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To: entropy12

I’m starting to think that Newt & Santorum are beginning to appeal to different brands of voters. If that’s the case, then both staying in may be the best chance for denying Romney a majority of delegates. If both Newt & Santorum get in the neighborhood of 650 delegates, that keep Romney under 900 delegates.

But if, e.g., if Newt drops out, Romeny would roll over Santorum and get over 1,144, with delegates to spare.


18 posted on 03/10/2012 11:11:15 AM PST by BCrago66
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To: BCrago66

I’m not so sure about that. If it comes down to it, I think the vast majority of Newt’s supporters better jump to Santo.

My reason is that Romney scares the h out of me with regard to potential Supreme Court nominees, which there may be two or more of in the next term. I don’t care much for Santorum, but from hearing him speak on social issues, he at least seems like he could be counted on to make good selections for the court.


22 posted on 03/10/2012 11:27:35 AM PST by mtrott
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To: BCrago66
I’m starting to think that Newt & Santorum are beginning to appeal to different brands of voters.

I've been beginning to think that more and more. I think a lot of the divide is FiCons vs. SoCons.

I'm more strongly in the FiCon camp, since my overarching concern is rolling back the size and scope of the Federal Govt. It's not that I don't care about social issues, it's just that I think once you liberate individuals from statism, that social issues will largely resolve themselves in a morally constructive way with no govt interference necessary.

Since Santorum is incredibly weak as a financial conservative and is on record denouncing laissez-faire individualism, he just doesn't appeal to me.

There's also practical considerations I bear in mind—such as, I really want Obama gone because he's murdering my future. My perception is that if Santorum were the nominee, his inexperience would be a major liability, and he'd generally alienate many potential voters, ergo ensuring 4 more years of BO. As much as I hate to say it, even Romney has a better chance than Santorum.

Whereas Newt or Paul would be optimal nominees IMO because they actually present vision and ideas, which invigorates and broadens the base, and actually grows new Republicans. For instance, many may not like this, but a lot of the Ron Paul kids probably aren't going away and will continue to assert an active role within the party. So there'll have to be some corresponding evolution in the Republican party IMO, or it will certainly go extinct as it's on the precipice of doing now. Pandering to the status quo (Romney, Santorum) will assure this.

If that’s the case, then both staying in may be the best chance for denying Romney a majority of delegates. If both Newt & Santorum get in the neighborhood of 650 delegates, that keep Romney under 900 delegates.

Yes.

But if, e.g., if Newt drops out, Romeny would roll over Santorum and get over 1,144, with delegates to spare.

That's what I'm thinking, too. I suspect it would be incredibly easy to marginalize Santorum in a very permanent way once he was the sole focal point of fire.
29 posted on 03/10/2012 12:14:29 PM PST by Utmost Certainty (Our Enemy, the State | Gingrich 2012)
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