FoxNews Chicago IL GOP Poll (Romney 37% Santorum 31% Newt 14%)

Fox Chicago News ^ | 03-16-2012 | Mike Flannery

[parksstp]

Chicago - The Republican race for president looks like a two-man contest in Illinois Thursday night.

Mitt Romney is ahead of Rick Santorum among Illinois Republicans, even after Santorum’s big victories in Alabama and Mississippi on Tuesday. But Santorum is within striking distance for next Tuesday's primary.

An exclusive FOX Chicago News poll found a six point lead for Romney among those likely to vote in the March 20 presidential primary.

Romney had the support of 37 percent on Wednesday. Rick Santorum earned 31 percent of the vote.

[TitansAFC]

Yes,

when one candidate had THERE bound delegates, it was different, throwback.

Duh.

[TitansAFC]

—”Wouldn’t that happen at a brokered convention too?”—

No, because the spotlight would be on them, and everyone would be making a pitch and paying attention. The delegates could be “bought” now because of the endless time and secretive deals that would certainly be made.

Buying delegates one-by-one at a brokered convention will be impossibly harder, because we’ll know each delegate’s name by heart, and they will be asked where they stand by the press every five minutes of the day.

[entropy12]

Your analysis is not confirmed by this poll:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/153308/Romney-Santorum-Tie-Gingrich-Voters-Second-Choice.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=syndication&utm_content=morelink&utm_term=All%20Gallup%20Headlines%20-%20Politics

Romney will get LESS delegates if Newt stays in based on above poll.

[FreeReign]

...not confirmed by this poll: Romney will get LESS delegates if Newt stays in based on above poll.

I don't think the poll is correct.

[hinckley buzzard]

Yet if Newt’s votes went to Rick, Rick would walk away with all 69 delegates.

When are you people going to wake up and realize that this proposition is a pipe dream?

If all those Newt voters were potential Santorum voters, they would be Santorum voters now. It isn't going to happen, and Santorum will not gain much if any ground at all on Romney when/if Newt drops out.

Reality. Deal with it.

[MSF BU]

Most times he can’t crack forty, nevermind fifty. Look at how he did in his ‘home state’ of Michigan.

[JediJones]

So if Santorum announces Newt will be his V.P., Newt supporters will vote for Romney instead? I’ve been saying that’s the move that needs to happen for them to win. They have very few options now to deny Romney 1,144 delegates short of crossing their fingers, wishing upon a star, praying that Romney gaffes himself to death, or doing this combined-conservative ticket. If you want Romney to hit 1,144 in June and win the nomination, then keep arguing for the status quo in this race.

[JediJones]

Santorum wouldn’t even need all of Newt’s votes to deny Romney additional delegates. If Santorum is close to 50% in some states and is already ahead of Romney, all he needs is enough votes to push him over 50% to trigger winner-take-all threshold rules that would deny Romney delegates. If this happened in Alabama, for instance, Romney would have received fewer delegates than he got and Santorum would have got all of his, all of Newt’s, plus extra.

[County Agent Hank Kimball]

I’m a Newt supporter and I’ve said the same thing....but I just saw a shocking poll on FoxNews. Apparently the second choice of Newt supporters breaks down 44-39 FOR ROMNEY!

This doesn’t jive with my sense of things and I sure hope it isn’t correct. If it is, though, I think I just give up.

Hank

[NoRedTape]

"The Newtbots, nonetheless, will stick with Newt because Rick Santorum has minor imperfections as a conservative and Newt has none."

.....Actually, what will happen will be that Obama will win in a landslide because some how Romney is leading. Newt is the only one who can beat Obama, and Santorum is splitting the anti-Romney vote. Santorum does not have the experience or the gusto to lead. He comes off as a rookie. If Santorum runs again, people will remember how he botched this. We actually could have won it.......

[Theodore R.]

If you want Romney to hit 1,144 in June and win the nomination, then keep arguing for the status quo in this race.

This 37-31-14 poll is the epitome of the status quo, and I noticed that's more for Newton than he got in MI and OH. Once Newt wins Cook County, he can disprove that poll.

[Theodore R.]

For years, people have said Perot threw the election to Clinton, but I believe GHWB threw the election as he was super subservient to Clinton; Perot was without any electoral votes, but he probably hurt GHWB in two or three states. But I don’t see anyway to think that Newt’s chances are any better than Perot’s ever were, and he is hurting Santorum by being in the race, particularly in the winner-take-all situations. I don’t think who Newt helps or new Newt hurts means a hoot to Newt.

[Theodore R.]

Correction: I don’t think who Newt helps or who Newt hurts means a hoot to Newt.

[Kenny]

These news outlets are killing us with polls out before the candidates even have a chance to campaign there. What are these people basing their ‘votes’ on? I have to think it’s all the chatter because I’m quite sure only a handful have looked at their positions. I kind of miss the debates.

[BigSkyFreeper]

I hate to say it, but it’s time for Newt and Paul to drop out.

Would be a good idea, but that is unlikely, given that both men have said they are going the distance.

[BigSkyFreeper]

It’s funny how “entrance polls” have become the norm this season. I guess the media thinks they are more accurate than exit polls.