Skip to comments.Rick Santorum Has Sizable Lead Over Mitt Romney Heading Into Saturday's La. Primary [13% Lead]
Posted on 03/20/2012 7:28:43 PM PDT by Steelfish
Survey: Rick Santorum Has Sizable Lead Over Mitt Romney Heading Into Saturday's La. Primary March 20, 2012
WASHINGTON -- Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum has a significant lead over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in Louisiana heading into Saturday's primary, according to a survey conducted Monday by a Republican polling firm.
According to the survey of 2,018 likely Republican voters conducted by Magellan Strategies BR, and not paid for by any campaign or political organization, Santorum was leading Romney by 13 points -- 37 percent to 24 percent, with former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, right behind Romney with 24 percent.
According to the survey, if Gingrich were not in the race, 61 percent of his support would go to Santorum, and only 22 percent to Romney. In a one-on-one contest, Santorum would defeat Romney by 21 points -- 55 to 34 percent with 11 percent undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at nola.com ...
We need to unite and fight Romney. He needs to have his coronation stopped.
If Ricky were running for Jeff Davis’ job, this’d be great news! Unfortunately, he’s running for Barack Obama’s position!
Nothing suppresses a vote more than then belief of loss.
If Ricky were running for Jeff Davis job, thisd be great news!
Who is this? A congressman?
Rick Santorum usually wins in the conservative states; Romney wins in the liberal states.
Why is that? LOL
Right now - Rick has 35% to Romney’s 47% in IL, that’s pretty impressive. He’ll have some tailwind even if not a victory...
Here’s a little good news to cheer you up.
I needed some good news tonight!
If Willard hadn’t pumped millions of dollars in attack ads against other Republican candidates, he would be toast. You Mitt-Bots must be very proud of him.
Aftermath with Santorum Ill. Primary
As Myth would say telle est la vie
You ain’t a kiddin’....
Jesse Jackass Junior won with over 50,000 votes, the Republican challenger won his primary with fewer than 10,000 votes.
It doesn’t matter much, because Louisiana has so few delegates, and they are all “unbound” to the convention, but to the degree you trust the selection of delegates, the goal in Louisiana is to keep ROmney below 25%, which is the cutoff for proportional assignment.
So in this case, we want Gingrich to stay in the race, and to take a few percent from Romney.
What isn’t helpful is Gingrich taking votes from Santorum, if it helps Romney get over 25%. If Romney ends up below 25%, conservatives win.
Mitt-Bot? I hope you enjoyed your short stay with us.
Sure it’s talent...if you have a bucket full of money to throw around and buy those never ending,mud-slinging, robo-calls.
Your comment is a pathetic snide comment .
What’s your point outside of making a snide comment about my family’s state which you know nothing about.
Odd how you leave the real enemy Mittens alone ?
You make a good analysis. I would have thought if a candidate gets over 50%, he takes all delegates. No?
At this point, any shift from Santorum would be to Romney as the perceived winner. Those shifting would not go to someone who is polling even lower and is behind nationally. Otherwise, they would not shift at all.
And yes, it is a three man race!
Hey Fred...what did your guy do tonight to defeat Romney?
You know nothing about LA.and it shows.
Mittens has zero presence here.
Mittens would be crushed here if it was closed but it’s open and local Yankee lefties will be the only Voting for vile Mittens .
FReepmail Antoninus to be added or removed.
ROFL - Santorum should drop out so that the one running even further behind Romney can lose instead? If Santorum would drop out now, Romney would sew up the nomination in no time. If Santorum’s supporters went 60-40 to Newt as Gingrich’s poll shows they would in the reverse situation, Romney would be over 50%
“Heres a little good news to cheer you up.”
It sure does, but I’m not so surprised about Romney winning a liberal state tonight. Rick supporters should NOT be dispirited at all.
This is the state that gave us Obama.
Oh Gosh I feel dumb....I was thrown by Jeff Davison....lol.
You’re kidding right?
Rmoney outspent Santorum 7 to 1 in Illinois. He knew that he had to win or lose his “frontrunner status”.
A deep blue state home to the Daley machine is far to gone to vote for anyone but a Dem like Mittens.
He fire bombs his enemies Namely the GOP base with ugly AstroTurf and literally drives off the base from voting period .
This clown has killed off the GOP base and the general is going to be a disaster for the GOP elites in DC .
These clowns may actually lose the house thanks to the ugliest pres primary in everyone’s lifetime .
Mitten’s had the lowest approval rating of any Pres front runner in modern times.
The GOP is cooked.
Here’s what’s going on in the Romney-win state:
“Illinois abandons gun rights, empowers criminals
Plan on purchasing, owning, transporting and/or operating a firearm in your lifetime? Do not relocate to the state of Illinois. The state has one of the worst gun laws in the country and the Illinois Police and the Illinois Attorney General really need to stop pursuing innocent gun owners, sellers, and users, and pursue those who actually commit crimes that injure or harm others.
Stemming from a public safety initiative, Illinois implemented a law in 1968 that says a Firearm Owners Identification (FOID) card must be issued by the Illinois State Police before a resident can possess or purchase firearms or ammunition. Whether this initiative has been successful in providing safety to the public is a story where the evidence in support of such an act leaves much to be desired.”
Gingrich got 7% in IL and you guys still doing the rain-dance?
WTF are you talking about? How did I denigrate North Carolina? And how do you know which states I have knowledge of?
Thank you for posting a picture of this great man.
There are some Romney people who come to FR only to attack Rick, like they think we would vote for Romney. They apparently are so ashamed of their candidate they won’t admit supporting them. I did not name names so if you are a robofan feel free to attack me.
Yeah that worked really well in Florida and Iowa, Why don’t you just admit that our main opponent is Romney not Santorum (nor Gingrich).
“Have you noticed Romney trails by double-digits every week before every primary and in most cases comes away with a double-digit win? Say what you want (and I am no fan), but that is a talent”
No sefarkas. It’s not “talent”. It’s called trying to buy an election.
It’s all systems go here in WI. Volunteers pouring into the state. Apparently Rick will be spending a fair amount of time here, unlike Mittens who doesn’t care about us because he no longer needs our votes.
No, Louisiana doesn’t have a winner-take-all clause in their delegate selection.
It’s not over for Rick, hb. Now go back to coloring your Romney for President poster.
It's fine that Santorum has a big lead in Louisiana, but Romney isn't campaigning there. Santorum and Gingrich are contesting LA. If Gingrich does take a drubbing there and still refuses to pull out, it will just prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that his is just a vanity campaign.
Uh...in case you haven't noticed, anyone who supports Romney is promptly banned from FR.
His final home, Beauvoir, is less than a mile from where I sit.
So more donations for Rick. We HAVE to stop this Romney.
If the current numbers hold, there’s a chance that Rick Santorum gets all 20 delegates on Saturday. To qualify for delegates in Saturday’s primary, a candidate must get 25% of the vote. With both Newt Gingrich and Mitt Romney below 25%, only Rick Santorum would receive delegates. If the 6% undecideds split evenly, all three will be over 25% and the delegate split is likely to be Santorum 8, Gingrich 6, and Romney 6. If Gingrich got out the race, the split would likely be Santorum 13 and Romney 7. If we are truly at the point where every delegate counts, then the extra delegate for Mitt Romney is probably more important than the increased margin for Rick Santorum. I’m sure that the Gingrich and Santorum campaigns are hoping that the final numbers are something like Santorum 40, Gingrich 27, and Romney 24. That ending would keep Mr. Romney from receiving any delegates. In this primary, Dr. Gingrich’s presence in the race certainly has the chance of taking delegates from Mitt Romney.
And vanity is the outer layer of pride.