaboo
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

The republicans in California are VERY conservative, so this gives Newt a chance over Romney


40 posted on 03/09/2012 11:24:38 AM PST by peekaboo
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