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Rasmussen GOP MS Poll: Romney 35% Santorum 27% Gingrich 27% Paul 6%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 03-09-2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 03/09/2012 9:47:44 AM PST by parksstp

Rasmussen Reports’ first Republican primary survey in Mississippi shows former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney leading his closest competitors by eight points. A new statewide telephone survey of Likely GOP Primary Voters in the Magnolia State shows Romney with 35% of the vote, while former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich each draw support from 27%. Texas Congressman Ron Paul runs last with six percent (6%). One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This Mississippi survey of 750 Likely Republican Primary Voters was conducted on March 8, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012; gingrich; santorum; santorum4romney
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1 posted on 03/09/2012 9:47:49 AM PST by parksstp
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To: parksstp

Looks like Saint Rick is losing Newtmentom.


2 posted on 03/09/2012 9:49:49 AM PST by mylife
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To: parksstp
Funny... I live here... no one that I know... even within the republican party want romney. Phil Bryant endorsed him and the blow back today is pretty harsh from what I have heard.

LLS

3 posted on 03/09/2012 9:50:47 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: LibLieSlayer

It’s divide and conquer. 54% Anti-Romney vote split evenly.

But since the Newtbots are too stubborn to realize Newt has 0, ZERO, NADA, ZILCH, traction in any Non-Interstate 20 state, they will suicide bomb us into getting Romney as the nominee.


4 posted on 03/09/2012 9:53:26 AM PST by parksstp (I pick RIck! (If he's good enough for Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, he's good enough for me))
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To: mylife

In the event of a tie, aren’t the names supposed to be alphabetized?
Romney, Newt, Santorum, then Nut?


5 posted on 03/09/2012 9:53:44 AM PST by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: parksstp

Even in a state like Mississippi, there will always be that third of the registered GOP who are establishment schlub types. How else do you think they gave us Thad Cochran and Trent Lott?

This is just one isolated point as far as it goes - do we have any context, such as previous polls so we can try to read a trend?


6 posted on 03/09/2012 9:55:16 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy
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To: parksstp

If this poll is accurate, Romney better be careful. He needs Gingrich to come back at this point. Better to lay low and peel votes off Santorum, so Gingrich can rise.


7 posted on 03/09/2012 9:57:45 AM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: parksstp
Alabama becoming a toss up according to lastes Rasmussen poll.

Alabama GOP Primary: Gingrich 30%, Santorum 29%, Romney 28%, Paul 7%, Undecided 6%


8 posted on 03/09/2012 9:58:44 AM PST by deport (..............God Bless Texas............)
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To: parksstp

I have to agree with your post. Newt is toast and giving us Romney due to his super, duper ego. I like Newt, but, he is spoiling this for us. If he had done better, and not crashed and burned - then I would’ve supported him. However, he can’t touch Romney now - and Rick has a chance, if only Newt would put country first.


9 posted on 03/09/2012 9:59:58 AM PST by Catsrus
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To: throwback

If I were Gingrich, or his campaign manager, this would be my strategy:

Hit on three issues, constantly, over and over and over:

1) Gas prices, and energy production in general.

2) The debt and deficits.

3) Repealing ObamaCare.

Constantly. Every speech, every venue, every crowd. Blanket the airwaves with ads to these effect.

In Alabama, I might also make an occasional comment about supporting the state with their new immigration law, too.


10 posted on 03/09/2012 10:02:44 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy
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To: mylife
Looks like Saint Rick is losing Newtmentom.

Ricky has been losing it since 7 - 10 days before Super Tuesday which was his high watermark.

11 posted on 03/09/2012 10:03:07 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: parksstp
Newt has 0, ZERO, NADA, ZILCH, traction in any Non-Interstate 20 state

You know, I see comments like this, and I wonder whether people like you really don't understand the difference between primaries and general elections.

12 posted on 03/09/2012 10:04:28 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy
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To: Yashcheritsiy

yeah, and when he brings up the Alabama immigration law, the other candidates can jump on him that he supports amnesty for those illegals that have managed to break the law the longest (20+ years).

No amount of strategy will ever help Newt with his real problem which is lack of trust and likeability. He can talk conservative things out of his mouth all day long, but there will be SUBSTANTIAL numbers of people who will not TRUST him.

TRUST and LIKEABILITY are REQUIRED to get Elected President. No one has EVER been elected without the General Electorate believing the candidate possessed those 2 traits. Newt doesn’t have them. It’s a fact. Santorum does. It’s a fact.


13 posted on 03/09/2012 10:07:43 AM PST by parksstp (I pick RIck! (If he's good enough for Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, he's good enough for me))
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To: Catsrus
Newt is toast and giving us Romney due...

Nope, and noway:

Poll: Gingrich on top in Mississippi (Newt 35% Myth 31% Santorum 20% RuPaul 7%) cnn ^ | March 9, 2012; 4 minutes ago | Gabriella Schwarz

14 posted on 03/09/2012 10:08:10 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: parksstp
If I was Romney I'd be pulling out all stops to make sure Gingrich wins at least one of these contests next week. I'd get all the Republican establishment media sources to give favorable treatment to Gingrich in the next few days. I'd also make sure that if Santorum wins Kansas, that it gets ignored.
15 posted on 03/09/2012 10:13:37 AM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: Red Steel
Ricky has been losing it since 7 - 10 days before Super Tuesday which was his high watermark.

That's very true. Santorum at his high mark was a shoe in to win Ohio, and should also have won Michigan.

The Santoroons can whine about "Newt stealing votes from Santorum" (which, wrongly, assumes that all Newt's support would have gone to Santorum had Newt bowed out - a lot of those folks might not even have voted at all), but the fact remains that Santorum lost Michigan and Ohio because he is, in fact, seeing his support level erode.

At his high-water mark, Santorum was doing so well because a lot of people beyond the hard-core politicoevangelical base of the So-Con wing of the Party were thinking, "well, hey, he won in Minnesota, Colorado, and a few other states, so let's take a look at him as a viable non-Romney."

Even I was looking at him much more closely (and defending him on the internet) back then. But since then, he has basically shown that he doesn't have any fire discipline, and is pretty much destined to tick off anybody who is NOT part of the hard-core politicoevangelical So-Con portion of the base. Which makes him unelectable (and I say this as someone pretty far to the Right on social issues myself, probably more so than most FReepers reading this).

There's also the fact that Newt actually has more pledged delegates than Santorum - despite the disparity in primaries won. When Newt talked about a "strategy" for the primaries, he meant it. Part of his choices in where to campaign, I've noticed, doesn't *just* seem to centre about where he thinks he will do well, but where there are actual delegates to be had. Why waste time in a Missouri primary that awards not a single delegate? Why waste time in Maine, where they're still trying to figure out how to apportion? Why spend money in Alaska which has 14 total delegates, when you can invest that money in Oklahoma, eek out a statistical third, and still come away with one less delegate than the winner, and one less than you would have gotten from winning Alaska?

16 posted on 03/09/2012 10:13:37 AM PST by Yashcheritsiy
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To: Red Steel

IMHO Rick is out jousting at windmills with this morality stuff.

Newt is the only guy who seems to stay focused on the matters of actual concern this election cycle.
Ricky has half the nation believing that we want to ban birth control just because he couldn’t resist demonstrating how pious he is when the Obama administration threw him a red herring.

He is not ready for prime time.


17 posted on 03/09/2012 10:15:05 AM PST by mylife
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To: Catsrus; parksstp

Newt is in 2nd place ahead of Santorum. Why would Newt quit?

Seems someone below him should quit.


18 posted on 03/09/2012 10:15:24 AM PST by Principled
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To: Principled

Yep.

And that first ‘someone’ should be Ron Paul.

7%?

Why is this man still in the race?

Does Romney really need the cover that badly?


19 posted on 03/09/2012 10:17:36 AM PST by Bigh4u2 (Denial is the first requirement to be a liberal)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Oh I do. To the point I’ve studied all of the voting demographics of most of the states.

To be sure, a Newt candidacy would at a minimum carry every McCain state from 2008. North Carolina and Indiana are also pretty much being ceded by the Democrats.

The problems come in FL, VA, and OH. Newt was slaughtered along the I-4 corridor by Romney and did absolutely horrible among Seniors, Hispanics, and Women. While it wouldn’t kill him in the states I just mentioned, he would almost be forced to be a Floridian on the ticket just to be safe. Santorum, who would also look to a Floridian, at least in the demographics was not poisonous with women, he just didn’t really run in FL since it was WTA. Both would kill in the Panhandle where Obama did poorly, but FL is always won along the I-4 corridor. 53% of the voting electorate in FL is female.

Then there’s OH. Santorum won incredibly strong in the areas the Republican need to win to offset the margins in Cleveland. In fact, Santorum was so strong with his margins in the conservative parts, he nearly won the state despite huge deficits in both Cleveland and Cincy. I don’t think either Newt nor Romney are going to perform at the level they need to to carry OH, which would need to be closer to 2004, where Bush ran up a 371,000 vote advantage outside of Kerry’s 200,000 vote advantage in Cleveland. Last time, McCain and Obama ran dead even outside of Cleveland. That won’t be enough.

Then there’s VA. Santorum would pick up the areas McCain did less well than Bush from 2004. I also think Santorum has performed well in the cities and suburbs than Newt, who has been blown out by Romney everywhere a major population center exists. That doesn’t bode well for Northern VA.

But assuming all this and all the states above, which equate to 266 Electoral votes, there remains 1 Additional state both will have to carry to win, and it must come from one of the following (NH, PA, MI, WI, IA, NM, CO, NV).

New Hampsire is out for everyone, except Romney. Santorum has an edge in PA, but Gingrich would not do as well in the Philly suburbs (Berks, Montgomery, Delaware, Bucks, Chester). MI is probably out for everyone. WI is a toss-up, but Santorum’s union past helps him more than it helps Newt here. IA is a prime state for Santorum to carry if there are enough Republicans that haven’t fled the state due to unemployment. NV is also probably out for both. Santorum, however, showed strength in Colorado and has the backing of Tom Tancredo for being strongest on the immigration stances. NM is a toss-up, but with high numbers of Seniors, Hispanics, and Women, may pose just as much a problem for Newt as it would in Florida.

Because of the battleground states and the voting demographics, I give the edge to Santorum to get to 270. I don’t see how Newt gets there.


20 posted on 03/09/2012 10:20:54 AM PST by parksstp (I pick RIck! (If he's good enough for Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, he's good enough for me))
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To: parksstp

Rick Santorum campaigns on family values, but legislates to the unions and WITH the RINO Establishment, never doing anything for those family values in office when in a position to do so. Every. Single. Time. Check the record.

Newt started a revolution and brought the Republican Party and Congress into a majority after 40 years in the desert and has the record to prove it.

IF RECORDS still trump sniffing around one’s personal stuff while out of office or at home.

Wait until Romney resurrects Santorum’s wife’s personal business again, and Rick’s comment that he was a nominal Catholic up until his campaign.

It’s disgusting to ride a ballot with your nose in the air on false rightousness against candidates when the record of actual accomplishment is different as day from night.


21 posted on 03/09/2012 10:22:58 AM PST by RitaOK (LET 'ER RIP, NEWT. Newt knows where all the bodies are buried, because he buried them.)
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To: parksstp
It’s divide and conquer. 54% Anti-Romney vote split evenly.

Santorum, Gingrich, or Paul supporters aren't necessarily anti-Romney voters.

Many are just people that happen to like the given candidate, but don't consider Romney to be the embodiment of Satan (while very few people are enthusiastic about Romney, out in the real world, there aren't nearly as many people who despise him as FR would like to believe).

If Paul dropped out, probably 50-70% would switch to Romney, and 30-50% wouldn't vote.

If either Gingrich or Santorum dropped out I think you'd be shocked at how many of their supporters switched to Romney, or simply didn't vote.

22 posted on 03/09/2012 10:24:17 AM PST by Strategerist
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To: parksstp
I will be voting for Newt next Tuesday as will almost everyone that I know. I find your post not only unAmerican... I find it condescending and insulting. But then again... what do I know? I am just a ignorant, drooling rube that is too stupid to know that I owe my vote to the man that you are backing.

LLS

23 posted on 03/09/2012 10:24:21 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: parksstp
Newt might be able to get his negatives down, but that seems unlikely. Still, people like Adelson will continue to pour money into Gingrich because even if Newt's on a suicide mission, it still serves his purpose since Romney is his second choice.
24 posted on 03/09/2012 10:24:52 AM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: Bigh4u2
Why is this man still in the race?

Paul has never really been in the race to win. Only some of his most delusional followers actually think he could be nominated or elected President in 2012. Paul is attempting to build a movement over the long term - and he is having some success at it. I think the man is mostly a kook, but I will give him credit for having patience and persistence.

25 posted on 03/09/2012 10:25:51 AM PST by Longbow1969
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To: Yashcheritsiy; mylife

To add to your good posts.

Santo was not vetted in August, September, October, November, December, January, and half of February. Why would they vett Rick since he was once mired in polls @2% and behind RuuPaul? It hasn’t even been a full month of serious Ricky vetting, and Newt has been vetted up and down, sideways, and every other which way for a very long time.


26 posted on 03/09/2012 10:30:00 AM PST by Red Steel
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To: Strategerist
If either Gingrich or Santorum dropped out I think you'd be shocked at how many of their supporters switched to Romney, or simply didn't vote.

Agreed.

Gingrich out means Romney in. Santorum doesn't have it. He's big gov't GOP-e and doesn't have fire, strength, or tenacity I want.

I want Sun Tzu leading my side - not pious sweater vest.

just sayin'

27 posted on 03/09/2012 10:31:33 AM PST by Principled
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To: LibLieSlayer

And likewise, what do I know? I am just a ignorant, drooling, rube that is too stupid to know that I owe my vote to the man that you are backing.

(As for the Suicide Bomb comment, check out Newt Supporter TitansAFC’s tagline. He’s the one that started the whole “suicide bomb” correleation)

TAFC’s Tag Line: (Rick Santorum is the Suicide Bomber of the 2012 Election. He’s going to take us all out with him)


28 posted on 03/09/2012 10:33:22 AM PST by parksstp (I pick RIck! (If he's good enough for Mark Levin and Rush Limbaugh, he's good enough for me))
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To: Jim Robinson; P-Marlowe; onyx; Cincinatus' Wife; TitansAFC
Say what you will, but if Romney wins a deep south state, then this is over in the rino party race. I will be looking hard at a 3rd candidate run. Probably: Constitution Party However, if Palin or Gingrich would run a 3rd candidate campaign (perhaps via the CP?), then I'd support them big time. The intent should be to WIN and not just to be a spoiler. I would accept the intent of building a viable 3rd party alternative to the Rino Party.
29 posted on 03/09/2012 10:35:53 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Pray Continued Victory for our Troops Still in Afghan!)
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To: Strategerist
I disagree slightly. I think Santorum does pull votes off Romney and and a sizable portion would go to Romney if he left, but the Gingrich vote is hardcore and would probably just not vote.
30 posted on 03/09/2012 10:36:02 AM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: RitaOK

Wait until Romney resurrects Santorum’s wife’s personal business again, and Rick’s comment that he was a nominal Catholic up until his campaign.


She was in her twenties and lived with or dated an abortion doctor. That is why she is so pro-life. She seen what she believed was wrong and wanted to spend the rest of her life doing the right thing. Isn’t that what we hope our kids do when they make a mistake? I know I did things in my twenties I regret. No I did not have an abortion, but I was a democrat who thought it was no big deal, until I became a Christian and God opened my eyes that what I believed was wrong, both about abortion and being a democrat.

I was a counselor at a Crisis Pregnancy Center for years. 75% of the women who volunteer at CPC’s are women who had an abortion and realized they were wrong. They want to tell women who are considering an abortion, “don’t do it, I did and I will have to live with it the rest of my life, it destroys you.”

If Ricks wife repented and Newt repented, why should either one not be forgiven? Look how old Newt was after his last affair?


31 posted on 03/09/2012 10:40:16 AM PST by Linda Frances (Only God can change a heart, but we can pray for hearts to be changed.)
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To: Principled
I want Sun Tzu leading my side - not pious sweater vest.

Everybody knows Gromit is large and in charge!


32 posted on 03/09/2012 10:42:57 AM PST by mylife
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To: throwback

Bishop Willard is attacking only Newt in Mississippi. Not Obama, who is effectively a policy clone, or Santorum, who is the Lhasa Apso in the pit.


33 posted on 03/09/2012 10:43:34 AM PST by Psalm 144 ("I think we ought to listen to Alinsky." - Govenor G. Romney, father of Bishop Willard M. Romney.)
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To: parksstp

Mitt is not LEADING in Mississippi.

Rasmussen has been notorious this cycle in overestimating Mitt’s numbers.


34 posted on 03/09/2012 10:43:59 AM PST by TitansAFC (Newt-torum can broker 1144 delegates in August - THEY CAN DO IT!!!)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

“If I were Gingrich, or his campaign manager, this would be my strategy:

Hit on three issues, constantly, over and over and over:

1) Gas prices, and energy production in general.

2) The debt and deficits.

3) Repealing ObamaCare.

Constantly. Every speech, every venue, every crowd. Blanket the airwaves with ads to these effect.”

Those are precisely the points he hit at the rally in Jackson yesterday, plus the fact that the US is not and should not be the enforcement arm of the UN.


35 posted on 03/09/2012 10:45:44 AM PST by Psalm 144 ("I think we ought to listen to Alinsky." - Govenor G. Romney, father of Bishop Willard M. Romney.)
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To: Linda Frances

“If Ricks wife repented and Newt repented, why should either one not be forgiven?”

Agreed. Lots of Xian Pharisees out there. Yes, the ‘Xian’ insult is deliberate, and is a distinction from Christian.


36 posted on 03/09/2012 10:48:21 AM PST by Psalm 144 ("I think we ought to listen to Alinsky." - Govenor G. Romney, father of Bishop Willard M. Romney.)
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To: xzins

Mitt is not leading in MS or AL, period.

Rasmussen has been notoriously overstating Romney’s support this election cycle, and is doing so again.


37 posted on 03/09/2012 10:52:36 AM PST by TitansAFC (Newt-torum can broker 1144 delegates in August - THEY CAN DO IT!!!)
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To: parksstp
I am just going to cast my vote next Tuesday... for the man that I think can best save America and beat obama... Newt is not a good candidate... but as flawed as he is... he seems to be the best out of the three that we have been forced to choose from. I think that Newt is the best out of the three. Beyond that... I really do not buy into this infighting. I would vote for Santorum in the General... I will not vote for romney.

LLS

38 posted on 03/09/2012 10:54:40 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: parksstp

Thank you for that. While I don’t completely agree with your conclusions, it is always good to see peoples reasoning.

What is your assessment of how would the picture change if either the speaker or the senator dropped out and took the VP slot?
Tag line shows my preference of which way around, of course!


39 posted on 03/09/2012 10:59:42 AM PST by EnglishCon (Gingrich/Santorum 2012.)
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To: parksstp

Really, Mississippi... ROMNEY???


40 posted on 03/09/2012 11:02:20 AM PST by ScottinVA (GOP, meet Courage... Courage, meet GOP.)
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To: Psalm 144
It's not what Reuters is reporting:

Restore our Future, the Super PAC supporting Romney, has been on the air in Alabama and Mississippi with anti-Santorum ads for days, spending nearly $3 million.

The group is already buying $1.4 million in advertisements in two states that do not vote for weeks. Restore our Future spent more than $909,000 in Illinois, which holds its primary on March 20, and more than $431,000 in Louisiana, where the primary is March 24.

A pro-Santorum Super PAC, called the Red, White and Blue Fund, retaliated by spending $500,000 to air ads attacking Romney in Alabama and Mississippi.

41 posted on 03/09/2012 11:03:32 AM PST by throwback ( The object of opening the mind, as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: TitansAFC

Rasmussen poller’s transcript:

Rasmussen: “Hello, sir, I’m with Rasmussen Polling. Are you going to vote for Mitt Romney?”

Voter: “No.”

Rasmussen: “Seriously?”

Voter: “Yes.”

Rasmussen: “So, yes, you will vote for Romney?”

Voter: “No, I mean, yes, I’m serious, I mean I’m not voting for Romney.”

Rasmussen: “Are you sure?”

Voter: “Yes, I’m sure.”

Rasmussen: “Really?”

Voter: “Yes, really!”

Rasmussen: “Wow, you’re the first one I’ve had today. Did you hear he’s surging?”

Voter: “Uh, no, I didn’t, I didn’t really know.”

Rasmussen: “Yeah, it’s pretty much unanimous at this point. They’re saying he’s so far ahead that he’s inevitable.”

Voter: “Oh, uh, okay.”

Rasmussen: “So is there any chance you’d vote for Romney, maybe if he’s running against someone you really can’t stand?”

Voter: “Well, yeah, then, I mean, I guess.”

Rasmussen: “OK, great, I’ll put you down for Romney. Good-bye!”


42 posted on 03/09/2012 11:04:53 AM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: LibLieSlayer

What is going on in MS? Is this just establishment spin to help Romney?


43 posted on 03/09/2012 11:20:10 AM PST by achilles2000 ("I'll agree to save the whales as long as we can deport the liberals")
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To: parksstp

If this is true, than Romney will have the nomination locked up before the convention, and there will be no brokered contest.

This is not a good thing, we cannot afford to give the MSM and Obama all summer to attack the nominee as they did in 2008.

We need the fight to continue, if for no other reason, than to force the MSM to continue covering the Republican arguments against Obama and the attack upon him all summer.


44 posted on 03/09/2012 11:22:53 AM PST by OneVike ((Just a Christian waiting to go home) internet ID:: impeachobamanow)
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To: parksstp

My opinion, Newt gives up FL and puts Santorum on as V.P. which gets him PA and 1 or 2 other of the toss-up states. FL is hopeless for the Republicans this year and they need a strategy that does not include it. They are simply not going to bring any Hispanic Obama voters over. The racial identification based on his coloring is too great a factor to overcome. Democrats understand how important light brown skin is to their election strategy of getting both black and Hispanic votes. Liberal, light-brown-skinned candidates are their dream candidates. Any they can find will rocket to the top of the Democrat party faster than Obama did. The visual coloring means more than ethnicity or language to getting these voters which is why Rubio would not even help the Republicans with Hispanics much against Obama.


45 posted on 03/09/2012 11:26:18 AM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: JediJones

“Democrats understand how important light brown skin is to their election strategy of getting both black and Hispanic votes.”
_____________

I’m not sure if I should thank you or curse you for reminding me of the vacuousness of American politics; however, I will volunteer to pay for Newt’s tanning booth sessions! (smile)


46 posted on 03/09/2012 11:32:36 AM PST by Ozymandias Ghost
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To: achilles2000
Absolutely. I had three top Mississippi republican movers and shakers in here this morning. They were livid at our governor's endorsement of romney. Bryant endorsed him because Trent Lott put tremendous pressure on our new governor to do so... you remember Trent? He is Senator, “You must coop these new Freshman as soon as they get here”. These guys were letting Phil Bryant know how displeased they are with his endorsement. romney is liked here about as well as ted kennedy was.

LLS

47 posted on 03/09/2012 11:36:21 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: TitansAFC

He is owned by rino inc.

LLS


48 posted on 03/09/2012 11:38:54 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: OneVike

This analysis gets Romney to 1071 pledged delegates by the end, and he would need over half of the “unpledged” delegates to have a majority at that point.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/03/09/romney_really_might_not_have_the_delegates_by_june.html

This goes with a rough analysis I did myself of what will happen if the remaining states vote as the previous similar states to them did. I ended up with Romney in the high 1000s or low 1100s, not quite at a win before the convention.

However, Ron Paul would end up with enough delegates to put Romney over-the-top. Newt and Rick need to start doing better than they have been to have a combined total that could beat Mitt and Paul’s at the convention. As of now, the most likely scenario is a contested convention where Ron Paul hands Romney a solid for the win.


49 posted on 03/09/2012 11:42:44 AM PST by JediJones (The Divided States of Obama's Declaration of Dependence: Death, Taxes and the Pursuit of Crappiness)
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To: parksstp

The poll’s margin of error of +/-4% means that it’s essentially a 3-way tie.


50 posted on 03/09/2012 11:45:15 AM PST by Josh Painter ("We intend to change Washington, not accomodate it." - Newt Gingrich)
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